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Model-Free Market Price of Variance Risk and Performance of Hedged Portfolios

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Abstract

This study implements a model-free approach to measure the market price of the variance risk. The value of the variance contract is estimated from prices of traded CBOE variance futures that offer an alternative to OTC variance swaps on the S&P 500 index. The variance risk appears to be priced, and its risk premium is negative and economically very large. Our results show that the investor with CRRA preferences is long the market and short the variance futures. The economic value of introducing the variance futures is large even when the investor can trade options on the S&P 500 index.

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