Victor Lledo

Victor Lledo
International Monetary Fund · African Department

PhD

About

36
Publications
6,112
Reads
How we measure 'reads'
A 'read' is counted each time someone views a publication summary (such as the title, abstract, and list of authors), clicks on a figure, or views or downloads the full-text. Learn more
740
Citations
Citations since 2017
11 Research Items
432 Citations
2017201820192020202120222023020406080100
2017201820192020202120222023020406080100
2017201820192020202120222023020406080100
2017201820192020202120222023020406080100

Publications

Publications (36)
Article
Countries increasingly rely on independent fiscal councils to constrain policymakers’ discretion and curb the bias towards excessive deficits and pro-cyclical policies. Since fiscal councils are often recent and heterogeneous across countries, assessing their impact is challenging. Using the latest (2016) vintage of the IMF Fiscal Council Dataset,...
Article
Full-text available
This paper proposes an empirical framework that distinguishes between voluntary and involuntary compliance with fiscal deficit targets on the basis of economic, institutional and political factors. The framework is applied to Spain’s Autonomous Communities (regions) over the period 2002-2015. Fiscal non-compliance among Spain’s regions has proven p...
Chapter
This chapter documents some key facts on the timing, synchronicity, cyclicality, contribution and composition of central and sub-national governments’ fiscal responses following the global financial crisis among advanced economies. We find evidence that post-crisis fiscal responses across government levels have become more synchronised, suggesting...
Article
Full-text available
This paper documents cyclical patterns of government expenditures in Sub-Saharan Africa since 1970 and explains variation between countries and over time. Controlling for endogeneity and applying dynamic generalised method of moment (GMM) techniques, it finds that government expenditures are slightly more procyclical in Sub-Saharan Africa than in o...
Article
This paper investigates economic, political, and institutional constraints to fiscal policy implementation in sub-saharan Africa. We find that planned fiscal adjustments or expansions are less likely to be implemented the larger they are, the more inaccurate the growth forecasts they are based on, the more fragile the regulatory system in the count...
Article
Full-text available
This paper presents, for the first time, multi-dimensional indices of the quality of budget institutions in low-income countries. The indices allow for benchmarking against the performance of middle-income countries, across regions, and according to different institutional arrangements that deliver good fiscal performance. Using the constructed ind...
Article
Full-text available
This paper documents cyclical patterns of government expenditures in sub-Saharan Africa since 1970 and explains variation between countries and over time. Controlling for endogeneity, it finds government expenditures to be slightly more procyclical in sub-Saharan Africa than in other developing countries and some evidence that procyclicality in Afr...
Article
While the literature is clear that areas endowed with scenic beauty, lakes, forests, and wildlife among other natural and built amenities are experiencing robust economic growth, the theoretical foundations for this work are weak. In this study, we employ a Bayesian Modeling Average (BMA) approach to address the problem of model specification. Usin...
Article
Full-text available
Patterns of economic growth in rural Appalachia are examined with a focus on natural and built amenities. While the literature is clear that rural areas endowed with scenic beauty, lakes, forests, and wildlife, among other natural amenities, and coupled with built amenities such as golf courses, are experiencing robust economic growth. It is not cl...
Article
Full-text available
This paper uses a dynamic computable general equilibrium model (CGE) to analyze the macroeconomic and redistributive effects of replacing turnover and financial transaction taxes in Brazil by a consumption tax. In order to approximate Brazil's compliance with its fiscal adjustment targets, the proposed reform is subject to a non increasing path for...
Article
Full-text available
A panel data analysis is performed using a pool of Brazilian states to evaluate how the size and composition of public spending may be affected by the rules defining electoral systems through their effects on legislative fragmentation. Framed on recent political economy models that examine the fiscal outcomes of electoral systems, results indicate...
Article
Full-text available
Predictive models of government spending behavior based solely on the median voter theory have demonstrated limited utility, particularly when intergovernmental grants are involved. Since the 1970s, research on the impact of intergovernmental grants and aids on recipient governments has demonstrated that spending increases greater than predicted by...
Article
Full-text available
In spite of a general agreement over the distortion imposed by the current Brazilian tax system, attempts to reform it during the last decade have faced several restrictions to its implementation. Two of these restrictions were particular binding: a) fiscal adjustment restriction (public sector debt cannot increase), b) fiscal federalist restrictio...
Article
Full-text available
This applied research project examines questions concerning the economic efficiency of municipal government spending and taxation levels in Wisconsin. Using economic notions of local government effectiveness and efficiency, a theoretical and empirical model is presented and estimated using data from Wisconsin cities and villages. Theory suggests th...
Article
Full-text available
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Wisconsin--Madison, 2003. Includes bibliographical references (p. 164-172). Photocopy.

Network

Cited By