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Building collapse and fatality during floods (Ineenstorting en fataliteit opbouwen tijdens overstromingen)
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Failure of residential buildings during floods is an important cause of damage and loss of life. In the case of the Netherlands, the collapse of buildings is implicitly included in current damage and mortality curves since these are generated from historical data. However, the Netherlands has not experienced destructive flooding since 1953, so damage functions for modern buildings do not exist. Therefore, this paper assesses the effect of floods on modern Dutch residences with laboratory tests and structural models in order to formulate physically-based fragility curves. The results gathered are also applicable to similarly-built masonry and cavity-wall rowhouses elsewhere.
Almost half of the Dutch population live in terraced houses (also known as townhouses or rowhouses), of which the critical failure mechanism during a flood is out-of-plane bending of the load-bearing walls. Failure of these structural elements should be analysed with the pressure coefficient, Cp, instead of the currently used drag coefficient, CD, because wall collapse is more likely than displacement of the entire structure. This paper describes the quantification of both coefficients by conducting flume experiments on rectangular boxes with different geometries and orientations. Higher drag coefficients are derived from the experiments than provided by FEMA, resulting in higher hydrodynamic loads on the residences.
The physical approach to evaluate the collapse of residences is exemplified with a case study of the three most common type of residences in the Netherlands. Structural analyses of their load-bearing walls subjected to a hydrostatic and hydrodynamic load perpendicular to the wall show failure due to milder flood conditions than the current damage curves do for all case study residences. A sensitivity analysis shows an important influence of wall thickness, initial axial loading of the wall, and the flood water level inside the residence.
For comprehensive flood risk management, accurate information on flood
hazards is crucial. While in the past an estimate of potential flood
consequences in large areas was often sufficient to make decisions on flood
protection, there is currently an increasing demand to have detailed hazard
maps available to be able to consider other risk-reducing measures as well.
Hazard maps are a prerequisite for spatial planning, but can also support
emergency management, the design of flood mitigation measures, and the
setting of insurance policies. The increase in flood risks due to population
growth and economic development in hazardous areas in the past shows that
sensible spatial planning is crucial to prevent risks increasing further.
Assigning the least hazardous locations for development or adapting
developments to the actual hazard requires comprehensive flood hazard maps.
Since flood hazard is a multi-dimensional phenomenon, many different maps
could be relevant. Having large numbers of maps to take into account does not, however, make planning easier. To support flood risk management planning
we therefore introduce a new approach in which all relevant flood hazard
parameters can be combined into two comprehensive maps of flood damage
hazard and flood fatality hazard.