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Document heading doi:10.1016/S2221-1691(11)60194-9 襃 2012 by the Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Biomedicine. All rights reserved.
Infectious diseases in the aftermath of monsoon flooding in Pakistan
Maryam Baqir1, Zain A Sobani1, Amyn Bhamani2, Nida Shahab Bham1, Sidra Abid3, Javeria Farook3, M Asim Beg4*
1Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
2Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, London, England
3Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan
4Department of Pathology and Microbiology, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
Asian Pac J Trop Biomed 2012; 2(1): 76-79
Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Biomedicine
journal homepage:www.elsevier.com/locate/apjtb
*Corresponding author: M Asim Beg, Associate Professor, Department of Pathology
and Microbiology, Aga Khan University, Karachi 74800, Pakistan.
Fax: # (92 21) 34934294
E-mail: masim.beg@aku.edu
1. Introduction
Rainfall in Pakistan varies radically from year to year.
The 3-month period from July to September is usually
marked by heavy rainfall across the country. Along with
depressions arising from the Bay of Bengal, this affects the
upper catchments of the major rivers, leading to extremely
high flood peaks and generalized flooding. An average of
579 732 people are adversely affected by this phenomenon
each year, putting Pakistan 9th in terms of flood-affected
countries worldwide[1].
This year, the northern province of Khyber Pakhtunkwa
received the highest recorded rainfall in the last 80 years.
According to estimates, over 1 600 people lost their lives in
the resulting floods, with 14 million people across the region
adversely affected[2,3]. Despite extensive relief and rescue
operations, the death toll is expected to rise as thousands
of people are still cut off from the rest of the country. The
army has predicted that rebuilding the infrastructure and
providing the people with basic necessities will take up
to 6 months[4]. During this time, it is anticipated that a
significant percentage of those affected will remain in relief
camps across the country.
Stagnant pools of flood water serve as ideal breeding
grounds for pathogens that result in diarrhea and other
waterborne infections. Cases of diarrhea, cholera and
scabies have already been reported and an outbreak of
cholera has been confirmed in Swat[2].
In this paper, we would like to review major infectious
diseases that see an upsurge in the weeks and months after
natural disasters, especially floods. For the convenience
of the reader, these have been divided into two categories:
acute and sub-acute phases. It must be emphasized,
however, that these time lines are not absolute and some
overlap exists among the phases.
2. Acute phase
2.1. Diarrhea
Flooding has been shown to cause epidemics of water and
ART ICLE INFO ABS TRACT
Article history:
Received 18 May 2011
Received in revised form 7 June 2011
Accepted 28 June 2011
Available online 28 January 2012
Keywords:
Infectious diseases
Moosoon flooding
Pakistan
Epidemiology
Natural disaster
Acute setting
Sub-acute setting
Malaria
Pakistan is ranked 9th in terms of flood-affected countries worldwide. In the summer of 2010,
the northern province of Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa received more than 312 mm of rain in a 56 hour
period. This resulted in over 1 600 deaths across the region. In addition, over 14 million people
were directly affected by this record-breaking deluge. Flood affected regions serve as ideal
breeding grounds for pathogens, leading to the spread of diseases. The poor standards of hygiene
in camps set up for individuals displaced by the floods also contribute to this. It is essential that
those involved in relief efforts are aware of the epidemiology of diseases that have historically
seen a sudden upsurge after natural disasters. Keeping this in mind, we conducted a simple
review of literature. An extensive literature search was conducted using the PubMed data base
and online search engines. Articles published in the last 20 years were considered along with
some historical articles where a background was required. Seven major diseases were identified
to increase substantially in the aftermath of natural disasters. They were then classified into acute
and sub-acute settings. Diarrhea, skin & eye infections and leptospirosis were identified in the
acute setting while malaria, leishmaniasis, respiratory infections and hepatitis were identified in
the sub-acute setting.
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Maryam Baqir et al./Asian Pac J Trop Biomed 2012; 2(1): 76-79 77
vector borne diseases[5]. Water-borne outbreaks of diarrheal
illness after floods are thought to result primarily from the
contamination of water. This occurs due to the disruption
of purification and sewage disposal systems. However,
secondary effects of flooding, including crowding and
subsequent fecal-oral spread of gastrointestinal pathogens,
may also contribute to the spread of diarrheal diseases[6,7].
During the July, 2004 floods in Bangladesh, outbreaks of
diarrheal diseases occurred throughout Dhaka, with more
than 17 000 patients seen at a single centre[8]. Additionally,
compared with non-flood periods, patients who presented
during the 1988, 1998 and 2004 floods due to diarrhoea
were found to be more severely dehydrated and of lower
socioeconomic status[9]. When considering embankment
structures, it was found that the crude child mortality
was significantly decreased and death rates outside the
embankment were higher[10]. However, another study showed
that the construction of flood control structures such as dams
was associated with an increase in cholera cases among
the residents protected in the long run[11]. Such a finding
requires attention from the health community, governments
and non-governmental organizations involved in ongoing
water management schemes.
The floods in Pakistan have resulted in a similar situation.
115 922 cases of acute diarrhoea had been reported in fixed
and outreach medical centres before the 12th of August.
In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, the province worst affected,
acute diarrhoea was reported as a leading cause of illness,
accounting for 17% of medical consultations[12].
Medical teams in the region fear that cholera could spread
rapidly in the aftermath of these floods. It is thought that
the full picture will only be revealed once access to affected
areas is improved.
2.2. Skin and eye infections
Skin and eye infections often occur as a result of direct
contact with polluted water. These include wound infections,
dermatitis and conjunctivitis. However, in general, these
diseases are not known to be major causes of epidemics[13].
Extensive water damage after major hurricanes and
floods increases the likelihood of mould contamination
in buildings, exposure to which can cause adverse health
effects. Skin conditions related to this are particularly
common, regardless of the type of mould or the extent of
contamination[14]. In one study conducted in Thailand, it
was found that eczema is the most common dermatosis
during floods[15]. Topical medications that combine
antiinflammatory, antibacterial and antifungal properties are
the most suitable medications to combat this.
During the current floods, approximately 143 870 skin
infections have been reported in fixed and outreach medical
centres across the southern province of Sindh. As a group,
these are the third most common cause of illness, after
respiratory infections and acute diarrhea[12].
The risk of eye infections also mounts as torrential rains
occur. In the aftermath of floods in 1993, the University of
Iowa saw a record number of eye infections related to water-
borne pathogens[16]. The contamination of the water supply
by sewage and the prevailing high temperatures were cited
as potential reasons for this.
2.3. Leptospirosis
Leptospirosis is a common zoonotic infection in the
world[17]. Primary sources of this condition are infected
rodents and other wild animals who excrete leptospires in
their urine[18]. Once excreted, bacteria can live for a long
time in fresh water, damp soil, vegetation, and mud.
Environmental changes, including increased vector
population, facilitate the transmission during floods[13].
Human infection results from contact with carrier animals or
their environment. Additionally, contact with contaminated
water bodies is a potential cause of acquiring this
condition[19]. Drainage material contaminated with rodent
urine may also collect on roads after floods. This creates
a potential source of infection for those walking bare foot.
Children, who are attracted by puddles of rain water, are
therefore at risk.
The majority of leptospiral infections are either sub
clinical or result in very mild illness. Most patients recover
without any complications. However, a small proportion
develop complications due to the involvement of multiple
organ systems. In this case, the clinical presentation
depends upon the organs involved and the case fatality ratio
could be as high as 40%[18].
3. Sub-acute phase
3.1. Malaria
Both Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax
are widely distributed across Pakistan due to extensive
agricultural practices, vast irrigation networks and monsoon
rains. In most parts of the country, the transmission season
is post-monsoon, occurring from July to November, with an
estimated 1.5 million cases of malaria infection occuring
annually[20].
Malaria epidemics in the wake of flooding are a well-
known phenomenon in endemic areas worldwide. These
have been seen after flooding in Costa Rica (1991), The
Dominican Republic (2004), Mandla, Benin (Annual) and
northern Peru (periodic)[13,21,22]. There is also substantial
evidence of increased malaria transmission in urban areas
of Asia as a consequence of the clogging of storm water
drains[23,24].
Locally, when torrential rain and floodwater inundated
large swathes of land in Karachi in 2006, the incidence of
malaria saw a sharp spike. It was also reported that the
prevalence of cerebral malaria had increased. Particularly
worrying was the fact that it subsequently began appearing
in resistant forms that did not respond to the conventional
therapy, enabling it to pose an even geater threat[25].
Similarly, in January, 2009, suspected malaria was
reported as the primary diagnosis in 18% of total medical
consultations in flood affected districts of Balochistan. This
made it the second leading cause of consultations[26].
Maryam Baqir et al./Asian Pac J Trop Biomed 2012; 2(1): 76-79
78
Interestingly, the onset of floods initially reduces mosquito
breeding. However, as the floods recede, stagnant pools
of water left behind serve as a perfect breeding ground for
malaria-causing mosquitoes. In most cases, the lag time
is usually around 6-8 weeks before the onset of a malaria
epidemic[7].
3.2. Leishmaniasis
Leishmaniasis is caused by Leishmania spp transmitted by
the sand fly. It can lead to deep, disfiguring sores at the site
of the bite, which are more likely on the exposed parts of
the body. Systemic or visceral leishmaniasis which is rarer
in Pakistan affects the internal body organs, particularly the
spleen and liver. The situation is further complicated by the
fact that very few local physicians can differentiate between
leishmaniasis and other skin diseases.
The disease is endemic in Pakistan and Afghanistan, and
its incidence has been rising[27-30]. Outbreaks have been
seen in refugee settlements along the north-western border
of Pakistan during the Afghani crisis[31]. Poor sanitation and
malnutrition also help spread the disease by providing a
habitat for the sand fly and lowering the general health of the
population, making them more susceptible. Leishmaniasis
is hence common in overcrowded, poverty stricken and
underprivileged areas with restricted access to healthcare.
Floods can potentially increase the transmission of
leishmaniasis. Bihar, a region in India endemic to floods,
has seen a surge in the disease since 1977[32]. As the relief
efforts in flood-hit Pakistan intensify, officials should brace
themselves for an outbreak of leishmaniasis among the
millions affected by the country’s worst deluge in 80 years.
To control the spread of leishmaniasis, preventive
measures similar to those used against malaria should be
implemented. Residual insecticide spray and impregnated
bed nets are effective. Even more important, however, is
improving environmental and sanitation living conditions.
3.3. Respiratory infections
In the aftermath of floods, infections of the respiratory tract
are usually amongst the most common causes of morbidity
and mortality in survivors. When devastating floods affected
millions of people in Bangladesh in 1988, it was found that
respiratory tract infections accounted for about 17.4% of all
illnesses and 13% of all reported deaths[33]. Similarly, it has
been reported that 30 new cases of tuberculosis developed
amongst 30 000 survivors of floods caused by the overflowing
Kosi River in Bihar, India in 2008. Moreover, since symptoms
of this condition may take several weeks to develop, it is
possible that these cases were just the tip of the iceberg[34].
The increased risk of respiratory tract infections is due to
the loss of shelter and exposure to flood waters and rain. In
the flood-affected communities of Pakistan, 113 981 cases of
respiratory tract infections have been reported[12]. Patients
are suffering from allergic bronchitis, asthma, chronic
obstructive pulmonary airway disease (COPD), pneumonia
and viral flu. Additionally, without proper precautions, most
of them are at risk of catching secondary infections.
Furthermore, even though there is no evidence to suggest
that corpses play a role in the development of disease
epidemics after natural disasters, workers who routinely
handle corpses may be at risk of contracting tuberculosis.
Studies suggest mycobacteria can be aerosolized when the
residual air in the lungs is exhaled during handling of the
corpse[13]. This indicates that relief workers handling corpses
may require prophylaxis.
3.4. Hepatitis
Pakistan’s already failing water and sanitation supply is
further taxed in times of natural disaster. In such situations,
water often gets contaminated by human and animal waste
carrying microorganisms with feco-oral transmission cycles.
These are capable of producing diarrhea, dysentery, and
viral hepatitis. Previous experience has shown how badly
affected the water supply in the country can be at such
times. The outbreak of acute watery diarrhea involving more
than 750 cases in the aftermath of the devastating earthquake
of 2005 is particularly relevant in this regard[35].
The potential for hepatitis A outbreaks after flood-
related sewage contamination of potable water sources has
been recognized. Increases in the incidence of hepatitis A
have been noted in association with natural disasters and
attributed to disruptions in water and sanitation facilities.
Overcrowding may also contribute[6]. Shears et al noted a
marked increase in the number of hepatitis A cases after
the Khartoum floods in 1988[36]. Similarly, after the 2005
earthquake in Pakistan, clusters of hepatitis E were common
in areas with poor access to safe water. In all, over 1 200
cases of acute jaundice, many confirmed as hepatitis E,
occurred among the displaced.
It is essential that adequate sanitary and hygienic
provisions are made in flood affected regions. This would
significantly reduce the morbidity and mortality associated
with viral hepatitis. It is also worth mentioning that Watson,
in his review, states that although hepatitis A may be
an issue during floods, most of the adult population in
developing countries will possess a degree of immunity to it.
This is due to the endemic nature of the disease[40].
4. Conclusion
Despite great advances in medicine over the past few
decades, medical complications arising from natural
disasters are still extremely common. These are particularly
problematic for developing countries like Pakistan where
resources are limited and the infrastructure weak. The recent
floods that have inundated vast portions of the country have
only served to highlight the inadequacies within the health
system. With public health spending currently standing
at 2% of the country’s GDP, it is obvious that more can be
done in order to protect those affected by these disasters
from the adverse effects of the conditions described above.
Unfortunately, awareness of these conditions is something
that is lacking in the general population. It is, therefore,
imperative that this is promptly addressed in order to
Maryam Baqir et al./Asian Pac J Trop Biomed 2012; 2(1): 76-79 79
prevent a repeat of the humanitarian crisis currently being
witnessed in much of the country.
Conflict of interest statement
We declare that we have no conflict of interest.
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