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The Servitization of Manufacturing
Professor Andy Neely
University of Cambridge and
University
of
Cambridge
and
Cranfield School of Management
Five questions…
1. What do we know about manufacturing in the UK?
2.
How is manufacturing changing?
2.
How
is
manufacturing
changing?
3. Why is manufacturing changing (the driving forces)?
4. Data on the servitization of manufacturing (scale and impact)
5. Why is servitization difficult?
Five questions…
1. What do we know about manufacturing in the UK?
UK manufacturing output: 1996-2007
Manufacturing Output
(Index 2003=100)
110
100
105
95
100
85
90
85
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
KPIs for Manufacturing, BERR, www.berr.gov.uk/sectors/manufacturing/ukstrategy
Talk of a decline in manufacturing is overstated – in terms of output…
UK manufacturing employment: 1996-2007
Manufacturing Employment
(
Index 2003=100
)
()
130
110
120
80
90
100
60
70
80
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
KPIs for Manufacturing, BERR, www.berr.gov.uk/sectors/manufacturing/ukstrategy
But not overstated in terms of employment!
UK manufacturing productivity: 1996-2006
Manufacturing Productivity
(Ouput per hour, Index 2003=100)
120
100
110
80
90
60
70
60
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Sttddbf lltihihdtiit
KPIs for Manufacturing, BERR, www.berr.gov.uk/sectors/manufacturing/ukstrategy
S
ame ou
t
pu
t
pro
d
uce
d
b
y
f
ewer peop
l
e resu
lt
s
i
n
hi
g
h
er pro
d
uc
ti
v
it
y
UK manufacturing profitability: 1996-2006
Manufacturing Profitability
(
% net rate of return
)
()
18%
For private sector non-manufacturing corporations
as a whole, profitability reached 14.5% in 2006.
12%
14%
16%
6%
8%
10%
0%
2%
4%
0%
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
KPIs for Manufacturing, BERR, www.berr.gov.uk/sectors/manufacturing/ukstrategy
But not necessarily higher profitability!
Five questions…
1. What do we know about manufacturing in the UK?
2.
How is manufacturing changing?
2.
How
is
manufacturing
changing?
Declining profitability raises questions about the economic
sustainability of business models…
Sainsbury Review: The Race to the Top (2007)…
“In 1980, less than one-tenth of manufacturing exports came from the
developing world. Today it is almost one-third and in 20 years’ time it is
likely to be one-half”.
•UK manufacturing cannot compete on the basis of cost (Innovation
Review, 2003; Innovation Nation, 2008)…
Focusing on high value production (by integrating services)…
Interest in service-based competitive strategies is not new:
Andersen and Narus – Capturing the Value of Supplementary Services, Harvard
Business Review, 1995.
Wise and Baumgartner – Go Downstream: The New Imperative in Manufacturing,
Harvard Business Review, 1999.
But we may be at a technologically enabled tipping point…
Servitization/Servicization…
Product-Service Systems…
Service Science…
Remote Product Servicin
g
…
g
Intelligent Vehicle Health Management…
And the shift to services is not just in aero engines…
The opportunities for services
John Deere iGuide system (2007)
UGPSthlt
U
ses
GPS
t
ec
h
no
l
ogy
t
o
automatically shift the steering
pattern of the tractor to
com
p
ensate for im
p
lement drift
pp
Health and Usage
Monitoring Systems
Use sensors on equipment
to detect repair and
overhaul re
q
uirements
q
And the opportunities for services continue…
Yesterday’s Technology…
Th C (1836
1910)
Th
omas
C
rapper
(1836
-
1910)
Sanitary Pioneer
Footnote for Sir John Harington who is credited with inventing the first flush toilet in 1596!
Today’s toilet technology…
The intelligent toilet…
Neorest toilets…
•Lid opens automatically as you walk up…
•The seat’s heated…
•There’s a catalytic air purifier to remove any “unwanted odours”…
•With a manual power override for those particularly unpleasant visits…
•
There
’
sawarm
-
water massage spray and a hot air dryer
There s
a
warm
-
water
massage
spray
and
a
hot
air
dryer
…
•The temperature and intensity of both are controlled using a LCD panel…
•Once you’ve finished and left the “sensor zone” the toilet automatically closes
the lid and starts a three stage “Cyclone” flush; the strength of which depends on
how long you’ve been busy on the toilet and previous patterns of usage.
What about the toilet of tomorrow?
Put simply…
The servitization
of manufacturing
= adding
services to
prod cts
prod
u
cts
…
Five questions…
1. What do we know about manufacturing in the UK?
2.
How is manufacturing changing?
2.
How
is
manufacturing
changing?
3. Why is manufacturing changing (the driving forces)?
Why is manufacturing servitizing?
Economic
ti l
1. Manufacturing firms in developed economies cannot
compete on the basis of cost (technological
developments are enabling them to add innovative
ra
ti
ona
l
e
developments
are
enabling
them
to
add
innovative
services)…
2. The installed base argument (e.g. for every new car
sold there are already 13 in operation, 15 to 1 for civil
Strategic
aircraft and 22 to 1 for trains)…
3. Stability of revenues – services vs. products…
1.
Lock in customers (sell the original equipment at cost,
Strategic
rationale
1.
Lock
in
customers
(sell
the
original
equipment
at
cost,
make money on spares & suppliers - razor, printers)…
2. Lock out competitors…
3. Increase the level of differentiation (e.g. equipment
id ff t t k t ’ i k d i
prov
id
er o
ff
ers
t
o
t
a
k
e cus
t
omer
’
s r
i
s
k
an
d
g
i
ve
predictable maintenance costs)…
4. Customers demand it (e.g. contracting for capability)…
Environmental
rationale
1. Environmental rationale (change notions of ownership
and resource use – e.g. Mobility cars)…
Five questions…
1. What do we know about manufacturing in the UK?
2.
How is manufacturing changing?
2.
How
is
manufacturing
changing?
3. Why is manufacturing changing (the driving forces)?
4. Data on the servitization of manufacturing (scale and impact)
So what can we find out about servitization?
2007 dataset 2009 dataset
Source of data OSIRIS database OSIRIS database
Nos. companies 44,000 publicly listed firms 55,000 publicly listed firms
Nos. manufacturing firms
(US SIC codes 10-39) 22,952 firms 27,670 firms
Nos. manufacturing firms
with over 100 employees 12,521 firms 13,259 firms
Nos firms with no
1 478 firms
706 firms
Nos
.
firms
with
no
business description
1
,
478
firms
706
firms
Nos. firms
declaring
216 firms
222 firms
Nos.
firms
declaring
bankruptcy
216
firms
222
firms
Useable sample 10,827 firms 12,331 firms
Coding – identifying which firms have servitized
Coding – using business descriptions to identify
hth fi l ifid f t i ff
w
h
e
th
er
fi
rms c
l
ass
ifi
e
d
as manu
f
ac
t
ur
i
ng o
ff
er:
Pure manufacturing e g PetroChina principally engaged in a broad range of
Pure
manufacturing
,
e
.
g
.
PetroChina
principally
engaged
in
a
broad
range
of
petroleum and natural gas-related activities.
Some combination of man fact ring and ser ice e g Siemens
Some
combination
of
man
u
fact
u
ring
and
ser
v
ice
,
e
.
g
.
Siemens
-
predominantly electronics and electrical engineering, but provides a wide
variety of consulting, maintenance and other services.
Pure service, e.g. The Brink's Company, conducts business in the security
industry. The services offered by the Company include armoured-car
idllhi(ATM)ii d
transportat
i
on, automate
d
te
ll
er mac
hi
ne
(ATM)
serv
i
c
i
ng, currency an
d
deposit processing, coin sorting and wrapping, and arranging the secure air
transportation of valuables.
Despite having manufacturing SIC codes…
70%
50%
60%
40%
20%
30%
10%
0% Pure
Manufacturing Servitized Pure Service Bankrupt No description
2007 2009
In which countries have firms servitized (2006)?
50%
60%
30%
40%
50%
F
irms
10%
20%
30%
% of
F
0%
10%
% servitized firms
USA Finland Singapore Malaysia Netherlands
Belgium Norway Germany Bermuda Switzerland
Sd
Ti
CIld
Si
GtBiti
S
we
d
en
T
a
i
wan
C
ayman
I
s
l
an
d
s
S
pa
i
n
G
rea
t
B
r
it
a
i
n
Greece Australia Czech Republic Denmark Thailand
France Indonesia Austria Japan China
Where has the growth in servitization come from?
60%
70%
40%
50%
20%
30%
0%
10%
% Servitized in 2009 % Servitized in 2007
Where has the growth in servitization come from?
Deciles of turnove
r
Decile 10 2004
Decile 10 2006
Decile 8 2004
Decile 8 2006
Decile 9 2004
Decile 9 2006
Decile 6 2004
Decile 6 2006
Decile 7 2004
Decile 7 2006
%P f t i
Decile 4 2006
Decile 5 2004
Decile 5 2006
Decile
6
2004
%
P
ure manu
f
ac
t
ur
i
ng
% Servitized
% Pure service
Decile 2 2006
Decile 3 2004
Decile 3 2006
Decile 4 2004
Decile 1 2004
Decile 1 2006
Decile 2 2004
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
What types of services are offered?
Service Offered? % of Firms Offering
Service in 2009 % of Firms Offering
Service in 2007
Design and Development Services 23.21% 21.92%
Systems and Solutions 15.92% 15.70%
Mi dS S i
12 33%
11 94%
M
a
i
ntenance an
d
S
upport
S
erv
i
ces
12
.
33%
11
.
94%
Retail and Distribution Services 12.14% 12.18%
Installation and Implementation Services
5 35%
5 10%
Installation
and
Implementation
Services
5
.
35%
5
.
10%
Property and Real Estate 4.89% 3.83%
Financial Services 3.80% 3.89%
Consulting Services 3.37% 2.69%
Leasing Services 2.06% 1.07%
Outsourcing and Operating Services 1.46% 1.68%
Procurement Services 1.18% 1.15%
Transportation and Trucking Services
0 19%
0 20%
Transportation
and
Trucking
Services
0
.
19%
0
.
20%
Which services in which countries (2006 data)?
300%
350%
Transportation and trucking services
Systems and solutions services
Rtil dditibti i
200%
250%
R
e
t
a
il
an
d
di
s
t
r
ib
u
ti
on serv
i
ces
Property and real estate services
Procurement services
Outsourcing and operating services
Maintenance and support services
50%
100%
150%
Maintenance
and
support
services
Leasing services
Installation and implementation services
Financial services
Desi
g
n and develo
p
ment services
0%
Austria
A
ustrali
a
Belgiu
m
Bermud
Switzerl
China
Czech
R
Germa
n
Denma
r
Spain
Finland
France
Great B
Greece
Indone
s
Japan
Cayma
n
Malaysi
a
Netherl
a
Norway
Swede
n
Singap
o
Thailan
d
Taiwan
USA
gp
Consulting services
a
m
a
and
R
epublic
n
y
r
k
ritain
s
ia
n
Islands
a
a
nds
n
o
re
d
Two points to note:
1. Variation in the average numbers of services offered by firms in different countries - close to
3 different services/firm (US), to less than 1.5 (Czech Republic).
2. Some areas of service offering are universal – e.g. design and development services – while
others appear to be particularly prevalent in specific countries – e.g. systems and solutions
services in Sweden, Finland and Germany.
Services from China and Japan
f
e
rvice
n
number o
e
ring the s
e
Increase i
n
m
panies off
e
co
m
The transition to services is not straightforward!
A greater proportion of servitized firms
went bankrupt than might be expected
Servitized firms account for a
greater proportion of revenues,
but a lower proportion of profit
but
a
lower
proportion
of
profit
While the shift to services is clear the transition to services is not straightforward – the latest
research suggests that servitized manufacturers achieve lower profit margins and are more
likel
y
to
g
o bankru
p
t than
p
ure manufacturers
(
in the short-term
)
.
yg p p (
)
The story so far… a services paradox
1. Widespread efforts to servitize…
58% of US firms with manufacturing SIC codes offer services.
2. Although the extent of servitization differs markedly by country…
Less than 2% of Chinese manufacturing firms had servitized by 2007
Less
than
2%
of
Chinese
manufacturing
firms
had
servitized
by
2007
(Neely, 2009).
3
Whil i th ht t d li hi h i th i i d id
3
.
Whil
e serv
i
ces are
th
oug
ht
t
o
d
e
li
ver
hi
g
h
er marg
i
ns,
th
ere
i
s m
i
xe
d
ev
id
ence
on the impact of servitization…
(Gebauer et al, 2005; Neely, 2009; Visnjic and Van Looy, 2009).
4. With increasing evidence that the relationship is non-linear…
(Fang et al, 2008;
Suarez et al, 2008).
(Fang
et
al,
2008;
Suarez
et
al,
2008).
5. And that servitizing can be high risk…
Fi th t iti lik l t ff b k t (N l 2009)
Fi
rms
th
a
t
serv
iti
ze appear more
lik
e
l
y
t
o su
ff
er
b
an
k
rup
t
cy
(N
ee
l
y,
2009)
.
Five questions…
1. What do we know about manufacturing in the UK?
2.
How is manufacturing changing?
2.
How
is
manufacturing
changing?
3. Why is manufacturing changing (the driving forces)?
4. Data on the servitization of manufacturing (scale and impact)
5. Why is servitization difficult?
The challenges of servitizing…
• Of marketing – from transactional to relational
• Of sales
–
from sellin
g
multi-million dollar
p
roducts to sellin
g
service
ShiftingShifting
g
pg
contracts and capability
• Of customers – from wanting to own the product to being happy with
the service
Shifting
mindsets
Shifting
mindsets
• Managing and delivering multi-year partnerships
• Managing and controlling long term risk and exposure
• Modelling and understanding the cost and profitability implication of
long-term partnerships
TimescaleTimescale
• Understanding what value means to customers and consumers (not
producers and suppliers)
BusinessBusiness
producers
and
suppliers)
• Developing the capability to design and deliver services rather than
products
• Develo
p
in
g
a service culture
Business
model and
customer
offer
Business
model and
customer
offer
pg
• Embedding all of the above into a service organisation
offeroffer
Th C b id S i Alli
Th
e
C
am
b
r
id
ge
S
erv
i
ce
Alli
ance
The Cambridge Service Alliance is a unique global partnership between
businesses and universities. It brings together the world’s leading firms and
academics all of whom are devoted to deliverin
g
toda
y
the tools
,
education
gy ,
and insights needed for Complex Service Solutions tomorrow.
Professor Andy Neely – andy.neely@eng.cam.ac.uk
Institute for Manufacturing/Judge Business School
Ui it fC bid
U
n
i
vers
it
y o
f
C
am
b
r
id
ge
Professor Duncan McFarlane
–
dcm
@
en
g
.cam.ac.uk
@g
Institute for Manufacturing
University of Cambridge