Conference Paper

Competitive Cost Analysis of Alternative Powertrain Technologies.

Conference: International Advanced Mobility Forum 2012 (IAMF)
Source: DLR

ABSTRACT

This paper examines the cost competitiveness of different electrified propulsion technologies from hybrid cars to full battery electric vehicles in the time horizon 2010 to 2020. The assessment shows that the current TCO gaps for alternative drivetrains will increasingly converge over time mainly driven
by decreasing production cost. However, the cost-efficiency of different powertrain architectures depends highly on the mileage a user expects to drive per year. In the mid-run, hybrid electric vehicles (especially with external charging) will be an attractive option in particular for users with high annual
mileages, who can benefit from the low operating cost of EVs in combination with unlimited driving range. The analysis concludes that there will be a variety of competing drivetrain architectures in the market, which in turn leads to increased risk and complex decision making for the portfolio of automotive OEMs and suppliers.

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Available from: Martin Redelbach
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    • "Fig. 5 shows an overview of the general structure of the TCO model. For a more detailed description of the model see Redelbach et al. (2012b), Propfe et al. (2012b) and Redelbach et al. (2013). "
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