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A 'current' statistical model and adaptive algorithm for estimating maneuvering targets

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Abstract

A 'current model' concept for maneuvering targets is proposed in this paper and a modified Rayleigh density is proposed to describe the 'current' probability density of target maneuvering acceleration. The physical relation between the state (acceleration) estimate and the mean value of the state noise in the special case discussed here is also pointed out. Based on these two points, an adaptive Kalman filter for the mean and variance of the maneuvering acceleration is given. Some computer simulation results in one- and three-dimensional cases are given. The simulation results show that the proposed adaptive algorithm can estimate well the states of highly maneuvering targets.

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... When an estimator based on a single model was not adequate, an interacting multiple model (IMM) approach was presented to provide the state-of-the-art solutions to many problems such as air traffic control tracking [12,13], in which a two-model IMM with the NCV and NCT models is used to perform maneuvers. The Singer model is a popular model for characterizing target maneuvers [14]. In [15], this model was modified to be the mean-adaptive acceleration model. ...
... As shown in (14), the base state is augmented by the parameter vector that needs to be estimated, and thus the evolution of the augmented state from sampling step to can be written as ...
... When the target maneuvers occur, the RMSEs of the proposed SM-based algorithm do not rise as sharply as those KF algorithms, suggesting that the proposed SM-based algorithm has relatively more robust performance than those KF algorithms during the target maneuvers. At a larger window length value (at choice of 14), the performance of the SM-based algorithm becomes remarkably better than the online fitting (see Fig. 9). Fig. 10 presents average RMSEs of position and velocity estimates of the online fitting and proposed SM algorithms, in the case of four window length values. ...
Article
The state estimation of a maneuvering target, of which the trajectory shape is independent on dynamic characteristics, is studied. The conventional motion models in Cartesian coordinates imply that the trajectory of a target is completely determined by its dynamic characteristics. However, this is not true in the applications of road-target, sea-route-target or flight route-target tracking, where target trajectory shape is uncoupled with target velocity properties. In this paper, a new estimation algorithm based on separate modeling of target trajectory shape and dynamic characteristics is proposed. The trajectory of a target over a sliding window is described by a linear function of the arc length. To determine the unknown target trajectory, an augmented system is derived by denoting the unknown coefficients of the function as states in mileage coordinates. At every estimation cycle except the first one, the interaction (mixing) stage of the proposed algorithm starts from the latest estimated base state and a recalculated parameter vector, which is determined by the least squares (LS). Numerical experiments are conducted to assess the performance of the proposed algorithm. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm can achieve better performance than the conventional coupled model-based algorithms in the presence of target maneuvers.
... However, it is difficult to track such a maneuvering target with some unknown time-varying motion model. The current statistical (CS) model [13] can be utilized to model the time-varying motion model. The CS model assumes that given the current acceleration, the probability density function of the acceleration at the next instant is a modified Rayleigh density function whose mean value is the current acceleration. ...
... The CS model [13] is widely utilized in tracking a maneuvering target. When a target is maneuvering with a certain acceleration, the CS model assumes that its acceleration at the next time instant is limited within a range around the current acceleration. ...
... whereā l is the mean of maneuvering acceleration at time instant l. a l is the zero mean colored acceleration noise. α is the reciprocal of the maneuver time constant, and w l is white noise with zero mean and variance σ 2 w = 2ασ 2 [13]. Whenẍ l > 0, the probability density function is given by ...
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A spatial-temporal processing framework integrated of speech enhancement and speech tracking is proposed in this paper for distant speech perception. First, weak speech signals are enhanced by the deconvolved conventional beamforming (DCBF) with a microphone array. By virtue of the narrow beamwidth and low sidelobes of the DCBF, the competing sources can be effectively suppressed without introducing extra speech distortion. Second, with the accurate bearing provided by the DCBF, the Cubature Kalman filter can be utilized to track the speech source of interest. By introducing a scaling factor in the current statistical motion model, a new tracking algorithm is proposed which is suitable for both maneuvering and nonmaneuvering speech sources. The introduced scaling factor can be adaptively adjusted to improve the tracking performance of the proposed algorithm for different motion models. Numerical results show that the proposed algorithm can provide better tracking performance than the conventional one. In particular, the tracking root mean square error can be reduced by half for some cases.
... However, the Singer model does not utilize the past estimated acceleration information to estimate the new value [25]. And the "current" model utilizes the estimated acceleration in the last step as the new acceleration mean and assumes a conditional PDF with this new acceleration mean, which improves the accuracy of state estimation [28]. Hence, the "current" model has better acceleration estimation accuracy than the Singer model. ...
... In contrast, the Singer model is the motion model of the normal Kalman filter. The state equation of the "current" model, proposed by [28], is illustrated below. ...
... To employ the adaptive Kalman filter or the normal Kalman filter, the process noise covariance matrix Q needs to be computed by the probability density function (PDF) of target acceleration. The PDF of the target acceleration in the "current" model is a conditional PDF ( | ) k f a a , which is a conditional Rayleigh density [28], as shown in Fig. 3. However, the PDF of target acceleration in the Singer model is an unconditional PDF, which is a symmetric ternaryuniform mixture distribution, as shown in Fig. 4. The PDF of target acceleration in the "current" model is shown below. ...
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Cooperative adaptive cruise control (CACC) communicates the relevant preceding vehicle state data to the follower (ego) vehicle to improve the vehicle following capabilities. In general, the CACC utilizes the preceding vehicle’s desired acceleration from wireless communication as a feedforward term in the controller of the ego vehicle, which dominantly determines the total control input. However, communication loss would degrade CACC to adaptive cruise control (ACC), where the lack of the feedforward term during communication loss would increase the inter-vehicular distance, or otherwise, may lead to collision during vehicle emergency braking. This paper proposes a control algorithm with an adaptive Kalman filter estimating the acceleration of a preceding vehicle, and the estimated acceleration is implemented as a feedforward signal in the ego-vehicle CACC controller in case of communication loss. The proposed control algorithm is evaluated by experiments using mobile robots which emulate driving. Additionally, simulations of real vehicles are also conducted. The results of simulations and robot experiments show that the performance of implementing the adaptive Kalman filter during communication loss is better than fallback to ACC and the normal Kalman filter based on the Singer model.
... A famous example is target tracking, the state equation of which is excited by an unknown and time-varying forcing function. Most of the current target tracking methods [7]- [11] develop approximate state models of the real system and encounter difficulties when tracking highly maneuvering targets. In some demanding cases, multi-model method is applauded because the filtering error using one single model is unacceptable [11]. ...
... Most of the current target tracking methods [7]- [11] develop approximate state models of the real system and encounter difficulties when tracking highly maneuvering targets. In some demanding cases, multi-model method is applauded because the filtering error using one single model is unacceptable [11]. ...
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The conventional Kalman filter demands complete knowledge of the actual filter model, which is usually inaccessible in practical problems. When dealing with the filtering problem with uncertainty, any improper prediction of the uncertainty may degrade the filtering performance and even lead to divergence phenomenon. In this paper, the innovation feedback Kalman filter, which introduces the innovation feedback controller to the Kalman filter equations, is newly proposed on the basis of automatic control theory to address the filtering problem with uncertainty and is different from other filtering methods. By studying the estimate error equations, the estimate bias is extracted and its propagation mechanism is formulated. The estimate bias propagation equations reveal that eliminating the estimate bias essentially equivalents to an output regulation problem with uncertain exosystem. And a concise yet effective innovation feedback controller is subsequently given as an example. The proposed method is applied to one-dimension target tracking scenario and its high estimation accuracy performance and good stability are simulated through a comparative analysis with the ideal filtering results.
... The Singer model [35] model the acceleration is zero-mean first-order stationary Markov process. Further, the extension of Singer model with an adaptive mean, is called mean-adaptive acceleration (MAA) model [36], which have to a non-zero mean of the acceleration. Specifically the acceleration a(k) =ã(k) +ā(k), whereã(t) is the zero-mean Singer acceleration process and a(k) is the mean of the acceleration. ...
... 2) Mixing: the mean and the covariance matrix for the jth mode-matched filter are given bŷ 3) Mode matched filtering: for j=1,2...N, use the estimate (35), covariance (36) and observation z(k) as input to match m j (k). The Kalman filer with unscented transformation (27)-(32) are used to yield x j (k|k) and P j (k|k). ...
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Tracking maneuvering vehicles in complex dynamic environment is a challenging problem for advanced driver assistance system and autonomous driving systems. Most conventional vehicle tracking algorithms can not model the vehicle dynamic exactly because of the uncertain moving behavior. However, due to the on-road capability, vehicles have to subject to various constraints imposed by traffic rules and roads. Taking advantage of those context information can refine and improve the performance of tracking as it provides additional prior information for vehicles’ dynamic behavior. To achieve this goal, this paper presents a novel context-enhanced tracking approach that exploits the context information to reduce the uncertainty of dynamic estimation. A new context-based sojourn-time dependent semi-Markov (STDM) model, called sojourn-time dependent semi-Markov variable structure interacting multiple model (STDMVSIMM), is proposed to describe the vehicle’s longitudinal acceleration process. In order to cope with the context information into STDM model, a context-based Bayesian network is presented to replace the fixed model transition probabilities with sojourn-time dependent transition probabilities. Compared with traditional interacting multiple model tracking with fixed transition probability, this adaptation switching strategy makes the vehicle motion sequence closer to the natural behavior and improve the tracking performance. Furthermore, a novel pseudo-measurement is constructed to formulate the road-map constraint in tracking process for reducing uncertain on mobility constraints. Simulation results shows that the proposed STDM-VSIMM can achieve better performance after considering the context.
... While the second kind of algorithms conduct with no manoeuvre detection. They usually have well-designed structures to tolerate the state changing of the target, including modified input estimation algorithm [2,7], Singer model [8], current statistical model [9], interacting multiple model (IMM) method [10], et al. ...
... However, the manoeuvre is usually a Markov process, which means its value at one time is related to those at its neighbours [12]. Based on this concern, correlated noise becomes a better choice to model the target manoeuvre [8,9]. ...
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In the past few decades, many manoeuvring target-tracking methods have been proposed. However, most of these methods require some priori knowledge about the target, which is hard to obtain in many scenarios. Here, a priori-knowledge-free (PKF) manoeuvring target-tracking method is proposed by introducing a time-varying polynomial-function-based motion model. The model order and coefficients are real-time estimated to guarantee a steady performance in both manoeuvring and non-manoeuvring situations. Numerical results are provided to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
... The white noise acceleration model is based on the assumption of independent and constant acceleration (Bar-Shalom et al. 2004). The asymmetrically distributed normal acceleration model and mean-adaptive acceleration model were derived based on the assumption that the acceleration of motion is a time-correlated stochastic process (Kendrick 1981;Zhou and Kumar 1984). These acceleration models cannot maintain great performance in the case of turning, and a constant turn rate model introduced the turn rate (Bar-Shalom 1990). ...
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Micro-electromechanical systems and inertial measurement units (MEMS-IMUs) show great advantages in terms of price and size. Nevertheless, due to limitations of technology, their observations are easily affected by the surrounding environment (temperature, vibration, and electronic noise). Most methods resist the effect of gross errors by adjusting covariance matrices in the integrated navigation of a global navigation satellite system (GNSS) and inertial navigation system (INS). We propose a motion model-assisted integrated navigation method on the basis of a constant yaw rate and velocity (CTRV) model, which serves as a constraint condition and detects gross errors by a Chi-squared test. The results of the CTRV are used to correct the carrier state from INS mechanization. A field test was carried out to verify the performance of the CTRV-assisted method. Compared with a robust Kalman filter, the method improves the horizontal accuracy of position and velocity by more than 87% and 68%, respectively, in a medium-precision loosely and tightly coupled system, and of the velocity and attitude by more than 52% and 20%, respectively, in a low-precision loosely and tightly coupled system. Therefore, the CTRV-assisted method can significantly enhance the performance of GNSS/MEMS-IMU integrated navigation systems.
... Since the acceleration information of the non-cooperative target is unknown, it is difficult to describe the motion of the maneuvering target based on the traditional orbital dynamics model. An effective method to model the accelerations of the target is based on the stochastic process, such as the well-known Singer model [25] and its improved models, including the current statistical (CS) model [26], the jerk model [27,28], and the current statistical jerk (CSJerk) model [29]. The Singer model assumes that the target maneuvering acceleration is a stable time-dependent zero-mean first-order Markov process, which uses time-dependent colored noise instead of white noise to model the maneuvering acceleration. ...
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Performance of the traditional Kalman filter and its variants can seriously degrade when they are used to track a non-cooperative continuously thrusting spacecraft. To overcome this shortcoming, an adaptive tracking method for relative state estimation of a non-cooperative target is proposed based on the interacting multiple model (IMM) algorithm. First, built upon a current statistical jerk (CSJerk) model, a robust CSJerk filtering (RCSJF) algorithm is developed, which can address the issue of low estimation accuracy and instability of traditional approaches at the moments when the spacecraft starts and ends thrusting. Second, the developed RCSJF algorithm is further used to form the model set of the IMM by incorporating different maximum jerk values, based on which an adaptive tracking method is presented that can track a non-cooperative target with different maneuvering levels. Simulation results show that the proposed method can effectively track the target across all thrusts levels under the conditions considered, and the convergence performance of the proposed method is improved in comparison to the CSJerk-based extended Kalman filter, especially at the start and end time of the maneuver.
... In the acceleration model, the Singer model [28] assumes that manoeuvring acceleration is a first-order time-dependent stationary Markov process with zero mean. The current statistical model [29] assumes that manoeuvring acceleration obeys the Rayleigh distribution, which can reflect manoeuvring changes more realistically. The typical turn model is the constant turn (CT) model, which approximates the target movement in a uniform circular motion. ...
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Abstract Deep learning technology provides novel solutions for increasingly complex target tracking requirements. For traditional target tracking models, the movement of the target need to be simulated by a predefined mathematical model. However, it is extremely difficult to obtain sufficient information in advance, which makes it challenging to track changeable and noisy trajectories in a timely and precise manner. A deep learning framework is constructed for automatic trajectory tracking based on learning the dynamic laws of motion, called DeepGTT. Specifically, a trajectory generator and a trajectory mapper were designed to standardise trajectory data and construct trajectory mapping, which enable the long short‐term memory–based tracking network to learn general dynamic laws. Then, to discuss the interpretability of the model, the mechanism of the deep learning framework is considered and a memory factor matrix is defined. Finally, extensive experiments are conducted on various weak manoeuvring and manoeuvring scenarios to evaluate the algorithm. Experimental results demonstrate that the DeepGTT algorithm remarkably improves accuracy and efficiency compared with most conventional algorithms and state‐of‐the‐art methods. In addition, interpretability experiments qualitatively prove that the tracking network can perceive dynamic laws when estimating the target state.
... σ 2 ax,q and σ 2 ay,q are the covari-181 ance of acceleration in x direction and y direction, respectively. 182 q cs is related to the process noise in the CS model [39], and 183 diag(.) returns a block diagonal matrix. ...
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In this paper, an efficient power allocation (PA) strategy is developed for maneuvering target tracking (MTT) in the collocated MIMO radar. The mechanism of our strategy is to implement the optimal PA based on the prior target maneuvering information in the tracking cycle. The predicted conditional Cramer—Rao lower bound (PC-CRLB) is derived, normalized and thus adopted as the optimization criterion, since the PC-CRLB is based on the most recently realized measurement and provides a more accurate lower bound than the standard posterior CRLB (PCRLB). We fully demonstrate that the established optimization model is convex. By exploiting the monotonic decreasing property of the objective function, an efficient sequential relaxation-based solver is proposed for the solution, where the PA for one target is identified that whether should be fixed on the minimum level at each iteration. Simulation results show the better tracking performance compared with the uniform allocation, and improved efficiency, compared with convex optimization tools.
... By adjusting the frequency coefficient of maneuvering to achieve better tracking effect, it has been widely used for nonlinear system [2,3]. The "current" statistical model was proposed as a representative of adaptive tracking algorithm [4]. In this model, the acceleration noise is assumed to In the process of target tracking, if the system model deviates from their actual values by unknown random bias, the virtual noise is usually used to reduce confidence level of the filter to the system model, but it is difficult to determine how much virtual noise to be added. ...
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... In addition, the motion acceleration of limb movement exhibits dynamic characteristics, a kinematical model of which needs to be considered. Markov Model has been proposed to characterize the motion acceleration dynamics using, such as Singer model [28], Jerk model [29], current statistical model [30], and White-noise model with constant acceleration model (CA), constant velocity model (CV) and coordinated turn (CT) [31]. The choice of model is mainly based on algorithm robustness, calculation complexity and accuracy. ...
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... For a normally running vehicle with a smooth steering within a small time interval, three  [22,27,28]. ...
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... In the simulation, we use the CS model [32] for RMTT. Its maximum acceleration is set to 50 m/s 2 , and the manoeuvring frequency constant is set to 1/60. ...
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The different methods of adaptive filtering are divided into four categories: Bayesian, maximum likelihood (ML), correlation, and covariance matching. The relationship between the methods and the difficulties associated with each method are described. New algorithms for the direct estimation of the optimal gain of a Kalman filter are given.
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The majority of tactical weapons systems require that manned maneuverable vehicles, such as aircraft, ships, and submarines, be tracked accurately. An optimal Kalman filter has been derived for this purpose using a target model that is simple to implement and that represents closely the motions of maneuvering targets. Using this filter, parametric tracking accuracy data have been generated as a function of target maneuver characteristics, sensor observation noise, and data rate and that permits rapid a priori estimates of tracking performance to be made when maneuvering targets are to be tracked by sensors providing any combination of range, bearing, and elevation measurements.
Article
Maneuvering target motion is modeled by introducing a binary random variable in the target state equation. The optimal estimate is shown to be a weighted combination of two Kalman filter estimates with weights depending on the likelihood ratio for the detection of a maneuver. A tracking scheme is proposed for maneuvering target tracking and illustrated in an example.
Article
In the design of a tracking filter for air traffic control (ATC) applications, a maneuvering aircraft can be modelled by a linear system with random noise accelerations. A Kalman filter tracker, designed on the basis of a variance chosen according to the distribution of the potential maneuver accelerations, will maintain track during maneuvers and provide some improvement in position accuracy. However, during those portions of the flight path where the aircraft is not maneuvering, the tracking accuracy will not be as good as if no acceleration noise had been allowed in the tracking filter. In this paper, statistical decision theory is used to derive an optimal test for detecting the aircraft maneuver; a more practical suboptimal test is then deduced from the optimal test. As long as no maneuver is declared, a simpler filter, based on a constant-velocity model, is used to track the aircraft. When a maneuver is detected, the tracker is reinitialized using stored data, up-dated to the present time, and then normal tracking is resumed as new data arrives. In essence, the tracker performs on the basis of a piecewise linear model in which the breakpoints are defined on-line using the maneuver detector. Simulation results show that there is a significant improvement in tracking capability using the decision-directed adaptive tracker.
Article
A new approach to estimating motion of a highly maneuverable aircraft target in an air-to-air tracking scenario is presented. An interactive filter system is developed that provides an improved estimate of target motion states by conditioning kinematic filter estimates on target aspect angle data. Pattern recognition techniques used with an electrooptical tracker are presumed to provide this target aspect information. A target orientation filter processes the aspect angle measurements by statistically weighting measured aspect angles with the current best estimate of target kinematics. The aerodynamic lift equation is used to relate approximate angle of attack to target velocity and acceleration. A novel statistical model for aircraft target normal acceleration is also developed to represent better the unknown target accelerations. Simulation results of realistic three-dimensional scenarios are presented to evaluate the performance of the interactive filter system.
Article
A new approach to the three-dimensional airborne maneuvering target tracking problem is presented. The method, which combines the correlated acceleration target model of Singer [3] with the adaptive semi-Markov maneuver model of Gholson and Moose [8], leads to a practical real-time tracking algorithm that can be easily implemented on a modern fire-control computer. Preliminary testing with actual radar measurements indicates both improved tracking accuracy and increased filter stability in response to rapid target accelerations in elevation, bearing, and range.
Article
A general method of continually restructuring an optimum Bayes-Kalman tracking filter is proposed by conceptualizing a growing tree of filters to maintain optimality on a target exhibiting maneuver variables. This tree concept is then constrained from growth by quantizing the continuously sensed maneuver variables and restricting these to a small value from which an average maneuver is calculated. Kalman filters are calculated and carried in parallel for each quantized variable. This constrained tree of several parallel Kalman filters demands only modest om; puter time, yet provides very good performance. This concept is implemented for a Doppler tracking system and the performance is compared to an extended Kalman filter. Simulation results are presented which show dramatic tracking improvement when using the adaptive tracking filter.
Article
Two approaches to a nonlinear state estimation problem are presented. The particular problem addressed is that of tracking a maneuvering target in three-dimensional space using spherical observations (radar data). Both approaches rely on semi-Markov modeling of target maneuvers and result in effective algorithms that prevent the loss of track that often occurs when a target makes a sudden, radical change in its trajectory. Both techniques are compared using real and simulated radar measurements with emphasis on performance and computational burden.