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Tacking and Epistemic Luck

January 2009

DOI:10.1007/978-1-4020-9567-2_8

Authors:

According to my theory, paired down, a method of belief-formation is justificatory if it is counterfactually sensitive to falsity. The method is not required to be sensitive to truth. Thus, mine is not a tracking theory; belief-formation does not covary with, or track, truth-value.This is unfortunate with respect to our epistemic goal. But it was to be anticipated. It reflects the greater relative importance of falsity-aversion over truth-acquisition within this goal. Believing falsely is epistemically worse than failing to believe truly. No general method can guarantee the acquisition of truth and nothing but.

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