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Muscular strength in male adolescents and premature death: Cohort study of one million participants

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To explore the extent to which muscular strength in adolescence is associated with all cause and cause specific premature mortality (<55 years). Prospective cohort study. Sweden. 1 142 599 Swedish male adolescents aged 16-19 years were followed over a period of 24 years. Baseline examinations included knee extension, handgrip, and elbow flexion strength tests, as well as measures of diastolic and systolic blood pressure and body mass index. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios for mortality according to muscular strength categories (tenths). During a median follow-up period of 24 years, 26 145 participants died. Suicide was a more frequent cause of death in young adulthood (22.3%) than was cardiovascular diseases (7.8%) or cancer (14.9%). High muscular strength in adolescence, as assessed by knee extension and handgrip tests, was associated with a 20-35% lower risk of premature mortality due to any cause or cardiovascular disease, independently of body mass index or blood pressure; no association was observed with mortality due to cancer. Stronger adolescents had a 20-30% lower risk of death from suicide and were 15-65% less likely to have any psychiatric diagnosis (such as schizophrenia and mood disorders). Adolescents in the lowest tenth of muscular strength showed by far the highest risk of mortality for different causes. All cause mortality rates (per 100 000 person years) ranged between 122.3 and 86.9 for the weakest and strongest adolescents; corresponding figures were 9.5 and 5.6 for mortality due to cardiovascular diseases and 24.6 and 16.9 for mortality due to suicide. Low muscular strength in adolescents is an emerging risk factor for major causes of death in young adulthood, such as suicide and cardiovascular diseases. The effect size observed for all cause mortality was equivalent to that for well established risk factors such as elevated body mass index or blood pressure.
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Muscular strength in male adolescents and premature
death: cohort study of one million participants
OPEN ACCESS
Francisco B Ortega research associate
1 2 3
, Karri Silventoinen research associate
4
, Per Tynelius
statistician
5
, Finn Rasmussen professor
5
1
Department of Physical Education and Sport, School of Sport Sciences, University of Granada, Granada, Spain;
2
Department of Biosciences and
Nutrition at NOVUM, Karolinska Institutet, Huddinge, Stockholm, Sweden;
3
Department of Medical Physiology, School of Medicine, University of
Granada;
4
Population Research Unit, Department of Social Research, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland;
5
Child and Adolescent Public Health
Epidemiology Group, Department of Public Health Sciences, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
Abstract
Objectives To explore the extent to which muscular strength in
adolescence is associated with all cause and cause specific premature
mortality (<55 years).
Design Prospective cohort study.
Setting Sweden.
Participants 1 142 599 Swedish male adolescents aged 16-19 years
were followed over a period of 24 years.
Main outcome measures Baseline examinations included knee
extension, handgrip, and elbow flexion strength tests, as well as
measures of diastolic and systolic blood pressure and body mass index.
Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios for mortality according
to muscular strength categories (tenths).
Results During a median follow-up period of 24 years, 26 145
participants died. Suicide was a more frequent cause of death in young
adulthood (22.3%) than was cardiovascular diseases (7.8%) or cancer
(14.9%). High muscular strength in adolescence, as assessed by knee
extension and handgrip tests, was associated with a 20-35% lower risk
of premature mortality due to any cause or cardiovascular disease,
independently of body mass index or blood pressure; no association
was observed with mortality due to cancer. Stronger adolescents had a
20-30% lower risk of death from suicide and were 15-65% less likely to
have any psychiatric diagnosis (such as schizophrenia and mood
disorders). Adolescents in the lowest tenth of muscular strength showed
by far the highest risk of mortality for different causes. All cause mortality
rates (per 100 000 person years) ranged between 122.3 and 86.9 for
the weakest and strongest adolescents; corresponding figures were 9.5
and 5.6 for mortality due to cardiovascular diseases and 24.6 and 16.9
for mortality due to suicide.
Conclusions Low muscular strength in adolescents is an emerging risk
factor for major causes of death in young adulthood, such as suicide
and cardiovascular diseases. The effect size observed for all cause
mortality was equivalent to that for well established risk factors such as
elevated body mass index or blood pressure.
Introduction
Knowledge about different risk factors at early stages of life for
later premature mortality is needed for disease prevention and
early treatment. In addition to traditional risk factors, such as
obesity and hypertension, a low cardiorespiratory fitness level
during middle or older ages has been proposed as a powerful
predictor of mortality.
1 2
Another important health related
component of fitness is muscular strength, which has been
shown to be positively related to cardiorespiratory fitness.
3
Although muscular strength has received far less attention than
cardiorespiratory fitness, recent studies support the hypothesis
that low muscular strength in adulthood also predicts all cause
mortality, as well as mortality due to cardiovascular disease and
cancer in healthy and diseased people.
4-13
Whether muscular
strength in childhood, adolescence, or both is a predictor of
mortality is unknown. Mortality rates in young adulthood are
very low in developed counties; consequently, large samples
sizes and long follow-up periods are needed to accumulate
enough cases to ensure appropriate statistical power in the
analyses.
Suicide is the leading cause of death in young adults (25-44
years old) and a major public health concern in developed and
developing countries.
14 15
Identification of early modifiable risk
factors for suicide is therefore important for the design of
successful strategies for suicide prevention.
In this study, we followed up more than one million male
adolescents (16-19 years of age) recruited from the Swedish
military conscription register to explore the extent to which
Correspondence to: F Rasmussen Finn.Rasmussen@ki.se
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Research
RESEARCH
muscular strength in adolescence is associated with all cause
premature mortality (defined as death before 55 years of age),
as well as cause specific premature mortality due to
cardiovascular disease (coronary heart disease and stroke) and
cancer. A second major aim was to study muscular strength in
relation to mortality due to suicide. To obtain meaningful
information about the clinical relevance of our results, we
compared the effect sizes observed for associations between
muscular strength and premature mortality with those for
traditional disease risk factors such as body mass index and
blood pressure.
16-18
The associations of body mass index and
blood pressure with mortality have previously been examined
in depth in this population,
17 18
and they are included in this
study only for comparison purposes.
Methods
Study sample and design
We used data from the Swedish military conscription register
for male adolescents born in Sweden between 1951 and 1976,
according to the multi-generation register.
19 20
Conscription
examinations are mandatory by law for all young male Swedish
citizens, and they predate active military service; that is, they
are also done for boys who do not later enter military service.
21
During the years covered by this study, only boys with severe
handicap or a chronic disease were exempted from the
conscription. A total of 1 194 359 participants with valid data
on age at conscription were available. Inclusion criteria were
age 19 years or less (98.4% of the original sample) and
availability of valid data on the main exposures (three strength
tests, body mass index, and blood pressure), main confounders
(year of birth, conscription age, conscription office), and main
study outcomes (mortality). We defined premature death as
death before the age of 55 years, following criteria used in
previous studies on premature death.
16
The entire study sample
met these criteria. To minimise the risk of reverse causality, we
excluded participants with less than one year of follow-up from
the analyses (n=985).
13 22
Finally, we excluded those with
extreme values for height (valid range 150-210 cm), weight
(valid range 40-150 kg), body mass index (valid range 15-60),
or diastolic and systolic blood pressure (valid ranges 40-100
mm Hg and 100-180 mm Hg) (n=1669). A total of 1 142 599
male adolescents (95.8% of the sample) aged 16 to 19 years
(mean age 18.3 (SD 0.5) years) met all the aforementioned
criteria and were therefore included in main analyses (see
appendix fig A). The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
defines the age range for adolescence as 10-19 years.
Accordingly, the baseline period studied here is considered late
adolescence.
Baseline examination
During the conscription (baseline) examination, knee extension
strength, handgrip strength, elbow flexion strength, diastolic
and systolic blood pressure, and height and weight were
measured, as previously described.
18 23
These muscular strength
tests have been shown to have high reliability in young men
(r=0.88-0.98).
24
The Swedish Defence Recruitment Agency
regarded the exact measurement protocol to be confidential
information and did not reveal it to us. However, we observed
in preliminary analyses that no systematic differences existed
in the mean values of the measures between conscription offices,
suggesting that a uniform protocol was used. The values of
elbow flexion, handgrip, and knee extension strength in these
data were similar to values in a previous study of young Finnish
men, supporting the notion that standard protocols were used.
24
We calculated body mass index as weight (kg) divided by
squared height (m). Parental socioeconomic position in
childhood came from population and housing censuses 1960-80
and parental level of education from the 1970 census. We
retrieved participants’ own highest achieved educational level
from the educational register 1990-2004 (see sample sizes and
study categories in appendix table A).
25
Follow-up and ascertainment of mortality
We calculated the follow-up period as from the age of
conscription until the earliest of three possible events: death,
date of emigration, or end of follow-up (31 December 2006),
whichever came first. The median follow-up period was 24.2
(range 1.0-37.3) years.
We used the cause of death register,
26
and we categorised the
underlying cause of death according to the eighth, ninth, and
tenth revisions of the Swedish version of the international
classification of diseases as coronary heart disease (410-414 for
ICD-8 and ICD-9; I20-I25 for ICD-10), stroke (430-438, 344
for ICD-8, 430-438, 342, 344 for ICD-9; I60-I66, G45 for
ICD-10), cancer (140-239 for ICD-8 and ICD-9; C00-D48 for
ICD-10), suicide (E950-E959, E980-E989 for ICD-8 and ICD-9;
X60-X64, Y10-Y34 for ICD-10), and non-intentional accidents
(800-929 for ICD-8 and ICD-9; V01-X59 for ICD-10), as
previously described.
18 25 27-29
Information about causes of death
was available until 31 December 2004.
Statistical analysis
We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate hazard
ratios and 95% confidence intervals for mortality according to
exposure categories (tenths) of the three muscular strength tests
separately. We did similar analyses for body mass index and
blood pressure. We set the lowest tenth for muscular strength
variables and the highest tenth for body mass index and blood
pressure as reference groups, so that the hazard ratios would
mostly range between 0 and 1 for all the exposures, allowing
easier comparison among exposures. The main outcomes were
all cause mortality and mortality due to cardiovascular disease,
cancer, and suicide. We adjusted all the models for year of birth,
conscription age, and conscription office. Additionally, we used
adjusted models for simultaneous analysis of significant
predictors—that is, muscular strength (knee extension, handgrip,
or elbow flexion), body mass index, and blood pressure
(diastolic or systolic). We used SPSS statistical software, version
19.0.0, for all statistical analyses.
Results
Appendix table A shows baseline characteristics of the whole
study cohort, and appendix table B shows body mass index and
blood pressure stratified by categories of muscular strength.
Appendix fig B shows the distribution of muscular strength
variables. Over the follow-up period (24.2 years), 26 145 (2.3%)
participants died. Information on underlying causes of death
was available for 22 883 participants. Among these 22 883
deaths, 1254 (5.5%) were caused by coronary heart disease, 526
(2.3%) by stroke, 3425 (14.9%) by any type of cancer, 5100
(22.3%) by suicide, and 5921 (25.9%) by non-intentional
accidents. We categorised the remaining deaths (6657; 29.1%)
as other causes of mortality. A combination of coronary heart
disease and strokes (that is, cardiovascular disease) resulted in
1780 (7.8%) deaths. Figures 1, 2, 3, and 4 show hazard
ratios and 95% confidence intervals for all cause mortality and
mortality due to cardiovascular disease, suicide, and cancer.
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RESEARCH
All cause mortality
Higher levels of muscular strength were significantly associated
with lower risk of all cause mortality. The association was
stronger for knee extension and handgrip strength than for elbow
flexion strength (fig 1). Compared with the weakest group
(first tenth), higher levels (second, third, and fourth tenths) of
muscular strength were monotonically associated with
progressively reduced mortality risk. From the fourth tenth on,
a plateau was achieved, with an approximate 20% risk reduction
for premature mortality for knee extension and handgrip—that
is, hazard ratios ranged from 0.78 to 0.84 and confidence
intervals from 0.74 to 0.88. We saw a similar effect size (~20%
risk reduction) for body mass index and diastolic blood pressure,
whereas the effect of systolic blood pressure was weaker than
that of diastolic blood pressure (fig 1). Mutually adjusted
analyses showed that muscular strength (knee extension or
handgrip), body mass index, and diastolic blood pressure were
independently associated with premature all cause death (fig
5). Analyses stratified by body mass index categories showed
that muscular strength was inversely associated with all cause
mortality within all body mass index categories—that is,
underweight, normal weight, overweight, and obese adolescents
(fig 6). All cause mortality rates per 100 000 person years were
122.3 for adolescents with very low muscular strength, 98.9 for
those with low to middle muscular strength, and 86.9 for those
with and middle to very high muscular strength, as measured
by the knee extension test (appendix table C). The corresponding
rates for handgrip muscular strength were 114.5, 96.5, and 90.9
(appendix table C).
Cardiovascular disease mortality
Body mass index and blood pressure (both diastolic and systolic)
were strongly associated with premature mortality due to
cardiovascular disease (fig 2). Muscular strength was not
clearly associated with premature mortality due to cardiovascular
disease in Cox models adjusted only for year of birth, age at
conscription, and conscription office (fig 2), but it became
significantly associated with cardiovascular disease mortality
after additional adjustments for body mass index and diastolic
blood pressure (see knee extension and handgrip strength in fig
5). The risk reduction was approximately 35% in high muscular
strength groups, 60-70% in low body mass index groups, and
35-45% in low diastolic blood pressure groups, compared with
the reference groups. We saw similar patterns when we did the
analyses separately for coronary heart disease and stroke (data
not shown). Mortality rates per 100 000 person years due to
cardiovascular disease were 9.5 for adolescents with very low
muscular strength, 7.3 for those with low to middle muscular
strength, and 5.6 for those with middle to very high muscular
strength, as measured by the knee extension test (appendix table
C). The corresponding rates for handgrip muscular strength
were 8.3, 7.3, and 5.6 (appendix table C).
Suicide mortality
High muscular strength (knee extension and handgrip) was
associated with a 20-30% lower risk of death from suicide (fig
3). We found a monotone and inverse association between
body mass index and mortality due to suicide, whereas no clear
association was apparent between systolic and diastolic blood
pressure and suicide, as previously reported by our group.
30
The
results persisted in the fully adjusted model (fig 5). Mortality
rates per 100 000 person years due to suicide were 24.6 for
adolescents with very low muscular strength, 20.3 for those
with low to middle muscular strength, and 16.9 for those with
middle to very high muscular strength, as measured by the knee
extension test (appendix table C). The corresponding rates for
handgrip muscular strength were 22.4, 19.7, and 17.9 (appendix
table C).
Cancer mortality
Body mass index was the only significant predictor of premature
mortality due to cancer (fig 4), with a risk reduction of 25-35%
in participants with low body mass index compared with those
with high body mass index. The results persisted after mutual
adjustment for the other exposures (appendix fig E).
Additional analyses
Appendix figures C and D show hazard ratios for mortality due
to non-intentional accidents or other causes, to provide the full
spectrum of cause specific mortality, but we do not discuss this
further, as it is outside the scope of this study. In exploratory
analyses, we observed that adolescents with a higher muscular
strength level were 15-65% less likely to have any psychiatric
diagnosis (that is, schizophrenia, other non-affective psychosis,
mood disorders, neurotic and somatoform disorders, adjustment
disorders, personality disorders, or alcohol related disorders,
according to ICD-8/ICD-9 or ICD-10, as previously described
31
)
at baseline (cross sectional association) and years later
(longitudinal association) (see appendix fig F). We did this
analysis after excluding participants with a psychiatric diagnosis
before conscription. When we additionally adjusted the
association between muscular strength and mortality due to
suicide for psychiatric diagnoses either at baseline or years later,
the association was attenuated and became non-significant (data
not shown). Overall, little or no effect was apparent after further
adjustment for socioeconomic factors (data not shown).
Discussion
Three major findings relevant for clinical practice and public
health monitoring emerged from this prospective study. Firstly,
muscular strength in adolescence, as assessed by handgrip and
knee extension tests, is strongly associated with premature death
from any cause, independently of body mass index or diastolic
blood pressure. The effect sizes of these associations are similar
to those of classic risk factors such as body mass index and
blood pressure. Secondly, muscular strength is also associated
with premature death from cardiovascular disease, independently
of body mass index and blood pressure. Thirdly, stronger
adolescents have a lower risk of mortality due to suicide,
whereas no association is apparent with mortality due to cancer.
After doing several systematic reviews and validation studies
(as part of the ALPHA project: www.thealphaproject.net), we
concluded that the handgrip test and tests of lower body muscle
strength (jump tests, leg extension) are the most reliable, valid,
and health related muscular strength tests.
32
This could at least
partially explain why the associations were stronger for handgrip
and knee extension strength than for elbow flexion strength.
All cause mortality and cardiovascular
disease mortality
Previous studies in adults or older adults have supported an
association between muscular fitness and all cause mortality,
cardiovascular disease mortality, or both.
4-13
Our study provides
new evidence for the importance of muscular strength in
adolescence as predictor of premature mortality due to any cause
or cardiovascular disease. In addition, our results suggest that
the lowest tenth of population distribution of muscular strength
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RESEARCH
in late adolescence has the greatest risk of all cause mortality
in late life. Higher levels of strength are associated with
additional risk reduction, and the risk reduction levels off close
to the median (fourth to fifth tenths). This indicates that people
with a muscular strength level equal to or higher than the
population average have the same 20% risk reduction in all
cause mortality, suggesting the need to target those with very
low strength. Likewise, results from other cohort studies have
reported similar reductions in the risk of mortality in men with
middle versus high muscular strength,
11
suggesting that having
high levels of muscular strength does not provide additional
“protection” against death compared with middle levels of
muscular strength. The findings of this study also suggest that
muscular strength in adolescence is as important as body mass
index or blood pressure in terms of all cause mortality, whereas
body mass index has a greater role than muscular strength or
blood pressure in terms of mortality due to cardiovascular
disease.
Suicide mortality
Unfortunately, we cannot discuss our results in relation to
previous literature, as we have not found studies examining the
association between muscular strength and suicide or between
muscular strength and later psychiatric diagnosis. A few
investigations, however, have focused on another component
of physical fitness (that is, cardiorespiratory fitness) and suggest
that high cardiorespiratory fitness in adulthood predicts a lower
risk of depression, both in cross sectional and longitudinal
studies.
33 34
Likewise, adolescents with a lower cardiorespiratory
fitness level are more likely to have a diagnosis of psychosis or
schizophrenia.
35-37
Taken together, these findings support a link
between cardiorespiratory fitness and mental health, which could
in turn be related to suicidal behaviour.
In addition, we observed that adolescents with a higher muscular
strength were less likely to have a psychiatric diagnosis at
baseline and years later, which seemed to partly explain the
lower risk of premature mortality due to suicide seen in this
study. These findings suggest that physically weaker people
might be more mentally vulnerable. Outlining a biological
explanation for this association that could be reproduced in
other studies is difficult. Reverse causation might partially
explain this association. People with more mental problems
(such as depression or schizophrenia) might be less likely to
become involved in any social activity, including physical
activities, which in turn would result in decreased physical
fitness and lower muscular strength due to inactivity. On the
other hand, depression and many other psychiatric disorders are
highly related with a poor self concept and self esteem.
38-41
Likewise, low physical fitness in general, and low muscular
fitness in particular, has been found to be closely related to
lower self concept/self esteem.
42
Therefore, we could reasonably
hypothesise that people with a very low muscular fitness have
a worse self concept/self esteem, which may put them at higher
risk of psychiatric disorders and suicide. This hypothesis is
supported by several studies.
43 44
Cancer mortality
The available literature is contradictory with respect to mortality
due to cancer. Although some authors have observed an
association between muscular strength and mortality due to
cancer,
6 11
others have found no association.
5 10
Muscular strength
was not associated with premature cancer mortality in our study.
The large sample size in this study, and the resulting high
statistical power of the analyses, strengthens the confidence in
the null hypothesis (that is, no association between muscular
strength and mortality due to cancer).
Limitations
This study is based on conscription data from 1969-94, and no
information is available for female adolescents during this time
period. Although some studies have observed significant effects
in both men and women,
7
most of available literature seems to
supports the notion that low muscular strength might be a
stronger predictor of mortality in men than in women.
4-6 10
This
study is based on muscular strength of male adolescents and
premature mortality among those who came to the conscription
examination; we cannot know to what extent our findings apply
to other populations. Unfortunately, cardiorespiratory fitness
and physical activity data were not available, so we were unable
to examine whether muscular strength is associated with
premature mortality independently of these two factors.
Nevertheless, several studies in adults and elderly people have
reported that muscular strength is associated with mortality after
adjustment for cardiorespiratory fitness or physical activity,
7 11 13
suggesting that this might also be the case among adolescents.
Strengths
We followed more than one million male adolescents for 24
years. The large sample size and high statistical power allowed
us to study cause specific mortality over the whole range of the
distribution of muscular strength. To our best knowledge, this
is the first study that links muscular strength assessed in an
adolescent population with all cause and cause specific mortality
many years later. Only a small study in female adolescents aged
17 years (n=510) has linked cardiorespiratory fitness (the most
studied fitness component) in early ages to all cause mortality.
45
The inverse association between muscular strength and mortality
due to suicide is a novel finding. Availability of information
about psychiatric diagnoses from the conscription examination
and also from psychiatric inpatient care during many years of
follow-up allowed cross sectional and longitudinal analyses,
which shed further light on the association between muscular
strength and mortality due to suicide. Thanks to these data, we
found that the association between muscular strength and
mortality due to suicide seems to be partly mediated by
psychiatric disorders.
Clinical and public health implications
Although several tests of muscular strength are available, the
strongest evidence in relation to mortality has been reported for
the handgrip strength test.
4-10 12
As handgrip strength can be
assessed with good reliability in almost any place without
additional costly equipment, it is a useful tool for clinical
settings and for preventive services in schools and workplaces,
for example. The study of premature mortality is of special
relevance as a result of many years of life lost and also large
productivity losses at the societal level. Although this study
cannot disentangle causal pathways, physical training from
childhood and adolescence seems to be needed. People at
increased risk of long term mortality, because of lower muscular
strength, should be encouraged to engage in exercise
programmes and other forms of physical activity. In appendix
tables D and E, we propose reference values and “healthy”
muscular fitness zones based on the results of this study and
reference values of European adolescents from the HELENA
study.
46
However, we acknowledge that these reference values
are tentative and that further research in younger adolescents
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RESEARCH
and female adolescents is needed before firm conclusions can
be drawn.
Conclusions
This study provides strong evidence that a low level of muscular
strength in late adolescence, as measured by knee extension and
handgrip strength tests, is associated with all cause premature
mortality to a similar extent as classic risk factors such as body
mass index or blood pressure. Muscular strength is also
associated with premature mortality due to cardiovascular
disease but not that due to cancer. Finally, our data suggest that
low muscular strength is associated with an increased risk of
mortality due to suicide, supporting the notion that physically
weaker people might also be mentally more vulnerable. Low
muscular strength should be considered an emerging risk factor
for major causes of death in young adulthood.
We are grateful to Jonatan R Ruiz, Manuel J Castillo, Michael Sjöström,
and Steven Blair’s group for constructive scientific discussions. We are
also indebted to Charlotte Goodrose-Flores for the English revision.
Contributors: FR was responsible for the concept and design of the
study. FR and PT acquired the data. PT created the dataset, and FBO
did the statistical analysis and prepared the first draft of the manuscript.
All authors were involved in further analysis and interpretation of data,
drafting the manuscript, and critical revision of the manuscript for
important intellectual content. They are all guarantors.
Funding: The study was supported by a grant to FR from the Swedish
Research Council (grant 2007-5942). FBO was supported by grants
from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (RYC-2011-09011).
The funding bodies had no role in the preparation of this manuscript.
Competing interests: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform
disclosure form at www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf (available on
request from the corresponding author) and declare: the study was
supported by a grant to FR from the Swedish Research Council, and
FBO was supported by grants from the Spanish Ministry of Science and
Innovation; no financial relationships with any organisations that might
have an interest in the submitted work in the previous three years; no
other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the
submitted work.
Ethical approval: The study was approved by the Ethical Review Board,
Stockholm, Sweden.
Data sharing: No additional data available.
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Accepted: 19 October 2012
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BMJ 2012;345:e7279 doi: 10.1136/bmj.e7279 (Published 20 November 2012) Page 5 of 12
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What is already known in this topic
Muscular strength in adulthood is associated with all cause mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality
Whether low muscular strength in adolescence is associated with mortality is unknown; a long follow-up period and very large sample
size would be needed to explore this
A higher cardiorespiratory fitness is associated with better mental health in adults, but whether muscular strength at any age is associated
with future mental health and suicide mortality is unknown
What this study adds
Muscular strength in adolescence, as assessed by knee extension and handgrip tests, was associated with a 20-35% lower risk of all
cause and cardiovascular disease premature mortality (<55 years), independently of body mass index or blood pressure
Stronger adolescents had a 20-30% lower risk of death from suicide and were 15-65% less likely to have any psychiatric diagnosis
(such as schizophrenia and mood disorders)
Adolescents in the lowest tenth of muscular strength showed by far the highest risk of mortality due to different causes
Cite this as: BMJ 2012;345:e7279
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Attribution Non-commercial License, which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in
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Figures
Fig 1 Hazard ratios (95% CI) for relation of muscular strength, body mass index, and blood pressure with all cause premature
death. Models were adjusted for birth cohort, conscription age, and conscription office (n=1 142 599)
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Fig 2 Hazard ratios (95% CI) for relation of muscular strength, body mass index, and blood pressure with premature death
from cardiovascular disease. Models were adjusted for birth cohort, conscription age, and conscription office (n=1 118 154)
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Fig 3 Hazard ratios (95% CI) for relation of muscular strength, body mass index, and blood pressure with premature death
from suicide. Models were adjusted for birth cohort, conscription age, and conscription office (n=1 121 480)
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Fig 4 Hazard ratios (95% CI) for relation of muscular strength, body mass index, and blood pressure with premature death
from cancer. Models were adjusted for birth cohort, conscription age, and conscription office (n=1 119 790)
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Fig 5 Hazard ratios (95% CI) for relation of muscular strength, body mass index, and blood pressure, mutually adjusted,
with all cause premature death and death from cardiovascular disease and suicide. Models were additionally adjusted for
birth cohort, conscription age, and conscription office
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Fig 6 Hazard ratios (95% CI) for relation of muscular strength with all cause premature death, stratified by body mass index
(BMI) categories. Models were adjusted for birth cohort, conscription age, and conscription office
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Supplementary resource (1)

... 4 A few studies have shown that cardiovascular risk factor clustering in childhood 5 and individual factors, such as body mass index (BMI), cardiorespiratory fitness, blood pressure, and muscular strength in late adolescence, are associated with later cardiovascular outcomes. [6][7][8][9][10][11] However, a sizeable proportion of the variation in these risk factors [12][13][14] and in CVD 15,16 is attributable to heritable and environmental influences. Previous studies may, therefore, have been confounded by genetic and environmental factors, potentially overestimating the presumed benefit of modifying these risk factors in youth. ...
... We excluded 108 189 individuals (8.7%) with missing data on any of the exposures and 1088 individuals (0.1%) with missing data on birth year or conscription office. In accordance with previous studies based on the same population, 6,17,27 we also excluded 2175 individuals (0.2%) with extreme values on the exposures (described later). ...
... 8,11,21 We excluded conscripts with extreme values (BMI <15 and >60, cardiorespiratory fitness <100 W maximum, systolic blood pressure <100 and >180 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure <40 and >100 mm Hg, and handgrip strength <100 N), in accordance with previous studies. 6,17,27 To shed light on the combined effect of the exposures, we used a method similar to that of a recent study, 5 where we calculated a combined measure as the unweighted mean across exposure z scores. For consistency, we inverted the scale of cardiorespiratory fitness and handgrip strength, and to not give double weight to blood pressure, we instead used the mean arterial pressure ([2 × diastolic + systolic] / 3). ...
Article
Full-text available
Importance Cardiovascular risk factors in youth have been associated with future cardiovascular disease (CVD), but conventional observational studies are vulnerable to genetic and environmental confounding. Objective To examine the role of genetic and environmental factors shared by full siblings in the association of adolescent cardiovascular risk factors with future CVD. Design, Setting, and Participants This is a nationwide cohort study with full sibling comparisons. All men who underwent mandatory military conscription examinations in Sweden between 1972 and 1995 were followed up until December 31, 2016. Data analysis was performed from May 1 to November 10, 2022. Exposures Body mass index (BMI), cardiorespiratory fitness, blood pressure, handgrip strength, and a combined risk z score in late adolescence. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was fatal or nonfatal CVD, as recorded in the National Inpatient Register or the Cause of Death Register before 2017. Results A total of 1 138 833 men (mean [SD] age, 18.3 [0.8] years), of whom 463 995 were full brothers, were followed up for a median (IQR) of 32.1 (26.7-37.7) years, during which 48 606 experienced a CVD outcome (18 598 among full brothers). All risk factors were associated with CVD, but the effect of controlling for unobserved genetic and environmental factors shared by full siblings varied. In the sibling analysis, hazard ratios for CVD (top vs bottom decile) were 2.10 (95% CI, 1.90-2.32) for BMI, 0.77 (95% CI, 0.68-0.88) for cardiorespiratory fitness, 1.45 (95% CI, 1.32-1.60) for systolic blood pressure, 0.90 (95% CI, 0.82-0.99) for handgrip strength, and 2.19 (95% CI, 1.96-2.46) for the combined z score. The percentage attenuation in these hazard ratios in the sibling vs total cohort analysis ranged from 1.1% for handgrip strength to 40.0% for cardiorespiratory fitness. Consequently, in the sibling analysis, the difference in cumulative CVD incidence at age 60 years (top vs bottom decile) was 7.2% (95% CI, 5.9%-8.6%) for BMI and 1.8% (95% CI, 1.0%-2.5%) for cardiorespiratory fitness. Similarly, in the sibling analysis, hypothetically shifting everyone in the worst deciles of BMI to the middle decile would prevent 14.9% of CVD at age 60 years, whereas the corresponding number for cardiorespiratory fitness was 5.3%. Conclusions and Relevance In this Swedish national cohort study, cardiovascular risk factors in late adolescence, especially a high BMI, were important targets for CVD prevention, independently of unobserved genetic and environmental factors shared by full siblings. However, the role of adolescent cardiorespiratory fitness in CVD may have been overstated by conventional observational studies.
... 23,27 The evidence concerning youth MF's association with adulthood cardiometabolic health is more uncertain, even though MF has been shown to be associated with lower CMD morbidity and mortality 9,29 in adulthood. Longitudinal inverse associations have been reported between adolescent MF and adult chronic disability due to CVD, 26 risk for premature death due to CVD, 30 incidence of T2DM, 18 strokes, 19 and risk factors for CMD. 20,[31][32][33] However, two of the studies 32,33 reported conflicting findings and three 18,19,26 found adolescent MF to be less influential on future CVD and T2DM than CRF is. ...
... 23,27 Additionally, extended longitudinal investigation is justifiable as the prevalence of cardiometabolic conditions increases along with age. 30,31 2 | METHODS ...
Article
Full-text available
Objectives The aim of this study was to examine the associations of adolescent cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF), muscular fitness (MF), and speed‐agility fitness (SA) with middle‐aged cardiometabolic disease risk and explore sex differences. Methods This 45‐year prospective cohort study examined the associations between objectively measured fitness at adolescence (12–19 years) and physician‐ascertained diabetes mellitus, elevated blood pressure (BP), and coronary heart disease reported either in early (37–44 years) or late (57–64 years) middle age, and self‐measurement of waist circumference (WC) in late middle age. Fitness measurements for healthy adolescents in baseline included CRF (1.5 km [girls] and 2 km [boys] run), MF (standing broad jump, sit‐ups, pull‐ups [boys], and flexed‐arm hang [girls]), and SA (50 m dash and 4 × 10 m shuttle run). Logistic regression and general linear models were adjusted for baseline age, sex, and body mass index (BMI), involving data from baseline and at least one follow‐up measurement ( N up to 1358, 47% males). Results Adolescent CRF was inversely, and regardless of adiposity, associated with middle age accumulated burden of cardiometabolic conditions in the whole sample ( N = 562, ß = −0.10, 95% confidence intervals [CI] [−0.18, −0.03], p = 0.006), and elevated BP in females ( N = 256, OR = 0.71, 95% CI [0.51, 0.91]). Overall, we observed stronger associations in females than in males. An inverse association of adolescent MF and SA with middle‐aged WC was observed, but it did not show as consistent associations as with CRF. Conclusions In this study, adolescent fitness, particularly CRF, was inversely associated with the burden of cardiometabolic conditions up to 45 years. Promotion of fitness in youth may be beneficial in preventing adulthood cardiometabolic diseases.
... MSF reflects the ability of a muscle or a group of muscles to exert force maximally (muscular strength), explosively (muscular power), or continuously without fatigue (muscular endurance) (ACSM, 2021). In children, both low CRF and MSF are significantly associated with increased cardiometabolic disease risk, increased adiposity, and low selfesteem (Garcia-Hermoso et al., 2019;Ortega et al., 2008;Smith et al., 2014) as well as early all-cause mortality in adulthood (Hogstrom et al., 2019;Ortega et al., 2012). Flexibility, the ability to move a joint through a full range of motion, is considered important to carry out activities of daily living (ACSM, 2021;IOM, 2012;Ruiz et al., 2009) and may impact other aspects of physical fitness. ...
... It is also noteworthy that these trends have occurred over a short period of time (about 1.5 decades) and may continue in the future. Improvements in physical fitness are important for reducing the risk factors for adverse health outcomes (Baker et al., 2007;Garcia-Hermoso et al., 2019;Hidayat et al., 2018;Hogstrom et al., 2019;Ortega et al., 2008Ortega et al., , 2012Smith et al., 2014;Twig et al., 2016), especially among those with low fitness. Future research should determine the population health significance of the observed trends in CRF and MSF among Hong Kong children. ...
... For example, although some studies showed that HGS weakness was positively associated with all-cause mortality, progress-free survival and quality of life in patients with lung cancer, 6,7 gastrointestinal cancer 6,7 or breast cancer, [6][7][8] others failed to validate the associations between HGS weakness and health complications in patients with cancer. 6,[9][10][11][12][13] One possible reason for this controversy may be the variation in HGS measurement protocols across studies. [14][15][16] Recently, our team found that two common measurement protocols recommended by the American Society of Hand Therapists (ASHT) 17 and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), 18 respectively, would significantly influence the maximum HGS values but had no significant impact on the identification of HGS weakness in community-dwelling older adults. ...
Article
Full-text available
Background The use of handgrip strength (HGS) in clinical cancer research is surging. The association between HGS and outcomes in patients with cancer varied across studies, which might be due to the different measurement protocols for HGS. We aimed to answer three questions: (1) Did the use of various protocols for HGS, along with different numbers of repetitions, lead to significant differences in maximum HGS values? (2) If yes, were these differences clinically significant? (3) Did the differences in HGS protocols and repetitions affect the identification of HGS weakness or HGS asymmetry? Methods We continuously recruited adult patients with solid tumours. Two protocols were used to measure HGS: Method A, following the American Society of Hand Therapists guidelines, and Method B, following the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey guidelines. To analyse HGS, we used the maximal value obtained from either two or three repetitions of the dominant hand or four or six repetitions of both hands. Results We included 497 patients (326 men and 171 women, median age: 58 years). The maximal HGS values, measured with Method B, were significantly higher than those measured by Method A in both men and women, despite repetitions (all P < 0.05). The maximum HGS values were significantly different across the repetition groups, regardless of measurement protocols and sex (all P < 0.01). The protocol-induced differences in maximal HGS values might be clinically meaningful in over 60% of men and 40% of women despite repetitions. The repetition-induced difference was only clinically significant in 4.3-17.8% of men and 4.1-14.6% of women. To identify HGS weakness, using Method A (six repetitions) as the 'gold' standard, the other protocols demonstrated an overall accuracy of 0.923-0.997 in men and 0.965-1 in women. To identify HGS asymmetry, using Method A (six repetitions) as the 'gold' standard, Method B (six repetitions) demonstrated a diagnostic accuracy of 0.972 in men and 0.971 in women. Method A (four repetitions) showed a diagnostic accuracy of 0.837 in men and 0.825 in women, while Method B (four repetitions) showed a diagnostic accuracy of 0.825 in men and 0.807 in women. Conclusions Both measurement protocols and repetitions significantly affect the maximal HGS values. The identification of HGS weakness is not significantly affected by either protocols or repetitions, while the identification of HGS asymmetry may be affected by different repetitions but not protocols.
... To achieve large magnitude improvements in maximum oxygen uptake, the authors recommended 14-30 sessions for 6-12 weeks, with each session lasting at least 20-30 min, at intensities between 60 and 90% of one-repetition maximum (1RM) [17]. RT has also been shown to improve body composition, skeletal bone health, independent living, and mobility in older adults, decreasing back pain, falls, and fractures, and contributing to fewer functional (multi-joint movements mimicking daily tasks) limitations [10,13,14,19,20]. Impaired balance, which can lead to falls resulting in fractures, especially with seniors, can also be enhanced with traditional RT exercises as well as RT exercises performed on unstable surfaces [21,22]. ...
Article
Full-text available
Background Findings from original research, systematic reviews, and meta-analyses have demonstrated the effectiveness of resistance training (RT) on markers of performance and health. However, the literature is inconsistent with regards to the dosage effects (frequency, intensity, time, type) of RT to maximize training-induced improvements. This is most likely due to moderating factors such as age, sex, and training status. Moreover, individuals with limited time to exercise or who lack motivation to perform RT are interested in the least amount of RT to improve physical fitness. Objectives The objective of this review was to investigate and identify lower than typically recommended RT dosages (i.e., shorter durations, lower volumes, and intensity activities) that can improve fitness components such as muscle strength and endurance for sedentary individuals or beginners not meeting the minimal recommendation of exercise. Methods Due to the broad research question involving different RT types, cohorts, and outcome measures (i.e., high het-erogeneity), a narrative review was selected instead of a systematic meta-analysis approach. Results It seems that one weekly RT session is sufficient to induce strength gains in RT beginners with < 3 sets and loads below 50% of one-repetition maximum (1RM). With regards to the number of repetitions, the literature is controversial and some authors report that repetition to failure is key to achieve optimal adaptations, while other authors report similar adaptations with fewer repetitions. Additionally, higher intensity or heavier loads tend to provide superior results. With regards to the RT type, multi-joint exercises induce similar or even larger effects than single-joint exercises. Conclusion The least amount of RT that can be performed to improve physical fitness for beginners for at least the first 12 weeks is one weekly session at intensities below 50% 1RM, with < 3 sets per multi-joint exercise.
... To achieve large magnitude improvements in maximum oxygen uptake, the authors recommended 14-30 sessions for 6-12 weeks, with each session lasting at least 20-30 min, at intensities between 60 and 90% of one-repetition maximum (1RM) [17]. RT has also been shown to improve body composition, skeletal bone health, independent living, and mobility in older adults, decreasing back pain, falls, and fractures, and contributing to fewer functional (multi-joint movements mimicking daily tasks) limitations [10,13,14,19,20]. Impaired balance, which can lead to falls resulting in fractures, especially with seniors, can also be enhanced with traditional RT exercises as well as RT exercises performed on unstable surfaces [21,22]. ...
Article
Full-text available
Background Findings from original research, systematic reviews, and meta-analyses have demonstrated the effectiveness of resistance training (RT) on markers of performance and health. However, the literature is inconsistent with regards to the dosage effects (frequency, intensity, time, type) of RT to maximize training-induced improvements. This is most likely due to moderating factors such as age, sex, and training status. Moreover, individuals with limited time to exercise or who lack motivation to perform RT are interested in the least amount of RT to improve physical fitness. Objectives The objective of this review was to investigate and identify lower than typically recommended RT dosages (i.e., shorter durations, lower volumes, and intensity activities) that can improve fitness components such as muscle strength and endurance for sedentary individuals or beginners not meeting the minimal recommendation of exercise. Methods Due to the broad research question involving different RT types, cohorts, and outcome measures (i.e., high heterogeneity), a narrative review was selected instead of a systematic meta-analysis approach. Results It seems that one weekly RT session is sufficient to induce strength gains in RT beginners with < 3 sets and loads below 50% of one-repetition maximum (1RM). With regards to the number of repetitions, the literature is controversial and some authors report that repetition to failure is key to achieve optimal adaptations, while other authors report similar adaptations with fewer repetitions. Additionally, higher intensity or heavier loads tend to provide superior results. With regards to the RT type, multi-joint exercises induce similar or even larger effects than single-joint exercises. Conclusion The least amount of RT that can be performed to improve physical fitness for beginners for at least the first 12 weeks is one weekly session at intensities below 50% 1RM, with < 3 sets per multi-joint exercise.
... Moreover, in the research of McGregor et al. (2014) aging facilitates the decrease in muscle mass, muscle quality, metabolism, aerobic capacity, insulin resistance, fat infiltration, fibrosis and neural activation. Furthermore, the actual implications of good muscular condition was demonstrated by Ortega et al. (2012) the study suggested that good muscular condition at this stage is associated with a 20-35% lower risk of premature mortality. In terms of muscle flexibility, the respondents described themselves as very flexible individuals. ...
Article
Full-text available
This research aims to assess the current physical fitness status of maritime students and develop strategies to prepare them before their onboarding on international and local vessels. Physical conditioning is identified as the dependent variable, reflecting the general physical functioning and fitness of the respondents. The research hypothesizes that physical activity and BMI also play a significant role in predicting physical conditioning. A total of 212 respondents from the marine transportation and marine engineering programs were included in the study, predominantly male students aged 19-21, classified under the "lower middle-income" socioeconomic category. The results indicate that the respondents perceive themselves as having good muscular condition, flexibility, and body composition. The study reveals positive associations between muscular flexibility and condition, muscular flexibility and physical conditioning, and body composition and physical conditioning. Multiple regression analyses identified muscle flexibility, muscular condition, body composition, BMI, and time spent on physical activity as significant predictors of physical conditioning. Notably, small decreases in body composition and time spent on physical activity were associated with increased physical conditioning, emphasizing the importance of improving these variables to enhance physical health. In conclusion, this research provides insights into the physical fitness status of maritime students and identifies factors influencing their physical conditioning. The study highlights the contributions of muscular flexibility, muscular condition, body composition, physical activity, and BMI in maintaining good physical health among maritime students.
... Physical fitness is a good indicator of health status among youth (Ortega et al., 2008). Higher fitness levels suggest better health outcomes in children and adolescents (Ortega et al., 2008) while physically less fit individuals tend to be at higher risk for developing chronic diseases (Högström et al., 2015;Hurtig-Wennlöf et al., 2007;Lätt et al., 2016), mental health disorders (Ortega et al., 2008) and are at higher risk for all-cause mortality (Ortega et al., 2012;Sato et al., 2009). Monitoring physical fitness is especially important at a young age considering that physically fit children and adolescents are more likely to become physically fit and active DIFFERENCES BETWEEN BAREFOOT AND SHOD PERFORMANCE | T. OCVIRK ET AL. ...
Article
Full-text available
Physical fitness is an important health indicator and component of physical literacy. Therefore, monitoring youth fitness performance is crucial for identifying potential health risks and tracking physical literacy development. Over the years, many fitness test batteries have been developed while different protocols for footwear have been used in fitness testing. The comparison of fitness results performed in different footwear could therefore be questioned. Thus, the purpose of this study was to examine the differences between barefoot and shod performance of selected motor tests in adolescents. Eighty-six adolescents aged between 14 and 16 years performed standing long jump, 20-m shuttle run, and polygon backwards in both footwear conditions. A strong correlation (r=0.83-0.95) was noted between both performances. No significant differences between barefoot and shod performance in the standing long jump and the backward obstacle course test were found, while significant differences were noted in the 20-m shuttle run. In this test, both, boys and girls performed better in shod conditions. Interestingly, there were no significant differences in performance of all tests among those who are habitually barefoot and others. From practical perspective, this study demonstrated that researchers could compare scores of samples in barefoot and shod performance of standing long jump and backward obstacle course tests. However, when physical teachers compare individual scores over the years, this should be made under the same footwear conditions, as differences in test conditions can provide a distorted picture of motor development.
Article
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Objective This study aimed to assess the mediation effects of lean mass and fat mass on the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and handgrip strength (HGS) in adolescents. Method The sample included 118 adolescents (60 girls) aged 10–14 years. Body composition, determined from lean mass (LM) and fat mass (FM), was measured by dual‐energy x‐ray absorptiometry. HGS was measured using a digital dynamometer. Moderate‐to‐vigorous physical activity and sexual maturation, treated as covariates, were evaluated by accelerometry and pubic hair development, respectively. Spearman correlation and simple mediation analysis were used for statistical analysis. Results A positive relationship was observed between BMI and HGS (rho = .364, p < .001), BMI and LM (rho = .466, p < .001), LM and HGS (rho = .784, p < .001), BMI and FM (rho = .907, p < .001), and FM and HGS (rho = .291, p = .001). LM was the only significant mediator of the relationship between BMI and HGS. Conclusion Only LM mediated the association between BMI and HGS, almost entirely explaining the relationship. The findings reinforce the need to include LM measurements in routine strength testing. Furthermore, strategies focused on LM development may be promising in preventing low muscle strength in adolescents.
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