Višeslav Raos- PhD
- Professor (Associate) at University of Zagreb
Višeslav Raos
- PhD
- Professor (Associate) at University of Zagreb
Currently doing research on centrist populism, as well as age, period, and cohort models of voter behavior.
About
53
Publications
4,263
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159
Citations
Introduction
Current institution
Education
March 2010 - February 2014
March 2005 - March 2008
Publications
Publications (53)
This article uses national survey data, quantitative party system indicators, as well as manifesto data to assess the proposition whether the Croatian party system is indeed one of the most stable systems among post-communist EU member states. The analysis spans three decades and focuses on changes after EU accession and confirms long-term stabilit...
This article deals with the level of democracy in Croatia after EU accession. The first part presents key events, processes, and actors which have shaped the trajectory of democratic development. The second part discusses the Croatian case in the context of current research on democratic backsliding. The third part tests the idea about democratic b...
This article compares the politics of history and positions on the EU of six ruling populist leaders and their parties (Fidesz, PiS, SDS, GERB, ANO and OĽaNO) from Central and Eastern European (CEE) EU member states. Through the comparison of leaders’ biographies and longitudinal analysis of party electoral manifestos an overlap between two types o...
The aim of this chapter is to examine specific problems that influenced Croatia’s road to EU membership and have slowed down the negotiations process. These peculiar difficulties set Croatia somewhat apart from other ex-communist countries that became EU members in 2004 and 2007. The analysis of obstacles met by Croatia on its way to EU membership...
This paper analyzes changes in the Croatian party system in the 1990-2016 period by looking at trends in the ideological makeup of voters of the main center-right (HDZ) and center-left (SDP) parties. An assessment of changes in voter self-placement on a left-right scale has shown a gradual increase in the ideological distance among voters of these...
This chapter deals with regional political movements in South-East Europe. It differentiates between ‘pure’ regionalist parties, ethnic minority parties and ethno-regionalist parties. In the first part, the chapter focuses on two regions, Istria and Vojvodina, where regionalist parties were the most successful in the last three decades. In the seco...
Prva primjena aplikacije za pomoć pri glasovanju na izborima za Sabor stvorila je najveću anketnu bazu podataka u društvenim znanostima u Hrvatskoj do sada. Prikupljeni podatci mogu poslužiti nizu istraživanja biračkoga ponašanja i orijentacija građana prema pojedinim javnopolitičkim pitanjima. U ovome radu smo ponudili prvi uvid u bazu podataka do...
In 2023, Croatia joined both the euro and the Schengen area, thus completing full EU integration. No elections were held, and the Parliament experienced some minor cases of floor crossing while the government, although maintaining its party composition, reshuffled four ministers. The opposition criticized the government over political corruption an...
Zbornik donosi jedinstvenu bazu podataka o hrvatskim biračima nastalu na temelju anketnih istraživanja izbornog ponašanja i stavova građana koje je Fakultet političkih znanosti provodio od 1990. do 2020. godine. Analize predstavljene u zborniku pružaju jedinstven uvid u trendove i promjene u izbornoj participaciji, političkom znanju, povjerenju u i...
Demokracija, kao oblik vladavine naroda, ne može postojati bez građana. Institucije kojima se oblikuju procesi uključivanja građana u odlučivanje trebaju biti strukturirane na način koji odgovara njihovim potrebama. Iako se s ovim slažu svi teoretičari demokracije, ne slažu se pak oko onoga što očekuju od građana u demokraciji – je li dovoljno da g...
Cilj ovoga poglavlja je prikazati genezu koncepta autoritarnosti i povijest njegovog proučavanja u sklopu istraživanja biračkih stavova u Hrvatskoj i Jugoslaviji te potom na temelju longitudinalnih podataka dobivenih u sklopu izbornih istraživanja Fakulteta političkih znanosti ispitati niz prediktora koji nam mogu pomoći objasniti varijacije u razi...
Cilj ovoga poglavlja je ispitati razlike i promjene u samoidentifikaciji na ljestvici lijevo-desno te u vjerojatnosti identificiranja s glavnim političkim svjetonazorima. Na temelju združenih podataka koji za prvi dio analize sežu u sredinu, a za drugi u kraj 1990-ih godina, ispituju se prediktori samoidentificiranja hrvatskih birača na ljestvici l...
Hrvatski istraživači su se također bavili ovom temom, no u ovome poglavlju po prvi puta ćemo analizirati biračko ponašanje hrvatskih građanki i građana kroz razdoblje od trideset godina, analitički zahvaćajući sve parlamentarne izbore u demokratskoj Hrvatskoj. Stoga je cilj poglavlja provjeriti koji sve teorijski modeli nude relevantno razumijevanj...
In 2022, Croatia experienced stability despite further parliamentary fragmentation. The centre‐right minority Cabinet endured, albeit with several Cabinet reshuffles. Main opposition parliamentary parties on the left and the right experienced splits, with new parties emerging. There were no elections in 2022 and no referenda. Opposition initiatives...
Zadatak je ovoga teksta ispitati nadovezuje li se rascjep između kozmopolita i komunitarista (pobjednici i gubitnici globalizacije, zagovornici otvorenog i zatvorenog društva, globalisti i etatisti), operacionaliziran kroz prizmu Europske unije, na postojeće društvene rascjepe u Hrvatskoj koji su ukorijenjeni u odnosu prema povijesti i ulozi religi...
The proportional representation electoral system is one of the most disputed aspects
of the Croatian political system since 2000. However, critics rarely offer a systematic
comparative basis for their objections. This article fills this gap and argues
that the proportional representation system in Croatia functions adequately in
relation to theoret...
U kontekstu opće krize i opadanja političke potpore socijaldemokraciji članak se usredotočuje na socijaldemokraciju u Hrvatskoj i na razinu izborne potražnje. Nastojeći pridonijeti razumijevanju stanja socijaldemokracije u Hrvatskoj, analizira se odnos ideološkog samoidentificiranja birača i njihovih stranačkih preferencija na primjeru socijaldemok...
Autori se u naknadnom komentaru osvrću na teorijske i metodološke ne-dostatke svoje ranije objavljene studije o dobi i biračkom ponašanju u Hrvatskoj. Na teorijskoj razini ističu nedovoljnu razrađenost konceptualnog okvira i izostanak smještanja studije u odnosu na druga relevantna istraživanja koja se bave političkom socijalizacijom, političkom id...
In this paper, I analyzed the 2022 election in Bosnia and Herzegovina from the perspective of territorial, rather than voter differences. Thus, instead of relying on survey data to build a model predicting party vote outcomes, I used municipality-level data. I considered the three main self-described non-ethnic or civic party lists, SDP B&H, DF-GS...
The paper offers a historical overview of the development of the study of Croatian politics at the Faculty of Political Science. The pre-democratic period was marked by relatively unfavorable conditions for the study of national politics, due both to the dominant conception of the curriculum that denied the independence of political science, as wel...
Croatian politics experienced relative calm in 2021. The minority Plenković II Cabinet saw no changes and survived motions against two of its ministers. Parliament experienced some turmoil, as intra‐party conflict among the Social Democrats resulted in a split of its parliamentary group and a sharp increase in the overall number of independent MPs....
The aim of this paper is to evaluate the spatial patterns of party support at the 2021 Bundestag election and to test predictors of the variance of party success at the constituency level. First, the state of literature on cleavages and party competition in Germany will be discussed. Then, factors that will be tested in this study as predictors in...
For years, the countries of Southern Europe have struggled with the consequences of the sovereign debt crisis. Under external pressure they enacted harsh austerity measures which resulted in shaken trust in the European Union, new protest movements and the entrance of new political parties in legislatures and governments. A decade later, this paper...
Porast potpore pokretu za neovisnost u Kataloniji za posljedicu je imao institucijsku nestabilnost i promjenu španjolskoga stranačkog sustava. Ovaj rad istražuje razlike u interpretacijskim okvirima katalonskog pitanja na temelju izjava nacionalnih stranačkih čelnika koji su sudjelovali na četiri predizborna sučeljavanja za parlamentarne izbore u s...
U članku se na temelju terenskoga anketnog istraživanja provedenog nakon predsjedničkih izbora 2019/2020, te uoči parlamentarnih izbora 2020. anali-zira odnos dobi i biračkog ponašanja u Hrvatskoj. Pri tome se rad smješta na sjecište između istraživačkih tradicija sociologije mladih i analize društvenih rascjepa i biračkoga ponašanja. Na temelju mo...
Prije četiri godine u ovome je časopisu objavljen rad koji je analizirao podudarnost glasova za stranke na nacionalnim i lokalnim izborima. Ta je analiza na temelju glasova za ondašnje stranke u vladi (HDZ i Most nezavisnih lista) na parlamentarnim (2016.) i lokalnim (2017., mjereno na uzorku od 128 gradova) izborima pokazala kako je oko pola varij...
Since 1999, all member states have employed some form of proportional representation to elect representatives in the European Parliament. The introduction of Spitzenkandidaten and greater policy and campaigning coordination within Europarties sought to create a common European ground of party competition. However, the actual election of MEPs remain...
Na temelju rezultata predizborne terenske ankete, autor istražuje strukturu društvenih rascjepa u Hrvatskoj u kontekstu parlamentarnih izbora 2020. Multinominalnom logističkom regresijom ispituje dosadašnje spoznaje o vrijednosnom
rascjepu utemeljenu u religiji i identitetskom rascjepu utemeljenu na odnosu prema prošlosti, koji tvore kulturnu dimen...
Croatian politics in 2019 was dominated by elections to the European Parliament (EP), in which the Croatian Democratic Union/Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (HDZ) emerged as a relative winner, while the Social Democratic Party of Croatia/Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (SDP) increased its voters and seat share; and the presidential elections, wh...
This book explores the challenges of democratization and reconciliation in the context of European integration in the post-Yugoslav region. Despite its academic and policy relevance, students and academics studying the region do not have a single source of reading material where they can learn about the challenges facing the region. This book aims...
The article deals with the multifaceted reasons for the transformation of the Northern League from a Padanian regionalist and separatist party to an Italian nationalist sovereignist party which is gathering allies that want to bring the European Union back to its pre-Maastricht state. An analysis of electoral manifestos, the effects of Europeanizat...
Kada se govori o radu hrvatskih predstavnika u institucijama Europske unije, često se u žarištu pogleda medija i zainteresirane javnosti pojavljuju upravo zastupnice i zastupnici u Europskom parlamentu. U ovoj kratkoj analizi cilj je razmotriti rad hrvatskih zastupnika i zastupnica u Europskom parlamentu iz perspektive temeljnog razlikovanja dvaju...
Autor razmatra politički profil Alternative za Njemačku kako bi pridonio razumijevanju njezine pojave u političkom životu Njemačke. Analizom izbornih programa provjerava njezin položaj na osi lijevo-desno te stavove o europskim integracijama, nacionalizmu i multikulturalizmu, te o ekonomskoj politici i demokraciji. Multivarijantnom regresijskom ana...
This paper explores linguistic landscapes and the enactment of public visibility and presence of non-majority linguistic groups in EU member states. Non-majority linguistic groups gain power, visibility and presence through the introduction of bilingual or multilingual signposts on roads, streets, squares, and public buildings in towns and cities w...
In the last fifteen years there has been an increased interest in the problems of intra-party democracy, both in research and in political practice. A trend towards more inclusive and more democratic intra-party decision-making procedures can be observed. The consequences of these changes are still hard to evaluate. The findings of this research pr...
U ovom radu se na temelju podataka o ciklički prilagođenom primarnom proračunskom saldu (CAPB)
analizira karakter fiskalne politike te snaga fiskalne konsolidacije u post-kriznom razdoblju. Dodatno,
analiziraju se temeljna obilježja fiskalne konsolidacije, s posebnim naglaskom na rashode proračuna,
budući da u polit-ekonomskom smislu oko ovih ka...
This paper analyzes differences between consociational and centrifugal democracy. It offers a conceptual framework for the two models and compares them through the Swiss and Bosnian-Herzegovinian cases. For the first time, the concept of centrifugal democracy is attributed to the Bosnian-Herzegovinian model of democracy. This attribution is confirm...
In the course of the long and arduous process of EU accession, which began with the Zagreb Summit in 2000, Croatian political parties have undergone major transformations. 1 These changes included alterations of their values, program points, and modes of political communication. While EU membership has been a nominal priority for all major Croatian...
Izbori za osmi saziv Sabora možda ne zaslužuju epitet "kri-tični", budući da njima nije došlo do "kratkotrajnih, ali vrlo jakih lomova u tradicionalnim obrascima ponašanja birača" (Kasa-pović 2003: 208), no svakako nekim svojim karakteristikama odudaraju od dosadašnjih parlamentarnih izbora u Hrvatskoj. U ovome radu ćemo se posvetiti podrobnoj anal...
U radu se problematizira izborni uspjeh regionalističkih stranaka u Hrvatskoj i Srbiji. Članak ističe specifičnost regionalističkih stranaka i potrebu njihove zasebne klasifikacije u odnosu na etnoregionalističke i etničke stranke. Ova komparativna analiza prati nastanak i izborni uspjeh regionalističkih stranaka u hrvatskom i srpskom stranačkom su...
This edited volume is based on the conference proceedings presented and discussed at the international conference Confronting the Past, held on 23 April 2009 at the European House in Zagreb. This academic conference, organized jointly by the Political Science Research Centre and the Scientific Forum, gathered researchers from Croatia, Bosnia and He...
The aim of this paper is to portray the importance of regionalist parties in the European Union. The processes of globalization and European integration in the last two decades have substantially redefined the role of the nation state in Europe. When we talk about the dimensions of politics in the European Union, we speak of a national and a supran...
Cilj ovog rada je razjasniti pojmovnu i praktičnu razliku između imperija i imperijalnih struktura s jedne, te države i pripadajućih odrednica s druge strane. Imperij se povijesno i prostorno diferencira, a zatim dovodi u vezu, te uspoređuje s konceptom hegemonije. Na kraju se daje mogući analitički okvir proučavanja imperija, koji se sastoji od kr...
This paper seeks to clarify conceptual and practical differences between the empire and imperial structures and the state and its determinants. The empire is historically and geographically differentiated and then interlinked with the concept of hegemony. Finally, a possible analytical framework for the research of empire is given. This framework c...
