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Seven Centuries of Energy Services: The Price and Use of Light in the United Kingdom (1300-2000)

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Before the mid-eighteenth century, most people lived in near-complete darkness except in the presence of sunlight and moonlight. Since then, the provision of artificial light has been revolutionised by a series of innovations in appliances, fuels, infrastructures and institutions that have enabled the growing demands of economic development for artificial light to be met at dramatically lower costs: by the year 2000, while United Kingdom GDP per capita was 15 times its 1800 value, lighting services cost less than one three thousandth of their 1800 value, per capita use was 6,500 times greater and total lighting consumption was 25,000 times higher than in 1800. The economic history of light shows how focussing on developments in energy service provision rather than simply on energy use and prices can reveal the ÔtrueÕ declines in costs, enhanced levels of consumption and welfare gains that have been achieved. While emphasising the value of past experience, the paper also warns against the dangers of over-reliance on past trends for the long-run forecasting of energy consumption given the potential for the introduction of new technologies and fuels, and for rebound and saturation effects.
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... The years of 1760-1830 marked the industrial revolution [10] where vast numbers of technological innovations occurred, most notably in the manufacturing industry. Among this rapid emergence of knowledge and modernisation, was the development of the electrical bulb [95,168] which changed the way humans lit their homes and their surroundings, creating a world filled with anthropogenically generated artificial light at levels never seen before. As lighting technology advanced, the price of artificial lights fell which widened its accessibility to consumers [95] and increased the demand which increased its prevalence around the world, termed the "rebound" effect [95,108,148,293]. ...
... Among this rapid emergence of knowledge and modernisation, was the development of the electrical bulb [95,168] which changed the way humans lit their homes and their surroundings, creating a world filled with anthropogenically generated artificial light at levels never seen before. As lighting technology advanced, the price of artificial lights fell which widened its accessibility to consumers [95] and increased the demand which increased its prevalence around the world, termed the "rebound" effect [95,108,148,293]. Although scientists have been aware of many anthropogenic stressors affecting the environment, such as the release of carbon dioxide inducing global warming, and fertilisers causing wide-spread eutrophication in aquatic systems, light pollution itself was not recognised as a worldwide concern until 2009 during the UN's International Year of Astronomy [120]. ...
... Among this rapid emergence of knowledge and modernisation, was the development of the electrical bulb [95,168] which changed the way humans lit their homes and their surroundings, creating a world filled with anthropogenically generated artificial light at levels never seen before. As lighting technology advanced, the price of artificial lights fell which widened its accessibility to consumers [95] and increased the demand which increased its prevalence around the world, termed the "rebound" effect [95,108,148,293]. Although scientists have been aware of many anthropogenic stressors affecting the environment, such as the release of carbon dioxide inducing global warming, and fertilisers causing wide-spread eutrophication in aquatic systems, light pollution itself was not recognised as a worldwide concern until 2009 during the UN's International Year of Astronomy [120]. ...
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... This can be a particularly good way of getting past the difficulty of context discussed in section 2: If multiple cases, taking place in different contexts all exhibit the same basic pattern, then that pattern is more likely to also apply to the target innovation. This type of inductive approach has been used to identify fundamental patterns in technology such as complexity (Arthur, 2011) learning by doing (Wright, 1936), and long term price elasticities (Fouquet and Pearson, 2006). Historical analogues being used in this kind of research strategy should be selected to maximize variation while maintaining strategic similarity with the target innovation. ...
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... Third, our study adds to the literature that has examined energy consumption and its relationship to other economic outcomes in long-run studies for the United Kingdom. One branch of this literature documents trends in energy consumption, services and prices over several centuries (Fouquet, 2010(Fouquet, , 2011Fouquet & Pearson, 1998, 2006Warde, 2007). A second branch of this literature has examined the relationship between energy consumption and other economic variables. ...
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