Victoria Boult

Victoria Boult
University of Reading · Department of Meteorology

PhD

About

10
Publications
1,779
Reads
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83
Citations
Introduction
With a background in Ecology and Conservation, and growing experience in Meteorology, I’m an interdisciplinary scientist interested in ecological forecasting. I’ve developed mechanistic models relating elephant population dynamics to environmental change (PhD) and have modelled soil moisture across Africa to support agricultural and humanitarian activities. I'm currently a NERC Knowledge Exchange Fellow exploring the use of drought forecasts to mitigate human-elephant conflict in Kenya.
Additional affiliations
January 2019 - April 2021
University of Reading
Position
  • PostDoc Position
Description
  • I am a Research Scientist and Knowledge Exchange Lead within the TAMSAT research group (http://www.tamsat.org.uk/). My work focuses on the TAMSAT-ALERT drought forecasting tool, evaluating its suitability for humanitarian and agricultural decision-making, operationally producing forecasts for users across Africa, and delivering tailored training for those interested in drought forecast information.
March 2016 - March 2018
Operation Wallacea
Position
  • Researcher
Description
  • Operation Wallacea facilitate research opportunities for students worldwide. I supervised student projects focused on the behavioural implications of vasectomies in male elephants and the impact of elephant foraging on vegetation . I was responsible for: preparing project proposals with students; training field data collection methods and analysis; logistical management of fieldwork; first aid; a lecture series on African biodiversity. I supervised 14 students over two field seasons.
September 2015 - December 2018
University of Reading
Position
  • Student Demonstrator
Description
  • As student demonstrator, I supported in the delivery of practical lab and field learning experiences for undergraduate students. I supported on Animal Behaviour, Ecology and Behaviour and Mathematics for Biologists modules. Further, I led Biology Practical Sessions for Foundation Biology students and GIS for Ecologists for MSc students. I was also an International Foundation Programme Tutor.
Education
September 2015 - December 2018
University of Reading
Field of study
  • Ecological Modelling
September 2014 - September 2015
University of Reading
Field of study
  • Wildlife Management and Conservation
September 2011 - June 2014
University of Southampton
Field of study
  • Zoology

Publications

Publications (10)
Article
Full-text available
Commentary on "Environment and physiology shape Arctic ungulate population dynamics" Climate change, the conversion of natural landscapes, anthropogenic exploitation, pollution and invasive species have caused global declines in biodiversity (Díaz et al., 2019), with the impacts of climate change expected to intensify throughout the 21st century (...
Article
Full-text available
Reliable information on the likelihood of drought is of crucial importance in agricultural planning and humanitarian decision-making. Acting based upon probabilistic forecasts of drought, rather than responding to prevailing drought conditions, has the potential to save lives, livelihoods and resources, but is accompanied by the risk of acting in v...
Article
Open access link til Nov 13th: https://authors.elsevier.com/a/1XnGs15DJ~tY1P Strategies for the conservation and management of many wild species requires an improved understanding of how population dynamics respond to changes in environmental conditions, including key drivers such as food availability. The development of mechanistic predictive mod...
Article
The lives and livelihoods of people around the world are increasingly threatened by climate-related risks as climate change increases the frequency and severity of high-impact weather. In turn, the risk of multiple hazards occurring simultaneously grows and compound impacts become more likely. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) proposed th...
Article
Full-text available
This paper identifies fundamental issues which prevent the effective uptake of climate information services in Nigeria. We propose solutions which involve the extension of short-range (1 to 5 days) forecasts beyond that of medium-range (7 to 15 days) timescales through the operational use of current forecast data as well as improve collaboration an...
Article
Full-text available
Forecasts on sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales have huge potential to aid preparedness and disaster risk reduction planning decisions in a variety of sectors. However, realising this potential depends on the provision of reliable information that can be appropriately applied in the decision-making context of users. This study describes the...
Article
Full-text available
Animal populations will mediate the response of global biodiversity to environmental changes. Population models are thus important tools for both understanding and predicting animal responses to uncertain future conditions. Most approaches, however, are correlative and ignore the individual level mechanisms that give rise to population dynamics. He...
Article
Full-text available
Global ecosystem change presents a major challenge to biodiversity conservation, which must identify and prioritize the most critical threats to species persistence given limited available funding. Mechanistic models enable robust predictions under future conditions and can consider multiple stressors in combination. Here we use an individual‐based...
Article
The ability of animals to adapt to their changing environment will depend in part on shifts in their ranging patterns, but when and why individuals choose to move requires detailed understanding of their decision-making processes. We develop a simple decision-making model accounting for resource availability in habitually used ranges. We suggest th...
Article
Full-text available
Elephant populations in South Africa are largely confined to fenced reserves and therefore require continued management to prevent high elephant densities that may cause habitat degradation. Growing human populations surrounding these reserves limit the possibility for wildlife range expansion, adding socio-economic considerations to the growing li...

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Projects

Project (1)
Project
Revision of the current plan within view of creating a new joint and revised plan that will be of greater benefit for the Pongolapoort people and their elephant.