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Surveys
Bobcat Population Status and Management in North
America: Evidence of Large-Scale Population Increase
Nathan M. Roberts,* Shawn M. Crimmins
N.M. Roberts
Department of Natural Resources, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853
S.M. Crimmins
Department of Forest Management, University of Montana, Missoula, Montana 59812
Abstract
Bobcat Lynx rufus populations are thought to be increasing in North America; however, little information exists
on their current population status. In the United States, management and monitoring of bobcat populations
is the responsibility of state wildlife management agencies. We surveyed state wildlife management agencies in
each of the 48 contiguous states regarding the current population status, distribution, and monitoring protocols
of bobcats within each respective jurisdiction. We also surveyed the governments of Mexico and Canada regarding
bobcat population status within their jurisdictions. We received responses from 47 U.S. states, Mexico, and 7
Canadian provinces. Responses indicate that bobcats occur in each of the contiguous states except for Delaware.
Populations were reported to be stable or increasing in 40 states, with 6 states unable to report population trends
and only 1 state (Florida) reporting decreases in bobcat populations. Of the 47 states in which bobcats occur, 41
employ some form of population monitoring. Population density estimates were available for 2,011,518 km
2
(33.6%) of
the estimated bobcat range in the United States, with population estimates between 1,419,333 and 2,638,738
individuals for this portion of their range and an estimated 2,352,276 to 3,571,681 individuals for the entire United
States. These results indicate that bobcat populations have increased throughout the majority of their range in North
America since the late 1990s and that populations within the United States are much higher than previously
suggested.
Keywords: bobcat; Lynx rufus; monitoring; North America; population status
Received: December 13, 2009; Accepted: June 10, 2010; Published Online Early: June 2010; Published: November
2010
Citation: Roberts NM, Crimmins SM. 2010. Bobcat population status and management in North America: evidence of
large-scale population increase. Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management 1(2):169–174; e1944-687X. doi: 10.3996/
122009-JFWM-026
Copyright: All material appearing in the Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management is in the public domain and may be
reproduced or copied without permission. Citation of the source, as given above, is requested.
The findings and conclusions in this article are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
* Corresponding author: nmr25@cornell.edu
Introduction
Bobcats Lynx rufus are one of the most widely spread
and adaptable carnivores in North America (Anderson
1987). Bobcats serve as a top predator in many
ecosystems (Conner et al. 2001) and can have significant
effects on ecosystem function. For example, bobcats
have been identified as a significant source of predation,
in specific systems, for white-tailed deer Odocoileus
virginianus (Nelms et al. 2001), cotton rats Sigmodon
hispidus (Schnell 1968), and pronghorn Antilocapra
americana (Beale and Smith 1973). Thus, in many
situations, proper management of bobcat populations
may be an important component of managing for
ecosystem function and biodiversity.
In the United States, management of bobcat popula-
tions is the responsibility of state wildlife management
agencies. However, management of bobcats, as with
many other carnivores, can be difficult due to their
elusive nature and the lack of information on demo-
Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management | www.fwspubs.org November 2010 | Volume 1 | Issue 2 | 169
Table 1. Bobcat monitoring methods (Monitoring), population estimates (N), range extent (Habitat, in km
2
), and population
status (Status; 1981–present) for selected jurisdictions in North America. NR indicates data were not reported by jurisdiction.
Monitoring methods were public sightings (PS), harvest analysis (HA), hunter surveys (HS), population models (PM), scent or sign
stations (SS), snow track surveys (TS), incidental harvest (IH), vehicle collisions analysis (VC), or other (OT).
Jurisdiction Monitoring
N
Habitat Status
United States
Alabama HA 68,625 116,550 Increasing
Arizona HA,HS 62,395–65,909 294,315 Increasing
Arkansas HS 14,049 134,874 Unknown
California NR 69,429–72,735 330,614 Stable
Colorado NR NR NR NR
Connecticut PS,VC Unknown 11,655 Increasing
Delaware - 0 - Absent
Florida NR 303,338 151,669 Decreasing
Georgia HA,SS 209,870–249,845 149,907 Increasing
Idaho NR 1,705–13,640 170,500 Increasing
Illinois HS 2,252 143,960 Increasing
Indiana PS,IH Unknown 92,434 Increasing
Iowa PM,OT 1,155–2,331 34,153 Increasing
Kansas HA,HS,SS 29,666–31,785 211,900 Increasing
Kentucky HA 14,000 102,896 Increasing
Louisiana HA,HS 66,431 112,825 Increasing
Maine HA Unknown 40,000 Stable
Maryland SS Unknown Unknown Increasing
Massachusetts NR Unknown 12,051 Unknown
Michigan HS,SS Unknown 116,550 Increasing
Minnesota HA,PM,SS,TS 2,857 103,600 Increasing
Mississippi HA 52,436 90,753 Increasing
Missouri HA,HS,SS 18,000–20,000 121,489 Increasing
Montana HA,TS 7,641 375,550 Increasing
Nebraska NR Unknown 171,000 Increasing
Nevada HA,PM Unknown 284,449 Stable/Increasing
New Hampshire HS,VC,IH Unknown 20,098 Increasing
New Jersey OT 106 1,600 Increasing
New Mexico HA,SS 36,249–54,373 181,243 Stable
New York PS,HA,HS 5,078 103,600 Increasing
North Carolina HA 90,115 126,161 Increasing
North Dakota HA Unknown 36,838 Unknown
Ohio PS Unknown 22,286 Increasing
Oklahoma HA Unknown 178,202 Increasing
Oregon None Unknown 248,630 Unknown
Pennsylvania HA,VC,IH,PS,PM 18,766 85,300 Increasing
Rhode Island PS,VC Unknown Unknown Unknown
South Carolina HA,SS 40,552–94,622 56,773 Stable
South Dakota HA,PM Unknown 100,000 Increasing
Tennessee HA Unknown 106,739 Stable
Texas HA 287,444–1,357,928 495,594 Stable
Utah HA Unknown 202,020 Stable
Vermont HA 2,100–3,500 23,310 Increasing
Virginia HA Unknown 64,118 Increasing
Washington NR Unknown 170,000 Stable
West Virginia HA 8,743 56,656 Increasing
Wisconsin HA,HS,PM,TS 2,850 46,620 Increasing
Bobcat Status and Management in North America N.M. Roberts and S.M. Crimmins
Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management | www.fwspubs.org November 2010 | Volume 1 | Issue 2 | 170
graphic rates. Changes in bobcat management in
response to population trends are common (Rolley et
al. 2001); however, most population assessments or
studies of bobcat range have been limited in geographic
scope (e.g., Woolf et al. 2002). It is generally assumed by
managers that a harvest rate of 20% is sustainable (Knick
1990), but that variability in environmental factors may
confound this (Anderson and Lovallo 2003). The vast
geographic range of bobcats in North America highlights
the need for large-scale population assessments. Bluett
et al. (2001) reported that state agencies considered
distribution and relative abundance to be among the
most important research topics for bobcats.
Woolf and Hubert (1998) provided the most recent
assessment of bobcat population distribution and
management in North America, with the most recent
range-wide population assessment occurring in 1981
(USFS 1981). However a more contemporary assess-
ment is needed because human populations and
development have increased greatly during the past
decades. Although numerous regional or local studies
have suggested that bobcat populations are increasing
(e.g., Woolf et al. 2000), no empirical evidence of range-
wide increases in population abundance exists. Our
objective was to document monitoring efforts, spatial
distribution, and population trends of bobcats in North
America.
Methods
Agency surveys
We contacted wildlife management agencies from all
of the 48 contiguous states of the United States, 7
Canadian provinces (British Columbia, Manitoba, New
Brunswick, Nova Scotia, Ontario, Quebec, Saskatchewan),
and the country of Mexico in 2008. Each jurisdiction was
asked to report: 1) what methods are employed to
monitor bobcat status, 2) population estimates and
average densities (if available), 3) the area (reported here
in km
2
) of suitable bobcat habitat within the jurisdiction,
and 4) post-1981 population trends. Monitoring methods
were classified as public sightings, harvest analysis,
hunter surveys, population models, scent or sign
stations, snow track surveys, incidental harvest, vehicle
collisions analysis, or other. We primarily present
information from U.S. states to facilitate comparison
with previous studies and population estimates (USFWS
1982; Woolf and Hubert 1998) and for brevity.
Data analysis
We compared the proportion of states reporting
increasing or stable populations between 1996 and
2008 (Woolf and Hubert 1998) using chi-square tests. We
only included states that reported population trends in
this analysis. States that reported populations as ‘‘stable/
increasing’’ were assigned a status of ‘‘stable’’ for this
analysis. We estimated minimum population abundance
and total suitable habitat as the sum of population or
habitat estimates across all jurisdictions. Because not all
states reported estimated population abundance (n=
26) or area of suitable habitat (n= 5), we considered
these minimum estimates to be very conservative. To
estimate total population abundance across the contig-
uous United States, we calculated average bobcat
density for those states reporting both population and
area of habitat estimates and then multiplied this
average by the geographic range estimates for all states
that reported range estimates but no population
estimates (n= 17) and added this value to the minimum
count. This method provided a general estimate of
population abundance across the entire United States
that facilitates comparison with historic estimates that
used similar methods (USFWS 1982).
Results
We received responses from 47 of the 48 states, 7
Canadian provinces, and Mexico. Responses indicated
total area of suitable bobcat habitat of 8,708,888 km
2
,
with 71% (6,186,819 km
2
) in the United States, 20% in
Mexico (1,702,545 km
2
), and 9% in Canada (819,524 km
2
).
Twenty-eight (50.9%) of the jurisdictions reported
population estimates or densities (Table 1). Of the 48
jurisdictions that reported population trends, 31 (64.6%)
reported increasing populations while 15 (31.3%) report-
ed stable populations, and 1 reported fluctuating
populations. Only one jurisdiction, Florida, reported
decreasing bobcat populations (Figure 1). The minimum
population estimate in the United States was between
1,418,333 and 2,637,738 individuals, representing 68.4%
of the total estimated bobcat range in the United States
(Table 1). Using average density, the total population
Table 1. Continued.
Jurisdiction Monitoring
N
Habitat Status
Wyoming HA,SS 2,481–13,783 253,601 Increasing
Canada
British Columbia HA Unknown NR Stable
Manitoba NR Unknown NR Stable
New Brunswick HA,TS,OT Unknown 72,784 Stable
Nova Scotia HA,OT 5,170–9,910 43,086 Fluctuating
Ontario HA Unknown 400,015 Stable
Quebec PS,IH Unknown 55,000 Stable/Increasing
Saskatchewan HA,HS Unknown 248,639 Stable
Mexico NR Unknown 1,702,545 Unknown
Bobcat Status and Management in North America N.M. Roberts and S.M. Crimmins
Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management | www.fwspubs.org November 2010 | Volume 1 | Issue 2 | 171
abundance in the United States was estimated to be
between 2,352,276 and 3,571,681 individuals. A signifi-
cantly higher (x
2
= 5.64, P= 0.018, df = 1) proportion of
states reported increasing populations in 2008 than in
1996.
Of the 55 jurisdictions surveyed, 45 (81.2%) reported
methods used to monitor bobcat populations, 25 (55.6%)
of which used .1 method. Harvest data analysis and
hunter surveys were the most commonly used methods
(Table 2). No jurisdiction used .5 methods to monitor
bobcats. Only one jurisdiction (Oregon) reported having
bobcat populations but no monitoring method.
Discussion
Bobcats are highly adaptable carnivores and are the
most abundant of North America wild felids (Cowan
1971; Anderson and Lovallo 2003). Their ecological role
and economic value as furbearers are the primary
motivations behind research and management of
bobcats (Woolf and Nielsen 2001). Woolf and Hubert
(1998) reported that less than half of the states in the
contiguous United States (n= 20) had increasing bobcat
populations as of 1996; however, we found that 32 states
now report increasing populations (Table 1). All other
states that reported bobcat population trends, with the
exception of Florida, reported at least stable populations.
Although the magnitude of population increase likely
varies considerably among jurisdictions, the general trend
supports the hypothesis that bobcat populations are
expanding across much of their geographic range. The
reason for declining populations in Florida is unknown,
although extensive human development may be partly
responsible. Given the stability of bobcat populations
elsewhere in the United States, the decreasing population
in Florida does not pose any immediate threat to the
large-scale persistence of bobcat populations in the
United States. However, research into the vital rates and
demographic patterns of the Florida bobcat population
could provide useful information to wildlife managers if
populations elsewhere begin declining.
Minimum population estimates provided by jurisdic-
tions indicated that the United States’ bobcat population
is .1.4 million. This estimate is likely a substantial
underestimation of total population abundance, because
it only represented population estimates for approxi-
mately 68% of the reported bobcat range. In 1981 similar
methods were used to estimate bobcat populations; at
that time it was estimated there were 725,000–1,017,000
bobcats in the United States (USFWS 1982). Using these
methods, our data indicate that current bobcat popula-
tion abundance in the entire United States is 2,352,276–
3,571,681. This growth is likely the result of many factors
including changing agricultural and land-use practices,
range expansion, and habitat improvement programs
such as the Conservation Reserve Program (FSA 1985, 16
U.S.C. 3831). In addition, advances in wildlife manage-
ment and monitoring have allowed states to greatly
improve wildlife management programs in recent
decades, particularly furbearer management. As recently
as 1971, 40 of the 48 contiguous United States had no
protection or formal management of bobcats (Faulkner
1971). In New York, for example, bobcats were desig-
nated as an unprotected species and take was unregu-
lated through 1976, only 5 y prior to the 1981 population
estimate (USFWS 1982). After 1976, bobcats were
afforded legal status as a furbearer species to be
conserved, and harvest regulations were developed
and implemented. Similar shifts in management para-
digms have occurred in many jurisdictions; these have
clearly benefited bobcat populations. Bobcat harvests
did increase during 1976–1984, but recent harvest levels
are comparable to those three decades earlier (36,674
harvested during 1997–1998 verses 37,026 during 1975–
1976), despite this increase in population size (Associa-
tion of Fish and Wildlife Agencies, unpublished data).
This is likely due to decreased harvest effort.
Because population survey methods were not stan-
dardized across jurisdictions, there is likely substantial
variability in the accuracy of the estimates provided by
management agencies. For example, only six states used
any form of population model in their monitoring of
bobcat populations, likely because of the paucity of
accurate data available for developing such models.
Similarly, 19 states failed to report population estimates.
Although this variability may be substantial, it does not
preclude comparison to previous reports (USFWS 1982)
or interpretation of jurisdiction-specific population
Table 2. Methods used to monitor bobcat populations in
the lower 48 states and 7 Canadian provinces in 2008 (45
jurisdictions reporting). Twenty-five jurisdictions used .1
method.
Method No. of jurisdictions
Harvest data analysis 33
Public sightings 7
Hunter surveys 11
Population models 6
Scent or sign stations 9
Snow track surveys 4
Incidental harvest 4
Vehicle collision analysis 4
Other 4
None 1
Figure 1. Bobcat population trends in the contiguous United
States, 2004.
Bobcat Status and Management in North America N.M. Roberts and S.M. Crimmins
Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management | www.fwspubs.org November 2010 | Volume 1 | Issue 2 | 172
trends. Agency surveys such as this provide the only
feasible means of providing range-wide population
assessments, because field-based surveys would be
logistically and financially impractical. Although the level
of detail in such surveys is limited, they can provide a
cost-effective means to estimate large-scale population
trends. At the statewide scale, harvest surveys were the
most commonly used approach for monitoring bobcat
populations, which is not surprising given that these
data can be obtained for large geographic areas at
relatively low costs. Unlike harvest analysis or scent
stations, methods such as hunter surveys that do not
require market-based incentives or extensive field labor
may be more practical methods for monitoring bobcat
population trends.
As with many species, enumeration of population
abundance is not required for proper management.
Within jurisdictions, specific monitoring programs can be
implemented if needed. In the United States, 41 states
currently monitor bobcat population status or trends,
despite the fact that only one state reported bobcat
populations as declining. Population models, archer
surveys, hunter surveys, harvest data, field studies,
scent-post surveys, sign-station surveys, public sightings,
and detection dogs are all techniques used in North
America to monitor bobcat populations (Bluett et al.
2001; Anderson and Lovallo 2003). The majority of
jurisdictions that reported monitoring methods used
multiple methods (Table 2). The number of jurisdictions
monitoring bobcat populations, and the number of
methods used, is similar to previous reports (Woolf and
Hubert 1998). The number of jurisdictions reporting
increasing bobcat populations has increased from 20 to
32 since 1996 (Woolf and Hubert 1998), and overall
population estimates for the United States have more
than doubled since 1981 (USFWS 1981). Similarly, six of
the seven Canadian provinces reported stable bobcat
populations.
Bobcat populations are more widely distributed and
more abundant than they were in 1981. These increases
are likely attributable primarily to multiple factors
including habitat availability, increased prey density,
changing land-use practices, and intense harvest man-
agement at the state level. Standardization of monitoring
and density-estimation techniques would increase the
robustness of future comparisons. Thus, we suggest that
jurisdictions focus on developing standardized methods
for assessing bobcat distribution and abundance.
Acknowledgments
We thank the state, provincial, and national wildlife
management agencies for providing the data for this
analysis. The Ohio Division of Wildlife facilitated the
distribution and collection of the surveys. Logistical
support was provided by the Department of Natural
Resources at Cornell University and the Department of
Forest Management at the University of Montana. We
also thank the two anonymous reviewers and the
Subject Editor for providing valuable comments that
improved the quality of the manuscript.
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