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Modelling the size distribution of geoengineered stratospheric aerosols

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The aerosol microphysics module SAM2, applied here in a zero-dimensional framework, treats the formation and evolution of stratospheric sulphuric acid aerosol (Timmreck & Graf, 2000; Hommel, 2008). The scheme utilises the fixed sectional approach to resolve an aerosol distribution from 1 × 10−3 to 20.7 µm in radius. Forty-four logarithmically spaced size bins are determined by mass doubling. Aerosol microphysics processes of new particle formation due to binary homogeneous nucleation (Vehkamäki et al., 2002), H2SO4 condensation and evaporation, and coagulation are considered in the model. The sulphuric acid droplets are assumed to be spherical and in thermodynamic equilibrium with their environment. Water vapour growth and the sulphuric acid weight percentage are determined from partial and vapour pressures of H2SO4 and H2O. The size distribution is affected by gravitational sedimentation. Similar to the studies of Kokkola et al. (2009), we assume that gaseous H2SO4 is exclusively formed from the oxidation of SO2 by the hydroxyl radical OH. An OH concentration of 1 × 106 cm−3 is prescribed in a diurnal cycle between 06 : 00 and 18 : 00 and held to zero during night time. Reaction rate constants of the three-body reaction are based upon the 2003 JPL recommendations (Sander et al. 2003). A complete description of the parameterisations implemented in SAM2 and its overall performance in the context of a global aerosol-climate model, resolving the troposphere and the stratosphere up to 80 km, can be found in a companion paper (Hommel et al., 2010, unpublished).
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ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS
Atmos. Sci. Let. (2010)
Published online in Wiley InterScience
(www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/asl.285
Modelling the size distribution of geoengineered
stratospheric aerosols
Ren´
e Hommel* and Hans-F. Graf
Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
*Correspondence to:
Ren´
e Hommel, Centre for
Atmospheric Science, University
of Cambridge, Lensfield Road,
Cambridge, CB2 1EW UK.
E-mail:
rene.hommel@atm.ch.cam.ac.uk
Received: 22 February 2010
Revised: 7 June 2010
Accepted: 9 June 2010
Abstract
A modelling study on the growth of geoengineered stratospheric aerosols reveals that in
steady state a large fraction of aerosols grow to micrometre sizes so that the sedimentation
of aerosols might limit the geoengineered aerosol layer’s ability to achieve its target cooling
effect. Copyright 2010 Royal Meteorological Society
Keywords: aerosol; stratosphere; geoengineering
1. Introduction
Solar radiation management by artificially increas-
ing the albedo of the stratospheric aerosol layer has
been suggested as a potentially accomplishable method
to counteract anthropogenic future greenhouse gas
warming (The Royal Society, 2009; Robock et al.,
2009). However, this would require interference with
the global energy budget, and potential impacts on
ecosystems and societies are very uncertain. In addi-
tion, one must bear in mind that such kind of geo-
engineering would at best treat symptoms of the
enhanced greenhouse effect but not causes. Hence,
it is crucial to extremely carefully investigate the
effects of such interference with the natural sys-
tem. Wanted as well as unintended effects of arti-
ficial stratospheric aerosols are determined by their
size and composition. The latter predominately inter-
acts with the atmosphere’s chemistry and thus is a
major driver for changes in atmospheric composi-
tion, including loss of stratospheric ozone. Physical
parameters like the size spectrum of the aerosols ulti-
mately determine whether the geoengineered strato-
spheric aerosol layer is able to compensate part
of the anticipated future greenhouse gas warming
or not.
So far, only a few modelling studies addressed the
global impact of geoengineered stratospheric aerosols
by interactively treating the aerosol size (Rasch et al.,
2008; Robock et al., 2008; Tilmes et al., 2009). How-
ever, in these studies, the aerosol size spectrum was
not determined by aerosol microphysical processes.
The aerosol size distributions were instead prescribed
based on observational findings after the Mt Pinatubo
eruption, which in summer 1991 injected approx-
imately 20 Tg SO2into the stratosphere (SPARC,
2006), for a few months generating a reduction of solar
insolation of about the right magnitude (2Wm
2)
to counteract the current anthropogenic greenhouse
effect. In a more recent modelling study, Heckendorn
et al. (2009), hereafter referred to as H09, calcu-
lated the aerosol size distribution by an interactive
and size-resolved treatment of aerosol microphysical
processes originating from different methods of SO2
injection into the stratosphere. They showed that the
stratospheric aerosol layer resulting from a continuous
injection of 20 Tg SO2per year would not be able
to compensate a warming resulting from 2 W m2
due to the anthropogenic greenhouse effect. Hence,
there is some uncertainty of the effects of sulphate
aerosols in the stratosphere, possibly closely related
to the size of geoengineered aerosols, in particular
to the ratio of fine to large particles. An overview
of key quantities derived in those studies is given in
Table I.
In the present study, we investigate how aerosols
grow in the stratosphere when 5 Tg SO2per year are
continuously supplied at the 50-hPa pressure level.
We perform two sets of simulation, which differ in
the way how the oxidised SO2is subtracted from
its source. The scenario 1 (S1) is constructed to
be more realistic whereas scenario 2 (S2) has to
be seen as an upper limit case for the response
of the model. We utilise the aerosol microphysics
module SAM2 (Hommel et al., 2008), which resolves
the main processes determining the size distribution
of aerosols. From our more realistic scenario, we
estimate the stratospheric aerosol burden in a very
idealised manner. Results of our box model study are
compared with those of previous studies (overview in
Table I) based on more complex models regarding, e.g.
transport of the aerosols.
Copyright 2010 Royal Meteorological Society
R. Hommel and H.-F. Graf
Table I. Results from scenarios of geoengineering from studies which applied moderate continuous supplies of sulphur in the
stratosphere.
Study Heckendorn et al. (2009) Rasch et al. (2008) Robock et al. (2008) This study
Scenario GEO2 GEO5 bg2co2 volc2 5 Mt/a tropical S1 S2
Injection [Tg(SO2)year
1] 4 10 4 4 5 5 5, cumulative
Effective radius (µm) aa0.17b0.43b0.3–0.35b0.35 0.77c
SADd(µm2cm3)20<50 30– 40 12 a20.7 500c
Burden [Tg(S)] 2.1 3.7 5.5 5.9 a2.503.42 e
Forcing (W m2)0.78 ±0.38 1.06 ±0.31 aa1.8 ee
aNot shown.
bPrescribed.
cAt the end of simulation.
dValues are for the equatorial stratosphere at 50 hPa (21 km).
eNot calculated.
2. Methods
2.1. Model
The aerosol microphysics module SAM2, applied here
in a zero-dimensional framework, treats the forma-
tion and evolution of stratospheric sulphuric acid
aerosol (Timmreck & Graf, 2000; Hommel, 2008). The
scheme utilises the fixed sectional approach to resolve
an aerosol distribution from 1 ×103to 20.7µmin
radius. Forty-four logarithmically spaced size bins are
determined by mass doubling. Aerosol microphysics
processes of new particle formation due to binary
homogeneous nucleation (Vehkam¨
aki et al., 2002),
H2SO4condensation and evaporation, and coagula-
tion are considered in the model. The sulphuric acid
droplets are assumed to be spherical and in thermo-
dynamic equilibrium with their environment. Water
vapour growth and the sulphuric acid weight percent-
age are determined from partial and vapour pressures
of H2SO4and H2O. The size distribution is affected by
gravitational sedimentation. Similar to the studies of
Kokkola et al. (2009), we assume that gaseous H2SO4
is exclusively formed from the oxidation of SO2by
the hydroxyl radical OH. An OH concentration of
1×106cm3is prescribed in a diurnal cycle between
06 : 00 and 18 : 00 and held to zero during night time.
Reaction rate constants of the three-body reaction are
based upon the 2003 JPL recommendations (Sander
et al. 2003). A complete description of the parame-
terisations implemented in SAM2 and its overall per-
formance in the context of a global aerosol-climate
model, resolving the troposphere and the stratosphere
up to 80 km, can be found in a companion paper
(Hommel et al., 2010, unpublished).
The altitude where sulphur (S) is injected into the
stratosphere determines the particle residence time that
is controlled by size-dependent gravitational sedimen-
tation (Kasten, 1968). In the (sub)tropics, the steady
state of natural aerosols is maintained between 20 and
25 km (Barnes and Hofmann, 2001; SPARC 2006),
hence this region is appropriate for the proposed sup-
ply of SO2. Our experiments are conducted under cli-
matologically mean conditions for an idealised model
level at the equator, centred at 50 hPa (21 km).
Ambient conditions (temperature 200 K and relative
humidity 0.2%) were taken from Hommel (2008) and
kept constant for the 10 years of integration. We inte-
grated the model using a time step of 900 s, which
is equivalent to that of a global model of medium
resolution (T42).
2.2. Experiments
The growth of aerosol particles is evaluated in two
scenarios of geoengineering. In each scenario, we
investigate three different treatments of the processes
nucleation and condensation. Both scenarios compete
for the formed H2SO4vapour. Furthermore, in each
case, we examine how the model solution depends
on the integration time step length, so that aerosol
growth is investigated in a total of 12 ensembles
members.
In both scenarios, 5 Tg SO2per year are added
to the stratosphere. In scenario 1 (S1) in each time
step, the oxidised SO2forming sulphuric acid vapour
is subtracted from the total source. In contrast, in
scenario 2 (S2) the SO2source was held constant,
thereby substituting any oxidised SO2. This means
that the SO2concentration accumulates, forming a
stratospheric reservoir which cannot be depleted by
oxidation to gaseous H2SO4due to OH limitation
(Pinto et al., 1989).
Within the limitation of a box model, S1 is a realistic
scenario with prognostic aerosol microphysics, similar
to the experiments of H09 with continuous S-supply
in the equatorial stratosphere. S2, however, should be
regarded as an upper limit estimate of particle growth
under an inexhaustible supply of SO2. Hence, it is a
severe test case for the model stability and dependency
on the integration time step length.
In each ensemble, aerosols are initialised as in
Kokkola et al. (2009) with a unimodal distribution
whose geometric mean diameter is 0.234 µm and a
geometric standard deviation σis 1.59. The initial total
number concentration is set to three particles per cm3.
Copyright 2010 Royal Meteorological Society Atmos. Sci. Let. (2010)
Size distribution of geoengineered stratospheric aerosols
3. Results and discussion
3.1. Aerosol growth
Kokkola et al. (2009) investigated the growth of
stratospheric aerosols when sulphur is supplied with
a rate similar to a large eruption of a tropical vol-
cano injecting SO2directly into the stratosphere. The
authors compared several zero-dimensional frame-
works, including SAM2, with a benchmark model
under similar conditions (30 hPa, 214 K, 10% rela-
tive humidity). It showed that SAM2 has deficits in
capturing the growth of sulphates due to limiting the
condensation sink when the partial pressure of H2SO4
exceeds a certain threshold. Although an advice to cir-
cumvent the problem was not given, the study also
showed that SAM2 accurately follows the predictions
of aerosol size distributions when the stratospheric S
load is only moderately enhanced. Furthermore, the
model was able to track size distributions of the bench-
mark model in the heavily polluted case when the
integration time step length was strongly reduced. The
experiments were performed for a simulation period of
only 10 days and particle removal due to sedimenta-
tion was not considered. To investigate how SAM2
acts in a notional geoengineering case, it is neces-
sary to perform longer integrations (so that in principle
the desired cooling effect can be reached), requiring
sedimentation as an important sink for stratospheric
aerosols.
We investigate how the initialised stratospheric
background aerosol population evolves when sulphur
is added continuously to the system. The integration
period is set to 10 years in all ensembles.
In these studies, we identified that the problem
with SAM2 in Kokkola et al. (2009) is related to the
operator-splitting technique used to solve competing
microphysical processes. To avoid the rather large
effort of the implementation of an implicit or adaptive
time stepping method, we suggest another, much easier
solution by reserving a certain amount of sulphuric
acid vapour for nucleation. The performance of the
new method is tested in this section. We tested the
model with a certain fraction (10 and 80%) of the
available sulphuric acid vapour reserved in each time
step for the new particle formation and evaluated the
scheme’s sensitivity to the modified gas-to-particle
partitioning.
The evolution of modelled key quantities is shown
in Figure 1. In S1, both the SO2concentration and
the aerosol mixing ratio achieve a steady state after a
few months of integration (Figure 1(a)). In S2, both
parameters increase continuously. In Figure 1, it is
demonstrated that in S2 the solution of the original
unmodified model as applied in Kokkola et al. (2009)
oscillates, whereas the model in which we introduced
changes reaches a stable steady state. The results of
scenario 1 are identical in both model versions.
In S1, equilibrium values of the aerosol surface
area density (SAD) of (20.7µm2cm3) and of the
size distributions effective radius (Reff)of0.35 µm
(Figure 1(b)) are in the order of values observed in the
northern hemisphere mid-latitudes in the stratosphere
during the first year after the Mt Pinatubo eruption
(Grainger et al., 1995; Bauman et al., 2003) but are
approximately only half the size of observed values
in the tropical stratosphere (SPARC, 2006). Clear
but rather weak oscillations in the evolution of Reff
in scenario 1 provide an indication that the aerosol
population is balanced not until year 3 of integration.
In S2, after 3 years, the SAD clearly exceeds S1
values by an order of magnitude. Values of Reff are
larger by a factor of two. Thus, in scenario 2, which
acts as an upper limit test case for the model, larger
sulphate droplets are predicted than observed after a
volcanic perturbation of the stratosphere. Needless to
say, those values are substantially larger than those
predicted from different S-injection scenarios in the
study of H09.
Figure 1. Predicted evolution of model key quantities. (a) SO2concentration (black) and total sulphate aerosol mixing ratio
(green). (b) Aerosol surface area density (black) and effective radius (blue). Continuous lines correspond to scenario one
experiments, dotted lines to scenario two. Both parameters in (b) are adapted to the detection range of optical sensors
(D 100 µm); see Kokkola et al. (2009). Bright colours and thick lines denote results made by the unmodified model as also
applied in Kokkola et al. (2009); thin lines and darker colours denote results from the modified model as described in section 3.1.
Copyright 2010 Royal Meteorological Society Atmos. Sci. Let. (2010)
R. Hommel and H.-F. Graf
For the same altitude, the smaller particles pre-
scribed in scenario bg2co2 of Rasch et al. (2008)
result in surface areas 1.5 2 times larger than mod-
elled in S1. The prediction of surface areas from
prescribed size distributions approach may yield
overestimated interferences with the catalytic cycles
destroying ozone in the stratosphere when integrated
in a chemistry climate model, as, e.g. in Tilmes et al.
(2009).
How engineered stratospheric aerosols, built from a
quasi-permanent injection of SO2, evolve compared to
particles formed from a burst-like instantaneous SO2
injection, originating from a large tropical volcanic
eruption, was shown in H09. Number densities for
geoengineered particles smaller than 0.1µm in radius
are significantly larger than in the volcanic case.
In contrast, volcanic aerosol is concentrated in the
coarse mode with a mode radius of 0.5µm. When
enough OH is available for SO2oxidation, new
particles are formed quickly when the precursor gas
reaches the stratosphere. Those ultra-fine particles are
rapidly scavenged by larger particles, so that the
number density in the Aitken mode is strongly reduced
(Kokkola et al., 2009). In the volcanic case, when most
of the injected sulphur is partitioned into the particle
phase a few months after the eruption, the number
density of particles in the nucleation and Aitken modes
tends to be close to zero (H09). In the geoengineering
case, however, fine mode particles are always present
when sulphur is supplied from below in a more or less
continuous way.
In the following, we investigate how in our geo-
engineering scenarios aerosol size distributions evolve
in the unmodified model, where we do not interfere
the gas-to-particle partitioning. This is shown by the
red curves in Figure 2. At the end of the simulation, a
size spectrum is formed, which can be described by a
monotonically decreasing curve in S1 and a spectrum
that is clearly bimodal in S2. The shape of the size dis-
tribution in S1 does not vary much after the first year
of integration. Consequently, integrated size parame-
ters (Figure 1(b)) remain approximately constant over
that period. In S2, the SAD rapidly increases with
time because within the first 100 days existing par-
ticles completely consume all the available sulphuric
acid vapour so that further nucleation is prevented
(later we show that this is an oscillating process).
In S2, where the stratospheric SO2abundance con-
stantly increases, coarse particles with mode diameter
at 0.45 and 4µm are formed. In the more real-
istic scenario S1, the mode diameter of the coarse
mode is approximately 0.6µm, which is in-between
the solutions found in H09 for the 55-hPa pressure
level when sulphur is continuously injected with 2
and 5 Tg (equivalent to 4 and 10 Tg SO2). Also in
S1, number densities for particles with Dp <0.1µm
are similar to those predicted in H09 at 55 hPa.
Now we investigate whether the model solution is
affected as it became obvious in Kokkola et al. (2009)
by limitations for large H2SO4supersaturations. We
rerun the model with reserving 10% (80%) of H2SO4
vapour for new particle formation and compare the
resulting size distributions with those of the origi-
nal model. Green (blue) curves in Figure 2 denote
results from a model that reserves 10 (80) % of the
H2SO4vapour for nucleation in each time step. In the
first few days of integration, the aerosol spectra in
both scenarios evolve quite similar and independent
of modifications made in the sequential processing
of aerosol microphysics. Although in S1, size dis-
tributions evolve differently within the first months
of integration (clearly seen at day 100), after 1 year
the steady state of the three solutions is very similar.
Only in the model which reserves most of the vapour
for nucleation, approximately one order of magnitude
larger number densities of particle nuclei as well as
Aitken mode particles are found. In the severe test case
S2, the steady state of the modified models is differ-
ent from that of the original model. But the shapes of
the size distributions predicted by the modified models
are equal to S1, except that particle number concen-
trations are generally larger than in the scenario with
the weaker sulphur source. This is a first indication
that the model reserving 10% of the H2SO4vapour
for nucleation of new particles yields a more robust
solution than the original model.
We further tested the model sensitivity to the inte-
gration time step length (dt). We applied time steps
of 1 and 900 s. For technical reasons, we were not
able to run the model with dt =1 s for longer
than 1 year. We found that at day 365 in both sce-
narios the results are independent on the time step
length when 10% of the H2SO4vapour is reserved
for nucleation (Figure 3). The highest sensitivity is
seen in the accumulation mode for particles with
0.1Dp <1µm. Even in S2, the integrated accu-
mulation mode number density is well represented in
the model when the global model time step 900 s is
applied and simultaneously 10% of the H2SO4vapour
is reserved for nucleation (Figure 4). The solution of
the unmodified original operator-splitting scheme at
dt =900 s is completely different from the other
cases. In the bottom panel of Figure 4, it is illus-
trated that this model solution periodically fluctu-
ates with a frequency of 200 250 days. When in
S2 the SAD exceeds a critical value (around day
50), nucleation is prevented and a unimodal size
distribution forms quickly. The larger those parti-
cles are growing due to H2SO4condensation, the
weaker is the accumulation mode number density
and the larger is the amount of particles removed
from the box due to gravitational sedimentation. This
reduces the particle surface area so that particles may
form from the gas phase again and the cycle repeats
(Figure 1).
One of the major pathways removing particles from
the stratosphere is gravitational sedimentation. The
process is important for particles with diameters above
0.2µm and the particle removal rate strongly increases
with altitude (Kasten, 1968). In our experiments, we
Copyright 2010 Royal Meteorological Society Atmos. Sci. Let. (2010)
Size distribution of geoengineered stratospheric aerosols
Figure 2. Model predicted aerosol size distributions for scenario 1, left column, and scenario 2, right column, dependent on
adjustments in the gas-to-particle partitioning. Diagnosed, from top to the bottom, at initial time step, and at noon of days 1, 10,
100, 365 and 3650.
have not investigated the model behaviour at other alti-
tudes than the 50-hPa pressure level. Therefore, we
cannot attest how sedimentation affects the balance
between aerosol microphysical processes in the geo-
engineered stratospheric aerosol layer, as, e.g. shown
in H09. In their studies, sedimentation alters in par-
ticular the role of coagulation in the particle growth
process as a function of the strength of the S source.
In higher altitudes, coagulation is more effective for
weaker S sources, whereas in lower altitudes coag-
ulation more effectively reduces fine mode particles
for larger S injections. In our simulations, the bal-
ance between competing growth processes, H2SO4
vapour condensation and coagulation, is unaffected
by the strength of the S source in the stratosphere.
Sedimentation might play a role in the severe test
Copyright 2010 Royal Meteorological Society Atmos. Sci. Let. (2010)
R. Hommel and H.-F. Graf
Figure 3. Dependency of model predicted aerosol size distributions on the integration time step length with (lines) and without
(symbols) adjustments made in the gas-to-particle partitioning after 1 year of integration.
case S2 where the particle size spectrum is domi-
nated by very large particles, hence their sedimen-
tation rates strongly influence the particle lifetime at
50 hPa and hence affect the shape of the size distri-
bution.
Figure 4. Model predicted number density in the first year,
integrated for accumulation mode particles (0.1 Dp <1µm).
The upper panel shows scenario 1 experiments, the middle panel
scenario 2 experiments. In both panels, black (red) lines denote
experiments conducted with an integration time step length
of 900 s (1 s). Cross symbols denote experiments conducted
with conservative operator splitting, open diamonds denote
experiments where, at each time step, 10% of the available
sulphuric acid vapour is reserved for new particle formation via
binary homogeneous nucleation. In the bottom panel it is shown
how the management of competing gas-to-particle partitioning
processes affect the evolution of scenario 2 size distributions
when the global model time step length of 900 s is used.
3.2. Aerosol burden
In the previous section, it was shown that geo-
engineered stratospheric aerosols as predicted by the
aerosol microphysics module SAM2 are similar in size
as predicted by the two-dimensional aerosol module
AER, which was utilised in the geoengineering studies
of H09. To compare our results against the results of
other studies (Table I), in a very idealised manner, we
estimate the burden of the geoengineered aerosol layer
under the assumption that anywhere in the stratosphere
aerosol particles would grow to sizes as predicted
in scenario 1. We do not quantify the burden from
scenario 2.
We assume that geoengineering is performed homo-
geneously over the globe, and we assume further that
the terminal size distribution of S1, reached in the
10th year of integration, may be thought of as a rep-
resentative size distribution of aerosols in the strato-
sphere. We make also assumptions for the horizontal
and vertical distribution of aerosols in order to ver-
tically distribute the equilibrium aerosol mixing ratio
of 9.83 ppbm, which we calculated in S1 for the 50-
hPa idealised model level. We distribute those profiles
over the globe and finally derive the burden from this
idealised aerosol layer. This, of course, ignores that
other factors like concentrations of OH and H2O, and
the stratospheric temperature also control the aerosol
formation, their growth, and dispersion. From making
such assumptions, it is clear that we can only roughly
approximate the burden. However, from the similarity
between the size distributions shown in Section 3.1
and in the H09 study, we expect that the estimated
sulphur burden may not be too far from the burden
calculated in H09 (scenario GEO2 ).Thelatterisless
than half the burden predicted in Rasch et al. (2008)
by utilising prescribed background aerosol distribu-
tions (case bg2co2 ). Hence, our study would imply
that the radiative forcing and thus the target cooling
effect of geoengineered stratospheric aerosols, which
is proportional to the stratospheric burden, may be
overestimated when aerosol size distributions are pre-
scribed from observations after volcanic eruptions.
It is known from a variety of observations, in par-
ticular from the space-borne global monitoring of
stratospheric aerosols, as well as from two- and three-
dimensional model studies that in the absence of injec-
tions of volcanic material the stratospheric aerosol
Copyright 2010 Royal Meteorological Society Atmos. Sci. Let. (2010)
Size distribution of geoengineered stratospheric aerosols
Figure 5. Estimated annual mean global total aerosol burden
in comparison with the works of Rasch et al. (2008) and
Heckendorn et al. (2009).
layer is well mixed (SPARC, 2006). Furthermore,
observations as well as models show that the vertical
distribution of stratospheric aerosols does not exhibit
strong gradients in central regions of the layer, i.e.
from a few kilometres above the tropopause to alti-
tudes where the particles evaporate at 27 km (Barnes
and Hofmann, 2001).
To vertically distribute the equilibrium aerosol mix-
ing ratio, we applied a Gaussian profile for altitudes
between 100 and 10 hPa. For standard widths of the
Gaussian profile of 1.5 and 2 mimicking the mixing
ratio gradients above the tropopause and within the
evaporation regime at higher altitudes, we obtain that
the global annually averaged stratospheric aerosol bur-
den lies between 2.50 and 3.42 Tg(S).
In Figure 5 and Table I, this burden is compared
to the results of H09 and Rasch et al. (2008). It
is seen that our rough estimate is 20 60% larger
than the 2.1 Tg(S) shown in H09 for the 4 Tg(SO2)
injection scenario, whereby both SAD and size spectra
of aerosols are very similar in both studies. The burden
derived in Rasch et al. (2008), scenario bg2co2,is
approximately twice as large as our estimate. Also,
their burden derived from applying a volcanic aerosol
distribution (case volc2 ) is only marginally larger than
in their background case bg2co2, whereby the SAD of
the latter is three times larger than in the former case.
In other words, their burden is almost independent on
the size of aerosols under similar injection conditions.
That means, if the removal of large particles due
to sedimentation is not largely underestimated in
the Rasch et al. model, their stratospheric aerosol
abundance is overestimated and so is the radiative
forcing of prescribed aerosol size distributions.
4. Conclusions
We tested the aerosol microphysics module SAM2,
which was designed for large scale climate models,
in a zero-dimensional framework under conditions
which are thought to be representative as a solar
radiation management method with human-induced
stratospheric sulphate aerosols. Five teragram of SO2
were supplied to the 50-hPa level. We designed two
scenarios that differ in the handling of the oxidised
SO2. Scenario 1 is a realistic approach, while scenario
2 represents an upper limit case for the model’s
ability to capture the growth of aerosols. Results
are compared with previous studies based on more
complex models.
We found that the classic operator-splitting tech-
nique, which is used in many models to solve
concurrent physical processes, may result in fluctu-
ating aerosol size distributions when the SO2source
strength achieves critical values. This solution is not
independent of the integration time step length. Non-
iterative modifications in the sequential processing of
H2SO4gas-to-particle partitioning improved the model
behaviour significantly and made the solution robust
with respect to the integration time step length. It turns
out that a prescribed rate of 10% of sulphuric acid
being reserved for nucleation leads to robust results
that do no longer depend on the time step.
In previous studies, it was assumed that geoengi-
neered stratospheric aerosols would be smaller in size
than their volcanic analogue (Crutzen, 2006, Robock
et al., 2008; Rasch et al., 2008). Our studies confirm
findings of H09 that geoengineered stratospheric par-
ticles are likely to be larger than those observed in the
stratosphere after large volcanic eruptions. In SAM2,
aerosol size distributions are primarily shaped by
condensation. Coagulation might effectively remove
aerosol nuclei when large particles grow beyond a
certain threshold size. However, due to modifications
made in the sequential processing of microphysics and
due to the continuous supply of SO2and, hence, sul-
phuric acid vapour, in our scenarios coagulation gener-
ally plays a minor role in the growth of geoengineered
stratospheric aerosols.
From estimates of the stratospheric burden, an
aerosol layer formed from particles as predicted in
our realistic scenario S1, it is likely that climate
model predictions of the cooling effect of geoengi-
neered stratospheric aerosols strongly depend on the
accurate description of the aerosol size. This can be
achieved in two ways: either climate models incor-
porate aerosol modules which, like our scheme, pre-
dict the size distribution of the particles interactively
or climate models apply consistent climatologies of
aerosol surface area and mixing ratio for atmospheric
chemistry and radiation derived from realistic offline
models. The hazards inherent in any geoengineering
approach require the best possible model configura-
tion. We would argue that the most reliable results
will be obtained with well-tested stratospheric aerosol
microphysics and chemistry models implemented in
the global model.
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... Simulationen wurden durchgeführt mit der Boxmodellversion des Aerosolmikrophysik-Moduls SAM2 (Kokkola et al., 2009;Hommel & Graf, 2011 ...
... Sowohl für die Analyse der beobachteten und modellierten Aerosolbefrachtung der Stratosphäre sind Kenntnisse der globalen Verteilung und Vertikalstruktur der Mischungsverhältnisse von Aerosolvorläufergasen sehr wichtig. Beobachtungen wurden bis vor wenigen Jahren nur sporadisch und an wenigen Orten durchgeführt (eine Zusammenfassung findet sich u.a. in Hommel et al., 2011). Obwohl verschiedene Satellitenmissionen seit den späten neunziger Jahren Globalverteilungen eines der wichtigsten und häufigsten Vorläufergase Schwefeldioxid (SO 2 ) lieferten, erlaubten deren 0,10,20 m/s;negative Werte in gestrichelten Konturen). ...
... Zwar gab es bereits zuvor Anhaltspunkte für QBO-bezogene starke Änderungen der meridionalen und vertikalen Verteilung von Aerosolen in der tropischen Stratosphäre aus früheren Satellitenbeobachtungen (Trepte und Hitchman, 1992), jedoch nur anhand ausgewählter Stichproben der zonalgemittelten Aerosolextinktion mit wenig Systematik gegenüber der zeitlichen Entwicklung der QBO, insbesondere in ihren Transitionsphasen. Thomason et al., 2008;Hommel et al., 2011Kremser et al., 2016 ...
Technical Report
Full-text available
The ROSA-ROMIC project deals with the characterization of stratospheric aerosols. The importance and necessity of the project work is given by a direct influence of stratospheric aerosols on the radiation balance of the Earth's atmosphere and the resulting impact on climate change. The subproject of the Institute for Environmental Physics of the University of Bremen had two main topics. Firstly, the method for the evaluation of the aerosol extinction coefficients from the scattered light measurements in the Limb observation geometry was improved and a completely new method for the evaluation of the parameters of the aerosol particle size distribution was developed. Satellite measurements of the SCIAMACHY (SCanning Imaging Absorption spectroMeter for Atmospheric CHartographY) instrument were used on the European environmental research satellite Envisat, which was in operation from August 2002 to April 2012. Clear signatures of volcanic eruptions (such as Tavurvur, Nabro, Sarychev Peak) were detected in the measurement data and their distribution investigated. Secondly, an aerosol microphysics model was coupled with a 3-dimensional chemical transport model (CTM) and model investigations on aerosol microphysics and dynamic effects on the stratospheric aerosol layer were carried out. Among other aspects, the observed QBO (Quasi-Biennial Oscillation) signatures in stratospheric aerosols were investigated and reproduced by the model. In cooperation with the Ernst-Moritz-Arndt University Greifswald, a possible solar-driven 27-day signature in the extinction of stratospheric aerosols was identified. Although the underlying mechanism of the solar influence was not clearly identified, it could be shown that the stratospheric temperature changes associated with the solar variation are not sufficient to explain the aerosol signature by evaporation. It is assumed that dynamic variations or chemical interactions with periods of about 27 days have a significant influence on stratospheric aerosols.
... Initial studies of artificial sulfate aerosols estimated their effect on climate by performing climate model simulations with prescribed particle size and relatively vague assump- tions for aerosol particle evolution ( Rasch et al., 2008;Robock et al., 2008;Tilmes et al., 2009). A more com- prehensive study, albeit two-dimensional, using a sectional aerosol microphysical model showed that the particle size distribution of the sulfate aerosol cloud depended strongly on the magnitude of the injections ( Heckendorn et al., 2009) which has been confirmed by later studies (Pierce et al., 2010;Niemeier et al., 2011;Hommel and Graf, 2011;English et al., 2012). However, the results differ in detail, in the simulated particle size distribution and in the poleward trans- port of stratospheric aerosol particles. ...
... HAM calculates the sulfate aerosol formation including nucleation, accumulation, condensation and coagulation, as well as its removal processes via sed- imentation and deposition. A simple stratospheric sulfur scheme is applied at the tropopause and above (Timmreck, 2001;Hommel et al., 2011). This scheme uses prescribed ox- idant fields of OH, NO 2 , and O 3 on a monthly basis, as well as photolysis rates of OCS, H 2 SO 4 , SO 2 , SO 3 , and O 3 . ...
Article
Full-text available
. The injection of sulfur dioxide (SO2) into the stratosphere to form an artificial stratospheric aerosol layer is considered as an option for solar radiation management. The related reduction in radiative forcing depends upon the amount injected of sulfur dioxide but aerosol model studies indicate a decrease in forcing efficiency with increasing injection magnitude. None of these studies, however, consider injection strengths greater than 10 Tg(S) yr-1. This would be necessary to counteract the strong anthropogenic forcing expected if "business as usual" emission conditions continue throughout this century. To understand the effects of the injection of larger amounts of SO2 we have calculated the effects of SO2 injections up to 100 Tg(S) yr-1. We estimate the reliability of our results through consideration of various injection strategies, and from comparison with results obtained from other models. Our calculations show that the efficiency of the aerosol layer, expressed as the relationship between sulfate aerosol forcing and injection strength, decays exponentially. This result implies that the solar radiation management strategy required to keep temperatures constant at that anticipated for 2020, whilst maintaining "business as usual" conditions, would require atmospheric injections of the order of 45 Tg(S) yr-1 which amounts to 6 times that emitted from of the Mt. Pinatubo eruption each year.
... HAM calculates aerosol microphysical processes like nucleation, accumulation, condensation, and coagulation as well as the sulfate aerosol depletion via sedimentation and deposition (Stier et al., 2005). In this setup of HAM, a simple stratospheric sulfur chemistry is applied in the stratosphere, which uses prescribed monthly oxidant fields and photolysis rates of, inter alia, ozone, OH, and NO x (Timmreck, 2001;Hommel and Graf, 2011). Therefore, the impact of SAM on stratospheric ozone is not simulated within MAECHAM5-HAM. ...
Article
Full-text available
A known adverse side effect of stratospheric aerosol modification (SAM) is the alteration of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), which is caused by the stratospheric heating associated with an artificial aerosol layer. Multiple studies found the QBO to slow down or even completely vanish for point-like injections of SO2 at the Equator. The cause for this was found to be a modification of the thermal wind balance and a stronger tropical upwelling. For other injection strategies, different responses of the QBO have been observed. A theory which is able to explain those differences in a comprehensive manner has not yet been presented. This is further complicated by the fact that the simulated QBO response is highly sensitive to the used model even under identical boundary conditions. Therefore, within this study we investigate the response of the QBO to SAM for three different injection strategies (point-like injection at the Equator, point-like injection at 30∘N and 30∘S simultaneously, and areal injection into a 60∘ wide belt along the Equator). Our simulations confirm that the QBO response significantly depends on the injection location. Based on the thermal wind balance, we demonstrate that this dependency is explained by differences in the meridional structure of the aerosol-induced stratospheric warming, i.e., the location and meridional extension of the maximum warming. Additionally, we also tested two different injection species (SO2 and H2SO4). The QBO response is qualitatively similar for both investigated injection species. Comparing the results to corresponding results of a second model, we further demonstrate the generality of our theory as well as the importance of an interactive treatment of stratospheric ozone for the simulated QBO response.
... CC BY 4.0 License. which uses prescribed monthly oxidant fields and photolysis rates of, inter alia, ozone, OH, and NO x(Timmreck, 2001;Hommel and Graf, 2011). Therefore, the impact of SAM onto stratospheric ozone is not simulated within MAECHAM5-HAM.Within this stratospheric HAM version apart from the injected SO 2 or H 2 SO 4 , only natural sulfur emissions are taken into account. ...
Preprint
Full-text available
A known adverse side effect of stratospheric aerosol modification (SAM) is the modification of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), which is caused by the stratospheric heating associated with an artificial aerosol layer. Multiple studies found the QBO to slow down or even completely vanish for point-like injections of SO2 at the equator. The cause for this was found to be a modification of the thermal wind balance and a stronger tropical upwelling. For other injection strategies, different responses of the QBO have been observed. It has not yet been presented a theory which is able to explain those differences in a comprehensive manner, which is further complicated by the fact that the simulated QBO response is highly sensitive to the used model even under identical boundary conditions. Therefore, within this study we investigate the response of the QBO to SAM for three different injection strategies (point-like injection at the equator, point-like injection at 30° N and 30° S simultaneously, and areal injection into a 60° wide belt along the equator). Our simulations confirm that the QBO response significantly depends on the injection location. Based on the thermal wind balance, we demonstrate that this dependency is explained by differences in the meridional structure of the aerosol-induced stratospheric warming, i.e. the location and meridional extension of the maximum warming. Additionally, we also tested two different injection species (SO2 and H2SO4). The QBO response is qualitatively similar for both investigated injection species. Comparing the results to corresponding results of a second model, we further demonstrate the generality of our theory as well as the importance of an interactive treatment of stratospheric ozone for the simulated QBO response.
... One possible difficulty that has already been identified with aerosol injection is coagulation of the injected aerosols, which from the discussion above, would both increase F o r P e e r R e v i e w 6 the annual injection amounts, and also increase the offsetting heating effects of larger particles [11,12]. The researchers found that coagulation of aerosols would be greater if injection location was not varied. ...
Preprint
Full-text available
Recent proposals for geoengineering, such as that by the Royal Society, assume that geoengineering can complement more conventional methods of climate mitigation, including renewable energy (RE). However, we show that geoengineering would affect the potential for all direct and indirect solar energy RE, including biomass, hydro, wind, as well as both PV and solar thermal energy conversion (and even passive solar energy). Implementation of geoengineering would also affect the actual adoption of RE, which is presently at a low level-about 16 EJ of modern RE (ie excluding firewood) compared with around 500 EJ global primary energy use. This is because aerosol geoengineering has much lower up-front costs compared with RE, when compared on an equivalent CO 2 avoided basis. We compare the relative costs of two alternatives: (a) Continued use of fossil fuels plus aerosol geoengineering (b) Adoption of greatly increased amounts of RE. We show that if, as is likely, a short time frame and a high social discount rate is applied, the present value cost of geoengineering is far lower, but the opposite is the case if 0% discount rate and a much longer time frame is used. In brief, adoption of geoengineering will lower costs for the present generation, but put much of the burden on future generations.
... Those simulations produced an unrealistically high burden of aerosols and therefore an unrealistic estimation of achieved radiative forcing reduction. Recent papers have addressed SO 2 and H 2 SO 4 injection strategies using microphysical models English et al., 2012;Heckendorn et al., 2009;Hommel & Graf, 2011;Niemeier et al., 2011;Niemeier & Timmreck, 2015;Pierce et al., 2010). Some of these studies used a two-dimensional aerosol microphysical model to simulate the aerosol distribution of SO 2 or H 2 SO 4 injections and then prescribed the aerosol distribution in a global climate model (GCM). ...
Article
Full-text available
Injection of SO2 into the stratosphere has been proposed as a method to in part counteract anthropogenic climate change. So far, most studies investigated injections at the equator or in a region in the tropics. Here, we use CESM1(WACCM) to explore the impact of continuous single grid point SO2 injections at 7 different latitudes and 2 altitudes in the stratosphere on aerosol distribution and climate. For each of the 14 locations, 3 different constant SO2 emission rates were tested to identify linearity in aerosol burden, aerosol optical depth, and climate effects. We found that injections at 15° N and 15° S and at 25 km altitude have equal or greater effect on radiation and surface temperature than injections at the equator. Non-equatorial injections transport SO2 and sulfate aerosols more efficiently into middle and high latitudes and result in particles of smaller effective radius and larger aerosol burden in middle and high latitudes. Injections at 15° S produce the largest increase in global average aerosol optical depth, and increase the change in radiative forcing per Tg SO2/yr by about 15% compared to equatorial injections. High altitude injections at 15° N produce the largest reduction in global average temperature of 0.2 degrees per Tg S/yr for the last 7 years of a ten year experiment. Injections at higher altitude are generally more efficient at reducing surface temperature, with the exception of large equatorial injections of at least 12 Tg SO2/yr. These findings have important implications for designing a strategy to counteract global climate change.
... The past few years have seen major advances in the use of global aerosol microphysics models, partially stemming from the geoengineering debate on injecting SO 2 into the stratosphere to mitigate global warming (e.g., English et al., 2012). These models have supported the assertion that there is an upper limit to the radiative forcing that can be obtained with sulfate aerosols due to the particle size distribution and growth effect (Heckendorn et al., 2009;Timmreck et al., 2009Timmreck et al., , 2010Niemeier et al., 2011;Hommel and Graf, 2011;English et al., 2012). For a given sulfate load, the scattering of shortwave radiation is modulated by particle size, and as aerosol particle size increases, scattering of radiation decreases (Rasch et al., 2008;Timmreck et al., 2009). ...
Chapter
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The temporal link between mass extinctions and large igneous provinces is well known. Here, we examine this link by focusing on the potential climatic effects of large igneous province eruptions during several extinction crises that show the best correlation with mass volcanism: the Frasnian-Famennian (Late Devonian), Capitanian (Middle Permian), end-Permian, end-Triassic, and Toarcian (Early Jurassic) extinctions. It is clear that there is no direct correlation between total volume of lava and extinction magnitude because there is always sufficient recovery time between individual eruptions to negate any cumulative effect of successive flood basalt eruptions. Instead, the environmental and climatic damage must be attributed to single-pulse gas effusions. It is notable that the best-constrained examples of death-by-volcanism record the main extinction pulse at the onset of (often explosive) volcanism (e.g., the Capitanian, end-Permian, and end-Triassic examples), suggesting that the rapid injection of vast quantities of volcanic gas (CO2 and SO2) is the trigger for a truly major biotic catastrophe. Warming and marine anoxia feature in many extinction scenarios, indicating that the ability of a large igneous province to induce these proximal killers (from CO2 emissions and thermogenic greenhouse gases) is the single most important factor governing its lethality. Intriguingly, many voluminous large igneous province eruptions, especially those of the Cretaceous oceanic plateaus, are not associated with significant extinction losses. This suggests that the link between the two phenomena may be controlled by a range of factors, including continental configuration, the latitude, volume, rate, and duration of eruption, its style and setting (continental vs. oceanic), the preexisting climate state, and the resilience of the extant biota to change.
... HAM calculates the sulfate aerosol formation including nucleation, accumulation, condensation and coagulation, as well as its removal processes via sedimentation and deposition. A simple stratospheric sulfur scheme is applied at the tropopause and above (Timmreck, 2001; Hommel et al., 2011). This scheme uses prescribed oxidant fields of OH, NO 2 , and O 3 on a monthly basis, as well as photolysis rates of OCS, H 2 SO 4 , SO 2 , SO 3 , and O 3 . ...
Article
Full-text available
The injection of sulfur dioxide (SO2) into the stratosphere to form an artificial stratospheric aerosol layer is discussed as an option for solar radiation management. The related reduction of radiative forcing depends upon the injected amount of sulfur dioxide, but aerosol model studies indicate a decrease in forcing efficiency with increasing injection rate. None of these studies, however, consider injection rates greater than 20 Tg(S) yr−1. But this would be necessary to counteract the strong anthropogenic forcing expected if "business as usual" emission conditions continue throughout this century. To understand the effects of the injection of larger amounts of SO2, we have calculated the effects of SO2 injections up to 100 Tg(S) yr−1. We estimate the reliability of our results through consideration of various injection strategies and from comparison with results obtained from other models. Our calculations show that the efficiency of such a geoengineering method, expressed as the ratio between sulfate aerosol forcing and injection rate, decays exponentially. This result implies that the sulfate solar radiation management strategy required to keep temperatures constant at that anticipated for 2020, while maintaining business as usual conditions, would require atmospheric injections of approximately 45 Tg(S) yr−1 (±15 % or 7 Tg(S) yr−1) at a height corresponding to 60 hPa. This emission is equivalent to 5 to 7 times the Mt. Pinatubo eruption each year.
... We have prescribed a fixed particle size distribution but particle size distribution would evolve with time and is shown to be important in precisely estimating the effects on different climate variables (Rasch et al., 2008b). Some modeling studies (Robock et al., 2008) have injected aerosol precursors into the stratosphere with fixed particle size distribution while other studies (Heckendorn et al., 2009;Pierce et al., 2010;Niemeier et al., 2010;Hommel and Graf, 2011;English et al., 2012) have demonstrated the importance of including the microphysics of particle growth. Further, we have focused our investigation primarily on global mean climate while several other studies (e.g., Robock et al., 2008;Irvine et al., 2010;Ricke et al., 2010) focused on regional disparities. ...
Article
Full-text available
Solar radiation management (SRM) geoengineering has been proposed as a potential option to counteract climate change. We perform a set of idealized geoengineering simulations using Community Atmosphere Model version 3.1 developed at the National Center for Atmospheric Research to investigate the global hydrological implications of varying the latitudinal distribution of solar insolation reduction in SRM methods. To reduce the solar insolation we have prescribed sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere. The radiative forcing in the geoengineering simulations is the net forcing from a doubling of CO2 and the prescribed stratospheric aerosols. We find that for a fixed total mass of sulfate aerosols (12.6 Mt of SO4), relative to a uniform distribution which nearly offsets changes in global mean temperature from a doubling of CO2, global mean radiative forcing is larger when aerosol concentration is maximum at the poles leading to a warmer global mean climate and consequently an intensified hydrological cycle. Opposite changes are simulated when aerosol concentration is maximized in the tropics. We obtain a range of 1K in global mean temperature and 3% in precipitation changes by varying the distribution pattern in our simulations: this range is about 50% of the climate change from a doubling of CO2. Hence, our study demonstrates that a range of global mean climate states, determined by the global mean radiative forcing, are possible for a fixed total amount of aerosols but with differing latitudinal distribution. However, it is important to note that this is an idealized study and thus not all important realistic climate processes are modeled.
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Full-text available
In this paper we investigate results from a three-dimensional middle-atmosphere aerosol-climate model which has been developed to study the evolution of stratospheric aerosols. Here we focus on the stratospheric background period and evaluate several key quantities of the global distribution of stratospheric aerosols and their precursors with observations and other model studies. It is shown that the model fairly well reproduces in situ observations of the aerosol size and number concentrations in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UT/LS). Compared to measurements from the limb-sounding SAGE II satellite instrument, modelled integrated aerosol quantities are more biased the lower the moment of the aerosol population is. Both findings are consistent with earlier work analysing the quality of SAGE II retrieved e.g. aerosol surface area densities in the volcanically unperturbed stratosphere (SPARC/ASAP, 2006; Thomason et al., 2008; Wurl et al., 2010). The model suggests that new particles are formed over large areas of the LS, albeit nucleation rates in the upper troposphere are at least one order of magnitude larger than those in the stratosphere. Hence, we suggest that both, tropospheric sulphate aerosols and particles formed in situ in the LS are maintaining the stability of the stratospheric aerosol layer in the absence of direct stratospheric emissions from volcanoes. Particle size distributions are clearly bimodal, except in the upper branches of the stratospheric aerosol layer where aerosols evaporate. Modelled concentrations of condensation nuclei (CN) are smaller than measured in regions of the aerosol layer where aerosol mixing ratios are largest. This points to an overestimated particle growth by coagulation. Transport regimes of tropical stratospheric aerosol have been identified from modelled aerosol mixing ratios and correspond to those deduced from satellite extinction measurements. We found that convective updraft in the Asian Monsoon region significantly contributes to both stratospheric aerosol load and size. The timing of formation and descend of layers of fine mode particles in the winter and spring polar stratosphere (CN layer) are well reproduced by the model. Where temperatures in the stratosphere increase with altitude, nucleation is unlikely to occur. Nevertheless, in these regions we find a significant concentration of fine mode aerosols. The place of origin of these particles is in the polar stratosphere. They are mixed into the mid-latitudes by planetary waves. There enhanced condensation rates of sulphuric acid vapour counteract evaporation and extend aerosol lifetime in the upper branches of the stratospheric aerosol layer. Measured aerosol precursors concentrations, SO2 and sulphuric acid vapour, are fairly well reproduced by the model throughout the stratosphere.
Article
Full-text available
As one part of a chemical-microphysical model, a stratospheric aerosol model has been developed for the implementation in the Hamburg climate model ECHAM. This model treats the formation, the development and the transport of stratospheric sulfuric acid aerosol. The aerosol size distribution and the chemical composition of the droplets are calculated dependent on the atmospheric conditions (temperature, air pressure) and the partial pressure of H2SO4 and H2O. Binary homogeneous nucleation of H2SO4/H2O condensation and evaporation of H2SO4 and H2O, Brownian coagulation and gravitational sedimentation are included. Sensitivity studies with the microphysical model were performed in order to study the influence of the nucleation and condensation parameterization on the aerosol size distribution. The impact of the initial conditions (temperature, water vapor, SO2, OH) on the aerosol size distribution is also investigated. Box simulations of the stratospheric background aerosol are in good agreement with in situ measurements above 73 hPa in middle and high latitudes. The model is able to reproduce important features of the stratospheric aerosol, like the observed strong increase of the aerosol size ratio above 50 hPa and the decrease of the aerosol mixing ratio. Due to the neglect of advection and diffusion processes the microphyiscal model alone is not able to reproduce observations from regions with strong vertical exchange processes. The simulated temporal development of the aerosol spectrum in a volcanically perturbed atmosphere is close to observations. After four to five years the background level is reached again.
Conference Paper
Full-text available
In this manuscript, we present an intercomparison of three different aerosol microphysics modules that are implemented in the climate model ECHAM5. The comparison was done between the modal aerosol microphysics module M7, which is currently the default aerosol microphysical core in ECHAM5, and two sectional aerosol microphysics modules SALSA, and SAM2. The detailed aerosol microphysical model MAIA was used as a reference to evaluate the results of the aerosol microphysics modules with respect to sulphate aerosol. The ability of the modules to describe the development of the aerosol size distribution was tested in a zero dimensional framework. We evaluated the strengths and weaknesses of different approaches under different types of stratospheric conditions. Also, we present an improved method for the time integration in M7 and study how the setup of the modal aerosol modules affects the evolution of the aerosol size distribution. Intercomparison simulations were carried out with varying SO2 concentrations from background conditions to extreme values arising from stratospheric injections by large volcanic eruptions. Under background conditions, all microphysics modules were in good agreement describing the shape of the aerosol size distribution, but the scatter between the model results increased with increasing SO2 concentrations. In particular in the volcanic case the setups of the aerosol modules have to be adapted in order to dependably capture the evolution of the aerosol size distribution, and to perform in global model simulations. In summary, this intercomparison serves as a review of the different aerosol microphysics modules which are currently available for the climate model ECHAM5.
Article
The fact that the surface and tropospheric temperatures increase with increasing CO2 has been well documented by numerical model simulations; however, less agreement is found for the changes in the intensity of precipitation and the hydrological cycle. Here, it is demonstrated that while both the radiative heating by increasing CO2 and the resulting higher sea surface temperatures contribute to warm the atmosphere, they act against each other in changing the hydrological cycle. As a consequence, in a warmer climate forced by increasing CO2 the intensity of the hydrological cycle can be either more or less intense depending upon the degree of surface warming.
Article
A technique is presented for estimating the effective radius, surface area density, and volume density of stratospheric aerosols from infrared emission measurements. These parameters are required to assess the perturbation of the climate and chemical balance of the stratosphere following the largest volcanic eruption so far this century: that of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines. The method uses a relationship between the surface area density and the volume density derived from balloon-borne measurements of the Mount Pinatubo aerosol cloud made at Laramie, Wyoming. It is shown that the aerosol emission value is well approximated by a linear function of effective radius and aerosol volume density. The technique relies on knowing the refractive index of the aerosol cloud, which is assumed to be composed of liquid spheres of sulphuric acid and water. It is shown that the uncertainties in the current knowledge of the refractive index of sulphuric acid solutions limit the accuracy of the inversion technique. As a case study, the aerosol effective radius, surface area density, and volume density are determined from emission measurements at 12.1 mum of the Mount Pinatubo aerosol cloud made by the improved stratospheric and mesospheric sounder (ISAMS) carried on the Upper Atmospheric Research Satellite (UARS). From these measurements it is shown that five months after the eruption the core of the Mount Pinatubo cloud had a size distribution with an effective radius of 0.5 mum, a surface area density of 35 mum2 cm-3, and a volume density of 6 mum3 cm-3.
Article
The stratospheric aerosol layer above Mauna Loa Observatory (MLO), Hawaii, has been at low background levels for the past 5 years. This is the first time that an extended nonvolcanic background aerosol period has been observed since modern measurements began in the early 1960s. Lidar backscatter at 532 nm shows a distinct maximum in winter and minimum in summer. The five annual cycles have included three easterly phases and two westerly phases of the quasibiennial oscillation (QBO). Differences in aerosol backscatter versus altitude profiles are seen for different QBO phases. There is also a switching of about 25% in the magnitude of the aerosol backscatter on a weekly time scale with varying particle size derived from multiwavelength data. Assumption of a tropical particle source at background suggests that the differing particle regimes are tropical and midlatitude.
Article
This paper presents the methods used to produce a global climatology of the stratospheric aerosol using data from two satellite instruments: the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE II) and the Cryogenic Limb Array Etalon Spectrometer (CLAES). The climatology, which spans from December 1984 to August 1999, includes values and uncertainties of measured extinction and optical depth and of retrieved particle effective radius R eff , distribution width sigma g , surface area S, and volume V. As a basis for aerosol retrievals, a multiwavelength look-up table (LUT) algorithm was developed that matches the satellite-measured extinction ratios to precomputed ratios that are based on a range of unimodal lognormal size distributions. For cases in which the LUT does not find an acceptable match between measured and precomputed extinction spectra, a different technique called the parameter search technique is utilized. The combination of these two techniques and data from both satellites allows us to retrieve values of R eff , sigma g , S, and V over a wider range of conditions and from a wider range of wavelengths than used by other methods. This greater wavelength range helps constrain retrieved results, especially in postvolcanic conditions when particle sizes are greatly increased and SAGE II extinction spectra become essentially independent of wavelength. Our method includes an altitude- and time-dependent procedure that uses bimodal size distributions from in situ measurements to estimate bias and uncertainty introduced by assuming a unimodal functional form. Correcting for this bias reduces uncertainty in retrievals of R eff , S, and V by about 7%, 5%, and 1% (averaged over all altitude bands), leaving remaining uncertainties from the unimodal assumption of about +/-18%, +/-20%, and +/-21%, respectively. Additional uncertainties, resulting from measurement error and spatiotemporal variability, are evaluated by propagating input uncertainties through the retrieval algorithm. In an accompanying paper we report on a climatology of R eff , S, and V and consider uncertainties in our retrieved values of these parameters. In this paper we examine the sensitivity of our retrievals to refractive index and measurement wavelength. We find, for example, that changing refractive index from a value for the stratospheric temperature of 215 K to that for 300 K can increase retrieved R eff by ~7.5%, owing largely to effects at the CLAES 12.82 mum wavelength. When only SAGE II wavelengths are used, corresponding changes in R eff are much smaller.