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A simple model of advertising and subscription fees

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Abstract

Traditional and modern mass media – such as television, newspapers, magazines, and Internet sites – typically derive the bulk of their revenues from advertisements rather than subscriptions. We present a simple model that explains this phenomenon.

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... There are many ways of converting attention to revenue; charging subscription rates and presenting adverts are typical examples. Mixed strategies, where subscription fees and advertising are combined, have also been considered [4,19,17]. But all these strategies carry a price, for while some users perceive the associated costs as an inconvenience to be tolerated in exchange for the value obtained, others see them as a nuisance that makes them leave the site. ...
... Prasad et al. suggest that websites can increase their revenues by offering a menu of contracts, where high subscription fees are associated with a small number of ads and vice versa [19]. Baye and Morgan present a model that explains why traditional and modern mass media -such as television, newspapers, magazines, and Internet sites -typically derive the bulk of their revenues from advertisements rather than subscriptions [4]. Godes et al. explore the implications of two-sided competition for the sale of content to consumers and the attraction of advertisers on the actions and source of profits of media firms [12]. ...
... We observe that there is a discontinuity at 0, since p(0) = 1. We note that the gap p(0) − lim x→0 + p(x) decreases as u 0 increases, but never becomes equal to 0. 4 We note that p(x) can be discontinuous at 0 and log-convex throughout [0, ∞). Then, according to Lemma 1, s A (x) is increasing in x. ...
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While attracting attention is one of the prime goals of content providers, the conversion of that attention into revenue is by no means obvious. Given that most users expect to consume web content for free, a provider with an established audience faces a dilemma. Since the introduction of advertisements or subscription fees will be construed by users as an inconvenience which may lead them to stop using the site, what should the provider do in order to maximize revenues? We address this question through the lens of adaptation theory, which states that even though a change affects a person's utility initially, as time goes on people tend to adapt and become less aware of past changes. We establish that if the likelihood of continuing to attend to the provider after an increase in inconvenience is log-concave in the magnitude of the increase, then the provider faces a tradeoff between achieving a higher revenue per user sooner and maximizing the number of users in the long term. On the other hand, if the likelihood of continuing to attend to the provider after an increase in inconvenience is log-convex, then it is always optimal for the provider to perform the increase in one step.
... This paper shows that a dominant intermediary had rather accommodate competitors than drive them out of the market as this allows it to set higher prices for its service. Previous literature has been concerned with the role of intermediaries as a tool to foster competition between suppliers (Baye and Morgan 2000) or to spread information about products (Kotowitz and Mathewson 1979 ). The main concern is whether a monopoly intermediary's pricing strategy will result in the exclusion of some elements of each side of the market, and thus reduce information transmission. ...
... of intermediaries as a tool to foster competition between suppliers (Baye and Morgan 2000) or to spread information about products (Kotowitz and Mathewson 1979 ). The main concern is whether a monopoly intermediary's pricing strategy will result in the exclusion of some elements of each side of the market, and thus reduce information transmission. Baye and Morgan (2000) conclude that all consumers will participate while some suppliers will be excluded, while Corbett and Karmakar (1999) conclude the opposite will occur. That literature is an outgrowth of the literature on search, advertising and price competition, and this paper abstracts from such concerns. Closer to this model is a paper by Bhargava a ...
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Information intermediaries deliver information about a supplier's product. They are paid by those same suppliers they certify. This introduces conflicts of interests as the intermediaries want to retain customers by delivering truthful information about suppliers, while suppliers would want the intermediary to provide them with more customers than their quality would otherwise entitle them to. The paper compares two options for information intermediaries: either propose a menu of contracts to the suppliers so that they reveal their type, or find out by themselves the type of the supplier. In the first case, a rent must be left to induce type revelation, in the other, the intermediary must incur a cost to determine the type of the supplier. The paper shows that competition leads to a more frequent use of direct revelation mechanisms at the expense of independent research by the intermediary. The paper contributes to the literature on certification intermediaries in two sided markets by introducing a choice between relying on soft information or acquiring hard information about the side of the market to be certified, and by studying the influence of competition on contract choices in such an extended setting.
... Providers may charge subscription fees, present advertisements or some mix (Baye and Morgan 2000, Prasad et al. 2003, Kumar and Sethi 2009. But all revenue strategies take a toll while some users see the nuisance as a fair exchange for the value obtained, other users see the nuisance as intolerable and leave the website, and some potential users are deterred from joining. ...
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When should a necessary inconvenience be introduced gradually, and when should it be imposed all at once? The question is crucial to web content providers, who in order to generate revenue must sooner or later introduce advertisements, subscription fees, or other inconveniences. Assuming that eventually people fully adapt to changes, the answer depends only on the shape of the survivor curve S (x), which represents the fraction of a user population willing to tolerate inconveniences of size x (Aperjis and Huberman 2011). We report a new laboratory experiment that, for the first time, estimates the shape of survivor curves in several different settings. We engage laboratory subjects in a series of six desirable activities, e.g., playing a video game, viewing a chosen video clip, or earning money by answering questions. For each activity we introduce a chosen level x ∈ [xmin ; xmax] of a particular inconvenience, and each subject chooses whether to tolerate the inconvenience or to switch to a bland activity for the remaining time. Our key finding is that, in general, the survivor curve is log-convex. Theory suggests therefore that introducing inconveniences all at once will generally be more profitable for web content providers.
... However, disparate conditions exist under which they will stay apart at the separate endpoints of the linear market, or agglomerate at either one of equilibrium prices are the magnitudes of the cross-side network externalities, regardless of whether the fees are levied on a lump-sum or per-transaction basis, and also whether or not agents join one or several platforms. 5 Although there are other branches in the literature on two-sided markets, such as Baye and Morgan (2000, 2001), the focus lies mostly on how those groups of agents interact on the platforms. In our paper, since we want to study how the platforms choose their locations, the framework we consider is based on Armstrong (2006), and allows us to view the role of cross-sided network externalities over the platforms' location and price decisions. ...
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As the network externality in an industrial organization has been widely discussed in recent years, many researchers in the field have noted a particular type of market, the so-called two-sided market. In a two-sided market, two or more groups of agents such as buyers and sellers interact while exerting cross-group externalities upon each other. They interact with each other via some sort of medium, called the “platform” of interaction. This paper integrates the concept of two-sided markets into the optimal location problem for two platform providers. We show that when the two groups of customers' cross-side network externalities are equal, the duopoly platforms will agglomerate at the market center with no undercutting. However, disparate conditions exist under which the duopoly platforms will stay apart at the market endpoints, or agglomerate at either endpoint, with no undercutting.
... Some authors have considered the problem of a web publisher who not only generates revenues from advertising but also from subscriptions. Baye and Morgan (2000) develop a simple economic model of online advertising and subscription fees. Prasad et al. (2003) model two offerings to viewers of a website: a lower fee with more ads and a higher fee with fewer ads. ...
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Display advertising is a $25 billion business with a promising upward revenue trend. In this paper, we consider an online display advertising setting in which a web publisher posts display ads on its website and charges based on the cost-per-click (CPC) pricing scheme while promising to deliver a certain number of clicks to the ads posted. The publisher is faced with uncertain demand for advertising slots and uncertain traffic to its website as well as uncertain click behavior of visitors. We formulate the problem as a novel queueing system, where the slots correspond to service channels with the service rate of each server inversely related to the number of active servers. We obtain the closed-form solution for the steady-state probabilities of the number of ads in the publisher's system. We determine the publisher's optimal price to charge per click and show that it can increase in the number of advertising slots and the number of promised clicks. We show that the common heuristic used by many web publishers to convert between the cost-per-click and cost-per-impression pricing schemes using the so-called click-through-rate can be misleading as it may incur web publishers substantial revenue loss. We provide an alternative explanation for the phenomenon observed by several publishers that the click-through-rate tends to drop when they switch from the cost-per-click to cost-per-impression pricing scheme.
... Achieving this goal is not easy, even for providers with established audiences. Providers may charge subscription fees, present advertisements or some mix (Baye and Morgan 2000, Prasad et al. 2003, Kumar and Sethi 2009). But all revenue strategies take a toll while some users see the nuisance as a fair exchange for the value obtained, other users see the nuisance as intolerable and leave the website, and some potential users are deterred from joining. ...
Article
When should a necessary inconvenience be introduced gradually, and when should it be imposed all at once? The question is crucial to web content providers, who in order to generate revenue must sooner or later introduce advertisements, subscription fees, or other inconveniences. In a setting where people eventually fully adapt to changes, the answer depends on the shape of the 'survivor curve' S(x), which represents the fraction of a user population willing to tolerate inconveniences of size x (Aperjis and Huberman 2011). We report a new laboratory experiment that, for the first time, estimates the shape of survivor curves in several different settings. We engage laboratory subjects in a series of six desirable activities, e.g., playing a video game, viewing a chosen video clip, or earning money by answering questions. For each activity we introduce a chosen level x ∈ [xmin,xmax] of a particular inconvenience, and each subject chooses whether to tolerate the inconvenience or to switch to a bland activity for the remaining time. Our key finding is that the survivor curve is log-concave in all six activities. Theory suggests that web content providers therefore will generally find it profitable to introduce inconveniences gradually over time, with the timing chosen to balance the number of long-term users against more rapid revenue acquisition.
... ed into two main areas: sponsored search and display advertising. This paper focuses on the latter. However, there is a large body of literature on sponsored search advertising (see, for example, Ghose and Yang (2009), Edelman et al. (2007) and references within). Several papers consider the trade-off between subscriptions and advertising revenues. Baye and Morgan (2000) develop a simple economic model of online advertising and subscription fees. Prasad et al. (2003) model two types of subscription offerings: A lower fee with more ads and a higher fee with fewer ads. Kumar and Sethi (2009) develop a dynamic model capturing subscription fee and the size of advertising space on a website. These papers do ...
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Online advertising is a fast growing area in the media industry. Web publishers that generate revenues by selling advertising space on their websites face challenging operational problems. We develop a stylized model that incorporates some essential ingredients of a publisher's advertising operation. Advertisers approach a web publisher to book an advertising campaign and expect a certain number of impressions to be delivered evenly throughout the campaign duration. The publisher designs the system to maximize its profit while satisfying advertisers' requests. We suggest a capacity allocation mechanism that shares the capacity among different advertisers and matches campaigns requirements with supply of viewers. Advertisements are dis-played uniformly but campaigns can suffer delays due to demand and supply uncertainties. We obtain a (cost-per-impression) pricing policy and a display frequency through a large-capacity system analysis that are simple to implement. The mechanism leads to economies-of-scale and is proven to be, together with the fluid solution, optimal asymptotically. We obtain data from a Scandinavian web publisher and perform an extensive numerical analysis with insightful managerial conclusions. Both the asymptotic and the numerical analysis reveal the interrelation between pricing, traffic of viewers, number of impressions promised, and display frequency of ads, in the presence of uncertainty.
... Using an optimal control model, Kumar and Sethi (2008) dynamically determine the optimal subscription fee and the amount of advertising on a website. However, Baye and Morgan (2000) argue that competition mitigates the attractiveness of subscription fees. In this paper, we develop an integrative approach that simultaneously optimizes contract negotiation and advertisement delivery. ...
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In this paper, we propose a dynamic optimisation model to maximise a web publisher's online display advertising revenues. Our model dynamically selects which advertising requests to accept and dynamically delivers the promised advertising impressions to viewers so as to maximise revenue, accounting for uncertainty in advertising requests and website traffic. After characterising the structural properties of our model, we propose a Certainty Equivalent Control heuristic and then show with a real case study that our optimisation-based method outperforms common practices. These results highlight the importance of accounting for the opportunity cost of capacity allocation in advertisement contract negotiation for globally maximising online publishers' revenues.
... Only recently have researchers started to study online advertising. Baye and Morgan (2000) explain why publishers tend to derive the bulk of their revenue from advertising rather than subscription fees. Dewan, Freimer and Zhang (2002) study the optimal amount of advertising an online publisher should place on its pages. ...
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The Internet is a much more accountable and measurable medium than traditional media. The unique property of the Internet being a medium with bidirectional information flows has enabled performance-based pricing models that tie online advertising payments directly to campaign measurement data such as click-throughs and purchases. These pricing models have become increasingly popular in the online advertising industry. This paper provides explanations as to when and how incorporating performance-based pricing models into advertising deals can be profitable. We argue that the publisher can make non-contractible efforts that may improve the effectiveness of advertising campaigns. These efforts are costly to the publisher. Therefore, performance-based pricing models can be used to give the publisher proper incentives to make its efforts. We derive an optimal contract that maximizes the sum of the advertiser's utility and the publisher's utility, and show that key factors that influence the use of performance-based pricing models are the importance of the publisher's incremental efforts, precision of click-through measurement, and uncertainty in the product market. We also clarify issues that are being debated in the industry, such as how the importance of the advertiser's incremental efforts and existence of non-immediate purchases affect the use of performance-based pricing models.
... Many web publishers generate revenues not only from advertising but also from subscriptions. Baye and Morgan (2000) develop a simple economic model to find out the trade-off between revenue from online advertising and subscription fees. Prasad et al (2003) model two offerings to viewers of a website: a lower fee with more advertisements and a higher fee with fewer advertisements. ...
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In this article, we expand the revenue management (RM) horizon to online advertising, that is internet advertising. Easy and cheap measurability of all its statistics make the internet a potential area for forecasting-based allocation. The focus of this research is on banner advertisements and we deal only with the ‘home page’. We develop a multi-period space-allocation model to make a trade-off between price-per-view (PPV) and price-per-click (PPC) pricing schemes, taking into account various characteristics of the internet like non-uniform demands by advertisers and unpredictable web-traffic. We compare our RM model with the first-come-first-serve policy and fixed capacity bucket policy (FCB) under which fixed advertising space is allocated to either of the advertising categories (PPV or PPC). A RM approach yields about 16–20 per cent more revenue when compared to the FCB and about 80 per cent over the first-come-first-serve policy.
... In the literature, in Baye and Morgan (2000), (2001) advertisers sell and consumers buy a homogenous good, its price being the only attribute of the advertisers' offers in a game-theoretic setting, where a "gatekeeper" sets up a newspaper or a website to maximize profits. They show that the gatekeeper's optimal subscription fee is low enough to induce every consumer to subscribe, but the optimal advertising price is high enough to induce only partial participation by advertisers and guarantee price dispersion, and advertised prices are lower than unadvertised prices. ...
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The paper determines the effects of different influencing variables on the media company’s optimal subscription and advertising prices and editorial content. The company maximizes profit consisting of subscription and advertising revenue, minus the costs of content, advertising, and circulation, by setting the subscription and advertising prices and the amount of editorial content. Subscription demand is a function of the subscription price, the media’s editorial content, and advertising, and advertising demand a function of the advertising price and circulation. The condition for the circulation spiral to be finite is derived. It is shown that an increase in a variable or a parameter (e.g. circulation demand) causes the respective price to increase only if the demand for the other product (advertising) is elastic enough, the price declining if the other product’s demand is less elastic. Moreover, the increase leads to an increase in editorial content if advertising demand is elastic, and to a decrease in the advertising price. An increase in advertising demand leads to an increase in the advertising price if subscription demand is elastic enough, and to a decrease in the subscription price and editorial content. An increase in the marginal effect of editorial content on subscriptions leads to an increase in editorial content without affecting the prices.
... An interesting and methodically different study on interrelated markets is provided by Baye and Morgan (2000). The authors consider a media firm, i.e. a newspaper, which sets subscription and advertising fees to maximise profits, under the assumption of a continuum of risk-neutral consumers and two identical firms, which are able to transmit price information using newspaper advertising. ...
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Media and especially mass media like newspapers or magazines are characterised by a number of peculiarities which are interesting from both a theoretical and empirical point of view. The interrelationship of reader and advertising markets, high sunk costs and large economies of scale are typical features. This paper reviews the existent literature on media markets and their peculiarities and lines out areas for further research.
... Baye and Morgan (2000) put forward an explanation of the ratio between advertising revenues and subscription revenues. The results, however, are difficult to interpret through standard empirical tools possessed by practitioners. 2 However, there are some media that permit to differentiate the product according to the characteristics of consumers, such as the internet service providers. ...
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... Baye and Morgan (2000) put forward an explanation of the ratio between advertising revenues and subscription revenues. The results, however, are difficult to interpret through standard empirical tools possessed by practitioners. 2 However, there are some media that permit to differentiate the product according to the characteristics of consumers, such as the internet service providers. ...
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... Baye and Morgan (2000) put forward an explanation of the ratio between advertising revenues and subscription revenues. The results, however, are difficult to interpret through standard empirical tools possessed by practitioners. 2 However, there are some media that permit to differentiate the product according to the characteristics of consumers, such as the internet service providers. ...
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... Zhou (2004) uses a monopoly model to study a television network's decision on the number, length and timing of commercial breaks. By modeling the interaction between advertising and subscription fees, Baye and Morgan (2000) offer theoretical explanations as to why advertising revenue may dominate subscription fees for certain media. In this study, we follow the basic framework of Liu et al. (2004), but relax the important assumption of uniformly-distributed viewer tastes. ...
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It Takes Two to Tango
  • Baye