ArticlePDF Available

Animals domestication and Animals domestication and agriculture agriculture as as outcomes of

Authors:

Figures

Content may be subject to copyright.
Animals domestication and
Animals domestication and
agriculture
agriculture as
as outcomes of
outcomes of
collusion
collusion
Pedro
Pedro Cosme
Cosme Costa Vieira
Costa Vieira
Research Work in Progress nº164, January 2005


Faculdade de Economia do Porto - Rua Dr. Roberto Frias - 4200-464 - Porto -
Portugal Tel . (351) 225 571 100 - Fax. (351) 225 505 050 - http://www.fep.up.pt
1
ANIMALS DOMESTICATION AND AGRICULTURE AS OUTCOMES OF COLLUSION
Pedro Cosme Costa Vieira
Faculdade de Economia do Porto, s/n
4200-464 Porto, Portugal
pcosme@fep.up.pt
Abstract. Although it is know that there are circumstances where the competitive situation
does not promote social welfare maximization, collusion is usually associated with firms’
strategies that decrease welfare. In this paper, using the theoretical framework of the industrial
organization, I demonstrate in a model with two sectors that the economic revolution induced
by the animal domestication and the agriculture is an outcome from the strengthen in
collusion between human beings in the course of historical time and not vice-versa.
Keywords: Collusion, welfare progress, domestication and agriculture emergence.
JEL: O13, Q34, Q57
1. INTRODUCTION
In industrial organization, collusion is associated with firms’ strategies that decrease the
social welfare, being indispensable its persecution by public authorities, Posner (1975).
Nonetheless, it is conjectured since Schumpeter (1942) that the static efficiency that perfect
competition promotes decreases the dynamic efficiency because the imitation with no cost of
the new technical discoveries makes unprofitable to set substantial resources to R&D. And
R&D is very important because “80 percent of the change in labour productivity (…) can be
explained by ‘technical change’” by itself, Solow (1957). Being that, in general terms there is
a trade-off between the dynamic social welfare gain from firms’ collusion in R&D activities
(research joint ventures) and the static social welfare loss induced by anti-competitive firms’
behaviour. Sometimes it is acceptable a welfare lose in the short-term to improve the dynamic
efficiency of the society, (Brod & Shivakumar, 1999, Vonortas, 2000).
In historical terms, I conjecture that welfare improvements of high magnitude are associated
with collusion / cooperation (that is a more sympathetic word) increases between human
beings. That is because evolution of society to higher levels of integration and cooperation
2
that permits the decrease in defence expenditures, the labour division, investments in R&D
and the exploration of economies of scale are only possible if there is increases in the
collusion level between people.
My conjecture seems in accordance with data. Being that over time cooperation evolved,
Axelrod (1984), in a non-monotonous path, the existence of ups and downs, peace and war,
integration and disintegration, in the human society seems related to decrease in cooperation
and trust between human beings.
In this paper, using the theoretical framework of the industrial organization, I demonstrate
within a theoretical model with two sectors that the social revolution induced by the animal
domestication and the agriculture emergence only was possible with the deepening of
collusion between human beings. The collusion permits the emergence of private property
that turns possible that each human being captures the benefits of resources devoted to
agriculture and animals domestication.
In evolutionary terms, collusion between human beings deepens by the agglomeration of
more and more individuals in groups, structuring a heterogeneous society cemented with
variable intensity. Starting with the proximal family with strong ties, groups enlarged to clans,
tribes, and so on, less coupled. Groups that by chance (as Darwinism proposes) turn more
cooperative are, on average, more efficient that implies having a faster replicating rate. Being
so, in a limited resources environment, on a long-term trend the less cooperative human
groups becomes less numerous and the society as a whole evolves to a more cooperation
status quo. Being so, the competition decreasing is a dynamic evolution process that occurs
by the reduction in the number of groups.
Without loss, I use simpler algebraic assumptions. First, I assume that the society is
homogeneous and collusion deepens by the decrease in competition between each pair off
human beings. Second, I assume a long-term stable state (whatever that means in evolutionary
terms), building up a comparative static analysis where there is no more dynamic evolution.
Being so, the collusion level is exogenous to the model.
The model I present is more explicative than the Smith’s (1975) model where it is assumed
that agriculture is pre-existent to the decision of applying resources to it (plants have been
selected and domesticated in a previous step). Comparing to TV documentaries, I assume that
agriculture emergence is an evolutionary process that starts when humans destroy a single
plant that wild animals dislike it and endorse its counterpart.
3
2. THE MODEL
There is a market with two sectors interrelated. In the vegetation sector human beings are
producers using land and labour as inputs and animals are consumers. In the meat sector,
animals are producers and human beings are consumers (hunters).
For the sake of simplicity it is not explicitly considered in the model that human beings eat
vegetables. Nonetheless it may be understand each kg of meat as an equivalent weight of
vegetables.
Assumption 1 There is a territory divided in B land parcels of dimension normalised to one.
Assumption 2 The human being j lives on the land parcel j where the vegetation level is Vj
and there are Aj animals.
Assumption 3 There is a parameter ξ [0, 1] that measures the degree of collusion
between human beings. When ξ = 0 there is no collusion and when ξ = 1 there is perfect
collusion. The parameter ξ quantifies the exclusiveness of each land parcel to the human
being that lives there.
Assumption 4 Although ξ is endogenous to the human evolution dynamics, I assume a
static analyses where it is exogenous.
Assumption 5 There is common knowledge (no private knowledge), being the collusion
level ξ perfectly enforced.
A) The vegetation sector
Assumption 6 Human being produces vegetation using land and labour. Being that in each
time instant there is the quantity Vj of vegetation and human being works in developing
agriculture with intensity Laj, then the vegetation production is Gj > 0 that is convex
decreasing with Vj and concave increasing with Laj:
( )
VjjL
jL
kkjLVjGGj a
a
a
+
+
+== 1
1
1
;10 (1)
Assumption 7 Animals eat vegetation. In instant t, each one of the Aj animals eats
vegetation, being ξ the proportion of the effort devoted to eat vegetation in the land parcel j
4
plus the proportion (1 ξ)/B of the effort devoted to eat vegetation in every land parcel. In
probabilistic terms, ξ measures the probability that in instant t the animal j is eating in the
land parcel j. Being so, the total (expected) number of animals feeding in the land parcel j is:
=+=B
iBAiAjjA1/)1(ξξ (2)
Assumption 8 Each animal eating velocity Ej > 0 is concave increasing with the quantity of
existent vegetation (it eats more if there is more to eat) and convex decreasing with the
number of animals that feed in that land parcel (there is competition between animals for
vegetation):
( )
VjjA
Vj
kjAVjEEj +
== 2
; (3)
The vegetation net growth velocity in the land parcel j is the difference between the
production Gj and the consumption Ej:
(
)
(
)
jAjAVjEjLVjGjVa= ;;
& (4)
Understood 1/Vj as a “shadow price”, expression (1) represents the supply function that is
increasing with price and expression (3) represents the demand function that is decreasing
with price. Expression (4) models the market surplus and encompasses a dynamic adjustment
“price” process.
When human being increases the agriculture intensity, there is a positive shift in the
vegetation supply function that will imply a positive effect in the meat sector. It is comparable
to a technological improvement in one sector that spreads out to all the economy.
B) The meat sector
Assumption 9 The total vegetation an animal eats is the sum for all land parcels where it
may feed:
=+=B
iBiAViEjAVjEjE1/)1();();(ξξ (5)
Assumption 10 - Each animal reproduces at the velocity Nj that is concave increasing with
the vegetation that it eats. When an animal eats too little, it dyes of starvation, N(0) < 0:
( )
1
1
3+
== jE
jE
kjENNj (6)
5
Assumption 11 Human being j hunts animals in the land parcel j at velocity Hj > 0 that is
convex increasing with the quantity of animals there is, Aj, linear increasing with the time
devoted to hunt, Lh, and convex decreasing with the animals’ ferocity, Fj:
( )
FjAj
Aj
LkFjAjLHHj hh
+
+
== 1
1
1
;; 4 (7)
Assumption 12 Human being j devotes Lhj work effort to hunting. He utilizes the
percentage ξ of the total hunting effort in the land parcel j and the unspent percentage (1ξ) of
the total hunting effort in all land parcels (remember that ξ may well be interpreted as a
probability):
(
)
(
)
=+=B
i
hh FiAiBjLHFjAjjLHjH1;;/)1(;; ξξ (8)
The total number of animals from land parcel j that are hunted is:
(
)
(
)
=+=B
i
hh FjAjBiLHFjAjjLHHj 1;;/)1(;; ξξ (9)
As the hunting technology is linear in the effort devoted to hunting, assumption 10, being
jLh the total effort devoted to hunting in land parcel j by all human beings, it becomes:
(
)
(
)
=+=B
i
hh BFiAijLHFjAjjLHjH1/)1(;;;; ξξ (10)
(
)
FjAjjLHHj h;;= (11)
The net animals’ growth velocity in the land parcel j is the difference between the production
Nj Aj and the consumption Hj:
(
)
(
)
FjAjjLHAjjENjAh;;ξ=
& (12)
Assumption 13 Human beings may decrease the animals’ ferocity by using domesticating
with intensity Ldj, being this technology convex decreasing:
( )
jL
kjLFFj d
d
+
== 1
1
5 (13)
This assumption results from accepting that domestication results from an ecological
evolution: some animals have a slightly higher ferocity level than others; when a high ferocity
level animal is hunted, on average the animal population evolves to a less ferocity level and
vice-versa. The extra effort used in hunting an animal that is fiercer than the average is the
6
domestication intensity. In evolutionary terms, this permits humans to set the animals level of
ferocity.
Understood 1/Aj as a “shadow price”, expression (6) represents a supply function that is
increasing with price and expression (7) represents a demand function that is decreasing with
price. Expression (12) models the market surplus and encompasses a dynamic adjustment
“price” process.
When human being increases the domestication intensity, there is a positive shift in the meat
demand function. It is equivalent to an increase in income.
Resuming, the model condenses that in each time instant human being j sets Lhj effort devoted
to hunting, Laj effort devoted to agriculture and Ldj effort devoted to animals’ domestication.
From this decision, it results a certain level of consumption jH that is dependent of the other
human beings decisions and the collusion level ξ between human beings:
),,(jLjLjLHjHdah
= (14)
C) Human utility function
Assumption 14 The utility function is increasing with consumption jH. Although taking
into account consumption in all periods, in a stead state, the utility function is assumes to be:
(
)
jHkLLLUdah =6
,, (15)
Assumption 15 The human beings maximize the utility subjected to the “technology” jH
and the total working effort Y:
( )
{ }
++=
=
=dah
dah
dah
LLL LLLY
LLLHjH
asLLLUMaxYvdah
),,(
..,),,(
,, (16)
Assumption 16 The decision of human beings is assumed in a condition of Cournot-Nash
equilibrium: each human being sets the strategy that maximizes his utility assuming that all
other human beings do not respond to changes in his strategy.
Assumptions 2, 5, 8 and 9 formalise that the competition decreases when ξ increases, being
this perfectly enforced.
7
3. MAIN PROPERTY OF THE THEORY
As the emergence and development of agriculture and domestication is a long-term process, I
assume a long-term stable state (whatever that means in evolutionary terms), building up a
comparative static analysis where there is no more dynamic evolution. Being so, the collusion
level is exogenous to the model. In a steady state, the velocity of variation of the quantities of
vegetables and animals formalised in expressions 4 and 12 is zero.
Proposition When collusion between human beings increases, there is an increase in the
effort devoted to agriculture and to the domestication of animals. This increase induces a
raise in the quantity of vegetation, in the number of animals, a welfare improvement and a
decrease in the animals’ ferocity.
Proof. First, I will compare the situation were human beings are perfectly colluded with the
situation where human beings are in perfect competition. Second I simulate the in between
evolution of the endogenous variables.
Perfect collusion (ξ = 1): Each human is monopolist in his land parcel.
Expressions (4) and (12) are a non-linear system with two variables, Vj and Aj that may be
simplified:
( )
( )
=
=
FALHAEN
AAVELVG
h;;
);(),( (17)
[
]
[ ]
++=
++=
VkkCCCA
kCkACkACkV
)1()1(45.0
4)/()/(5.0
221
2
22
202
2
0202 (18)
With 1)1(;
1
1
;
1212
53
4
1100 +=
++
+
=
+
+= VkCC
Lk
L
L
k
k
C
L
L
kkCd
d
h
a
a (19)
Calibrated the constants, this non-linear equations system is easily computed by relaxation in
a datasheet. Computed Aj, one obtain easily jH by expression (10).
Perfect competition: Each human being is a tiny part of the total.
The action of a single human being does not improve the production of vegetation nor
decreases the ferocity of animals. Being so, it is obvious that human being will employ all his
effort hunting (Lh = Y, Ld = 0 and La = 0).
8
Calibration and simulation: I assume that k0 = 1, k1 = 9 (the agriculture improves the
production of vegetables at most 10 times), k2 = 2 (it scales the animals’ technology of eating
vegetable), k3 = 2 (it scales the technology of producing meat), k4 = 1 (it scales the technology
of hunting animals), k5 = 10 (it scales the ferocity of the animals), k6 = 332.8 (normalised
maximum utility to 100) and Y = 5 (it is the average number of hours per day that OCDE’s
workers devote to work).
Using a Microsoft-Excel 2002™ datasheet, in the situation of perfect competition where Lh =
5, Ld = 0 and La = 0, it results from expression (17) that the vegetation production level is G =
0.532, the meat production level is N = 0.126, the ferocity level is F = 10 and the welfare
level is v(5) = 41.82. Using the Solver tools, it results from the maximization of expression
(17) that in perfect collusion Lh = 2.930, Ld = 1.369 and La = 0.701 that implies a vegetation
production level G = 1.499, a meat production level N = 0.301, a ferocity level F = 4.221 and
a welfare level v(5) = 100.00.
This two extreme situations show the appearance of domestications and agriculture when
human beings pass from a situation of perfect competition to a situation of perfect collusion.
In the next figures I show that there is an monotonous increase in the working effort spent in
agriculture, La and domestication, Ld with the increase level of collusion (fig.1) and that it is
accompanied with an improvement in the welfare (fig.2). The model was implemented in
Microsoft - Visual Basic 6.0 .
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
5,0
00,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1
Collusion level
L
a
L
d
L
h
Fig. 1 Working effort employed in agriculture, domestication and hunting
9
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
00,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1
Collusion level
Welfare level
Fig. 2 Welfare evolution with the increase in collusion level
Both comparing the two extreme situations and observing the simulation represented in
figures 1 and 2, the increase in collusion between human beings promotes the appearance of
the agriculture and domestication of animals and is associated with an improvement in the
social welfare. QED
4. CONCLUSION
Collusion is normally associated with strategies that decrease the social welfare, being
indispensable its persecution by public authorities. Nonetheless, it is conjectured at least since
Schumpeter (1942) that the static efficiency that perfect competition promotes may decrease
the dynamic efficiency because the imitation with no cost of the new discoveries makes
unprofitable to affect substantial resources to R&D.
In this paper I demonstrate within a theoretical model that the animal domestication and the
agriculture may be the outcome of increases in collusion level between human beings. The
collusion permits the emergence of private property that turns possible that each human being
captures the benefits of resources that he devotes to the development of agriculture and
animals’ domestication. Being so, it is not the economic development that promotes the
evolution of the society to new levels of cooperation and pacification (increases in collusion)
but the contrary: the cooperation and pacification of the society permits the economic
development.
10
REFERENCES
Axelrod, Robert (1984), The Evolution of Cooperation. New York: Basic Books.
Brod, A., Shivakumar, R., 1999. Advantageous semi-collusion. Journal of Industrial
Economics, 47: 221-230.
Posner, Richard A. (1975), "The Social Costs of Monopoly and Regulation," Journal of
Political Economy 83 (Aug. 1975), pp. 807-827
Schumpeter, Joseph (1942), Socialism, Capitalism and Democracy, Harper & Brothers: New
York.
Smith, Vernon L. (1975), “The Primitive Hunter Culture, Pleistocene Extinction, and the Rise
of Agriculture”, Journal of Political Economy, 83, pp. 727-55.
Solow, Robert (1957), "Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function", Review of
Economics and Statistics. 39, pp. 312-330.
Vonortas, Nicholas S. (2000), “Multimarket contact and inter-firm cooperation in R&D”,
Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 10, pp. 243 271.
APPENDIX
From equation system of expression (17) to expressions (18) and (19):
First equation
(
)
(
)
2
02
2
0202
002
2
2
002
2
2
2
2200
20
210
2
4)/()/(
0)/(
0)(
)1()(
1
1
1
;;
k
CkACkACk
V
CVACkVk
ACVCAkVAk
VAkVAkVCAC
VVAkVAC
A
VA
V
k
VL
L
kk
AAVELVG
a
a
a
++
=
=+
=+
+=+
+=+
+
=
+
+
+
=
11
Second equation
(
)
(
)
[ ] [ ]
[ ] [ ]
[ ] [ ]
2
)1()1(41)1(1)1(
0)1()1(1)1(
0)1()1()1(
)1()1()1(
1
1
)1(
)1(
1
1
1
1
)1(
)1(
1
1
11
1
;;
221
2
2121
22121
2
121
2
22
212
1
2
2
5
4
2
2
3
43
VkkCVkCVkC
A
VkkCAVkCA
ACVkCAAAVkVk
AVkCAAVk
A
C
AVk
AVk
Lk
L
A
Lk
AVk
AVk
k
FA
A
LkA
E
E
k
FALHAEN
d
d
h
h
h
++++
=
=++++
=+++++
++=+
+
=
++
++
+
+
=
++
+
+
=
+
=
Recent FEP Working Papers
163 Filipe J. Sousa and Luís M. de Castro, The strategic relevance of
business relationships: a preliminary assessment, December 2004
162 Carlos Alves and Victor Mendes, Self-Interest on Mutual Fund
Management: Evidence from the Portuguese Market, November
2004
161 Paulo Guimarães, Octávio Figueiredo and Douglas Woodward,
Measuring the Localization of Economic Activity: A Random Utility
Approach, October 2004
160 Ana Teresa Tavares and Stephen Young, Sourcing Patterns of
Foreign-owned Multinational Subsidiaries in Europe, October 2004
Nº 159 Cristina Barbot, Low cost carriers, secondary airports and State aid:
an economic assessment of the Charleroi affair, October 2004
158 Sandra Tavares Silva, Aurora A. C. Teixeira and Mário Rui Silva,
Economics of the Firm and Economic Growth. An hybrid theoretical
framework of analysis, September 2004
157 Pedro Rui Mazeda Gil, Expected Profitability of Capital under
Uncertainty – a Microeconomic Perspective, September 2004
156 Jorge M. S. Valente, Local and global dominance conditions for the
weighted earliness scheduling problem with no idle time, September
2004
155 João Correia-da-Silva and Carlos Hervés-Beloso, Private
Information:Similarity as Compatibility, September 2004
154 Rui Henrique Alves, Europe: Looking for a New Model, September
2004
Nº 153 Aurora A. C. Teixeira, How has the Portuguese Innovation Capability
Evolved? Estimating a time series of the stock of technological
knowledge, 1960-2001, September 2004
152 Aurora A. C. Teixeira, Measuring aggregate human capital in
Portugal. An update up to 2001, August 2004
151 Ana Paula Delgado and Isabel Maria Godinho, The evolution of city
size distribution in Portugal: 1864-2001, July 2004
150 Patrícia Teixeira Lopes and Lúcia Lima Rodrigues, Accounting
practices for financial instruments. How far are the Portuguese
companies from IAS?, July 2004
149 Pedro Cosme Costa Vieira, Top ranking economics journals impact
variability and a ranking update to the year 2002, June 2004
148 Maria do Rosário Correia, Scott C. Linn and Andrew Marshall, An
Empirical Investigation of Debt Contract Design: The Determinants
of the Choice of Debt Terms in Eurobond Issues, June 2004
Nº 147 Francisco Castro, Foreign Direct Investment in a Late Industrialising
Country: The Portuguese IDP Revisited, May 2004
Nº 146 Óscar Afonso and Álvaro Aguiar, Comércio Externo e Crescimento da
Economia Portuguesa no Século XX, May 2004
145 Álvaro Aguiar and Manuel M. F. Martins, O Crescimento da
Produtividade da Indústria Portuguesa no Século XX, May 2004
144 Álvaro Aguiar and Manuel M. F. Martins, Growth Cycles in XXth
Century European Industrial Productivity: Unbiased Variance
Estimation in a Time-varying Parameter Model, May 2004
Nº 143 Jorge M. S. Valente and Rui A. F. S. Alves, Beam search algorithms
for the early/tardy scheduling problem with release dates, April
2004
142 Jorge M. S. Valente and Rui A. F. S. Alves, Filtered and Recovering
beam search algorithms for the early/tardy scheduling problem with
no idle time, April 2004
141 João A. Ribeiro and Robert W. Scapens, Power, ERP systems and
resistance to management accounting: a case study, April 2004
Nº 140 Rosa Forte, The relationship between foreign direct investment and
international trade. Substitution or complementarity? A survey,
March 2004
Nº 139 Sandra Silva, On evolutionary technological change and economic
growth: Lakatos as a starting point for appraisal, March 2004
Nº 138 Maria Manuel Pinho, Political models of budget deficits: a literature
review, March 2004
Nº 137 Natércia Fortuna, Local rank tests in a multivariate nonparametric
relationship, February 2004
Nº 136 Argentino Pessoa, Ideas driven growth: the OECD evidence,
December 2003
Nº 135 Pedro Lains, Portugal's Growth Paradox, 1870-1950, December 2003
Nº 134 Pedro Mazeda Gil, A Model of Firm Behaviour with Equity Constraints
and Bankruptcy Costs, November 2003
Nº 133 Douglas Woodward, Octávio Figueiredo and Paulo Guimarães,
Beyond the Silicon Valley: University R&D and High-Technology
Location, November 2003.
Nº 132 Pedro Cosme da Costa Vieira, The Impact of Monetary Shocks on
Product and Wages: A neoclassical aggregated dynamic model, July
2003.
Nº 131 Aurora Teixeira and Natércia Fortuna, Human Capital, Innovation
Capability and Economic Growth, July 2003.
Nº 130 Jorge M. S. Valente and Rui A. F. S. Alves, Heuristics for the
Early/Tardy Scheduling Problem with Release Dates, May 2003.
Nº 129 Jorge M. S. Valente and Rui A. F. S. Alves, An Exact Approach to
Early/Tardy Scheduling with Release Dates, May 2003.
Nº 128 Álvaro Almeida, 40 Years of Monetary Targets and Financial Crises in
20 OECD Countries, April 2003.
Nº 127 Jorge M. S. Valente, Using Instance Statistics to Determine the
Lookahead Parameter Value in the ATC Dispatch Rule: Making a
good heuristic better, April 2003.
Nº 126 Jorge M. S. Valente and Rui A. F. S. Alves, Improved Heuristics for
the Early/Tardy Scheduling Problem with No Idle Time, April 2003.
Nº 125 Jorge M. S. Valente and Rui A. F. S. Alves, Improved Lower Bounds
for the Early/Tardy Scheduling Problem with No Idle Time, April
2003.
Nº 124 Aurora Teixeira, Does Inertia Pay Off? Empirical assessment of an
evolutionary-ecological model of human capital decisions at firm
level, March 2003.
Nº 123 Alvaro Aguiar and Manuel M. F. Martins, Macroeconomic Volatility
Trade-off and Monetary Policy Regime in the Euro Area, March 2003.
Nº 122 Alvaro Aguiar and Manuel M. F. Martins, Trend, cycle, and non-linear
trade-off in the Euro Area 1970-2001, March 2003.
Nº 121 Aurora Teixeira, On the Link between Human Capital and Firm
Performance. A Theoretical and Empirical Survey, November 2002.
Nº 120 Ana Paula Serra, The Cross-Sectional Determinants of Returns:
Evidence from Emerging Markets' Stocks, October 2002.
Editor: Prof. Aurora Teixeira (ateixeira@fep.up.pt)
Download available at:
http://www.fep.up.pt/investigacao/workingpapers/workingpapers.htm
also in http://ideas.repec.org/PaperSeries.html
FEP 2005
ResearchGate has not been able to resolve any citations for this publication.
Article
Full-text available
In this paper, we study human capital effects on economic growth of Portugal from 1960 to 2001. By using VAR and cointegration analyses, we obtain 0.42 long-run estimate for human capital elasticity, 0.30 long-run estimate for internal knowledge elasticity, and 0.40 long-run estimate for the elasticity related with the composite variable that measures the interaction between human capital and innovation capability. These estimates seem to confirm that human capital and indigenous innovation efforts are enormously important to the process of Portuguese economic growth during the period 1960-2001, though the relevance of the former overpasses that involving the creation of an internal basis of R&D. In addition, the indirect effect of human capital, through innovation, emerges here as critical, showing that a reasonably higher stock of human capital is important to enable a country to reap the benefits of its innovation indigenous efforts.
Article
Full-text available
This paper examines differences in the stability of the foreign exchange, money, and stock markets, associated with the use of alternative monetary policy targets, based on data from a panel of 20 OECD countries, for the period 1961-2000. The main conclusion of the paper is that the choice of monetary policy target will significantly affect stability in financial markets. The use of inflation targets reduces the likelihood of crises in the foreign exchange and money markets (relative to any other monetary policy framework), suggesting that a central bank concerned with financial stability should adopt this framework. Results also suggest that exchange rate targeting frameworks tend to have higher likelihood of foreign exchange and money market crises, but multilateral exchange rate arrangements have lower likelihood of crises than unilateral pegs. The paper also includes a complete description of the monetary policy targets used in the countries analysed.
Article
В статье производится анализ агрегированной производственной функции, вводится аппарат, позволяющий различать движение вдоль такой функции от ее сдвигов. На основании сделанных в статье предположений делаются выводы о характере технического прогресса и технологических изменений. Существенное внимание уделяется вариантам применения концепции агрегированной производственной функции.
Article
A dispatch rule and a greedy procedure are presented for the single machine earliness/tardiness scheduling problem with no idle time and compared with the best of the existing dispatch rules. Both dispatch rules use a lookahead parameter that had previously been set at a fixed value. We develop functions that map some instance statistics into appropriate values for that parameter. We also consider the use of dominance rules to improve the solutions obtained by the heuristics. The computational results show that the function-based versions of the heuristics outperform their fixed value counterparts and that the use of the dominance rules can indeed improve solution quality with little additional computational effort.
Chapter
Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy remains one of the greatest works of social theory written in the twentieth Century. Schumpeter's contention that the seeds of capitalism's decline were internal, and his equal and opposite hostility to centralist socialism have perplexed, engaged and infuriated readers since the book's first publication in 1943. By refusing to become an advocate for either position, Schumpeter was able both to make his own great and original contribution and to clear the way for a more balanced consideration of the most important social movements of his and our time.
Article
Sumario: The Marxian doctrina -- Can capitalism survive? -- Can socialism work? -- Socialism and democracy -- A historical sketch of socialist parties -- Prefaces and comments on later developments
Article
In this paper we consider the single machine earliness/tardiness scheduling problem with di?erent release dates and no unforced idle time. The problem is decomposed into a weighted earliness subproblem and a weighted tardiness subproblem. Lower bounding procedures are proposed for each of these subproblems, and the lower bound for the original problem is then simply the sum of the lower bounds for the two subproblems. The lower bounds and several versions of a branch-and-bound algorithm are then tested on a set of randomly generated problems, and instances with up to 30 jobs are solved to optimality. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first exact approach for the early/tardy scheduling problem with release dates and no unforced idle time.
Article
Gravity type models are widely used in international economics. In these models the inclusion of time-fi0xed regressors like geographical or cultural distance, language and institutional (dummy) variables is often of vital importance e.g. to analyse the impact of trade costs on internationalization activity. This paper assesses the problem of parameter inconsistency due to a correlation of the time-fixed regressors with the combined error term in panel data settings. A common solution is to use Instrumental-Variable (IV) estimation in the spirit of Hausman-Taylor (1981) since a standard Fixed Effect Model (FEM) estimation is not applicable. However, some potential shortcomings of the latter approach recently gave rise to the use of non-IV two-step estimators. Given their growing number of empirical applications, we aim to compare the performance of IV and non-IV approaches in the presence of time-fixed variables and right hand side endogeneity using Monte Carlo simulations, where we explicitly control for the problem of IV selection in the Hausman-Taylor case. The simulation results show that the Hausman-Taylor model with perfect-knowledge about the underlying data structure (instrument orthogonality) has on average the smallest bias. However, compared to the empirically relevant specification with imperfect-knowledge and instruments chosen by statistical criteria, simple non-IV rival estimators performs equally well or even better. We illustrate these findings by estimating gravity type models for German regional export activity within the EU. The results show that the HT specification is likely to overestimate the role of trade costs proxied by geographical distance.
Article
Gravity type models are widely used in international economics. In these models the inclusion of time-fi0xed regressors like geographical or cultural distance, language and institutional (dummy) variables is often of vital importance e.g. to analyse the impact of trade costs on internationalization activity. This paper assesses the problem of parameter inconsistency due to a correlation of the time-fixed regressors with the combined error term in panel data settings. A common solution is to use Instrumental-Variable (IV) estimation in the spirit of Hausman-Taylor (1981) since a standard Fixed Effect Model (FEM) estimation is not applicable. However, some potential shortcomings of the latter approach recently gave rise to the use of non-IV two-step estimators. Given their growing number of empirical applications, we aim to compare the performance of IV and non-IV approaches in the presence of time-fixed variables and right hand side endogeneity using Monte Carlo simulations, where we explicitly control for the problem of IV selection in the Hausman-Taylor case. The simulation results show that the Hausman-Taylor model with perfect-knowledge about the underlying data structure (instrument orthogonality) has on average the smallest bias. However, compared to the empirically relevant specification with imperfect-knowledge and instruments chosen by statistical criteria, simple non-IV rival estimators performs equally well or even better. We illustrate these findings by estimating gravity type models for German regional export activity within the EU. The results show that the HT specification is likely to overestimate the role of trade costs proxied by geographical distance.