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Investing in Children: Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 1972–2007

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Abstract

Parental spending on children is often presumed to be one of the main ways that parents invest in children and a main reason why children from wealthier households are advantaged. Yet, although research has tracked changes in the other main form of parental investment-namely, time-there is little research on spending. We use data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey to examine how spending changed from the early 1970s to the late 2000s, focusing particularly on inequality in parental investment in children. Parental spending increased, as did inequality of investment. We also investigate shifts in the composition of spending and linkages to children's characteristics. Investment in male and female children changed substantially: households with only female children spent significantly less than parents in households with only male children in the early 1970s; but by the 1990s, spending had equalized; and by the late 2000s, girls appeared to enjoy an advantage. Finally, the shape of parental investment over the course of children's lives changed. Prior to the 1990s, parents spent most on children in their teen years. After the 1990s, however, spending was greatest when children were under the age of 6 and in their mid-20s.
Investing in Children: Changes in Parental Spending
on Children, 19722007
Sabino Kornrich &Frank Furstenberg
Published online: 18 September 2012
#Population Association of America 2012
Abstract Parental spending on children is often presumed to be one of the main
ways that parents invest in children and a main reason why children from wealthier
households are advantaged. Yet, although research has tracked changes in the other
main form of parental investmentnamely, timethere is little research on spend-
ing. We use data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey to examine how spending
changed from the early 1970s to the late 2000s, focusing particularly on inequality in
parental investment in children. Parental spending increased, as did inequality of
investment. We also investigate shifts in the composition of spending and linkages to
childrens characteristics. Investment in male and female children changed substan-
tially: households with only female children spent significantly less than parents in
households with only male children in the early 1970s; but by the 1990s, spending
had equalized; and by the late 2000s, girls appeared to enjoy an advantage. Finally,
the shape of parental investment over the course of childrens lives changed.
Prior to the 1990s, parents spent most on children in their teen years. After the
1990s, however, spending was greatest when children were under the age of 6
and in their mid-20s.
Keywords Children .Human capital .Inequality .Consumption
Introduction
Since roughly the late 1970s, income and wealth inequality increased steadily in the
United States, except for a short reprieve in the late 1990s (Danziger and Gottschalk
Demography (2013) 50:123
DOI 10.1007/s13524-012-0146-4
Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s13524-012-0146-4)
contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
S. Kornrich (*)
Center for Advanced Studies in the Social Sciences, Juan March Institute, Madrid, Spain
e-mail: skornrich@march.es
F. Furstenberg
Department of Sociology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
1995; Gilbert 2008; Levy 1998). A key question surrounding increases in inequality
in the United States and elsewhere is the extent to which inequality will be re-
created: in other words, how much do increases in current inequality contribute
to persistent inequalities through the intergenerational transmission of disadvantage?
Scholars and policy makers worry about the widening gap between rich and
poor, and many researchers have begun to examine the nature of the gap
(Magnuson and Votruba-Drzal 2009). Recent research finds that the achievement
gap between rich and poor children has widened, and it appears that greater
inequality in earnings is associated with increased differences in childrensachieve-
ment (Reardon 2011).
A debate continues about why and how much resources and parental behaviors
contribute to childrens welfare, but broad consensus exists that children in families
with more resources enjoy considerable advantages in their development and long-
term prospects (e.g., Duncan and Magnuson 2005; Duncan et al. 2001; Mayer 1997).
Parents of all social strata today appear to have become more aware and mobilized to
invest in their offspring, choosing qualityover quantityas they have fewer
children, and mothers and fathers both spend more time caring for children (Becker
1975; Bianchi 2000; Bianchi et al. 2006; Gauthier et al. 2004; Sayer et al. 2004;
Yeung et al. 2001). As changes in the labor market provide a greater premium for
education and training, children require more investment in the form of time and
money than even in the recent past.
Yet, although there is ample evidence about time use and family size, there
is less evidence about the other major form of parental investment: spending
on children. This is true even though it is presumably differences in monetary
expenditure that make up a substantial portion of the advantage conferred by
parents with higher income: spending buys access to higher-quality child care
and education, and places children in environments that are more likely to
build human and cultural capital.
1
Changes in spending should be an important
component of changed investment in the face of increased social inequality. Some
research has documented increased inequality in spending on children over a
shorttimeperiod(Bianchietal.2004), but there is relatively little evidence
about how it has changed over the period of growth in income inequality or
about how changes are linked to household income, family structure, and
childrens and parentscharacteristics.
This article addresses the questions of whether and how spending on children has
changed over the period roughly coinciding with the beginning of the growth in
income inequality through the late 2000s and how investments in children vary with
parental income and education and by childrens gender and age. Despite the impor-
tance of spending as a measure of parental investment in children, there has been little
research examining this question using this type of data (but see Bianchi et al. 2004;
Lazear and Michael 1988; Lundberg and Rose 2004; Ziol-Guest et al. 2004). To track
1
Becker (1975:9) defined investment in human capital as any activities that influence future monetary and
psychic income by increasing the resources in people,whereas Bourdieu (1984) referred to cultural capital
as dispositions and cultural competences, particularly in areas of legitimate taste, which may play a role in
career and school advancement. For this article, we are agnostic about the differences but note that parents
likely are interested in some combination of these.
2 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
1995; Gilbert 2008; Levy 1998). A key question surrounding increases in inequality
in the United States and elsewhere is the extent to which inequality will be re-
created: in other words, how much do increases in current inequality contribute
to persistent inequalities through the intergenerational transmission of disadvantage?
Scholars and policy makers worry about the widening gap between rich and
poor, and many researchers have begun to examine the nature of the gap
(Magnuson and Votruba-Drzal 2009). Recent research finds that the achievement
gap between rich and poor children has widened, and it appears that greater
inequality in earnings is associated with increased differences in childrensachieve-
ment (Reardon 2011).
A debate continues about why and how much resources and parental behaviors
contribute to childrens welfare, but broad consensus exists that children in families
with more resources enjoy considerable advantages in their development and long-
term prospects (e.g., Duncan and Magnuson 2005; Duncan et al. 2001; Mayer 1997).
Parents of all social strata today appear to have become more aware and mobilized to
invest in their offspring, choosing qualityover quantityas they have fewer
children, and mothers and fathers both spend more time caring for children (Becker
1975; Bianchi 2000; Bianchi et al. 2006; Gauthier et al. 2004; Sayer et al. 2004;
Yeung et al. 2001). As changes in the labor market provide a greater premium for
education and training, children require more investment in the form of time and
money than even in the recent past.
Yet, although there is ample evidence about time use and family size, there
is less evidence about the other major form of parental investment: spending
on children. This is true even though it is presumably differences in monetary
expenditure that make up a substantial portion of the advantage conferred by
parents with higher income: spending buys access to higher-quality child care
and education, and places children in environments that are more likely to
build human and cultural capital.
1
Changes in spending should be an important
component of changed investment in the face of increased social inequality. Some
research has documented increased inequality in spending on children over a
shorttimeperiod(Bianchietal.2004), but there is relatively little evidence
about how it has changed over the period of growth in income inequality or
about how changes are linked to household income, family structure, and
childrens and parentscharacteristics.
This article addresses the questions of whether and how spending on children has
changed over the period roughly coinciding with the beginning of the growth in
income inequality through the late 2000s and how investments in children vary with
parental income and education and by childrens gender and age. Despite the impor-
tance of spending as a measure of parental investment in children, there has been little
research examining this question using this type of data (but see Bianchi et al. 2004;
Lazear and Michael 1988; Lundberg and Rose 2004; Ziol-Guest et al. 2004). To track
1
Becker (1975:9) defined investment in human capital as any activities that influence future monetary and
psychic income by increasing the resources in people,whereas Bourdieu (1984) referred to cultural capital
as dispositions and cultural competences, particularly in areas of legitimate taste, which may play a role in
career and school advancement. For this article, we are agnostic about the differences but note that parents
likely are interested in some combination of these.
2 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
parental investments over time, we use a resource rarely used by sociologists or
demographers: the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES), which is a nationally
representative survey of consumer spending conducted by the U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics. We observe increases in inequality of spending over time, larger
shares of income spent on children, and parental expenditures over longer
periods of childrenslives.
Spending as Parental Investment in Children
Spending on children is one of the most direct ways that parents can invest in
children. Parental spending can buy children experiences that build human and
cultural capital: high-quality education, residence in better neighborhoods, and
potentially high-quality child care while children are young and parents are at
work. Although many of these experiences have long been available for parents
to purchase, their importance seems to have increased in recent years as
expectations for children have changed. Apprehensions about public schools
have grown over time, leading a growing percentage of parents to potentially
opt for private education, thus incurring larger expenditures. The growing
importance of higher education, often financed entirely or partly by parents,
has similarly added to the costs of raising a child and extended the period of
parental obligations.
Parental strategies designed to offer children appropriate learning experien-
ces at all stages of their life may also have driven up spending when children
are young. Hertz (1997:376) noted that couples speak a new language of
quasi-psychology that emphasizes developmentally appropriate educational
experiences for preschoolers who are introduced to the rudiments of a struc-
tured day, develop positive peer group experiences, and begin to develop a
positive relationship to learning,suggesting the importance even at early ages
of parental expenditures to provide learning environments. This expectation is
stronger among middle- and upper-class families. Indeed, Lareau (2003)exam-
ined class differences in child-rearing and found that middle- and upper-class
parents seek structured educational, social, and athletic activities for their children
in order to impart them with experiences necessary for a middle-class upbringing.
At early ages, then, spending opens up unique forms of investment that parents
seem to value more than in the past.
There have also been growing pressures on families to provide assistance for
older children in the form of postsecondary education. A growing body of
evidence suggests that parents at all income levels are increasingly willing to
provide assistance to their offspring in late adolescence and early adulthood.
Schoeni and Ross (2005) reported that one-fifth of all expenditures on children
living in the household are provided to those older than 18, and there are differences
in the level of transfers by parentsincome. Parents in all strata, according to this
study, provide about 10 % of their annual income to children older than the age of 18.
Thus, it appears parents are reconciled to the reality that it takes longer for their
children to reach economic maturity than it did a half-century ago (Danziger and
Rouse 2007; Furstenberg et al. 2004).
Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 19722007 3
Explaining Changes in Spending
Changes in aggregate spending may be understood in three ways. First, there are
changes in the level of spending, which capture the extent of parental investment.
Higher levels reflect more extensive, intense, and perhaps more valuable investments
in children. Of course, spending is not purely a measure of parentsdesire to invest
because the cost of goods plays a role. In this article, we adjust spending figures for
inflation, but the price of some goodsnotably higher educationhas increased
more rapidly than inflation. Although changes in prices have certainly occurred,
parents could respond to increased prices by contributing the same dollar amount
over time rather than increasing their investment as prices increase. Thus, a willing-
ness to pay for college or other goods that become more costly reflects a greater
commitment to investment in children.
2
The second important way to evaluate changes is to consider the composition of
spending: that is, what households buy with money they spend on their children. The
amount spent on each of the three categories that we examinenamely, education,
child care, and a range of consumer goodsshows whether households spend more
investing in education or in other areas.
The third set of changes is relationships between spending and household charac-
teristicsor, loosely, the determinantsof spending. Shifts linked to household
characteristics tell us how parents respond to changing social demands on the family
and whether this differs for different segments of the population. We examine both
childrens and parentscharacteristics.
Childrens Characteristics
We focus on childrens age and gender to gauge how norms of responsibility across
the course of childrens development and gender norms have changed over time.
First, in relation to the age of children, parents may allocate investment very
differently across the course of childrens lives. For example, parents could invest
heavily in children when they are young but relinquish responsibility at later ages, or
they could provide increased resources as children transition from the parental home
to help them establish independent lives, residences, and households. Given the
aforementioned qualitative evidence that parents today place great importance on
both early childhood development and postsecondary education, we ask whether
parents assume responsibility over a longer period of the life cycle of children
todaythaninthepast.
Childrens gender may also influence spending. The presence of sons instead of
daughters in the home influences a variety of marital outcomes, including stability,
fathersinvolvement, and gender traditionalism (Harris and Morgan 1991; Katzev et
al. 1994; Lundberg and Rose 2002). We expect that in the 1970s, when womens
2
An alternative explanation is that parental commitment to investment has driven up the price of college, as
demand has risen and supply has not kept pace. Whether this is the case or instead costs have gone up
independently and parents feel compelled to pay, we argue that payment reflects a commitment by parents
to invest in their college-age children.
4 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
careers were more circumscribed and gender ideologies less oriented to egalitarianism,
parents would invest more in male children.
Although parents may have invested more in sons in the past, changes in gender
norms toward egalitarianism and steps toward gender inequality may mean that
contemporary parents make roughly equal investments in male and female children.
Indeed, evidence on third births suggests that parents today are indifferent about the
gender of their children, unlike parents of the past (Pollard and Morgan 2002).
Similarly, evidence in the early 1990s found few differences between the spending
of households with male children and households with female children, although
households with only male children spent slightly less on clothing and more on
personal care services (Lundberg and Rose 2004). We thus expect that expenditures
will be divided more equally between boys and girls in recent years than in the 1970s.
ParentsCharacteristics
We examine a range of parental characteristics, including income, wivesshare of
earnings and labor force participation, parentsage, and parental education. We focus
particularly on the role of income, given our interest in the extent to which inequality has
shifted investment. Herein, we discuss literature that drives expectations about spending.
From 1972 to 2007, inequality increased in the United States (Levy 1998). We thus
investigate inequality in spending across the income distribution as well as the overall
level of spending. The increase in inequality came from increased income at the top
of the income distribution and income stagnation for those at the bottom and middle
of the distribution, so there should be greater spending at the top of the income
distribution. However, it is less clear how spending changed near the bottom of the
income distribution as real incomes declined. Those with low incomes could cut
back, but they may also attempt to maintain levels of spending because households
can, to some extent, smoothconsumption by borrowing or using savings. If
households maintain spending despite declining incomes, spending as a portion of
income would be higher among those with low incomes, and this would increase over
time. We thus examine changes in expenditures in both dollar amounts and as a
portion of current income. We also examine income adjusted for household size
because household size may shape household budget constraints.
In addition to total income, the source of income within the family may matter.
Research suggests that women, more than men, use their income and general house-
hold resources on children. When control of a child benefit in the United Kingdom
shifted to the mother from the father, households spent more on childrens goods,
suggesting that when women controlincome, they use it on children (Lundberg et
al. 1997). Similarly, children are less likely to experience food insecurity when
parentspooled income is controlled by a mother or is jointly controlled than when
it is controlled by the father alone, again suggesting that when mothers rather than
fathers control income, they use it to invest in childrens well-being (Kenney 2008).
Although the CES does not contain measures of who controlshousehold income,
marital bargaining perspectives suggest that husbands and wives roughly control their
own individual incomes and use them for goods that they are more interested in (De
Ruijter et al. 2005). We thus expect that households in which the wifes share of
earned income is higher will invest more in children.
Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 19722007 5
Parentsage and education and the structure of the family may also influence
spending. Older parents will likely have longer labor force histories and higher
savings, leading to a greater willingness to spend. Educated parents, as discussed
earlier, are more likely to have tastes for structured child care experiences and likely
value education more highly, leading to higher spending. Given changes in family
structure over the time period that we examine, such as the greater likelihood that
children live in single-parent households, we include measures of family structure.
Spending: Cost and Investment
There has been little quantitative research charting changes in parental expenditures. One
reason for this absence may be the difficulty of identifying expenditures on children (cf.,
Folbre 2008; Lazear and Michael 1988). The best source of data on expenditures in
the United States, the CES, does not specify who incurred expenditures or the target
of expenditures, thus making it difficult to assign individual goods and services.
One method to construct estimates of the cost of raising a child to age 18, used by
the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), is to use allocation rules to
assign household spending to children. The USDA allocates food, transportation, and
health care using rules generated from other surveys, goods with obvious child
recipients on a dollar basis, and other spending on a per capita basis (Lino and
Carlson 2009). This approach is useful in estimating the additional expendituresthe
costthat a family might incur to raise a child. However, changes in these estimates
are not necessarily linked to parental motivations to invest; instead, they are influ-
enced heavily by shifts in the cost of housing, food, and transportation, and on the
choice of rules determining what share of expenses should be allocated to children. In
the USDA method, nearly one-half of the cost of raising a child to age 18 results from
food and housing (Lino and Carlson 2009).
Because we are interested in spending on children that approximates investment, we
avoid a cost-based approach and instead focus on goods and services intended for
children, such as education, child care, and a range of consumer goods, including clothing
for boys, girls, and infants; and various toys and games. These three do not identically
capture parental investment in children: although education is clearly a form of parental
investment, the other two are perhaps less so. And although child care is not a pure
investment in children, given that it is a necessity for working parents without other care
options, parents try to choose high-quality child care environments for their children. In
addition, many middle- and upper-class parents now see exposure to these structured
environmentsasakeywaytohelpchildrendevelop.Finally,spendingonbooks,toys,
games, and clothing may be a way that parents expose their children to materials that grant
cultural capital and thus help develop class-appropriate tastes. Throughout the remainder
of the article, we use the terms spending on childrenand investmentinterchangeably.
Data
We use data fromthe CES, a nationally representative survey of Americans administered
by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and generally considered the best source of
6 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
nationally representative data on spending. Before 1979, CES data were gathered
only sporadically, with the most recent wave conducted in 19721973. After
1979, the survey has been conducted annually. We use two-year blocks of data
from more recent years to chart changes in the patterns and determinants of
spending over time. We use the most recent set of data available at the time of
writingfrom the 2006 and 2007 survey yearsand two sets of years roughly
equal in time from our endpoints: 19831984 and 19941995.
3
Our sample includes households with a child younger than age of 24 in the home.
This includes children who receive parental support but are away from home, such as
children attending college because parents are instructed to report these children in
the survey. To the extent that parents underreport children living away from home,
our estimates of expenditures may be downwardly biased. If parents today less often
report the presence of children who are in college because more children attend
college and receive some support, then results for change over time would be
downwardly biased, meaning that our estimate of increasing spending would under-
estimate a true increase.
Because the surveys are not identical over time, we harmonize them in several ways.
To construct comparable measures over time, we aggregate spending into three catego-
ries: child care, education, and all other specifically child-related expenses. Details on
these categories are listed in Online Resource 1. Differences in the data also require
harmonization. Surveys from all years are conducted over the course of four quarters.
However, data from 19721973 are reported only annually. For later years, responses
are reported quarterly. Because households are followed over four quarters, it is
possible to construct an annual estimate. However, substantial numbers of households
are not present in the survey for all quarters. Roughly 40 % of cases are missing, with
higher rates for subgroups such as those never married or divorced.
Existing research using the CES has used two approaches to deal with missing
data. Most research relies on the analysis of households that were present in all four
quarters of the survey and that fully reported income (e.g., De Ruijter et al. 2005;
Lundberg and Rose 2004; Ziol-Guest et al. 2004). Other research avoids dropping
cases by relying on data from only one quarter (e.g., Cohen 1998). This approach
avoids bias from the deletion of missing data, but it does mean relying on only a
portion of available data.
To create annualized estimates without dropping cases, we use data from all
quarters that a household is present in the survey and has resident children age 24
or younger in the home.
4
We average household characteristics for all quarters and
create annual measures. In addition to preserving cases, this has the benefit of not
overweighting households with more observations. The central drawback is that it
eliminates within-household variation in spending across quarters. Although explain-
ing both within- and between-household variation would strengthen an account of
spending on children, the goal of this analysis is to provide a comparison across
households over time. Additionally, most variables are stable over the course of four
quarters within households.
3
Additional analysis suggests that the choice of intermediate years does not substantially affect results.
4
A small portion of households reported the presence of children in some quarters but not others. In these
cases, we use data only when children are reported in the home.
Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 19722007 7
Although this strategy deals with missing quarters, missing data can still exist for
individual items. To address these missing values, we use multiple imputation, which
generates several estimates of values for missing data using the relationships between
variables for cases without missing data. These data sets are then analyzed separately,
and estimates are combined to produce overall estimates of coefficients and standard
errors. We use maximum likelihood estimation as implemented in the PROC MI
procedure in SAS. For general information on multiple imputation, see Allison
(2001) and Rubin (1987).
Our primary concern for imputation is missing values for household and individual
income. We impute data for those with no responses and those who are classified as
incomplete income reporters. Because individuals often report education, weeks
worked, and hours worked even when they do not report individual incomes, we
use these variables, husbandsand wivesages, and total household expenditures to
impute missing values for individual and household earnings, with separate imputa-
tions for households with only one parent. We then use imputed values to generate the
share of earnings from the wife. To do so, we replace imputed values of income less
than zero with zero. Rounding can lead to bias in parameter estimates (Allison 2001),
but it is necessary in this case because we use mens and womens income to generate
a measure of the share of earnings from wives, and negative values for income
produce additional uncertainty in parameter estimates when creating a ratio.
Measures
Spending Measures
Spending is measured by self-reports of expenditures over the past three months. To
increase the accuracy of responses, households are visited before their first interview
and asked to keep records to help them respond to the survey at later visits. The
relatively long reporting period of three months can downwardly bias estimates for
irregularly occurring and small purchases. However, for the items that we consider,
we expect that expenses will be large or regular enough to prevent substantial bias.
We examine three categories of spending: child care, education, and other miscel-
laneous goods and services for children. Child care includes both day care and
babysitting. Educational expenses include room and board at school; tuition, fees,
and books; private recreational lessons; and other educational expenses.
5
Finally, we
include a category of miscellaneous goods and services for those goods: clothes and
accessories for boys, girls, and infants; and toys, games, musical equipment, bicycles,
tricycles, and camping equipment; and services and repairs for these goods. One
weakness of this category is that the CES records spending on childrens clothing
only until age 15. After age 15, clothing intended for males is simply listed as male
adult clothing, and a similar change of definition occurs with clothing for women.
5
One important question about educational expenses is the extent to which children go to college versus
the extent to which parents are willing to pay college expenses. Our data show only whether expenditure
occurred, so we have no practical way of determining whether spending changes because of attendance or
because of parental support given attendance. We suspect that both play a role in changing expenditures,
but we are unable to differentiate the influence of each in this analysis.
8 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
Thus, spending on this category declines near age 16. Details of the CES codes and
their components are included in Online Resource 1.
We use the Consumer Price Index Research Series (CPI-U-RS) to inflate expendi-
tures to 2008 dollars (Sahr 2009).
6
To compare households with different numbers of
children, we use a per-child measure because the goods and services we examine are
largely indivisible. Another option would be to use equivalence scales, which take
into account economies of scale that occur with goods such as housing, food, or
transportation. Economies of scale do not exist or are smaller for the items we
examine, so we measure spending per child.
Independent Variables
Income
The CES includes measures of earned and unearned income as well as income
before and after taxes. We use measures of final income before taxes after
1980, and the closest comparable measuretotal family incomefor 1972
1973 data. Because these measures are total income, they include welfare
benefits such as food stamps, which results in some equalization of income
levels. However, relying on after-tax income rather than pretax income would
likely result in greater equality because of progressivity in U.S. income taxes.
We choose the pretax measure of income because we expect that reporting on
this measure will be more reliable than after-tax income. As with spending
variables, we use the CPI-U-RS to inflate income to 2008 dollars.
One caveat about income is important. To ensure confidentiality, the CES
censored data near the top and bottom of the distribution for 19721973. Thus,
estimates of incomes for that year are not exact but are a rough average taking
censoring into account. However, only a small portion of households have
censored outcomes: roughly 10 % of those in either the top or bottom decile
in the 19721973 data have censored incomes. As we noted earlier, income is
one of the most frequently missing variables, particularly when incomplete
income reporters are treated as missing. However, because respondents often
report a range of correlated variables, including total expenditure, which is
highly correlated with income (with values of rnear .6), we are comfortable
using multiple imputation for missing income.
Wifes Share of Income
To gauge the effect of womens provision of income to the home, we measure
the proportion of reported earned income from the wife. For single-parent
households, we set the measure to 0 (zero) and introduce an additional set of
controls for family structure to differentiate these households from male bread-
winner households.
6
The CPI-U-RS is a new series incorporating methodological improvements, such as the use of rental
equivalence for homeowner costs and quality adjustments for prices (Stewart and Reed 1999).
Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 19722007 9
Family Structure
We use three dichotomous variables to examine family structure, using two-parent
households as the reference category: one for single-mother families, one for single-
father families, and a final category for all other families. The last category includes,
among others, households in which multiple generations reside in one household.
Wifes Work Status
Although wifes share of income partially controls for wifes employment, we
introduce two dichotomous variables to control for wifes time in addition to her
monetary contributions. These variables measure whether a wife is at work part-time
or full-time, with the reference category being a household in which the wife reports
no work.
Education
Because education may change parental incentives to spend on children, we also
control for parentseducational level. For the 19721973 data, the head of the
household is always listed as the husband; to maintain consistency, we use husbands
educational level in the later data. For single-parent households, we simply use the
education of the parent in the household. We include variables for completion of high
school, attending some college, and a college degree or higher. We do not differen-
tiate between the completion of college and advanced degrees because the latter
category does not exist in the 19721973 data.
Childrens Characteristics
We control for a number of characteristics of children. We include a measure of the age
of the youngest child in the home to examine the link between childrens age and
spending. We also include a squared term to capture nonlinearities in this relationship.
Because more children may mean resources that are stretched further, we include a
measure for the total number of children ages 0 to 24 in the home. In supplementary
analyses, described in Online Resource 2, we examine the effects of childrens gender.
Results: Changes in Spending
We begin by presenting descriptive results to establish whether and how this form of
parental investment has changed over the period we examine. Table 1shows average
household spending per child for all households with children ages 0 to 24 for each
year, and the share spent on each category, as well as total household spending on all
categories. Figure 1shows per capita spending among households by the age of the
youngest child in the household for three aggregate categories: child care; education;
and a category of miscellaneous goods, which includes childrens clothes, toys,
games, musical equipment, and other goods. As an example of interpretation,
Fig. 1shows that for the early 1970s, households in which the youngest child was
10 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
age 12 spent on average $600 on education, a small amount on child care, and
roughly an additional $700 on miscellaneous goods for children. Because we include
households with more than one child, these results do not necessarily reflect spending
on a child of each given age. Indeed, many households have older children,
offering an explanation for educational expenditures among households with
very young children.
Figure 1and Table 1show two important patterns. First, spending increased
substantially from the early 1970s to the late 2000s, although much of the increase
occurred between the early 1970s and mid-1990s, with increases after the 1990s at a
slower rate. Not all components of spending increased at similar rates. Expenditures
on childrens toys, clothes, and games increased slightly from the early 1970s to the
early 1980s, but the share spent on these goods declined after this period. Although
some accounts of the commercialization of youth suggest that the advent of a
consumer culture targeted to children in the 1980s led households to spend exces-
sively on consumer goods (Schor 2004), our results do not support this perspective.
Rather than consumer goods, parents increased spending on child care and education,
presumably to attempt to invest in human capital. To place these figures in context,
Table 1 Average spending per child by year and percentage of expenditures in each area for all households
with children age 0 to 24
19721973 19831984 19941995 20062007
$% $% $% $%
Childrens Accessories 513 39 605 36 641 32 463 21
Education 621 47 743 44 937 46 1,189 54
Day Care 22 2 170 10 294 14 416 19
Babysitting 159 12 172 10 161 8 128 6
Child Care Total 179 14 343 20 455 22 544 25
Total Spending on Children 1,315 100 1,690 100 2,031 100 2,196 100
% Change From Previous Period 28.5 20.2 8.1
Household Spending, All Goods 42,704 49,629 52,875 60,559
% Change From Previous Period 16.2 6.5 14.5
n10,181 7,177 7,223 8,575
2,400
4,000
0
800
1,600
3,200
06
Age
1972–1973
612 18
e of youngest child
24 06
dAg
1983–1984 1994–1995
6
ge of youngest chil
Children's accessories
24 06
ld
Age
Child
6121812 18 12 18
e of youngest child
care Education
24 06
dAg
2006–2007
6
ge of youngest chil
24
ld
Fig. 1 Per child spending on education, child care, and childrens toys, games, and clothes by year and age
of youngest child in the household. Spending for all years is inflated to year 2008 dollars
Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 19722007 11
we also show shifts in household spending among families with children over this
time period. Household spending increased less rapidly than spending on children,
with the exception of the shift from the mid-1990s to the late 2000s, implying that
households were redirecting resources to children.
Second, the link between childrens age and spending changed over time. In
the early 1970s, concentrated spending occurred directly before age 16 and after
age 18, and spending was lowest in households with very young children or
those of college age. In the early 1980s, in contrast, spending was roughly
constant across childrens age, although spending declined after age 18. In the
1990s and 2000s, spending was highest for young children and for children
over age 18, and lower for children ages 612. More than in the past, parents
during the 1990s and 2000s spent earlier and extended their support for
children into the later ages. Later in the article, we investigate whether this
shift persists when we control for household characteristics.
Next, we ask how investment changed across the income distribution with increas-
ing income inequality. In Table 2, we present total spending on children, total income,
and the share of income spent on children for all households by income deciles.
Because these measures do not capture differences in the needs of households related
to household composition, we also present per-person and per-child equivalent
estimates of income and spending in Table 3. We equivalize income by dividing by
the square root of household size, an equivalence scale used in recent OECD research
(OECD 2009), and equivalize spending on children by dividing by the number of
children in a household because there are presumably few economies of scale for
spending on these goods. Figure 2illustrates results from both tables.
7
Spending on children grew more unequal over time as income inequality grew.
High-income households in the 2000s spent more relative to both those with high-
income in the past and the contemporary poor, and some of this growth can be traced
directly to increases in income, as incomes rose rapidly. However, the fact that the
proportion of income spent increased across the entire income distribution means that
increases did not result exclusively from increased income. Instead, increasing
proportions of income spent suggest that parents feel greater pressure to invest
regardless of their income, leading households in later periods to spend greater shares
of their income. Interestingly, there is a break from the overall trend of increasing
shares of income spent on children during the 2000s because for nearly all deciles, the
share of income spent was lower than in the 1990s. Part of this reduction is
attributable to increasing income. Yet, for the first time, some parents spent
less in real dollars than in the previous period. Parents in the bottom half of the
income distribution spent less in the late 2000s than in the mid-1990s. Thus,
the transition from the 1990s to the 2000s marked a distinct break with the
trend of increasing spending, although spending inequality continued increasing.
Whether this marks the formation of a new pattern of spending is unclear, but it is
worth pursuing in future research.
At the bottom of the income distribution, the share of income spent on children
was quite high and increased over time. Among households in the bottom decile, the
7
For figures using household equivalized income, decile cut points also use equivalized income.
12 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
share of income spent on children more than doubled, although this is partially
attributable to changes in the treatment of income between the 19721973 data and
later data.
8
However, an increase in spending is also present in the second and third
Table 2 Total spending on children, income, and spending as a percentage of income, by income decile
Income
Decile 19721973 19831984 19941995 20062007
Total Spending on Children
1 1,126 1,522 1,429 1,318
2 1,495 1,378 1,558 1,516
3 1,763 1,623 2,010 1,813
4 1,953 2,021 2,277 1,878
5 2,230 2,524 2,527 2,217
6 2,468 2,481 2,851 3,081
7 3,001 2,870 3,192 3,355
8 3,337 3,452 3,991 4,585
9 4,115 4,007 5,139 5,857
10 6,246 6,276 8,389 11,013
Income (in 1,000s)
1 12.9 7.6 7.9 8.6
2 25.6 16.8 17.8 21.2
3 36.1 25.0 26.8 30.8
4 45.0 33.3 36.3 40.6
5 53.1 42.1 45.6 52.0
6 61.1 50.9 55.8 64.2
7 70.0 60.9 67.7 78.1
8 80.9 73.5 81.7 96.6
9 96.2 91.6 101.8 125.3
10 135.4 139.2 155.5 228.5
Spending as a % of Income
1 8.72 24.24 21.33 19.26
2 5.83 8.76 8.83 7.16
3 4.89 6.19 7.20 6.32
4 4.34 5.83 6.35 4.81
5 4.20 6.45 5.40 4.58
6 4.04 4.84 5.74 5.25
7 4.29 4.68 4.96 4.67
8 4.13 4.70 4.82 5.18
9 4.28 4.31 5.31 4.91
10 4.61 4.47 5.48 5.33
Note: Dollar figures adjusted to year 2008 dollars using the CPI-U-RS.
8
For the lowest income decile, some of the decline in income is due to the BLS practice of bottom-coding
income in the CES data in 19721973, which was abandoned at later time points. Roughly 5 % of cases had
their income recoded to protect confidentiality, inflating incomes slightly.
Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 19722007 13
deciles, suggesting a pattern not purely attributable to changes in data coding. For
those in the second decile of earners, spending increased by roughly 50 % from 5.8 %
of income to 8.8 % of income, although this declined to 7.2 % by the late 2000s; for
those in the third decile, spending similarly increased from 4.9 % to 7.2 %, with this
figure also declining by the mid-2000s.
Table 3 Spending per child, one-person equivalent household income, and spending as a percentage of
equivalized income, by equivalized income decile
Income Decile 19721973 19831984 19941995 20062007
Spending per Child
1 607 961 779 750
2 701 737 850 900
3 845 1,049 1,204 1,117
4 952 1,029 1,306 1,087
5 1,143 1,493 1,548 1,421
6 1,195 1,553 1,651 1,809
7 1,342 1,702 1,947 2,003
8 1,611 2,026 2,297 2,616
9 1,933 2,597 3,192 3,701
10 2,832 3,759 5,551 6,573
Income (in 1,000s)
1 7.7 4.1 4.3 4.6
2 14.1 8.8 9.4 11.0
3 19.3 13.1 14.2 16.1
4 23.5 17.4 19.0 21.4
5 27.4 21.8 23.9 27.1
6 31.3 26.4 29.1 33.3
7 35.7 31.4 35.0 40.3
8 41.6 37.8 42.3 49.6
9 49.7 47.0 52.7 64.4
10 69.3 71.7 80.5 117.4
Spending as a % of Income
1 7.9 23.4 18.1 16.3
2 5.0 8.3 9.0 8.2
3 4.4 8.0 8.5 6.9
4 4.1 5.9 6.9 5.1
5 4.2 6.8 6.5 5.2
6 3.8 5.9 5.7 5.4
7 3.8 5.4 5.6 5.0
8 3.9 5.4 5.4 5.3
9 3.9 5.5 6.1 5.8
10 4.1 5.2 6.9 5.6
Note: Dollar figures adjusted to year 2008 dollars using the CPI-U-RS.
14 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
The apparent cause of this increase is declining income over time, perhaps because
of higher numbers of single-parent households.
9
Households spent similarly over
time, but investment composed a larger share of their income as income declined.
Parents at all points in the income distribution spent more, but households near the
bottom of the income distribution felt a greater burden as more of their income went
to children. These results become even stronger when we consider spending per child
as a share of one-person equivalized income. The presence of high shares of income
devoted to spending on children suggests a floorfor spending: parents do not lower
spending on children to devote income to other purchases, even under conditions of
relative hardship.
Parental Investment by Gender of Child
To capture the effect of childrens gender on spending, we compare households with
only male children to those with only female children. Table 4shows changes in the
influence of childrens gender on spending. In the early 1970s, parents in households
with only male children spent significantly more than parents in households with only
female children, with a gap of roughly $200 in spending. Nearly all additional
spending occurred because parents with only male children spent more on education.
In the 1980s and 1990s, overall spending equalized, although there were still differ-
ences in the target of parental expenditures. In the early 1980s, households with only
9
Average household income declined in these data after 19721973 and did not rebound even by the early
1990s. Although we are concerned that differences in coding and reporting of income lead to this result,
children experienced increases in poverty over the course of the 1980s and 1990s (Levy 1998), consistent
with declining incomes among households with children.
Total spending on children Spending per child
Total spending as share of household income Spending per child as share of 1-person equivalent income
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
12345678910
12345678910
12345678910
12345678910
Income Decile
1972–1973 1983–1984 1994–1995 2006–2007
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Income Decile
1972–1973 1983–1984 1994–1995 2006–2007
0
5
10
15
20
25
Income Decile
1972–1973 1983–1984 1994–1995 2006–2007
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Income Decile
1972–1973 1983–1984 1994–1995 2006–2007
Fig. 2 Total spending on children by income decile by year
Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 19722007 15
female children spent significantly more on childrens accessories; in the 1990s,
households with only female children spent significantly more on day care.
By the 2000s, however, these data show a reversal: households with only
female children spent more than households with only male children. Indeed,
there were significant differences in spending on goods, education, and baby-
sitting, and the overall difference was significant. To check whether differences
in spending were caused by differences on other characteristics related to
spending, such as household income or education, we used regression analyses
(presented in Online Resource 2), which confirm that other household character-
istics cannot account for these differences.
As we expected, our results show that parents spent more on male children in the
early 1970s. We also find equalization in the pattern of parental investment in the
1980s and 1990s. An unexpected result, however, is that in the 2000s, households
with only female children spent more than those with only male children. Whether
this pattern will persist remains uncertain, but it merits further investigation.
Multivariate Results
Finally, we use regression analysis to examine how shifts in overall spending are
linked to household and child characteristics. We present results using spending per
child, pooling the four years into a single analysis to enable tests for differences in
coefficients across years. Means and standard deviations for variables in the regres-
sion analysis are in Table 5, and coefficients are in Table 6. Coefficients and levels of
significance for 19721973 are for that year; for other years, coefficients and levels of
significance are for differences between those years and the earlier time period. We
also list within-period significances in the right-most columns.
Table 4 Comparison of spending in households with only female and only male children age 0 to 24
19721973 19831984 19941995 20062007
All
Male
Children
All
Female
Children
All
Male
Children
All
Female
Children
All
Male
Children
All
Female
Children
All
Male
Children
All
Female
Children
Childrens
Accessories
531.8 526.1 637.4 694.3* 691.6 704.0 458.5 540.8***
Day Care 30.2 22.9 210.4 208.5 317.9 395.5* 440 510.9
Babysitting 201.4 194.3 211.4 216.7 179.7 184.8 107.5 166.4*
Education 896.1 636.6*** 834.6 889.2 1,141.0 1,088.6 1,239.6 1,557.1*
Total 1,659.5 1,379.8*** 1,893.7 2,008.7 2,330.2 2,373.0 2,245.5 2,775.1***
n2,313 3,024 2,257 2,005 2,270 2,057 2,739 2,532
Notes: Totals may not equal sum of components due to rounding. All spending figures are in adjusted
(2000) dollars.
*p< .05; ***p< .001 (two-tailed ttests for differences in means, performed with assumption of unequal
variances)
16 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
These regressions show stability in many determinants of spending over time.
There were gradual changes, however, and the late 2000s in particular departed from
earlier patterns. We begin by discussing childrens characteristics and then move to
parental and household characteristics. One shift occurs in the pattern of parental
spending by the age of the youngest child in the home. In the early 1970s, the positive
and significant coefficient for the age of the youngest child and the negative coeffi-
cient for age squared suggest that, controlling for other household characteristics,
spending was low when children were quite young and again when they were older,
with the highest spending when children were in their teenage years. This relationship
reversed over time, as shown by the negative coefficients for the age of youngest
child and the positive coefficients for age squared (significantly different in the 1990s
and 2000s). Thus, in recent times, spending grew over the course of a childs life,
including when they presumably left their parentshomes.
There is also variability in the intensity of parental investment by the number of
children present. Parents with fewer children invest substantially more per child
Table 5 Means and standard deviations of variables used in regression analysis
Variable
19721973 19831984 19941995 20062007
Mean SD Mean SD Mean SD Mean SD
Total Spending
per Child
1,315.12 2,072.68 1,690.35 2,634.79 2,031.82 3,504.94 2,196.74 4,838.34
Age of Youngest
Child
9.34 7.16 9.19 7.17 8.87 6.98 9.14 6.91
Household Income in
1,000s of Dollars
61.63 34.92 52.70 39.49 57.01 44.13 66.42 68.41
Proportion of
Earnings From
Wife
.13 .21 .31 .37 .37 .39 .40 .39
Wife Works
Part-Time
.31 .46 .29 .45 .26 .44 .23 .42
Wife Works
Full-Time
.14 .35 .11 .32 .17 .37 .18 .38
High School
Graduate
.35 .48 .34 .47 .35 .47 .27 .44
Some College .14 .35 .20 .40 .24 .42 .29 .45
College Degree .16 .37 .23 .42 .24 .42 .27 .44
Single Mother .12 .32 .12 .32 .14 .34 .13 .33
Single Father .01 .12 .01 .10 .02 .13 .02 .14
Other Families .01 .11 .15 .34 .18 .38 .19 .39
Only Girls .30 .46 .29 .45 .29 .45 .30 .46
Mixed Gender .49 .50 .40 .49 .40 .49 .39 .49
One Child .31 .46 .16 .37 .16 .36 .16 .37
Two Children .31 .46 .39 .49 .38 .49 .38 .49
Three Children .20 .40 .35 .48 .37 .48 .37 .48
Note: Numbers may not match others listed perfectly because of multiple imputation for missing data.
Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 19722007 17
relative to those with more children. In the early 1970s, parents with only one child
present spent roughly $1,000 more per child than did parents with four or more
Table 6 Regression results, pooled analysis using imputed data (R
2
0.19)
Variable
1972
1973
1983
1984
1994
1995
2006
2007
Period
Significance
83 94 06
Intercept 1,735.7*** 368.2 1,056.4 2,688.9*** *** *** *
Age of Youngest Child 67.5*** 43.2 88.2*** 145.9*** **
Age of Youngest Child, Squared 3.6*** 1.5 3.0** 6.2*** ** *
Household Income in 1,000s
of Dollars
25.1*** 1.1 12.2* 12.3* *** *** ***
Proportion of Earnings from Wife 407.9*** 40.1 177.8 222.8 *** *
Wife Works Part-Time 7.2 338.6** 190.7 519.8*** *** ***
Wife Works Full-Time 141.4 308.7 244.7 211.5 *** ** *
Parental Education (ref. = no high school diploma)
High school graduate 124.9** 162.4 145.8 85.0 *** *
Some college 307.0*** 356.9* 363.0* 388.4** *** *** ***
College degree 805.3*** 798.6*** 743.6*** 931.3*** *** *** ***
Family Structure (ref. = two-parent family)
Single mother 521.7*** 559.0** 481.3** 379.3*
Single father 240.0* 78.5 58.9 320.8
Other families 97.4 196.5 254.1 334.6 ** ** **
Gender of Children (ref. = boys only)
Only girls 120.1* 170.6 193.1 562.0*** ***
Mixed gender 51.3 47.3 193.9 272.0
Number of Children (ref. = four or more)
One 1,017.9*** 318.4 863.1*** 773.3*** *** *** ***
Two 498.4** 62.5 297.0 348.2* *** *** ***
Three 230.0 23.7 27.0 43.5
Earnings Decile (ref. = top decile)
1 1,013.6*** 839.3 1,212.4 1,873.8** *** *** *
2 942.1*** 536.5 991.1 2,461.6*** *** *** ***
3 838.4*** 347.7 809.9 2,457.5*** *** *** ***
4 715.1*** 368.2 769.1 2,286.3*** *** *** ***
5 616.9*** 603.6 475.2 2,563.5*** *** ** ***
6 438.8** 265.9 522.0 2,055.3*** ** ** ***
7 436.4** 172.3 153.3 2,173.3*** ** ***
8 295.9* 281.3 5.9 2,040.8*** ** ***
9 285.4** 101.8 86.1 1,637.4*** ***
Notes: Significance levels for 19721973 are for the hypothesis that the coefficient is equal to zero while
tests for other years are tests of whether the coefficient is significantly different than the coefficient for
19721973. Within-period significance levels are listed in the right 3 columns.
*p< .05; **p< .01; ***p< .001 (two-tailed ttests)
18 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
children present in the home, a gap that grew greater over time. It is unlikely that
increasing gaps in spending between those with few children and those with more
children are driven by changes in economies of scale because the goods we examine
have few economies of scale. Thus, it is likely that this pattern is driven by an
increasingly sharp trade-off parents make between quantity and quality. Finally, these
results show that the shift in spending related to childrens gender remains even in a
multivariate framework. In the early 1970s, parents with only boys spent significantly
more than parents with only girls; this equalized throughout the 1980s and 1990s; and
in the late 2000s, parents with only girls spent significantly more than parents with
only boys.
Turning to family characteristics, the link between parental education and spend-
ing changed substantially. In the early 1970s, households in which parents had
attended some college or held a college degree spent significantly moreabout
$800 morethan households in which the parents had no high school diploma.
Additionally, the size of this difference increased significantly over time: in the early
1980s, households in which parents had a college degree are estimated to have spent
roughly $1,700 dollars more than households in which the parents had no high school
diploma (805.3 + 931.3 01,736.6). Parents with only some college also increased
spending over time. The links between family structure and spending are less
consistent. Both single-mother and single-father families reported higher expendi-
tures in the early 1970s than did two-parent families, but this difference disappeared
over time. However, within each time period, other familiesspent significantly less
than two-parent families.
The effects of wiveslabor force participation and earnings also vary over time. In
the earliest period, wivesearnings were associated with increased spending on
children. However, this coefficient becomes smaller over time, and is no longer
significant for the 2000s. This may reflect greater gender ambivalence among parents
as well, with both mothers and fathers spending their financial resources on children.
However, this interpretation is contradicted by the effect of wiveswork status
because wiveswork outside the home generally increases spending, albeit only in
later periods, as shown by significant within-period coefficients.
Finally, we turn to the link between income and spending. Because we are
interested in understanding changes in spending across the income distribution net
of income changes, we include a measure of householdsincome in constant dollars
and dummy variables capturing householdsincome decile, with the top decile as the
reference category. The effect of income on spending is positive and significant,
although it is somewhat higher in the 1990s and lower in the 2000s. The dichotomous
variables capturing a householdsposition in lower income deciles are significant and
positive in the early 1970s, indicating that households in these deciles spent more
than would be predicted on the basis of their other characteristics, compared with
those at the top of the income distribution. The fact that households near the bottom
spent more than their income would predict provides support for the idea of a floor
for spending below which parents will not spend. There are no significant differences
until the late 2000s, when coefficients are negative, significant, and substantively
large. Thus, spending among those in the lower earnings deciles is substantially
behind that among the rich, and this difference cannot be explained by income. In
other words, in the most recent time period, those at the top of the income distribution
Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 19722007 19
increased spending beyond what would be predicted from the relationship between
spending and income.
Conclusion
Using data from the CES, we examine changes in spending on children to capture
trends in parental investment from 1972 to 2007. Rather than considering the cost
of raising children, we focus on expenditures intended for children, which approxi-
mate parentsmonetary investment in their children and presumably account for some
substantial portion of the advantages that wealthier parents are able to confer on their
children. To our knowledge, this is the first long-term study tracking parents
monetary investments. Understanding changes in investments over this time period
is important because it may foreshadow persistent inequalities.
Our findings show, first and foremost, that parents are investing more heavily in
their children now than in the past. While scholars debate exactly which resources
matter most for childrens development (Duncan and Magnuson 2005; Duncan et al.
2001; Mayer 1997), parents are demonstrating a substantial willingness to spend in
order to better their childrens circumstances. These results mirror other shifts in
parental behavior: parents are having fewer children and, through a range of activities
like spending time with their children and choosing activities that impart cultural
capital, are investing more intensively in the children they do have.
Our findings also show that investment grew more unequal over the study
period: parents near the top of the income distribution spent more in real
dollars near the end of the 2000s than in the early 1970s, and the gap in
spending between rich and poor grew. Some growth in inequality is attributable
to higher incomes at the top of the income distribution. Still, both rich and
poor spent greater shares of their income on children over time, suggesting that
increasing investment and inequality of investment is not purely a result of
changes in available income. Instead, increased parental investment may reflect
growing pressures to invest in children. Ehrenreich (1989) suggested that worries
about fallingfrom the middle and upper classes have increased over time, as the
risks of falling have increased along with income inequality. Middle- and upper-class
parents may feel the most pressure to spend to ensure their childrens futures, and this
seems to be reflected in their expenditures.
Parents also shifted from heavier investment in boys to heavier investment in girls.
Parents in households with only female children spent less than parents in households
with only male children in the early 1970s, but spending in the 1980s and 1990s had
equalized. This pattern suggests weakened gender preferences of parents, with
parents valuing girls and boys equally. However, by the late 2000s, parents of girls
appeared to spend more than parents of boys. Although research shows gender
convergence in a variety of areas, relatively little research shows a preference for
girls. This difference may be driven by events outside the home, in that women now
out-enroll men in higher education, and parents assist with these payments. Still,
because parents spend more on other goods when they report having only girls in the
home, we are curious about the extent to which parental preferences have shifted and
whether parents invest more heavily in girls in other areas as well.
20 S. Kornrich, F. Furstenberg
These results match recent evidence about childhood achievement. Our finding
that the gap in parental investment between the top and bottom of the income
distribution matches recent findings (Reardon 2011) that the gap in test scores
between children of parents at the 90th percentile of the income distribution and
those at the 10th percentile has grown over time. Similarly, long-standing gaps
between boysand girlsperformances on standardized math tests have eroded to
parity over time (Hyde et al. 2008). Although there is no evidence to suggest that
spending alone can account for these shifts, monetary investment should be related to
achievement and, if nothing else, serves as a reflection of parentslevel of motivation
to invest in their children.
Finally, we find that the shape of parental investment over the course of
childrens lives has changed as well. Prior to the 1990s, parents appeared to
invest most in children in their teen years. In the late 1990s and the 2000s,
however, spending was greatest when children were quite young and when they
were in their mid-20s. These results provide an important characterization of
parentsmonetary investment to complement existing research documenting
parentstime with children.
Still, a number of unanswered questions deserve further scrutiny. First, in this
article, we rely on pretax income rather than after-tax income in expectation that it
was the most reliable measure and most consistent over time. Yet, taxes would lead to
some equalization of the income distribution and would mean that the reported share
of income spent on children would be higher among the rich than reported here. Local
taxes may also be an interesting and important source of variation; because many of
these taxes are dedicated to education, they can provide another measure of the extent
of investment in children.
A second area deserving further investigation is the shift that occurs in the most
recent time period. Unlike earlier periods, parental expenditures in at least some
portions of the income distribution declined for the first time between the 1990s and
the late 2000s. One possible explanation for this decline is simply that parents
reduced their investments because they perceived them, for whatever reason, to be
ineffective. However, another explanation could be that the years observed2006
and 2007were exceptional because they took place during a speculative boom in
housing, leading households to extend themselves to purchase housing. Observing
subsequent years might show whether these years were aberrations or represented a
shift in the trajectory of parental investment.
Parents invest in their childrens outcomes in many ways. This article tracks
one measure of parentscontributions to their childrennamely, their monetary
investmentsover time and finds that in the race to the top, higher-income
children are at an ever greater advantage because their parents can and do
spend more on child care, preschool, and the growing costs of postsecondary
education. The costs borne by the family impose a growing burden on low- and
moderate-income families, whose incomes have stagnated over the past several
decades. It seems evident that unless constraints on less-advantaged households
are reduced, the children of low- and moderate-income families will continue to
lose ground. Thus, contemporary increases in inequality may lead to even
greater increases in inequality in the future as advantage and disadvantage are
passed across the generations through investment.
Changes in Parental Spending on Children, 19722007 21
Acknowledgments The authors would like to thank Sheldon Danziger, Greg Duncan, Paula England,
Anne Gauthier, Luz Marina Arias, two anonymous reviewers, and participants in a seminar at the Juan
March Institute for their helpful comments and suggestions.
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The chapters in this volume document that it is taking young men longer to secure well-paying, stable employment that will allow them to support a family-the critical economic outcome in the transition to adulthood. In contrast, women are better able to support a family on their own than ever before, even though their economic status continues to lag that of men. Many commentators have argued that decreased employment prospects, lower wages, higher housing prices, and increased debt have made it more difficult for young people, especially men, to assume the responsibilities that have traditionally characterized adulthood. Taken together, the chapters in this volume suggest a limited role for such economic factors in explaining recent trends in other young adult outcomes. These new studies confirm that changes in the economy over the last several decades have affected individual decisions to establish an independent household, marry, have children, and complete education. However, the delay in these markers of the transition to adulthood that has occurred in the United States and in most industrialized countries over the past several decades does not appear to have been primarily driven by changing economic conditions. The delay is more likely to have been caused by changes in the social norms of young people, their parents, and society in general; changes in young adults' expectations regarding female labor force participation, marriage, and childbearing; and changes in opportunities for combining schooling with work or family roles. It is possible that some of the factors analyzed here will have a greater overall impact on the outcome of recent cohorts of young adults at later ages in the life course. Consider the growing prison population. The evidence suggests that former inmates are significantly less likely to find stable employment, to marry, and to reach the other markers of adulthood. Thus, as rates of incarceration continue to increase (particularly in some subpopulations), fewer young people may ever achieve all of the traditional markers of adulthood. If these future generations are less able to care for themselves and their children, this responsibility will increasingly fall on the rest of society. As such, there may well be an ever more important role for workforce development programs and basic education programs in prisons and for substance abuse and reentry programs for soon-to-be released prisoners. Further, while the current media attention regarding the debt of young adults appears to have neglected the distinction between debt to finance schooling and housing, which helps build long-run human capital and wealth, and debt to finance current consumption, the increasing availability of easy credit may become a problem for future generations. Finally, although earlier generations were more likely to stay with a single employer for periods lasting at least ten years, today's youth are likely to hold multiple "long" jobs. Whether this change will result in substantially less lifetime income and wealth and lower the ability of today's young adults to pay down their debts remains to be seen. There are many uncertainties regarding the long-term impact of the delayed attainment of the markers of adulthood. However, evidence from Europe suggests that as these changes become the norm, at a minimum the life satisfaction of young people will increase. As discussed by Newman and Aptekar (chapter 8), European youth who live with their parents have lower life satisfaction than youth who live independently, holding other factors constant. However, in countries where higher proportions of young adults live at home, this negative effect is attenuated. These data suggest that social anxiety declines when living with one's parents becomes widespread enough to be considered socially acceptable rather than an indicator of personal failure. Thus, while at the moment many express concern about the changing life course, ultimately it may become accepted as the norm. There are many questions that could not be addressed in a single volume. Our hope is that the new research presented here will stimulate a long and careful examination of the impact of economic conditions on the transition to adulthood.