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Thinking about cities as spatial events
Our understanding of cities in anything more than casual terms usually starts with
observations of their spatial form and structure at some point or cross-section in time.
This is the easiest way to begin, for it is hard to assemble data on how cities change
through time, and, in any case, our perceptions often betray us into thinking of spatial
structures as being resilient and long lasting. Even where physical change is very rapid,
this only has an impact on us when we visit such places infrequently, after years away.
Most of our urban theory, whether it emanates from the social sciences or engineering,
is structured around the notion that spatial and social structures change slowly, and are
sufficiently inert for us to infer reasonable explanations from cross-sectional studies.
In recent years, these assumptions have come to be challenged, and in previous edito-
rials I have argued the need for a more temporal emphasis to our theories and models,
where the emphasis is no longer on equilibrium but on the intrinsic dynamics of urban
change (see, for example, Batty, 1996). Even these views, however, imply a conventional
wisdom where the real focus of urban studies is on processes that lead to comparatively
slow changes in urban organization, where the functions determining such change are
very largely routine, accomplished over months or years, rather than any lesser cycle
of time. There is a tacit assumption that longer term change subsumes routine change
on a day-to-day or hour-by-hour basis, which is seen as simply supporting the fixed
spatial infrastructures that we perceive cities to be built around. Transportation model-
ing, for example, is fashioned from this standpoint in that routine trip-making behavior
is the focus of study, its explanation being central to the notion that spatial structures
are inert and long lasting.
Yet there is another way of looking at cities which has not been fashionable at least
in the wider field of urban studies. It is possible to conceive of cities as being clusters
of `spatial events', events that take place in time and space, where the event is charac-
terized by its duration,intensity,volatility, and location. There may be interactions in
time and space between events, leading to clusters and other aggregations, but the
dominant way in which these descriptions are characterized is clearly temporal. The
duration of an event marks how long it lasts, so `trip making' is usually measured
in terms of minutes and hours, whereas `living at a residential location' is usually
structured around months and years. The intensity of an event measures the impact it
has at any time and place; this in turn might be indexed by the numbers of persons
involved in comparison with others existing at that time and place as well as the degree
to which they are solely focused on a single activity. Work in an office environment, for
example, is probably less intense than attending a rock concert, although work may have
a longer duration. Volatility is a measure of variation in intensity, yet events charac-
terized in this way may be of very different durations. Trip making is rarely volatile,
whereas attending a carnival might be. Location, of course, is our stock in trade with
scale, size, and density its defining characteristics. Every action that we partake in exists
in time and space, and can be so classified, and it is entirely possible to represent all the
spatial structures which make up the city in this way. Moreover, this kind of thinking
may well provide more tangible ways of linking the spatial to the social, as, for example,
in the growth in interest in thinking of cities as schedules of events in the framework of
time-budgets.
Editorial
Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 2002, volume 29, pages 1 ^2
DOI:10.1068/ b2901ed
The reason that we need to change the focus is because there are many sequences
of events that take place in cities over much shorter time periods than we are used to
dealing with but which have important spatial effects. These spatial effects in fact may
be long lasting even though the events which initiated them are short in duration.
Local movement studies, which involve how pedestrians behave in small urban spaces,
are increasingly significant in figuring out the relative importance of fine-scale loca-
tional dynamics and, in the last year, we have published a theme issue on approaches
to these kinds of events, using new varieties of agent-based modeling (Batty, 2001).
Models and theories of events such as carnivals, parades, concerts, and other kinds
of entertainment which take place in small spaces and have enormous local impacts,
are urgently required. For example, a recent project for the Greater London Authority
involving the analysis and design of a new route for the Notting Hill Carnival is
employing methods related to pedestrian modeling (Desyllas, 2001) where the empha-
sis is on how the route involves safety considerations and the cost of policing. The
impact of this carnival over the last twenty years on the Notting Hill district has
clearly been substantial but none of this is very obvious, for we do not have tools to
unravel the impact of events of short duration and high intensity on longer term
locational decisions.
A more graphic illustration of these kinds of events involves the recent tragedy in
downtown Manhattan on 11 September where both short-term and long-term loca-
tional patterns with all the consequent impacts on safety, policing, and the economy
are almost impossible to predict, yet likely to be dramatic. Urban warfare of the kind
seen in Northern Ireland during the last thirty years has changed the face of Belfast,
while fixed events associated with particular times
ö
celebrations for the millennium,
through new building projects such as the Dome, and the building of new infrastruc-
ture for events such as Football's World Cup
ö
have an equally dramatic impact on the
long-term structuring of the city. In a more routine sense, the slow but inexorable
development of geographic information systems for use in policing and crime detection,
with a move to develop such technology in real time, is again evidence of the fact that
urban analysis has an important part to play.
What is required is a detailed analysis of cities in terms of spatial events, perhaps
along the lines of the duration ^ intensity ^ volatility ^ location nexus proposed above.
Some of this matrix would reveal events that are already well researched and under-
stood. Others would reveal more problematic events, some of which may not even be
significant. But what this change in perspective would reveal is the extent to which we
need to refocus our analytical models of cities and the extent to which existing theory is
adequate or otherwise. It would begin to tie together a wide range of disparate ideas,
which range from discussions of spatial representation in terms of objects and their
ontologies, to the collection of fine-scale data on events and the processes that generate
them. As ever, I would welcome discussion of these ideas in the pages of this journal.
Michael Batty
References
Batty M, 1996, ``Urban change'' Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 23 513^514
Batty M, 2001, ``Agent-based pedestrian modeling'' Environment and Planning B: Planning and
Design 28 321^326
Desyllas J, 2001, ``Safety-first for the Notting Hill Car nival'' GEOEurope 10(10) 18 ^ 19, online
at http://www.geoplace.com/ge/2001/0110/0110itn.asp
ß 2002 a Pion publication printed in Great Britain
2Editorial
... Camadas e mais camadas de informações que vão se sobrepondo à medida que a sociedade, potencializada pelos avanços tecnológicos, muda de fluxos de energia para de informações, nos forçando a considerar as cidades como fenômenos temporários. Localização é, de fato, a síntese das interações em permanentes transformações (Batty, 2002). -1988 -2001 Alguns autores (Batty, 2013;Byrne, 1998;Bettencourt, 2015) indicam que o problema da localização é uma questão central para a mudança do esquema determinista que tem dominado o urbanismo. ...
... Planos e projetos baseados apenas na movimentação das atividades e seus usos do solo, assim como nas imposições e restrições que decidem sobre o que e onde algo pode acontecer, não conseguem expressar a essência do que as cidades são e como evoluem (Batty, 2012). Batty (2002) sugere encararmos as cidades como agregados de eventos espaciais, clusters de atividades urbanas que ocorrem em um período de tempo muito menor do que estamos acostumados a analisar, mas que tem efeitos espaciais muito importantes. O território contemporâneo expresso por seu maior atributo, a grande e inerente capacidade de interações, potencializado pelos avanços das tecnologias da informação e comunicação (Fig. 6). ...
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They are: Interactions, which operate and engender dynamics, establishing constructive relations of new realities; Becoming, as an expression of the creative force, the possibilities of multiple and mutual fecundations; and Entropy, which reveals our ability to recognize the possibilities of a system facing off unpredictability and new arrangements. Keywords: Complexity, Urban Design, Cities. O urbanista italiano Bernardo Secchi (1934-2014), em diversas ocasiões, enfatiza sua preocupação com a simplificação do funcionamento urbano própria do Movimento Moderno e levanta a necessidade sobre um novo olhar para a cidade contemporânea que, ao mesmo tempo, opera maiores níveis de abstração e de precisão (SECCHI, 2006). As questões que orientam essa pesquisa estão relacionadas às contribuições das teorias sobre Complexidade, que, assim como para as ciências exatas e biológicas, apresentam para o campo das sociais um importante ferramental para a revisão de paradigmas deterministas e que enriquece as concepções de fenômenos considerados caóticos ou aleatórios. Buscamos investigar com quais pressupostos a Complexidade opera, analisando abordagens mais flexíveis, produções teóricas e estratégias projetuais contemporâneas que escampam das lógicas muito deterministas e generalizantes, admitindo assim a possibilidade de caracterizar as cidades como um sistema que não tende ao equilíbrio. A noção de equilíbrio e a imagem da cidade-máquina e do planejamento controlador, desviaram o debate sobre as questões críticas essenciais e ajudou a manter a ilusão de um falso controle sobre a morfologia urbana e suas dinâmicas. A imagem de uma “boa” cidade – equilibrada – era, nessa ilusão, aquela que se apresentava homogênea, onde todas suas variações e diversidades pudessem ser controladas através, por exemplo, do zoneamento e da hipercodificação, ideia também refutada por Jane Jacobs em 1961. Com isso, a percepção de que o Planejamento Urbano deveria trabalhar buscando uma cidade estável e funcional começou a sobrecarregar não só sua teoria e prática, mas também a noção de que as cidades eram compreensíveis através de analogias com a ciência reducionista e as tecnologias industriais do passado. Após os anos 70, quando os objetivos do Planejamento Urbano passaram a ser refutados e as incertezas sobre as possíveis transformações teóricas e práticas que deveriam ser propostas para pensar as cidades, o mundo mudou (BATTY, 2012). O químico Ilya Prigogine, ao propor sua tese sobre estruturas dissipativas e auto-organização de sistemas longe do equilíbrio, indica os problemas relacionados ao reducionismo, abrindo possibilidades para novos níveis de descrição e análise de diversos fenômenos do universo, chama a responsabilidade da física para além de comportamentos analisados em ambientes perfeitamente controlados, estáveis e previsíveis. Anuncia assim uma “nova ciência” capaz de interpretar os comportamentos evolutivos que escorregam entre as “malhas da rede científica” e leva em conta as incertezas e diversidades da natureza e seus eventos complexos, por vezes considerados, aos olhos deterministas, transitórios e sem importância. Interessa então entender concepções teóricas que permitem possibilidades menos duras, fechadas e estáticas de percepção dos espaços e suas dinâmicas. Para tal, é preciso considerar que, em sistemas longe do equilíbrio como as cidades, sua evolução apresenta comportamentos e estados variados, de previsibilidade limitada. Como Prigogine insiste em dizer, nada mais natural, uma vez que estamos falando de um mundo real onde a “natureza apresenta-nos, de fato, a imagem da criação, da imprevisível novidade. Nosso universo seguiu um caminho de ramificações sucessivas: poderia ter seguido outros” (PRIGOGINE, 1996). Dada a impossibilidade de controlar seus desdobramentos, nos é disponível entender tal sistema através de seus “eventos e qualidades – transições de fase – resultantes de fluxos de matéria e energia que passam por eles. ” (BRISSAC, 2010). Para a análise das estratégias projetuais proposta nessa pesquisa, viu-se a necessidade de definir algumas propriedades que oferecessem bases comparativas, reconhecer indícios pela qual algo prova pertencer a categorias não estabelecidas aqui. Tal definição não pretendem ter um contorno muito claro com função de predicados para esses projetos, muito menos uma lista fechada, mas uma indicação, um certo agenciamento/ agrupamento ou um reconhecimento de como “ se relacionar com a matéria - através de suas próprias tendências e não pela imposição de uma forma preestabelecida. ” (BRISSAC, 2010). Considerando as características atribuídas aos sistemas complexos, definimos as seguintes propriedades: Interações, que operam, engendram – e são engendradas por – dinâmicas, influencias, perturbações, disputas e articulações, estabelecem relações construtivas de novas realidades, são linhas de forças que agem como combustível para trajetórias não-lineares de futuros incertos, trata-se, portanto de estratégias que entendam o projeto como síntese resultante das interações de múltiplos fatores, internos e externo; Devir, o "jorro efetivo de novidade imprevisível” (PRIGOGINE, 2009), de força criativa, o que está em vias de ser (vínculo com o futuro incerto), estratégias que, de uma forma ou de outra, tem como pressupostos a função de palco (que também faz parte do espetáculo) para possibilidades de fecundações múltiplas e mutuas, da força “comunicativa e contagiosa” – colocada por Deleuze e Guattari – que, sem códigos precedentes, constrói; e Entropia, a medida da probabilidade da ocorrência de eventos e da nossa habilidade em reconhecer possibilidades de determinado sistema face à imprevisibilidade de interações e novos arranjos resultantes, estratégias que assumem o carácter evolutivo das cidades, de configurações de “ajustes soltos” (ALLEN, 1999), menos codificada – ou de codificações muito abstratas – mas que de certa maneira apresentam condições para assimilar eventos, transformando-se, que assumem como premissa a tensão entre ordem e desordem e seu “ caráter provisório, instável e de sobreposições contínuas” (MEYER, 2003). Palavras-chave: Complexidade, Projeto Urbano, Cidades.
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Agent-based pedestrian modeling'' Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 28
  • M Batty
Batty M, 2001, ``Agent-based pedestrian modeling'' Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 28 321 ^ 326
Safety-first for the Notting Hill Carnival
  • J Desyllas
Desyllas J, 2001,``Safety-first for the Notting Hill Carnival'' GEOEurope 10(10) 18^19, online at http://www.geoplace.com/ge/2001/0110/0110itn.asp ß 2002 a Pion publication printed in Great Britain
Urban change'' Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 23 513^514
  • M Batty
Batty M, 1996,``Urban change'' Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 23 513^514