A simulation modeling framework for community-wide evacuation planning

ArticleinJournal of Transportation Security 4(1):1-18 · March 2011with11 Reads
DOI: 10.1007/s12198-010-0055-y


    Simulation is a useful and cost effective tool for evacuation planning. However, extensive data collection and preparation
    is necessary to build a traffic evacuation simulation model that can closely replicate real life conditions. In a community-wide
    evacuation process during an emergency, which covers hundreds of miles, input data related to simulation of traffic evacuations
    include (1) Traffic and roadway geometry, (2) Geographic distribution of the affected area, (3) Travel demand modeling, and
    (4) Behavioral analysis of potential evacuees. This paper presents a framework for preparing simulation inputs and ultimately
    developing a simulation model. Brief excerpts from a case study on the evacuation of Charleston, South Carolina are also included.
    An accurate input analysis is very important to the success of a simulation project since without correct input data, the
    output of a simulation cannot contribute to more effective decision making. This paper presents a simple and efficient methodology
    for data preparation regarding a large scale city evacuation simulation involving long distance trips.

    KeywordsLong distance evacuation–Arrival rate–Data input–Simulation–Evacuation–At-risk population