
Ulrike HeldUniversity of Zurich | UZH · Department of Biostatistics
Ulrike Held
PhD; MSc.
About
240
Publications
60,835
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7,770
Citations
Citations since 2017
Introduction
My research interests are development and validation of clinical prediction models, systematic reviews and meta analyses, clinical trial design, statistical consulting, teaching statistics, and reproducibility.
Additional affiliations
October 2017 - present
January 2007 - September 2017
University Hospital Zurich
Position
- Research Assistant
July 2004 - September 2006
Sylvia Lawry Centre for Multiple Sclerosis Research
Position
- Senior Statistician
Publications
Publications (240)
Background:
Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic inflammatory disease of the central nervous system that affects millions of people worldwide. The disease course varies greatly across individuals and many disease-modifying treatments with different safety and efficacy profiles have been developed recently. Prognostic models evaluated and shown to...
Objectives:
Children with univentricular congenital heart disease undergoing staged surgical palliation are at risk for impaired neuro-developmental outcome. Little is known about the long-term effects on brain growth until school-age.
Methods:
In a prospective two centre study consecutive patients undergoing stage I (Hybrid or Norwood) to stage...
Background:
Pancreatic cancer often presents as locally advanced (LAPC) or borderline resectable (BRPC). Neoadjuvant systemic therapy is recommended as initial treatment. It is currently unclear what chemotherapy should be preferred for patients with BRPC or LAPC.
Methods:
We performed a systematic review and multi-institutional meta-analysis of...
It is unclear whether outcome measures used in degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis (DLSS) have been validated for this condition. Cross-sectional analysis of studies for DLSS included in systematic reviews (SA) and meta-analyses (MA) indexed in the Cochrane Library. We extracted all outcome measures for pain and disability. We assessed whether the...
Background: Pediatric sepsis remains a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality worldwide. Despite advancements of modern medicine, it accounts for more than 3 million childhood deaths per year. Multiple studies have emphasized that sex and gender have an impact on treatment and outcome of various diseases. Adult studies have revealed sex...
Objective
Placental pathology might provide information on the etiology of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE). To evaluate the association of perinatal sentinel events (PSE), placental pathology and cerebral MRI in cooled neonates with moderate/severe HIE.
Study design
Retrospective analysis of 52 neonates with HIE registered in the Swiss Natio...
Evidence on the role of depression and anxiety in patients undergoing surgical treatment for symptomatic degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis (DLSS) is conflicting. We aimed to assess the association between depression and anxiety with symptoms and function in patients undergoing surgery for DLSS. Included were patients with symptomatic DLSS partici...
Following acute infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) a significant proportion of individuals develop prolonged symptoms, a serious condition termed post-acute coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) syndrome (PACS) or long COVID. Predictors of PACS are needed. In a prospective multicentric cohort study of 215 indi...
Background: Neonates born with severe type of congenital heart defects (CHD) are at risk for neurodevelopmental (ND) impairment. Cerebral magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies revealed altered brain development. Little is known about perioperative metabolic changes in neonates undergoing open-heart surgery and the relationship between altered me...
Objectives
Although neonates with moderate to severe hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) receive therapeutic hypothermia (TH), 40–50% die or have significant neurological disability. The aim of this study is to analyse the association of placental pathology and neurodevelopmental outcome in cooled neonates with HIE at 18–24 months of age.
Method...
Context:
Cognitive function and executive function (EF) impairments contribute to the long-term burden of congenital heart disease (CHD). However, the degree and profile of impairments are insufficiently described.
Objective:
To systematically review and meta-analyze the evidence on cognitive function and EF outcomes in school-aged children oper...
Background
Electronic patient-reported outcomes (ePRO) are a relatively novel form of data and have the potential to improve clinical practice for cancer patients. In this prospective, multicenter, observational clinical trial, efforts were made to demonstrate the reliability of patient-reported symptoms.
Objective
The primary objective of this st...
Objective:
The aim of this study was to investigate the contralateral hearing of patients with sporadic vestibular schwannoma (VS).
Study design:
Retrospective cohort study.
Setting:
Pure-tone audiograms of the contralateral ear from patients with a wait-and-scan strategy were compared to the ones who received therapy. Due to a possible bias c...
Background
Women are overrepresented amongst individuals suffering from post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC). Biological (sex) as well as sociocultural (gender) differences between women and men might account for this imbalance, yet their impact on PASC is unknown.
Methods and Findings
By using Bayesian models comprising >200 co-vari...
Background:
An incomplete Circle of Willis (CoW) has been associated with a higher risk of stroke and might affect collateral flow in large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke. We aimed to investigate the distribution of CoW variants in a LVO stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) cohort and analyze their impact on 3-months-functional outcome.
Meth...
Secondary brain injury after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH-SBI) contributes to poor outcomes in patients after rupture of an intracranial aneurysm. The lack of diagnostic biomarkers and novel drug targets represent an unmet need. The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical and pathophysiological association between cerebrospinal...
Background
Digital ulcers (DUs) affect half of the patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) and can be complicated by gangrene and amputation. The direct involvement of platelets in the development of DUs has been suggested by in vitro studies, which encouraged physicians to consider platelet inhibitors as a therapeutic option in the management of DU...
Background
Tocilizumab (TCZ) showed trends for improving skin fibrosis and prevented progression of lung fibrosis in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) in placebo-controlled randomised clinical trials (RCTs). However, safety and effectiveness of TCZ beyond these selected and enriched clinical trial populations in SSc is still unknown.
Objectiv...
Background
: Lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) affects mainly elderly patients. To this day, it is unclear whether comorbidities influence treatment success. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to assess the impact of comorbidities on the treatment effectiveness in symptomatic LSS.
Methods
: We conducted a systematic review and meta...
Purpose
Predictive models in spine surgery are of use in shared decision-making. This study sought to develop multivariable models to predict the probability of general and surgical perioperative complications of spinal surgery for lumbar degenerative diseases.
Methods
Data came from EUROSPINE's Spine Tango Registry (1.2012–12.2017). Separate pred...
Introduction
In patients with ulnar neuropathy at the elbow (UNE) the precise determination of the site of lesion is important for subsequent differential diagnostic considerations and therapeutic management. Due to a paucity of comparable data, to better define the role of different diagnostic tests, we performed the first prospective study compar...
Objective
To investigate the rate of erectile dysfunction (ED) after pelvic ring fracture (PRF).
Design
Systematic review and meta-analysis.
Methods
A systematic literature search of the Cochrane, EMBASE, MEDLINE, Scopus and Web of Science Library databases was conducted in January 2020. Included were original studies performed on humans assessin...
Background:
The most widely used classifications of adverse events (AEs) in neurosurgery define their severity according to the therapy used to treat them. This concept has substantial shortcomings because it does not reflect the severity of AEs that are not treated, such as new neurological deficits.
Objective:
To present a novel multidimension...
BACKGROUND
Electronic patient-reported outcomes (ePRO) are a relatively novel form of data and have the potential to improve clinical practice for cancer patients. In this prospective, multicenter, observational clinical trial, efforts were made to demonstrate the reliability of patient-reported symptoms.
OBJECTIVE
The primary objective of this st...
We thank Dr. Dasheiff for his interest in our article.1 We agree that based on observational registry-based data, it is not straightforward to claim causality and impossible to account for all, including unknown, confounders. However, a thorough analysis based on propensity score–matched (PSM) sets of patients is mimicking a randomized experiment,...
Secondary brain injury after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH-SBI) is a significant contributor to poor outcomes in patients after rupture of an intracranial aneurysm. The lack of diagnostic biomarkers and novel drug targets represent an unmet need. Prior experimental evidence has suggested cell-free hemoglobin in the cerebrospinal fluid (CS...
Background
Whereas severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-specific antibody tests are increasingly being used to estimate the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, the determinants of these antibody responses remain unclear.
Objectives
Our aim was to evaluate systemic and mucosal antibody responses toward SARS-CoV-2 in mild ver...
Background
Quality in medical research has recently been criticized for being low, especially in observational research. Methodology is increasingly difficult, but collaboration between clinical researchers and biostatisticians may improve research and reporting quality. The aim of this study is to quantify the value of a biostatistician in the tea...
Background
Standby emergency self-treatment (SBET) is often recommended as an anti-malaria strategy for travellers to low-risk endemic areas. This self-treatment enables competent malaria therapy, if medical assistance is unavailable. The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends performing reliable diagnostic tests before starting antimalarial tr...
Background: Donor selection criteria are crucial for a successful lung transplant outcome. Our objective was to develop a new donor score to predict short- and long-term survival and validate it with five existing lung donor scores (Oto, Eurotransplant, Minnesota, Maryland-UNOS, Louisville-UNOS).
Methods: All 454 adult lung transplants at our cente...
The glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor eptifibatide, administered as bolus followed by infusion, is an adjunctive antithrombotic treatment during primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in selected patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Whether both bolus and infusion are necessary to improve outcomes is unknown. We...
Background
Chronic and high dose opioid use may result in adverse events. We analyzed the risk associated with chronic and high dose opioid prescription in a Swiss population.
Methods
Using insurance claims data covering one-sixth of the Swiss population, we analyzed recurrent opioid prescriptions (≥2 opioid claims with at least 1 strong opioid cl...
Purpose:
Early operative reconstruction using titanium mesh is a technique often used for preventing sequelae after an orbital fracture. We sought to examine the utility of patient-specific molding of the mesh with a biomodel via virtual mirroring of the nonaffected side.
Methods:
We retrospectively assessed the clinical and radiological outcome...
The clinical benefits of renal denervation are still under discussion, since randomized controlled clinical studies have provided inconsistent results. The present retrospective study examined the clinical effects of renal denervation with focus on office blood pressure, heart rate, and changes in renal function. Patients with treatment‐resistant h...
Objectives
The OVID study will demonstrate whether prophylactic-dose enoxaparin improves survival and reduces hospitalizations in symptomatic ambulatory patients aged 50 or older diagnosed with COVID-19, a novel viral disease characterized by severe systemic, pulmonary, and vessel inflammation and coagulation activation.
Trial design
The OVID stud...
Zusammenfassung. Im Zeitraum 2014 bis 2018 zeigt sich in unserem überregionalen Level-1-Traumazentrum für (Poly)trauma-Patientinnen und -Patienten (Injury Severity Score (ISS) >15) eine überdurchschnittliche verlängerte Verweildauer von 5,1 Tagen im Vergleich zu Swiss Diagnosis-Related Groups (Swiss-DRG), falls sie eine stationäre Weiterbehandlung...
Background
It is current practice to use a single diagnostic sleep study in the diagnostic workup of obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA). However, a relevant night-to-night variability (NtNV) of respiratory events has been reported.
Methods
We evaluated the NtNV of respiratory events in adults with suspected or already diagnosed OSA who underwent more...
Background
The palliation of patients with single ventricle (SV) undergoing Fontan procedure led to improved long-term survival but is still limited due to cardiovascular complications. The aim of this study was to describe the somatic and cardiovascular development of Fontan patients until adolescence and to identify determining factors.
Methods...
Background
The most widely used classifications of adverse events (AE) in surgical neurology assign a grade to AE that depends on the therapy used to treat them or on new neurologic deficits. Both concepts have substantial shortcomings in grading AE severity. We present a novel multidimensional approach to this challenge and aim at validating the n...
Die vor Kurzem begonnene OVID-Studie mit Beteiligung der Schweizer Universitätsspitäler und des Tessins hat zum Ziel, die Wirksamkeit und Sicherheit von Enoxaparin zur Vermeidung von Thrombosen bei ambulanten Patienten mit SARS-CoV-2 zu untersuchen. Informationen zu Studie und Rekrutierung von Studienteilnehmenden sind im Folgenden aufgeführt.
Objective
To evaluate whether pretreatment with metformin (MET) is associated with less stroke severity and better outcome after intravenous thrombolysis (IVT), we analyzed a cohort of 1919 stroke patients with type-2 diabetes in a multicenter exploratory analysis.
Methods
Data from patients with diabetes affected by ischemic stroke treated with I...
Background:
The purpose of the study is to evaluate the agreement of the foveopapillary angle (FPA) on conventional fundus photography (c-FPA) with the FPA on scanning laser ophthalmoscopy (SLO) imaging (SLO-FPA) in patients with fourth nerve palsy and healthy controls (HCs).
Methods:
The FPA was measured in both eyes of 25 patients and 25 HCs i...
Background and purpose
Preclinical data suggest that cetuximab should be continued after end of concurrent radiotherapy + cetuximab due to its efficacy against residual tumor cells in the irradiated tumor bed. Based on this concept the phase II add-on cetuximab (AOC) study was designed.
Materials and methods
Altogether 63 patients with advanced he...
Background
Infection with the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) causes an acute illness termed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Humoral immune responses likely play an important role in containing SARS-CoV-2, however, the determinants of SARS-CoV-2-specific antibody responses are unclear.
Methods
Using immunoassays s...
Background & aims
Children and adolescents born very preterm are at increased risk to develop executive function deficits and to suffer from social, emotional and attentional problems. This study investigated whether executive function deficits contribute to behavioral problems in children and adolescents born very preterm at school-age.
Study des...
Chest pain is a common clinical condition in the emergency department. A high sensitive (hs) troponin test assay may help to identify patients with acute coronary syndrome earlier compared to conventional tests but also entails the risk of a high proportion of positive test results in patients without cardiac disease. We assessed the impact of the...
Objectives
To evaluate the association of short-term neurological improvement until day of life 4 in neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) receiving therapeutic hypothermia (TH) with neurodevelopmental outcome at 18–24 months.
Methods
This is a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of 174 neonates with HIE registered...
Objectives:
To evaluate the short-term repeatability of Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS) in patients with suspected obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA), and whether transitory sleepiness of the patient influenced ESS-results.
Methods:
Adult subjects with suspected OSA taking part in a study on the diagnostic accuracy of repeated sleep studies were elig...
Background:
Compared to troponin T/I test, the introduction of a high-sensitive (hs) troponin test may result in a higher proportion of positive test results in patients with chest pain and over testing in patients without acute coronary syndrome. We assessed the impact of the introduction of the hs-troponin assay on the discharge diagnoses and th...
Cognitive and neurobehavioral problems are among the most severe adverse outcomes in very preterm infants. Such neurodevelopmental impairments may be mitigated through nonpharmacological interventions such as creative music therapy (CMT), an interactive, resource- and needs-oriented approach that provides individual social contact and musical stimu...
Background
The aim of this study was to evaluate the sensitivity of postmortem computed tomography (PMCT), postmortem magnetic resonance imaging (PMMR) and PMCT angiography (PMCTA) compared with autopsy in cases of adult death investigations.
Methods
For this systematic review and meta-analysis, Embase, PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science and Medline w...
Background:
Angiopoietin-1 (Ang-1) and 2 (Ang-2), high mobility group box 1 (HMGB1), soluble receptor for advanced glycation endproducts (sRAGE), soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1 (sTREM1), and soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) have shown promising results for predicting all-cause mortality in cri...
Background: Depressive disorders in childhood and adolescence are a major health problem and often follow a chronic course with severe consequences in later life. Depressive disorders cause the highest burden of disease in this age group across all medical conditions. Treatment adherence is usually very poor, and the use of antidepressant drugs is...
Background:
In Europe, limited information on the use of opioids is available.
Objectives:
To assess how guideline recommendations to manage opioid-related adverse events were followed in cancer- and noncancer-related opioid use.
Study design:
Analysis of health insurance data of one of the major health insurers in Switzerland.
Setting:
All...
Background:
Little is known about the impact of depression across a broad range of multimorbid patients hospitalized for reasons other than depression. The objective of the study was to investigate in a large sample of multimorbid inpatients whether ancillary depression is associated with increased length of stay (LOS) and readmissions, two import...
Background:
Over the past decades, survival rates of children born with congenital heart disease (CHD) have increased dramatically. Progress in prenatal diagnosis, less-invasive catheter techniques and perioperative intensive care as well as surgical techniques have led to an increased focus on extracardiac comorbidities, including potential neuro...
Background
Optimal treatment strategy in patients with mild ischemic stroke remains uncertain. While functional dependency or death has been reported in up to one-third of non-thrombolyzed mild ischemic stroke patients, intravenous thrombolysis is currently not recommended in this patient group. Emerging evidence suggests two risk factors—rapid ear...
BACKGROUND:
Rib fractures are common and potentially life-threatening. Fast and correct detection as well as comprehensive visual overview of rib fractures are of clinical and forensic importance. This study compared two computed tomography (CT) reformation methods, curved planar reformation (CPR) with conventional multiplanar reformation (MPR), re...
Objective:
To compare early operative treatment with non-operative treatment of fragility fractures of the pelvis regarding mortality and functional outcome.
Design:
Retrospective SETTING:: Two trauma centers PATIENTS AND METHODS:: 230 consecutive patients 60 years of age or older with an isolated low-energy fracture of the pelvis and with a fol...
Objective: Neonates exposed to perinatal insults typically present with hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy (HIE). The aim of our study was to analyze the association between known risk factors for HIE and the severity of encephalopathy after birth and neurological outcome in neonates during the first 4 days of life.
Methods: Retrospective cohort study...
OBJECTIVE
The aim of this study was to obtain an unbiased causal treatment estimate of the between-group difference of surgery versus nonoperative treatment with respect to outcomes on quality of life, pain, and disability in patients with degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis (DLSS) 12 months after baseline.
METHODS
The authors included DLSS patien...