Article

Race, Ethnicity, Threat, and the Designation of Career Offenders

Taylor & Francis on behalf of the Academy of Criminal Justice Sciences
Justice Quarterly
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Abstract

Florida statutes allow for the application of enhanced sentences to defendants designated as “Career Offenders.” The application of these laws is discretionary and as such, prosecutors seek the designation for a fraction of the defendants who qualify. Utilizing Hierarchical Generalized Linear Modeling, this paper examines whether individual attributes, such as race and ethnicity, impact an individual’s likelihood of receiving the Career Offender designation for 13,704 males sentenced to prison between 2002 and 2004. The second-level analysis incorporates county characteristics into the equation and tests whether these predictors have either a direct or a cross-level effect on the relationship. The broad theoretical framework that guides the present research is grounded in the social threat and social control perspective, which argues that minorities on both the individual and aggregate levels may be perceived as threatening in ways that can mobilize or enhance social controls.

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... While some empirical support for the social threat perspective has been documented, most research has demonstrated that, in accordance with the liberation hypothesis, racial and ethnic sentencing disparities are greater among less serious offense types, including drug and property crimes. However, with only a few exceptions (Caravelis et al., 2011(Caravelis et al., , 2013Maxwell et al., 2003), there has been little exploration of these competing hypotheses among violent offenses, and what research does exist has been limited by a rather restrictive empirical treatment of crime type, often focusing only on a few broad violent offense categories. As a result, variation in the effects of race/ ethnicity on punishment among offenders sentenced for a wide range of violent crimes remains unexplored. ...
... However, given these conflicting theoretical expectations, it is unclear whether Black-White and Hispanic-White disparities might be more prominent in the sentencing of more serious crimes or less serious crimes. This ambiguity is particularly salient for understanding variations in the conditional effects of crime type among violent offenses given the wide range of criminal acts that are typically characterized as violent as well as the limited research on heterogeneity in racial/ethnic sentencing disparities across different violent crime types (Caravelis et al., 2011(Caravelis et al., , 2013Maxwell et al., 2003;Spohn & Cederblom, 1991). The primary goal of the present study is to provide some additional clarity to these issues. ...
... The research by Caravelis and colleagues (2011) on habitual offender sentencing found that, while racial and ethnic disparities were stronger for property and drug offenses overall, among violent offenses Black defendants were most disadvantaged in assault and robbery cases, though Hispanics were more strongly penalized relative to Whites for rape and battery. However, a later study by these same authors showed that race effects on the career offender designation were present only for battery, while effects of Hispanic ethnicity emerged for both battery and robbery (Caravelis et al., 2013). ...
Article
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Within the large body of literature on racial/ethnic disparities in criminal sentencing, some research has demonstrated that these relationships are conditional upon various legally relevant case characteristics, including the type of offense for which the defendants are sentenced. To date, however, few studies have explored the potential moderating effects of different violent crimes. Using data from Florida (N = 186,885), the findings from these analyses indicate that Black-White sentencing disparities are particularly pronounced for manslaughter, robbery/carjacking, arson, and resisting arrest with violence. While Hispanic ethnicity exerts limited effects on sentencing outcomes generally, Hispanics are particularly disadvantaged in manslaughter cases. Relative to minority defendants, White offenders receive harsher sentences for sexual battery, other sex offenses, and abuse of children.
... Indeed, net of such variables as crime rates, economic conditions, and political context, minority defendants have been found to experience especially severe sentencing outcomes in areas characterized by larger Black or Hispanic populations (Bontrager et al., 2005;Ulmer & Johnson, 2004;Wang & Mears, 2015). Other work has shown that the dynamic dimensions of macro-level racial/ethnic context size are key, with larger disparities found among cases disposed in locations with Black or Hispanic communities that experienced recent growth (e.g., Caravelis et al., 2011Caravelis et al., , 2013cf. Wang & Mears, 2010). ...
Chapter
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The presence of inequalities in criminal punishment according to defendants’ race, ethnicity, gender, or socioeconomic status arguably challenges the philosophical and moral foundations of the justice system. Nevertheless, there is clear evidence of disproportional representation according to these offender characteristics in US correctional populations. For this reason, much criminological research over the past 50 years, and especially within the past two decades, has been devoted to examining judicial decision-making at the sentencing stage of criminal justice processing. This chapter provides a brief overview of this literature, which consistently has shown that minority defendants, males, and those of lower socioeconomic status receive disparately harsh penalties, even after a host of other legal and extralegal factors are accounted for. Additionally, we discuss the research exploring the individual- and contextual-level conditions under which these inequalities appear to be more or less pronounced. Following this review, we present the theoretical frameworks which sentencing scholars most often have used to explain these patterns, and we emphasize in particular the potential role of implicit biases held and acted upon by criminal justice actors. We conclude by describing several areas where policy reform might reduce these disparities and ensure a more equitable system of punishment.
... Although evidence of racial/ethnic threat in sentencing is mixed (see Feldmeyer and Cochran 2018), many studies have found support for the theory. Growing minority populations have been linked to greater Black-White (and Hispanic-White) disparities in incarceration, sentence length, departures, and other sentencing outcomes, such as the death penalty or habitual offender designation (Caravelis et al. 2011(Caravelis et al. , 2013Feldmeyer et al. 2015;Jacobs and Carmichael 2001;Jacobs et al. 2005;Johnson 2005;Ulmer and Johnson 2004;Weidner et al. 2005). ...
Article
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Economic threat arguments within the broader racial/ethnic threat theory suggest that economic competition between minorities and Whites encourages the majority group to apply formal social controls on minorities to maintain their advantaged positions. Prior sentencing research has given limited attention to economic threat and has only done so using cross-sectional measures, which does not capture changing economic circumstances (a key element of racial/ethnic threat). The goal of this study is to provide a test of economic threat—and racial/ethnic threat more broadly—utilizing time variant measures. To achieve this goal, we use case-level data from the Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines Commission (N = 122,666) and county-level data from the United States Census Bureau. Multilevel regression models reveal partial but limited support for economic threat. Specifically, counties with a growing portion of minorities living above the poverty line between 2000 and 2010 had larger minority disadvantages (in comparison to Whites) at incarceration. However, economic threat measures do not significantly contextualize minority–White sentence length differences, while the broader racial/ethnic threat measures do not significantly influence minority–White outcomes at the incarceration or sentencing length decision. The results suggest that economic threat may explain a small but limited portion of the racial disparities identified.
... In federal courts, Hispanic defendants received the longest sentences when they constituted the smallest proportion of sentencing district population (Feldmeyer & Ulmer, 2011). However, percent Latino increased the likelihood that eligible defendants would receive the stigmatizing designation of "career offender" from sentencing judges in Florida (Caravelis, Chiricos, & Bales, 2013). ...
... On the other hand, other studies operate under the assumption that threat effects are specific or "targeted" to minority groups. Sentencing studies, for example, have commonly used cross-level interactions to assess whether Black (or Latino) defendants receive harsher outcomes in areas with higher percentages of Black (or Latino) residents (Caravelis et al., 2011(Caravelis et al., , 2013Feldmeyer & Ulmer, 2011 ;Feldmeyer et al., 2015 ;Light et al., 2014 ;Ulmer & Bradley, 2006 ;Ulmer & Johnson, 2004 ;Wang & Mears, 2015 ;Zane, 2017 ). Likewise, policing studies and public opinion analyses have focused on the impact of racial composition on minority arrests and fear of minority crime (or support for punitiveness toward racial/ethnic minorities) (e.g., see Eitle et al., 2002 ;Johnson et al., 2011;Mears et al., 2013 ;Ousey & Lee, 2008 ;Parker et al., 2005;Pickett et al., 2012 ;Stewart et al., 2015;Stolzenberg et al., 2004 ). ...
... To our knowledge, there are few studies that describe what happens in the phase in which prosecutors decide to charge or not to charge someone for a given crime. Furthermore, from the results of these studies, it is not possible to describe a consistent pattern, with analysis of justice data sets suggesting either some (Radelet and Pierce 1985) or no disparate decisions by prosecutors (Caravelis, Chiricos and Bales 2013). As such, studies that can isolate the effect of race or status in the charge and plea bargain phase are in need. ...
Chapter
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We make trivial decisions every day but, every once in a while, we face decisions that have a deep impact on others, as they may imply serious harm or the unequal distribution of relevant material or symbolic resources. These socially critical decisions (scd) constitute the core of this chapter. Its main goal is to describe the literature on these scd and present empirical research testing how the contextual salience of a meritocratic norm impacts on these decisions towards low-status group members.
Article
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This study aspires to address three important gaps in the Minority Threat literature by using Multilevel Structural Equation Modeling (MSEM) to develop separate perceptual measures of economic and political threat, exploring the indirect path from population characteristics to sentencing severity via perceived threat, and assessing the transference of immigrant threat onto LatinX offenders. The findings support many, but not all, of the theorized propositions. Specifically, threat indicators definitively load into distinguishable economic and political threat measures. Population composition predicts LatinX sentencing outcomes but is mediated by perceived threat. Evidence also suggests immigrant threat is displaced onto LatinX drug defendants. However, the directionality of these paths is more convoluted than theorized. The corresponding theoretical and methodological implications are explored.
Article
Research has focused mainly on whether race and ethnicity influence sentencing outcomes. Much less attention, however, has been paid to where, geographically, disparities occur in the United States. Using the United States Sentencing Commission’s sentencing data from FY2015 to FY2019, we estimated the effects of race and ethnicity on sentencing outcomes across 90 U.S. districts. First, we examined whether race and ethnicity varied across districts. Then we mapped district-level racial and ethnic disparities across the United States. Finally, we examined whether district-level racial and ethnic disparities were spatially correlated, creating hot- or cold spots of disparity. Evidence suggests that disparities are not concentrated within specific regions of the United States and are not spatially correlated. Instead, racial and ethnic disparities seem to be somewhat dispersed geographically. Yet, disparities do seem to concentrate in a relatively small portion of U.S. districts.
Chapter
This chapter is broadly divided into two sections, the first section will focus on the prison population, including how many people are in prison, their age, sex, gender and ethnicity. This section will explore the worldwide ageing prison population, and the reasons why older prisoners are the fastest growing group in prisons. Sex and gender of prisoners will be explored with the inclusion of prisoners who identify as non-binary or transgender, as well as the act of sex in prison. The last element of this section will introduce the overrepresentation of minoritised ethnicities in prison, and the reasons why this continues in the twenty-first century. The second section will focus on the culture within prisons including substance misuse, violence, sexual violence and gendered violence, as well as the unwritten prison code created by prisoners for prisoners. The discussions will include data and information from England and Wales, the United States and Australia.KeywordsPrisonPrison populationsAgeing prisonersTransgender prisonersMale prisonersWomen prisonersEthnic minorities in prisonSubstance misuseViolence in prisonPrison culture
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Recently there has been a call for research that explores decision-making at stages prior to sentencing in the criminal justice process. Particularly research is needed under a determinate sentencing system where judicial dispositions are usually restricted by guidelines, which increases the importance of earlier decision-making stages. As an answer to this call, and in an attempt to build on currents studies on the effects of departures as an intervening mechanism, and a source of unwarranted disparity, this study explores federal sentencing data on offenders convicted of crack-cocaine and powder-cocaine offenses. Although decision-making of all criminal justice actors generally, and prosecutors specifically, has been the subject of much research, studies have yet to resolve the nature and outcome of their "autonomous" discretion. This autonomy becomes especially salient regarding prosecutorial decisions for substantial assistance departures. In deciding who receives a substantial assistance departure, the prosecutor has carte blanche power.
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In this paper, using a sample of 5,272 domestic violence cases processed through the Sacramento County District Attorney's Office between July 1, 1999 and December 31, 2000, we analyze the predictors of victim support for official action. We test the impact of victim and offender characteristics, situational variables, and official behavior on whether it was the victim or some third party who called for assistance, whether the victim desired the arrest, and whether the victim was willing to prosecute. The multiple significant effects found include race/ethnicity, gender, cohabitation, co-parenthood, attack severity, victim injury, prior incidents, reporting of prior incidents, presence of a protective order, provision of victim services, victim substance use, and suspect injury. Especially important from a policy perspective is that prosecutor charging practice (i.e., filing as a felony rather than a misdemeanor or violation of probation) was negatively associated with levels of victim support for prosecution.
Article
Although the social context of a court is often claimed to be important to understanding the effect of the offender's race on punishment decisions, the links between context and racial disparities in punishment decisions are not well understood. I propose and test four hypotheses involving elements that may link social context to racial disparities in punishment decisions: urbanization, racial threat, economic threat, and crime control. I test these four hypotheses with sentencing data from the Pennsylvania Commission on Sentencing for the period 1991 to 1994. The main findings are as follows: (1) punishment severity varies by court jurisdiction, even after controlling for offender and case characteristics; (2) racial disparities vary by court jurisdiction, with controls for other offender and case characteristics; (3) measures of social context explain little of the contextual variation in punishment decisions for all offenders; and (4) measures of social context do not explain racial disparities in punishment decisions. Thus, I find convincing evidence of contextual variation in punishment decisions, but typical indicators of social context do not explain these variations.
Article
We examine in this article the relationship between economic inequality and rates of violent crime of blacks and whites, using SMSA-level data for 1980 as compiled from raw arrest data on index violent crimes in the FBI's Uniform Crime Reports and from the 1980 census. The analysis is disaggregated by race and uses alternative measures of inequality (and poverty) to provide more theoretically appropriate indicators of income inequality, including measures of within-race inequality in addition to measures of overall inequality and between-race inequality. Controls are included for racial composition and other variables related to race and crime. We find that the effects of inequality differ sharply for blacks and whites. Inequality strongly affects white violence rates — high inequality is associated with high white arrest rates for the violent crimes. However, inequality has a weak effect on black violence rates. The theoretical and research implications of our findings are discussed.
Article
A central and recurring concern in the sociology of criminal law is racial disparity in imprisonment—blacks are much more likely than whites to be imprisoned for crimes. Sociological theories disagree over the sources of imprisonment disparity. Prior research has ignored the social, economic, and legal characteristics of states and regions of the country that may contribute to disparity. The present study finds differences in the social standing of blacks relative to whites that explain substantial and statistically significant variation in racial disparity in imprisonment across states after racial differences in involvement in crime are controlled. Blacks are more likely than whites to be imprisoned in states where the black population is a small percentage of the total population and predominantly urban. The implications of these findings for a structural theory of punishment are discussed.
Article
Durkheimian, Marxist, and Weberian theories provide contrasting views of the influences of the social structure of areas and communities on law and the legal process. In light of these theories, we examine how various aspects of community social structure differentially affect criminal punishments administered to whites and nonwhites. Using county-level data from the state of Washington, we regress white and nonwhite rates of imprisonment on measures of crime and arrest rates, county social structure, and court workload. This analysis indicates that nonwhites—but not whites—are particularly likely to be sentenced to prison in urbanized counties and in counties with relatively large minority populations. We conclude by presenting material from interviews with justice officials which sheds light on the perceptual and political processes that link structural conditions to patterns of criminal punishment.
Article
Proponents of traditional conflict theory have argued that minority races receive harsher justice system dispositions because they lack the power and resources to ensure equal treatment. Hawkins’ (1987) proposed revision of this model predicts minoritv races will receive harsher dispositions in social contexts in which their power threatens the dominant group's hegemony. This study uses juvenile justice processing data from the 32 Florida SMA counties to examine these competing models. The effects of three measures of blacks’ power are considered—the relative size of black and white population, the proportion of blacks who are poor, and the average black/white income gap—on differential treatment of black and white juveniles at three court processing stages. A higher proportion of whites in the population is associated with harsher dispositions for black youths. This result is consistent with traditional conflict theory. The other two measures have no differential racial effect on disposition severity.
Article
Recently, Liska, Lawrence, and Benson (1981) and Greenberg, Kessler, and Loftin (1985) have examined the effects of static measures of social and economic characteristics of cities on changes in police force size. In brief, they report that these measures have small and inconsistent effects on changes in police force size during the previous three decades. This study extends this research by examining the influence of static and dynamic measures of social structure on the change in police force size among cities during the 1970s. The results indicate that three dynamic measures of social structure significantly affect change in police size and thereby support the contention that the failure to control for processes of change may have led to specification bias in previous attempts to model changes in police size.
Article
Recent research has compared male and female trends in violent offending in Uniform Crime Report (UCR) arrest data with similar trends derived from victims' reports in the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) and has concluded that the two data sources produce contrary findings. In this article, we reassess this issue and draw different conclusions. Using pooled National Crime Survey (NCS) and NCVS data for 1973 to 2005, we find that the female-to-male offending rate ratios for aggravated assault, robbery, and simple assault have increased over time and that the narrowing of the gender gaps is very similar to patterns in UCR arrest data. In addition, we find that these patterns are in part caused by larger decreases in male than female offending after the mid-1990s and not by recent increases in violent offending rates among females. We conclude that changes in the gender gaps in aggravated assault, robbery, and simple assault are real and not artifacts; therefore, these changes deserve serious attention in future research. We conclude with a discussion of several hypotheses that might account for a narrowing of the gender gap in nonlethal violent offending over time.
Article
Using data from the Baldus, Woodworth, and Pulaski (1990) study of Georgia's death penalty system, we examine the influence of victim gender in death penalty cases. Furthermore, to improve our understanding of the meaning of victim gender, we consider 1) the joint effects of victim gender and victim race, 2) victimization characteristics that might explain victim gender effects, and 3) the impact of victim gender at different decision-making stages in the death penalty case process. We find that both victim gender and race are associated with death sentencing outcomes and that an examination of the joint effects of victim gender and race reveals considerable differences in the likelihood of receiving a death sentence between the most disparate victim race–gender groups. In particular, it seems that black male victim cases are set apart from all others in terms of leniency afforded to defendants. We also show that the effect of victim gender is explained largely by gender differences in the sexual nature of some homicides. An examination of prosecutorial and jury decision making reveals that although victim gender has little impact on prosecutorial decisions, it has a meaningful impact on jury decisions.
Article
Although a substantial number of researchers have studied charge reductions taking place within the context of guilty plea negotiations, few have focused on estimating the determinants of charge reductions taking place at the initial screening decision. The prosecutor's decision to reduce original felony charges to a misdemeanor has serious social, legal, and economic consequences for the suspect. This paper presents a model of the variables affecting the likelihood of such a reduction in burglary and robbery offenses. Drawing from Littrell's principled charging perspective and earlier research on labeling, the analysis involves estimating logistic regression equations specifying both main and interaction effects of the suspect's gender and race and variables related to suspect character, case seriousness, and legal seriousness. Partial support is found for Littrell's perspective.
Article
Designation as a “Habitual Offender” is an enhanced form of punishment which unlike, “Three Strikes” or “10-20-Life,” is entirely discretionary. We use Hierarchical Generalized Linear Modeling to assess the direct effects of race and Latino ethnicity on the designation of Habitual Offenders as well as the effect of both static and dynamic indicators of racial and ethnic threat on those outcomes. Our data include 26,740 adults sentenced to prison in Florida between 2002 and 2004 who were statutorily eligible to be sentenced as Habitual. The odds of receiving this designation are significantly increased for black and Latino defendants as compared to whites, though race and ethnicity effects vary substantially by crime type, being strongest for drug offenses and negligible for violent crimes. Static measures of group level threat (% black and % Latino) have no cross-level effect on sentencing by race or Latino ethnicity. However, increasing black population over time increases the odds of being sentenced as Habitual for both black and Latino defendants. Increasing Latino population increases the odds of Habitual Offender sentencing for Latinos, but decreases it for blacks. The prospect of engaging dynamic as opposed to static measures of threat in future criminal justice and other social control research is discussed. KeywordsDynamic threat–Judicial outcomes–Race and ethnicity–Social contexts–Hierarchical modeling
Prosecutorial discretion and the imposition of mandatory minimum sentences National crime victim-ization survey, 1992-2005: Concatenated incident-level files
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The politics of injustice Thousand Oaks, CA: Pine Forge Press Toward a theory of minority-group relations Law, social standing and racial disparities in imprisonment
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Race, ethnicity, and habitual-offender sentencing: A multilevel analysis of individual and contextual threat An alternative to Florida's current sentencing guidelines: A report to the legislature and the sentencing guide-lines commission
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