Project

Building collapse and fatality during floods (Ineenstorting en fataliteit opbouwen tijdens overstromingen)

Goal: Many of the fatalities in the 1953 North Sea storm surge flood occurred while residents sheltered in place in brick masonry buildings but those buildings collapsed (Jonkman & Vrijling, 2008). At present, the Netherlands government realizes that many regions of the Netherlands cannot practically be evacuated during a storm surge or river flood, as population density is too large and transportation arteries cannot handle the ensuing traffic volume with a warning time of only one or two days (Kolen & Helsloot, 2012). Therefore, it is essential to quantify the fragility of common Dutch building types to floods that are to be expected during failure of coastal and riverine primary flood defences, and to reformulate location-specific evacuation plans based on the types of buildings and flood hazard present. This research will measure the physical response of modern Dutch buildings to floods, generate flood fragility functions for these building types, and apply the fragility functions to risk analysis and evacuation planning in critical locations. In addition to collapse, the project will investigate the resilience of home utilities to floodwaters. The deliverable of this proposed project is closure on the discussion of whether brick masonry and concrete structures are at risk of collapse in the types of floods expected in the Netherlands (flooded polders during storm surge and river floods).

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Project log

Jeremy D. Bricker
added an update
Mick van Haren and Paul Korswagen are measuring deflection of, and leakage through, a cavity wall (calcium silicate, cavity, and fired clay bricks) with a window.
 
Jeremy D. Bricker
added an update
Anneroos Brussee published a paper in JFRM based on her thesis work at Deltares as part of this project.
 
Karin De Bruijn
added 6 research items
Failure of residential buildings during floods is an important cause of damage and loss of life. In the case of the Netherlands, the collapse of buildings is implicitly included in current damage and mortality curves since these are generated from historical data. However, the Netherlands has not experienced destructive flooding since 1953, so damage functions for modern buildings do not exist. Therefore, this paper assesses the effect of floods on modern Dutch residences with laboratory tests and structural models in order to formulate physically-based fragility curves. The results gathered are also applicable to similarly-built masonry and cavity-wall rowhouses elsewhere. Almost half of the Dutch population live in terraced houses (also known as townhouses or rowhouses), of which the critical failure mechanism during a flood is out-of-plane bending of the load-bearing walls. Failure of these structural elements should be analysed with the pressure coefficient, Cp, instead of the currently used drag coefficient, CD, because wall collapse is more likely than displacement of the entire structure. This paper describes the quantification of both coefficients by conducting flume experiments on rectangular boxes with different geometries and orientations. Higher drag coefficients are derived from the experiments than provided by FEMA, resulting in higher hydrodynamic loads on the residences. The physical approach to evaluate the collapse of residences is exemplified with a case study of the three most common type of residences in the Netherlands. Structural analyses of their load-bearing walls subjected to a hydrostatic and hydrodynamic load perpendicular to the wall show failure due to milder flood conditions than the current damage curves do for all case study residences. A sensitivity analysis shows an important influence of wall thickness, initial axial loading of the wall, and the flood water level inside the residence.
For comprehensive flood risk management, accurate information on flood hazards is crucial. While in the past an estimate of potential flood consequences in large areas was often sufficient to make decisions on flood protection, there is currently an increasing demand to have detailed hazard maps available to be able to consider other risk-reducing measures as well. Hazard maps are a prerequisite for spatial planning, but can also support emergency management, the design of flood mitigation measures, and the setting of insurance policies. The increase in flood risks due to population growth and economic development in hazardous areas in the past shows that sensible spatial planning is crucial to prevent risks increasing further. Assigning the least hazardous locations for development or adapting developments to the actual hazard requires comprehensive flood hazard maps. Since flood hazard is a multi-dimensional phenomenon, many different maps could be relevant. Having large numbers of maps to take into account does not, however, make planning easier. To support flood risk management planning we therefore introduce a new approach in which all relevant flood hazard parameters can be combined into two comprehensive maps of flood damage hazard and flood fatality hazard.
Jeremy D. Bricker
added an update
MSc student Marion van den Bulk measured the speed at which volunteers could evacuate through flooded polders on foot and on bicycle in December 2020. This novel data will be useful for evacuation planning.
 
Jeremy D. Bricker
added an update
Experiments run by ir. Paul Korswagen with the help of Serban Alexandru.
 
Jeremy D. Bricker
added an update
Experiments run by ir. Paul Korsewagen with the help of Serban Alexandru.
 
Jeremy D. Bricker
added an update
Ir. Paul Korswagen and BSc student Serban Alexandru ran the first of many tests today to measure the deflection of masonry walls when subject to hydrostatic loading. Today's test was just to check the sensors and pumps, but produced a cool time-lapse movie (click on the link to see the movie).
 
Jeremy D. Bricker
added an update
Jeremy D. Bricker
added an update
Deltares internship report of Lucas Westrik.
 
Jeremy D. Bricker
added an update
Benedikt Bratz from TU Braunschweig completed his project on CFD simulation of Lise Jansen's laboratory experiments, of flow forces on a building. Benedikt investigated how these forces scale up to prototype (field) scale, and how different parameters affect the resulting forces.
 
Jeremy D. Bricker
added an update
The first MSc thesis from this project is available on the TU Delft repository at
TItle:
Structural damage to Dutch terraced houses due to flood actions
Author: Lise Jansen
Abstract:
’De Watersnood van 1953’, the largest Dutch flood in recent history, caused the death of 1795 people in the Netherlands directly from the flood conditions, while in the UK, 315 were recorded. Most of them were among those whose residence collapsed due to high water depth, quick rise rate of the water or strong flow velocity. Based on historical data of floods with similar flood characteristics and comparable buildings, mortality functions were developed to estimate the number of fatalities. These functions are still used, but the correlation between the flood characteristics and the damage observation is not clear according to multiple studies. The current study contributes to improving these functions by investigating which flood conditions may lead to collapse of the residences in the current Dutch building stock. From the BAG-registration (in Dutch: Basisregistratie Adressen en Gebouwen) it is found that 50% of the Dutch live in terraced houses (in Dutch: rijtjeshuizen), which is similar in the areas which are most likely to be affected by flooding. Most of these residences are built in the period of the housing shortage between 1965 and 1975 and the energy crisis between 1975 and 1994, which are considered as ’the typical Dutch residence’. This residence type consists of cavity walls with a load-bearing leaf of concrete or unreinforced masonry (URM), which can be clay or calcium-silicate. This inner leaf is tied to the outer leaf of URM consisting of perforated clay units, wood-based materials, or concrete. Stability is provided by piers in the façades in case of the URM walls or rigid connections between the concrete floor and walls. To define the properties of the building materials, existing experimental research on the masonry is used.Experiments with a physical model were conducted herein to measure the quasi-steady load in the form of pressures acting on different elements of the residence. This enables the comparison of the quasi-steady flood load and the lateral load due to wind on different elements of a building. Similar to FEMA (2011), it was found that the pressure coefficient decreases when the width-to-water depth ratio decreases. However, higher coefficients are found from the experiments than those provided by FEMA, resulting in higher hydrodynamic loads. Furthermore, the orientation of the residence compared to the flow direction changes the angle of attack. When the flow is perpendicular to the wall, the pressure coefficient is the largest. Decreasing the angle of attack causes a decrease of the pressure due to equal flood conditions. The pressure coefficients obtained from the experiments are used to define the hydrodynamic load due to flooding. The resistance of the load-bearing cavity walls, windows and piers were compared to the acting moment due to different depth-flow velocity combinations. The resistance of out-of-plane bending of the load-bearing wall is the critical failure mechanism for typical Dutch residences. Residences with calcium-silicate masonry walls and system floors have a higher resistance than residences with clay masonry walls and timber floors. Cracks start to develop at a small lateral load resulting in zero tension strength after cracking and an eccentricity of the normal force. This makes the influence of the dead weight carried by the wall, in combination with the compression strength and the thickness, more important than the flexural bending strength.All types of residences, using design values, already collapse before the hv-product (water depth times flow velocity) of 7 m2/s is reached according to Clausen (1989). A water depth of ±1.2 meters for the older residences (1965-1975) and ±1.8 meters for the newer residences (1975-1994), already cause the design moment resistance of the wall without taking the velocity or wave action into account. If the flood water has a flow velocity of 2 m/s or waves are generated by a wind speed of 29.5 m/s over a fetch of 100 m, the critical water depth reduces to respectively ±0.9 and 1.5 meters.
 
Jeremy D. Bricker
added a project goal
Many of the fatalities in the 1953 North Sea storm surge flood occurred while residents sheltered in place in brick masonry buildings but those buildings collapsed (Jonkman & Vrijling, 2008). At present, the Netherlands government realizes that many regions of the Netherlands cannot practically be evacuated during a storm surge or river flood, as population density is too large and transportation arteries cannot handle the ensuing traffic volume with a warning time of only one or two days (Kolen & Helsloot, 2012). Therefore, it is essential to quantify the fragility of common Dutch building types to floods that are to be expected during failure of coastal and riverine primary flood defences, and to reformulate location-specific evacuation plans based on the types of buildings and flood hazard present. This research will measure the physical response of modern Dutch buildings to floods, generate flood fragility functions for these building types, and apply the fragility functions to risk analysis and evacuation planning in critical locations. In addition to collapse, the project will investigate the resilience of home utilities to floodwaters. The deliverable of this proposed project is closure on the discussion of whether brick masonry and concrete structures are at risk of collapse in the types of floods expected in the Netherlands (flooded polders during storm surge and river floods).