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What Do We Really Know about Cosmic Acceleration?

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Abstract

Essentially all of our knowledge of the acceleration history of the Universe - including the acceleration itself - is predicated upon the validity of general relativity. Without recourse to this assumption, we use SNeIa to analyze the expansion history and find (i) very strong (5 sigma) evidence for a period of acceleration, (ii) strong evidence that the acceleration has not been constant, (iii) evidence for an earlier period of deceleration and (iv) only weak evidence that the Universe has not been decelerating since z~0.3.

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... In the model-dependent parametric approach, one assumes a priori a specific functional form of kinematic quantities, such as the deceleration function q(z), and a probability distribution of the data [16][17][18][19]. A feature of this strategy is that its results have potentially smaller error bars when compared to the others. ...
... Among these approaches is the Principal Component Analyses (PCA), in which the kinematic function is described in terms of a set of basis JCAP09(2015)045 functions and the data is used to determine which subset of this basis is better constrained. Then, the function is reconstructed by using this subset [13,17,[20][21][22][23]. ...
... For example, in refs. [16][17][18][19] they fit different functional forms of the deceleration function q(z). The drawback of this method is that the choice of a functional form introduces a form-bias in the estimates if the functional form is different from the true one. ...
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Distance measurements are currently the most powerful tool to study the expansion history of the universe without specifying its matter content nor any theory of gravitation. Assuming only an isotropic, homogeneous and flat universe, in this work we introduce a model-independent method to reconstruct directly the deceleration function via a piecewise function. Including a penalty factor, we are able to vary continuously the complexity of the deceleration function from a linear case to an arbitrary (n+1)-knots spline interpolation. We carry out a Monte Carlo (MC) analysis to determine the best penalty factor, evaluating the bias-variance trade-off, given the uncertainties of the SDSS-II and SNLS supernova combined sample (JLA), compilations of baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) and H(z) data. The bias-variance analysis is done for three fiducial models with different features in the deceleration curve. We perform the MC analysis generating mock catalogs and computing their best-fit. For each fiducial model, we test different reconstructions using, in each case, more than 10⁴ catalogs in a total of about 5× 10⁵. This investigation proved to be essential in determining the best reconstruction to study these data. We show that, evaluating a single fiducial model, the conclusions about the bias-variance ratio are misleading. We determine the reconstruction method in which the bias represents at most 10% of the total uncertainty. In all statistical analyses, we fit the coefficients of the deceleration function along with four nuisance parameters of the supernova astrophysical model. For the full sample, we also fit H0 and the sound horizon rs(zd) at the drag redshift. The bias-variance trade-off analysis shows that, apart from the deceleration function, all other estimators are unbiased. Finally, we apply the Ensemble Sampler Markov Chain Monte Carlo (ESMCMC) method to explore the posterior of the deceleration function up to redshift 1.3 (using only JLA) and 2.3 (JLA+BAO+H(z)). We obtain that the standard cosmological model agrees within 3σ level with the reconstructed results in the whole studied redshift intervals. Since our method is calibrated to minimize the bias, the error bars of the reconstructed functions are a good approximation for the total uncertainty.
... It is closely related to the weaker assumption that space-time is homogeneous and isotropic, so that the FRW metric is still valid, as are the kinematic equations for redshift/scale factor. Some call it cosmography [20,22] or cosmokinetics [23], others use the term Friedmannless cosmology [24,25], but, in what follows, we refer to it simply as a kinematic approach since it holds true regardless of the underlying cosmic dynamics [3,26,27,28,29,30]. ...
... where P (p) is the prior probability distribution for the parameters, which we adopt to be flat, and V P is the volume in the parameter space defined by the prior intervals. We chose conservative prior intervals (see table 1) based on physical considerations and "prior" information, i.e. previous results obtained with older and smaller SNIa samples [22,25,27,34]. The prior boundaries are chosen to be large enough so most of the likelihood is retained in the integration (19), but not too large to do not excessively penalize the Bayesian evidence through V P. For all the models considered here, except for M 2 , as will be discussed in the next section, the 3σ boundaries in the likelihood are well inside the prior volume, so the Bayesian evidence decreases linearly with V P. We are able to compare models by calculating the Bayes factor between any two models M i and M j , which we define as ...
... The panel for M 2 shows a qualitatively similar plot to the last panel of figure 2 of Shapiro & Turner [22]. The z t marginalized likelihood contours for M 2 at 2σ and 3σ confidence levels show that the data do not constrain strongly the deceleration parameter for redshifts above the transition. ...
Article
The kinematic expansion history of the universe is investigated by using the 307 supernovae type Ia from the Union Compilation set. Three simple model parameterizations for the deceleration parameter (constant, linear and abrupt transition) and two different models that are explicitly parametrized by the cosmic jerk parameter (constant and variable) are considered. Likelihood and Bayesian analyses are employed to find best fit parameters and compare models among themselves and with the flat Λ\LambdaCDM model. Analytical expressions and estimates for the deceleration and cosmic jerk parameters today (q0q_0 and j0j_0) and for the transition redshift (ztz_t) between a past phase of cosmic deceleration to a current phase of acceleration are given. All models characterize an accelerated expansion for the universe today and largely indicate that it was decelerating in the past, having a transition redshift around 0.5. The cosmic jerk is not strongly constrained by the present supernovae data. For the most realistic kinematic models the 1σ1\sigma confidence limits imply the following ranges of values: q0[0.96,0.46]q_0\in[-0.96,-0.46], j0[3.2,0.3]j_0\in[-3.2,-0.3] and zt[0.36,0.84]z_t\in[0.36,0.84], which are compatible with the Λ\LambdaCDM predictions, q0=0.57±0.04q_0=-0.57\pm0.04, j0=1j_0=-1 and zt=0.71±0.08z_t=0.71\pm0.08. We find that even very simple kinematic models are equally good to describe the data compared to the concordance Λ\LambdaCDM model, and that the current observations are not powerful enough to discriminate among all of them. Comment: 13 pages. Matches published version
... A more robust form is a non-parametric reconstruction which attempts to build up the actual functional form of f w.r.t. z directly from the observational data [92,[215][216][217][218][219][220][221][222][223][224][225][226][227][228]. ...
... There are several methods for implementing a non-parametric reconstruction in cosmology. These include the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) [217][218][219], Local Regression Smoothing (LRS) [220,221], Genetic Algorithms (GA) [222][223][224] and Gaussian Process (GP) [225][226][227][228]. This thesis is devoted to studying the non-parametric reconstruction of some cosmological parameters by adopting the GP formalism. ...
Preprint
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The present thesis is devoted to the non-parametric reconstruction of some cosmological parameters using diverse observational datasets. The Universe is assumed to be spatially homogeneous and isotropic, thus described by the FLRW metric. The first chapter provides a brief introduction to cosmology and focuses on the reconstruction methods. An assessment of the cosmic distance-duality relation is discussed in chapter 2. In chapter 3, a non-parametric reconstruction of the cosmological jerk parameter is carried out. Chapter 4 explores the possibility of a non-gravitational interaction in the cosmic dark sector. In chapter 5, attempts are made to revisit a non-parametric reconstruction of the cosmic deceleration parameter using various combinations of recently updated background datasets and the growth rate of structure measurements from the redshift-space distortions. Finally, chapter 6 contains the concluding remarks and relevant discussion regarding the overall work presented in the thesis.
... The parameter corresponding to such a transition from decelerated to an accelerated phase is referred to as the transition redshift and it may be treated as a new cosmic parameter along with the present deceleration parameter 0 and the Hubble constant 0 . It is now commonly accepted that the upper bound on the transition redshift is less than unity, which has been confirmed by multiple independent investigations in both model-dependent and model-independent approaches (Farooq et al. (2013b) ;Farooq & Ratra (2013); Sharov & Vorontsova (2014); Shapiro & Turner (2006); Cunha & Lima (2008); Rani et al. (2015); Lima et al. (2012); Moresco et al. (2016); Jesus et al. (2018); Velasquez-Toribio & Magnago (2020)). Shapiro & Turner (2006) in their analysis adopted a model-dependent approach and using SN Type Ia observations, they put a constraint on the deceleration parameter ( ) and transition redshift . ...
... It is now commonly accepted that the upper bound on the transition redshift is less than unity, which has been confirmed by multiple independent investigations in both model-dependent and model-independent approaches (Farooq et al. (2013b) ;Farooq & Ratra (2013); Sharov & Vorontsova (2014); Shapiro & Turner (2006); Cunha & Lima (2008); Rani et al. (2015); Lima et al. (2012); Moresco et al. (2016); Jesus et al. (2018); Velasquez-Toribio & Magnago (2020)). Shapiro & Turner (2006) in their analysis adopted a model-dependent approach and using SN Type Ia observations, they put a constraint on the deceleration parameter ( ) and transition redshift . By considering different dynamical dark energy models, Melchiorri et al. (2007) put constraints on . ...
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One of the most significant discoveries in modern cosmology is that the universe is currently in a phase of accelerated expansion after a switch from a decelerated expansion. The precise determination of the time of this transition from a decelerated phase to an accelerated phase has been a topic of wide interest. This redshift is commonly referred to as the transition redshift ztz_t. This paper aims to put constraints on the transition redshift with both model-dependent and model-independent approaches. We divide this paper into two parts. In first part we follow a model dependent approach. Here, we consider a non-flat Λ\LambdaCDM model as a background cosmological model and use the Hubble parameter measurements of 33 datapoints to construct the cosmic triangle. Further we reconstruct another cosmic triangle plot between log(Ωm0)\log(\Omega_{m0}), log(2ΩΛ0)-\log(2\Omega_{\Lambda0}) and 3log(1+zt)3\log(1+z_t) where the constraints of each parameter are determined by the location in this triangle plot. Using Ωm0\Omega_{m0} and ΩΛ0\Omega_{\Lambda0} values, we find the best value of transition redshift zt=0.6230.783+0.567z_t=0.623^{+0.567}_{-0.783}, which is in good agreement with the Planck 2018 results at 1σ1\sigma confidence level. The second part is based on a non-parametric method. We plot a Hubble Phase Space Portrait (HPSP) between H˙(z)\dot{H}(z) and H(z). From this HPSP diagram, we estimate the transition redshift as well as the current value of equation of state parameter ω0\omega_0 in a model-independent way. We find the best fit value of zt=0.6010.313+0.313z_t=0.601^{+0.313}_{-0.313} and ω0=0.6540.258+0.258\omega_0=-0.654^{+0.258}_{-0.258}. We also simulate the observed Hubble parameter measurements in the redshift range 0<z<20<z<2 and perform the same analysis to estimate the transition redshift.
... The latter part of the 20 th century witnessed a dramatic change in cosmology with the emergence of compelling observational evidence supporting the accelerated expansion of the universe. This phenomenon, which appears to have commenced relatively recently in cosmic history, has been corroborated by multiple independent lines of evidence [1]. Notably, observations of Type Ia supernovae [2,3,4], analyses of large-scale cosmic structure [5,6], measurements of Cosmic Microwave Background Radiation (CMBR) anisotropies [7,8], and studies of Baryon Acoustic Oscillations [9,10] have all contributed to this paradigm-altering discovery. ...
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We present a comprehensive investigation exploring the theoretical framework of Einstein-Aether gravity theory when combined with two novel cosmological paradigms: the Barrow Agegraphic Dark Energy (BADE) and its newer variant, the New Barrow Agegraphic Dark Energy (NBADE). Our study focuses on deriving the functional relationships within Einstein-Aether gravity as they emerge from these dark energy formulations. The parameter space of our theoretical models is rigorously constrained through statistical analysis employing the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology, utilizing multiple observational datasets, incorporating measurements from cosmic chronometers (CC), Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAO), and the combined Pantheon+SH0ES compilation. Based on our optimized parameter sets, we conduct an extensive analysis of fundamental cosmological indicators, including cosmographic parameter evolution, dark energy equation of state parameter (ωDE\omega_{DE}), evolution of the density parameter Ω(z)\Omega(z), dynamical characteristics in the ωDEωDE\omega'_{DE}-\omega_{DE} space, behavior of statefinder diagnostic pairs (r,s)(r,s^*) and (r,q), and Om(z) diagnostic trajectories. Our analysis demonstrates that the current cosmic expansion exhibits accelerated behavior, with the dark energy component manifesting quintessence-like properties in the present epoch while trending toward phantom behavior in future evolution. We additionally evaluate the viability of both BADE and NBADE frameworks through an examination of the squared sound speed (vs2v_s^2) stability criterion. The cumulative evidence suggests that these models effectively characterize contemporary cosmic evolution while offering novel perspectives on dark energy phenomenology.
... This seems to be the case when SNe Ia data are used to constrain flat ΛCDM model parameters; for instance, Rubin et al. (2023) We also use Bayesian evidence (Kass & Raftery 1995;Trotta 2008) It is also necessary to test whether the overall findings are model independent. Hence, we repeat the above analysis by replacing the flat ΛCDM model with the cosmography model (Turner & Riess 2002;Visser 2004;Shapiro & Turner 2006;Xu & Wang 2011). In the spatially flat scenario, the cosmography model parameter set is p = (H 0 , q 0 , j 0 , s 0 ), where q 0 , j 0 , and s 0 denote the present-day values of the deceleration, jerk, and snap parameters, respectively. ...
Article
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We systematically explore the influence of the prior of the peak absolute magnitude ( M ) of Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) on the measurement of the Hubble constant ( H 0 ) from SNe Ia observations. We consider five different data-motivated M priors, representing varying levels of dispersion, and assume the spatially flat ΛCDM cosmological model. Different M priors lead to relative changes in the mean values of H 0 from 2% to 7%. Loose priors on M yield H 0 estimates consistent with both the Planck 2018 result and the SH0ES result at the 68% confidence level. We also examine the potential impact of peculiar velocity subtraction on the value of H 0 and show that it is insignificant for the SNe Ia observations with redshift z > 0.01 used in our analyses. We also repeat the analysis in the cosmography model and find very similar results. This suggests that our results are robust and model independent.
... Another way to study the cosmic evolution is through the socalled cosmographic or kinematic models (Visser 2004 ;Blandford et al. 2005 ;Visser 2005 ;Elgaroy & Multamaki 2006 ;Shapiro & Turner 2006 ;Rapetti et al. 2007 ;Riess et al. 2007 ), where one is not worried about the Universe composition, but instead, how it evolves. In such models, we seek for direct measures of expansion through its kinematic parameters (such as the Hubble parameter H 0 , E-mail: s.pereira@unesp.br ...
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By using recent H(z) and SNe Ia data, we reconstruct the evolution of kinematic parameters H(z), q(z), jerk and snap, using a model-independent, non-parametric method, namely, the Gaussian Processes. Throughout the present analysis, we have allowed for a spatial curvature prior, based on Planck 18 constraints. In the case of SNe Ia, we modify a python package (GaPP) in order to obtain the reconstruction of the fourth derivative of a function, thereby allowing us to obtain the snap from comoving distances. Furthermore, using a method of importance sampling, we combine H(z) and SNe Ia reconstructions in order to find joint constraints for the kinematic parameters. We find for the current values of the parameters: H0 = 67.2 ± 6.2 km/s/Mpc, q0=0.540.05+0.06q_0 = -0.54^{+0.06}_{-0.05}, j0=0.940.18+0.20j_0=0.94^{+0.20}_{-0.18}, s0=0.620.25+0.26s_0=-0.62^{+0.26}_{-0.25} at 1σ c.l. We find that these reconstructions are compatible with the predictions from flat ΛCDM model, at least for 2σ confidence intervals.
... (2.2), (2.3), (2.4), (2.5), (2.6) (see also eqs. (2.13), (2.14), (2.15), (2.16), (2.17) in terms of the comoving distance and its derivatives) in the section 2. In the last few years, this kinematics approach has been studied extensively although in different names, for examples cosmography [9][10][11][12][13][14][15], cosmokinetics [16,17], or Friedmannless cosmology [18,19]. For recent progress, please see refs. ...
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In this paper, we firstly calibrate the Amati relation (the E p - E iso correlation) of gamma ray bursts (GRBs) at low redshifts ( z < 0.8) via Gaussian process by using the type Ia supernovae samples from Pantheon+ under the philosophy that objects at the same redshift should have the same luminosity distance in any cosmology. As a result, this calibration derives the distance moduli of GRBs at high redshifts ( z > 0.8). For an application of these derived distance modulus of GRBs to cosmology, via Gaussian process again, a series of cosmography parameters, which describe kinematics of our Universe, up to the fifth order and the redshift z ∼ 5, i.e. the Hubble parameter H ( z ), the deceleration parameter q ( z ), the jerk parameter j ( z ), the snap parameter s ( z ) and the lerk parameter l ( z ), are reconstructed from the cosmic observations. The reconstructed cosmography parameters show a transition singularity at z ∼ 6, it may resort to two possible explanations: one is that the GRBs data points at high redshift z > 5 are still reliable, it means that new physics beyond the ΛCDM model happens; another one is that the quality and quantity of GRBs data points at high redshift z > 5 are not good enough to give any viable prediction of the kinematics of our Universe. To pin down this problem, more high redshifts z > 5 cosmic observational are still needed.
... In the study of the generalized holographic dark energy model, some well-known parametrization type models have been considered [22,23]. Till now, some authors have assumed some possible forms of parametrization of deceleration parameter [24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35]. The main advantage behind introducing a parameterization of the deceleration parameter is to provide a framework that is independent of specific gravitational theories. ...
Article
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Confirmation of accelerated expansion of the universe probed the concept of dark energy theory, and since then, numerous models have been introduced to explain its origin and nature. The present work is based on reconstructing dark energy by parametrization of the deceleration parameter in the FRW universe filled with radiation, dark matter and dark energy. We have chosen some well-motivated parametrized models 1-3 in an attempt to investigate the energy density in terms of deceleration parameters by estimating the cosmological parameters with the help of different observational datasets. Also, we have introduced a new model 4 for the parametrization of the deceleration parameter. Then we analyzed the cosmography parameters using the best-fit values of the parameters. Using the information criteria, we have examined the viability of the models.
... In the study of the generalized holographic dark energy model, some well-known parametrization type models have been considered [18,19]. Till now, some authors have assumed some possible forms of parametrization of deceleration parameter [20][21][22][23][24][25]. The main advantage of the parameterization deceleration parameter is that the final outcome may not depend on any particular gravitational theory. ...
Preprint
Full-text available
Confirmation of accelerated expansion of the universe probed the concept of dark energy theory, and since then, numerous models have been introduced to explain its origin and nature. The present work is based on reconstructing dark energy by parametrization of the deceleration parameter in the FRW universe filled with radiation, dark matter, and dark energy. We have chosen some well-motivated parametrized models 1-3 in an attempt to investigate the energy density in terms of deceleration parameters by estimating the cosmological parameters with the help of different observational datasets. Also, we have introduced a new model 4 for the parametrization of the deceleration parameter. Then we analyzed the cosmography parameters using the best-fit values of the parameters. Using the information criteria, we have examined the viability of the models.
... Hence from the physical point of view, the treatment of consideration of the deceleration parameter is better than the consideration of the Hubble parameter. Till now, some authors have considered [6][7][8][9][10][11] the possible parametrizations of deceleration parameter [12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19]. Capozziello et al. [20] assumed on q-parametrization also. ...
Article
In this work, we have assumed the non-flat FRW model of the universe. We probed the optical depth behavior of a few cosmological models, including the deceleration parameter’s parametrized form. We have considered ten such models and carried out a qualitative analysis graphically. We found that these particular lensing phenomena depend greatly on the various parametrization forms of deceleration parameter in the cosmological models. Then we compared these models to each other as well as with [Formula: see text]CDM model.
... 0  z consistent with the observational data, for more details, see Refs. [21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28]. One cannot find a numerical value or observations of the redshift before and during the Big Bang. ...
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In this article, we assume that the beginning of the universe was before the Big Bang. In the beginning, all matter in the universe was combined in an infinitesimal spherical shape. This sphere was compressed to an incomprehensible value for a period, and then exploded and expanded time and space. We are referring to the negative time before the Big Bang. The evolution of the universe before the Big Bang, passing through the moment of the explosion to the end of the universe at the Big Rip, has been studied. In this article, we try to answer the questions; did the universe exist before the Big Bang? What is the origin of the universe and how did it arise? What are the stages of the evolution of the universe until the moment of the Big Rip? What is the length of time for the stages of this development?
... On the other hand, some works attempt to investigate the history of the Universe independently of dynamical models. These approaches are called cosmography models or cosmokinetic models (Visser 2004(Visser , 2005Blandford et al. 2005;Elgarøy & Multamäki 2006a;Shapiro & Turner 2006;Rapetti et al. 2007). The work of Capozziello, D'Agostino & Luongo (2020) suggests comparing two different parametrizations: auxiliary variables versus Padé polynomials for high redshifts. ...
Article
An approach to estimate the spatial curvature Ωk from data independently of dynamical models is suggested, through kinematic parametrizations of the comoving distance [DC(z)] with third-degree polynomial, of the Hubble parameter [H(z)] with a second-degree polynomial and of the deceleration parameter [q(z)] with first-order polynomial. All these parametrizations were done as function of redshift z. We used SNe Ia data set from Pantheon compilation with 1048 distance moduli estimated in the range 0.01 < z < 2.3 with systematic and statistical errors and a compilation of 31 H(z) data estimated from cosmic chronometers. The spatial curvature found for DC(z) parametrization was Ωk=0.030.300.53+0.24+0.56\Omega _{k}=-0.03^{+0.24+0.56}_{-0.30-0.53}. The parametrization for deceleration parameter q(z) resulted in Ωk=0.080.270.45+0.21+0.54\Omega _{k}=-0.08^{+0.21+0.54}_{-0.27-0.45}. The H(z) parametrization has shown incompatibilities between H(z) and SNe Ia data constraints, so these analyses were not combined. The DC(z) and q(z) parametrizations are compatible with the spatially flat universe as predicted by many inflation models and data from cosmic microwave background. This type of analysis is very appealing as it avoids any bias because it does not depend on assumptions about the matter content of the Universe for estimating Ωk.
... Determining the exact moment in the history of evolution of the universe in which accelerated phase began is an interesting question, since different models should provide the same result. The parameter that determines such transition from deceleration to an accelerated phase is called transition redshift, z t , which can be treated as a new cosmic parameter [18,19,[21][22][23][24][25][26][27]. A model without a reasonable transition redshift, z t ∼ 0.5 − 1, for instance, fails on explaining current cosmological observations. ...
Article
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This paper aims to put constraints on the transition redshift zt, which determines the onset of cosmic acceleration, in cosmological-model independent frameworks. In order to do that, we use the non-parametric Gaussian Process method with H(z) and SNe Ia data. The deceleration parameter reconstruction from H(z) data yields zt=0.59+0.12−0.11. The reconstruction from SNe Ia data assumes spatial flatness and yields zt=0.683+0.11−0.082. These results were found with a Gaussian kernel and we show that they are consistent with two other kernel choices.
... Other authors have also applied alternative techniques to reconstruct the expansion history of the Universe in a model-independent way and derive constraints on the deceleration parameter, e.g. using the smoothing method of refs. [58][59][60], principal component analyses [23,29], Gaussian processes [61], or piecewise natural cubic splines [62]. These methods are interesting and useful, but also have their own drawbacks. ...
Article
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We reconstruct in this paper the deceleration and jerk parameters as functions of the cosmological redshift from data on cosmic chronometers (CCH), baryon acoustic oscillations (BAOs), and the Pantheon+MCT compilation of supernovae of Type Ia (SnIa). The reconstruction is carried out with the Weighted Function Regression method, previously introduced by G'omez-Valent & Amendola (2018). It improves the usual cosmographic approach by automatically implementing Occam's razor criterion. This makes our procedure to be more free of model and parametrization dependencies than many other analyses in the literature. The reconstructed functions are fully compatible with the predictions for the concordance model. In addition, we also discuss the confidence level at which we can claim that the Universe (assumed to be flat, homogeneous and isotropic) is currently accelerating. According to Jeffreys' scale and jargon, we find moderate evidence in favor of such speed-up using the data on SnIa+CCH, and very strong one when we also use data on BAOs. The measured current value of the deceleration parameter in the latter case reads q0∼ −0.60± 0.10, and for the deceleration-acceleration transition redshift we find zt∼ 0.80± 0.10. The former is ∼ 6σ away from 0. This is in stark contrast, for instance, with the ∼ 17σ that are found in the context of the flat ΛCDM even without including the BAOs data. This indicates that cosmography and Occam's razor criterion play a crucial role in this discussion, and that estimating the evidence for positive acceleration only in the framework of a particular cosmological model or parametrization is clearly insufficient.
... However, some works have tried to explore the history of the universe without to appeal to any specific cosmological model. Such approaches are sometimes called cosmography or cosmokinetic models [41][42][43][44][45][46], and we will refer to them simply as kinematic models. This nomenclature comes from the fact that the complete study of the expansion of the Universe (or its kinematics) is described just by the Hubble expansion rate H =ȧ/a, the deceleration parameter q = −aä/ȧ 2 and the jerk parameter j = − ... a a 3 /(aȧ 3 ), where a is the scale factor in the Friedmann-Roberson-Walker (FRW) metric. ...
Article
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This paper aims to put constraints on the transition redshift ztz_t, which determines the onset of cosmic acceleration, in cosmological-model independent frameworks. In order to do that, we consider a flat universe and suppose a parametrization for the comoving distance DC(z)D_C(z) up to third degree on z, a second degree parametrization for the Hubble parameter H(z) and a linear parametrization for the deceleration parameter q(z). For each case, we show that the type supernovae Ia and H(z) data complement each other on the parameter spaces and tighter constrains for the transition redshift are obtained. By combing the supernovae type Ia observations and Hubble parameter measurements it is possible to constrain the values of ztz_t as 0.806±0.0940.806\pm 0.094, 0.870±0.0630.870\pm 0.063 and 0.973±0.0580.973\pm 0.058 at 1σ\sigma c.l., for each framework, respectively. Such approaches provide reasonably model-independent estimates of this cosmological parameter.
... These data point unambiguously to an acceleration in expansion over the last five billion years, a phenomenon that was dubbed dark energy (Turner 2001(Turner , 2002. The cause of this acceleration will be discussed in section 11; for the present we note that the data constitute strong evidence of an acceleration in the rate of cosmic expansion over the last billion years, independent of theoretical models (Shapiro and Turner 2006). In the context of relativistic cosmology, we recall from section 8 that a measurement of q0 is a measure of − ; the data from each team suggested a figure of about -0.4 for this quantity. ...
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We present a centennial review of the history of the term known as the cosmological constant. First introduced to the general theory of relativity by Einstein in 1917 in order to describe a universe that was assumed to be static, the term fell from favour in the wake of the discovery of cosmic the expanding universe, only to make a dramatic return in recent times. We consider historical and philosophical aspects of the cosmological constant over four main epochs: (i) the use of the term in static cosmologies (both Newtonian and relativistic; (ii) the marginalization of the term following the discovery of cosmic expansion; (iii) the use of the term to address specific cosmic puzzles such as the timespan of expansion, the formation of galaxies and the redshifts of the quasars; (iv) the re-emergence of the term in today's Lamda-CDM cosmology. We find that the cosmological constant was never truly banished from theoretical models of the universe, but was sidelined by astronomers for reasons of convenience. We also find that the return of the term to the forefront of modern cosmology did not occur as an abrupt paradigm shift due to one particular set of observations, but as the result of a number of empirical advances such as the measurement of present cosmic expansion using the Hubble Space Telescope, the measurement of past expansion using type SN 1a supernovae as standard candles, and the measurement of perturbations in the cosmic microwave background by balloon and satellite. We give a brief overview of contemporary interpretations of the physics underlying the cosmic constant and conclude with a synopsis of the famous cosmological constant problem.
... The value q ≈ −0.5 is the ΛCDM model result. The value depends on the chosen parametrisation[78,79]. The value has also been derived under the assumption that light propagation is related to the expansion rate via the FRW distance-redshift relation, which is not necessarily the case if backreaction is large[17,[22][23][24][25][26]. ...
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We evaluate the effect of structure formation on the average expansion rate with a statistical treatment where density peaks and troughs are modelled as homogeneous ellipsoids. This extends earlier work that used spherical regions. We find that the shear and the presence of filamentary and planar structures have only a small impact on the results. The expansion rate times the age of the universe Ht increases from 2/3 to 0.83 at late times, in order of magnitude agreement with observations, although the change is slower and takes longer than in the real universe. We discuss shortcomings that have to be addressed for this and similar statistical models in the literature to develop into realistic quantitative treatment of backreaction.
... If backreaction explains the accelerated expansion, the acceleration is transient and the expansion will at some point start to decelerate [81,82]. The distance data are consistent with (but, obviously, do not require) considerably less acceleration (or even deceleration) today than in the ΛCDM model, as the distance depends on the acceleration via two integrals, and conclusions about q 0 depend on the chosen parametrisation [146,147,[154][155][156][157][158][159][160][161][162][163][164][165][166][167][168][169][170][171][172]. For the BC03+BAO expansion rate data, deceleration today is within the 68% limits for the splines, and well within the 95% contours for the polynomials. ...
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... without referring to the dynamics [100,101]. Studies along this line indeed show that q < 0, i.e.,ä > 0, at low redshift [102][103][104]. Sinceä involves the second derivative with respect to time, measurements of the cosmic time or age of the universe at a series of redshifts would give the most direct evidence. ...
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... based on a linear parametrization of q(z). Therefore, the inferences of the transition redshift are highly model dependent [38]. What this means is that, observationally, since the optimization of our probe is loosely based on the transition redshift, we recommend that a redshift distribution as broad as possible be used. ...
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... Earlier Shapiro and Turner (2005) used both parametric and non-parametric methods to constrain the deceleration parameter, q(z) and transition redshift, z t using SNe Ia data [15]. Melchiorri et al. (2007) also considered different dynamical dark energy models to put constraints on z t [16]. ...
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... Contrary to the dark matter assumption (which is necessary from the scale of galaxies), it is at the scale of the Universe that this dark energy assumption becomes necessary. The main evidence that makes it necessary is the observation of an acceleration of the expansion of the Universe (RIESS et al., 1998;PERLMUTTER et al., 1998) in the last half of its life (SHAPIRO et al., 2005). The gravitational theories (Newtonian and general relativity) can't explain this behavior without dark energy. ...
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... Another published analysis is to determine the parameters of the scale factor a that has been expanded to fifth order polynomial [Joh04]. Instead of considering a special parameterization, a more general approach has been presented in [ST06], where the deceleration parameter q is expanded into principal components. In [RAAB07] the jerk parameter j = 1 ...
... In order to reconstruct the interaction using current data sets, we should find a model-independent method to reconstruct D(z) and its derivatives. While there are several methods such as principle component analysis [19][20][21], Gaussian smoothing [22,23] and Gaussian processes [24][25][26][27], in this paper we will reconstruct D(z) and its derivatives more precisely by using the GP method. ...
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In the current paper, a dark energy (DE) model reconstructed from the well‐motivated deceleration parameter (DP) is analyzed. A flat FRW Universe filled with radiation, dark matter (DM), and dark energy fluids is considered. The free parameters are constrained using measurements from Supernovae, Hubble, Gamma Ray Bursts, Quasars, and Baryon acoustic Oscillations. The model under study is found to be very supported by observation with respect to ΛCDM since . Besides, a cosmographic analysis is performed showing that the reconstructed model behaves similarly as ΛCDM does. Finally, a diagnostic analysis is performed reporting that the studied model behaves quintessence type at a late time.
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The dark energy from virtual gravitons is consistent with observational data on supernovas with the same accuracy as the ΛCDM model. The fact that virtual gravitons are capable of producing a de Sitter accelerated expansion of the FLRW universe was established in 2008 (see references). The combination of conformal non-invariance with zero rest mass of gravitons (unique properties of the gravitational field) leads to the appearance of graviton dark energy in a mater-dominated era; this fact explains the relatively recent appearance of the dark energy and answers the question “Why now?”. The transition redshifts (where deceleration is replaced by acceleration) that follow from the graviton theory are consistent with model-independent transition redshifts derived from observational data. Prospects for testing the GCDM model (the graviton model of dark energy where G stands for gravitons) and comparison with the ΛCDM model are discussed.
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In this paper, we have investigated a very natural question regarding the dynamics of the universe, namely, the possibility of its decelerating phase immediately after the present accelerating phase. To begin with, we have focused on the matter creation theory which is considered to be a viable alternative to dark energy and modified gravity models. Moreover, we have introduced the cosmographic approach which allows us to express the free parameters of a cosmological model in terms of the known cosmographic parameters. Assuming a generalized matter creation rate, we have discussed the theoretical bounds on the model parameters allowing the future deceleration of the universe. Moreover, using the observational bounds on the cosmographic parameters obtained from the low redshifts observational probes, we have also examined the chance of a decelerating phase of the universe. Finally, considering a variety of known cosmological models and parametrizations, we have tested the same possibility. Our analysis shows that the chance of a future decelerating expansion of the universe is highly dependent on the choice of the cosmological models and parametrizations and also on the observational data. Even though the future decelerating expansion is allowed in some cosmological frameworks, but we do not see any strong evidence in favor of this. Perhaps, the future cosmological surveys could offer some more information regarding the fate of the universe.
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We study the accelerated expansion phase of the universe by using the kinematic approach. In particular, the deceleration parameter q is parametrized in a model-independent way. Considering a generalized parametrization for q, we first obtain the jerk parameter j (a dimensionless third time derivative of the scale factor) and then confront it with cosmic observations. We use the latest observational dataset of the Hubble parameter H(z) consisting of 41 data points in the redshift range of 0.07z2.360.07 \le z \le 2.36, larger than the redshift range that covered by the Type Ia supernova. We also acquire the current values of the deceleration parameter q0q_0, jerk parameter j0j_0 and transition redshift ztz_t (at which the expansion of the universe switches from being decelerated to accelerated) with 1σ1\sigma errors (68.3%68.3\% confidence level). As a result, it is demonstrate that the universe is indeed undergoing an accelerated expansion phase following the decelerated one. This is consistent with the present observations. Moreover, we find the departure for the present model from the standard Λ\Lambda CDM model according to the evolution of j. Furthermore, the evolution of the normalized Hubble parameter is shown for the present model and it is compared with the dataset of H(z).
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We study the performance of the latest H(z) data in constraining the cosmological parameters of different cosmological models, including that of Chevalier-Polarski-Linder w0w1w_{0}w_{1} parametrization. First, we introduce a statistical procedure in which the chi-square estimator is not affected by the value of the Hubble constant. As a result, we find that the H(z) data do not rule out the possibility of either non-flat models or dynamical dark energy cosmological models. However, we verify that the time varying equation of state parameter w(z) is not constrained by the current expansion data. Combining the H(z) and the Type Ia supernova data we find that the H(z)/SNIa overall statistical analysis provides a substantial improvement of the cosmological constraints with respect to those of the H(z) analysis. Moreover, the w0w1w_{0}-w_{1} parameter space provided by the H(z)/SNIa joint analysis is in a very good agreement with that of Planck 2015, which confirms that the present analysis with the H(z) and SNIa probes correctly reveals the expansion of the Universe as found by the team of Planck. Finally, we generate sets of Monte Carlo realizations in order to quantify the ability of the H(z) data to provide strong constraints on the dark energy model parameters. The Monte Carlo approach shows significant improvement of the constraints, when increasing the sample to 100 H(z) measurements. Such a goal can be achieved in the future, especially in the light of the next generation of surveys.
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Many schemes have been proposed to define a model-independent constraint on cosmological dynamics, such as the nonparametric dark energy equation of state ω(z) or the deceleration parameter q(z). These methods usually contain derivatives with respect to observational data with noise. However, there can be large uncertainties when one estimates values with numerical differentiation, especially when noise is significant. We introduce a global numerical differentiation method, first formulated by Reinsch, which is smoothed by cubic spline functions, and apply it to the estimation of the transition redshift zt with a simulated expansion rate E(z) based on observational Hubble parameter data. We also discuss some deficiencies and limitations of this method.
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Some analyzes of the apparent magnitude‐redshift data of type Ia supernovas indicate that the suspected dark energy in the universe cannot be regarded as a cosmological constant of general relativistic origin or as the vacuum energy encountered in quantum field theories. If this is the case, our knowledge of the physical world remains deficient since no tested theory involves such a dark energy. Under this circumstance, an equation of state of the form p = wρ is not well‐motivated and one is unable to use the Einstein equation in this case as well. I argue that the very method of analysing the data by assuming exotic energy densities with strange equations of state itself is misleading and the reasonable remaining option is to make a model‐independent analysis of SNe data, without reference to the energy densities. In this basically kinematic approach, we limit ourselves to the observationally justifiable assumptions of homogeneity and isotropy, i.e., to the assumption that the universe has a RW metric. This cosmographic approach is historically the original one in cosmology. The analysis was performed by expanding the scale factor into a fifth‐order polynomial, an assumption that can be further generalized to any order. The values obtained for the present expansion rates h, q 0, r 0 etc. are relevant, since any cosmological solution would ultimately need to explain them. Using this method, we address an important question relevant to cosmology: Was there a decelerating past for the universe? To answer this, the Bayes’s probability theory is employed, which is the most appropriate tool for quantifying our knowledge when it changes through the acquisition of new data. The cosmographic approach helps to sort out models which were always accelerating from those which decelerated for at least some time in the period of interest. Bayesian model comparison technique is used to discriminate these rival hypotheses with the aid of recent releases of supernova data. It is argued that the lessons learned using Bayesian theory are extremely valuable to avoid frequent U‐turns in cosmology.
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In this paper, using a significantly improved version of the model-independent, cosmographic approach to cosmology (John, M. V. 2004, ApJ, 614, 1), we address an important question: Was there a decelerating past for the universe? To answer this, the Bayes's probability theory is employed, which is the most appropriate tool for quantifying our knowledge when it changes through the acquisition of new data. The cosmographic approach helps to sort out the models in which the universe was always accelerating from those in which it decelerated for at least some time in the period of interest. Bayesian model comparison technique is used to discriminate these rival hypotheses with the aid of recent releases of supernova data. We also attempt to provide and improve another example of Bayesian model comparison, performed between some Friedmann models, using the same data. Our conclusion, which is consistent with other approaches, is that the apparent magnitude-redshift data alone cannot discriminate these competing hypotheses. We also argue that the lessons learnt using Bayesian theory are extremely valuable to avoid frequent U-turns in cosmology. Comment: Accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal (ApJ)
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A modification to the Friedmann–Robertson–Walker equation is proposed in which the universe is flat, matter dominated, and accelerating. An additional term, which contains only matter or radiation (no vacuum contribution), becomes the dominant driver of expansion at a late epoch of the universe. During the epoch when the new term dominates, the universe accelerates; we call this period of acceleration the Cardassian era. The universe can be flat and yet consist of only matter and radiation, and still be compatible with observations. The energy density required to close the universe is much smaller than in a standard cosmology, so that matter can be sufficient to provide a flat geometry. The new term required may arise, e.g., as a consequence of our observable universe living as a 3-dimensional brane in a higher-dimensional universe. The Cardassian model survives several observational tests, including the cosmic background radiation, the age of the universe, the cluster baryon fraction, and structure formation.
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We discuss the cosmological constant problem in the light of dilatation symmetry and its possible anomaly. For dilatation symmetric quantum theories realistic asymptotic cosmology is obtained provided the effective potential has a nontrivial minimum. For theories with dilatation anomaly one needs as a nontrivial “cosmon condition” that the energy-momentum tensor in the vacuum is purely anomalous. Such a condition is related to the short distance renormalization group behaviour of the fundamental theory. Observable deviations from the standard hot big bang cosmology are possible.
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The cosmological consequences of a pervasive, rolling, self-interacting, homogeneous scalar field are investigated. A number of models in which the energy density of the scalar field red-shifts in a specific manner are studied. In these models the current epoch is chosen to be scalar-field dominated to agree with dynamical estimates of the density parameter, ..cap omega../sub dyn/approx.0.2, and zero spatial curvature. The required scalar-field potential is ''nonlinear'' and decreases in magnitude as the value of the scalar field increases. A special solution of the field equations which is an attractive, time-dependent, fixed point is presented. These models are consistent with the classical tests of gravitation theory. The Eoetvoes-Dicke measurements strongly constrain the coupling of the scalar field to light (nongravitational) fields. Nucleosynthesis proceeds as in the standard hot big-bang model. In linear perturbation theory the behavior of baryonic perturbations, in the baryon-dominated epoch, do not differ significantly from the canonical scenario, while the presence of a substantial amount of homogeneous scalar-field energy density at low red-shifts inhibits the growth of perturbations in the baryonic fluid. The energy density in the scalar field is not appreciably perturbed by nonrelativistic gravitational fields, either in the radiation-dominated, matter-dominated, or scalar-field-dominated epochs. On the basis of this effect, we argue that these models could reconcile the low dynamical estimates of the mean mass density with the negligibly small spatial curvature preferred by inflation.
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Recent cosmological observations strongly suggest that the Universe is dominated by an unknown form of energy with negative pressure. Why is this dark energy density of order the critical density today? We propose that the dark energy has periodically dominated in the past so that its preponderance today is natural. We illustrate this paradigm with a model potential and show that its predictions are consistent with all observations.
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We argue for a ``parametrized post-Friedmanian'' approach to linear cosmology, where the history of expansion and perturbation growth is measured without assuming that the Einstein Field Equations hold. As an illustration, a model-independent analysis of 92 type Ia supernovae demonstrates that the curve giving the expansion history has the wrong shape to be explained without some form of dark energy or modified gravity. We discuss how upcoming lensing, galaxy clustering, cosmic microwave background and Lyman alpha forest observations can be combined to pursue this program, which generalizes the quest for a dark energy equation of state, and forecast the accuracy that the proposed SNAP satellite can attain. Comment: Replaced to match accepted PRD version. References and another example added, section III omitted since superceded by astro-ph/0207047. 11 PRD pages, 7 figs. Color figs and links at http://www.hep.upenn.edu/~max/gravity.html or from max@physics.upenn.edu
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We propose a phenomenological approach to the cosmological constant problem based on generally covariant non-local and acausal modifications of four-dimensional gravity at enormous distances. The effective Newton constant becomes very small at large length scales, so that sources with immense wavelengths and periods -- such as the vacuum energy-- produce minuscule curvature. Conventional astrophysics, cosmology and standard inflationary scenaria are unaffected, as they involve shorter length scales. A new possibility emerges that inflation may ``self-terminate'' naturally by its own action of stretching wavelengths to enormous sizes. In a simple limit our proposal leads to a modification of Einstein's equation by a single additional term proportional to the average space-time curvature of the Universe. It may also have a qualitative connection with the dS/CFT conjecture.
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We develop two methods for estimating the power spectrum, C_l, of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) from data and apply them to the COBE/DMR and Saskatoon datasets. One method involves a direct evaluation of the likelihood function, and the other is an estimator that is a minimum-variance weighted quadratic function of the data. Applied iteratively, the quadratic estimator is not distinct from likelihood analysis, but is rather a rapid means of finding the power spectrum that maximizes the likelihood function. Our results bear this out: direct evaluation and quadratic estimation converge to the same C_ls. The quadratic estimator can also be used to directly determine cosmological parameters and their uncertainties. While the two methods both require O(N^3) operations, the quadratic is much faster, and both are applicable to datasets with arbitrary chopping patterns and noise correlations. We also discuss approximations that may reduce it to O(N^2) thus making it practical for forthcoming megapixel datasets. Comment: 23 Pages, 16 Figures. Final published version
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The inflationary prediction of a flat Universe is at odds with current determinations of the matter density (Omega_M~0.2-0.4). This dilemma can be resolved if a smooth component contributes the remaining energy density (Omega_X=1-Omega_M). We parameterize the smooth component by its equation of state, p_X=w rho_X, and show that xCDM with w~-0.6, Omega_M~0.3 and h~0.7 is the best fit to all present cosmological data. Together, the position of the peak in the CMB angular power spectrum and the Type Ia supernova magnitude-redshift diagram provide a crucial test of xCDM. Comment: 5 pages, RevTeX, with 5 postscript figures included. Minor modifications to reflect version accepted by Phys. Rev. D
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Assuming only a homogeneous and isotropic universe and using both the 'Gold' Supernova Type Ia sample of Riess et al. and the results from the Supernova Legacy Survey, we calculate the Bayesian evidence of a range of different parameterizations of the deceleration parameter. We consider both spatially flat and curved models. Our results show that although there is strong evidence in the data for an accelerating universe, there is little evidence that the deceleration parameter varies with redshift.
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