Tomas Miklosovic

Tomas Miklosovic
Slovak Academy of Sciences | SAV · Institute of Economic Research

About

24
Publications
2,716
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41
Citations
Citations since 2016
18 Research Items
33 Citations
201620172018201920202021202201234567
201620172018201920202021202201234567
201620172018201920202021202201234567
201620172018201920202021202201234567

Publications

Publications (24)
Article
This paper analyses the effect of the macroeconomic efficiency of Cohesion Policy on within-country economic cohesion as reflected by various measures of sigma convergence by applying macroeconomic HERMIN models for the Czech, Polish and Slovak regions. The results reveal that from 2021 to 2027, Cohesion Policy will have a relatively small impact o...
Article
This paper provides analyses of the movements between wage levels in the four Central European (CE) countries in the periods 2008–2011 and 2011–2014. Based on longitudinal micro-data from the European Union Survey on Income and Living Conditions, it examines wage mobility in terms of transition matrices and three types of summary mobility indices....
Book
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Publikácia predstavuje záverečný výstup sumarizujúci výsledky projektu VEGA č. 2/0182/17 „Kontradikcie vo vývoji zamestnanosti na pozadí očakávaných demografických a štruktúrnych zmien v SR“. Hlavným cieľom projektu bolo „predvídať a zhodnotiť modifikácie kvalitatívnej a kvantitatívnej stránky zamestnanosti v SR determinované zmenou demografickej š...
Article
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The paper brings analyses of the transitions between employment, unemployment and inactivity during and after the period of the financial and economic crisis, using longitudinal micro-data from the European Union Survey on Income and Living Conditions. The empirical analysis consists of two steps. An overall picture is obtained by computing transit...
Chapter
Full-text available
After a long period of excessive labour supply, when Slovakia ranked among the countries with the highest unemployment rate in the EU, the situation is rapidly changing. Since 2016, the labour market in Slovakia has experienced a new situation in which total available domestic sources of labour are tightening and the unemployment rate has dropped t...
Book
Full-text available
Publikácia Kontradikcie vo vývoji zamestnanosti v SR na pozadí demo-grafických a štruktúrnych zmien predstavuje prvý ucelený výstup zhrňujúci priebežné výsledky z úvodných dvoch výskumných etáp projektu VEGA č.2/0182/17 „Kontradikcie vo vývoji zamestnanosti na pozadí očakávaných demografických a štruktúrnych zmien v SR“. Cieľom uvedeného projektu j...
Article
Full-text available
The paper conceptualizes and quantifies effects of improving adequacy in the minimum income scheme in Slovakia. It builds on previous findings on its significant shortcomings and discusses them in relation to the ideas of activation, active inclusion and social investments. The core of the paper is based on microsimulation of effects of proposed re...
Article
EU's own resources create the base of the European budget revenues. Traditional resources of the European budget are decreasing. The current status of own resources is both inconvenient and confusing. A new concept of environmental taxes can serve as a new EU's own resource. This concept would lead to more transparent financing of the EU budget and...
Chapter
Full-text available
The recent positive developments on the Slovak labour market raises a question about its further development in the years to come. Unemployment levels tend to have low values similar to ones that occurred in 2007. Economic activity is increasing, and the economy is starting to show signs of overheating. On the labour market, the question of structu...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Slovensko v rámci programového obdobia 2007-2013 implementovalo zo Štrukturánych a Kohézneho fondu prostriedky v objeme 11,5 mld. Eur. Cieľ implementácie bol definovaný v NSRR sa sústredil len na dosiahnutie konvergencie k priemeru EÚ na úrovni krajiny a nie z hľadiska možnosti ovplyvnenia regionálnej konvergencie v rámci krajiny. Predložený článok...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
This paper provides results of ex-ante assessment of European Structural and Investment funds (ESIF) impact on Slovak economy during the current programming period 2014-2020 by regional HERMIN model at NUTS-3 level. Alternative policy scenarios are taking into consideration timeliness of implementation as well as different regional allocation. Resu...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
The main goal of the paper is the application of augmented recursive-dynamic CGE model to provide a long-term forecast of labour demand. Estimation of structural and educational changes in labour demand up to 2025 requires relatively complex approach. Applied CGE model is a core part of described exercise. Available datasets for Slovakia allow prov...
Book
Full-text available
The main objective of this publication is to quantify, through an econometric model, the impact of the of Cohesion Policy implementation in the 2007 - 2013 programming period on the development of Slovakia. This evaluation is the second ex-post analysis of the impacts of the Structural funds (SF) and Cohesion Fund (CF) on Slovakia’s economy. The re...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
An actual macroeconomic forecast of Slovak economy by the Institute of Economic Research at Slovak Academy of Sciences (IER SAS) is presented in this paper. The forecast is based on econometric model IER_ECM_15q4 which represents most up to date version of error-correction macroeconomic model developed at IER SAS. Results of last mid-term forecast...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Actual macroeconomic forecast of Slovak economy by the Institute of Economic Research at Slovak Academy of Sciences (IER SAS) is presented in this paper. Forecast is based on econometric model IER_ECM_15q4 which represent most up to date version of error-correction macoreconomic model developed at IER SAS. Results of last mid-term forecast to years...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Predložená analýza poskytuje odborný odhad počtu vytvorených pracovných miest ovplyvnených prostredníctvom realizácie Operačného programu Informatizácia spoločnosti v programovom období 2007 - 2013. Operačný program Informatizácia spoločnosti (OPIS) bol postihnutý rovnako ako ostatné programy výrazným oneskorením reálnej implementácie vplyvom dlh...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Main scope of the paper is ex-post assessment of Structural Funds and Cohesion Fund (SF and CF) implementation impact on eight Slovak regions during programming period 2007-2013. Assessment will be based on the system of regional econometric structural models HERMIN. Model framework is based on eight (satellite) regional models that are mutually in...
Technical Report
Full-text available
The objective of this evaluation report is to identify and quantify the impacts of Cohesion Policy implementation at the national and regional level using a suitable econometric model. The results of the evaluation feed into the formulation of the conclusions and recommendations designed to increase the effectiveness of Cohesion Policy implementati...
Technical Report
Full-text available
This paper summarizes the efforts to model the effects of ageing populations on changes in consumption of households in European countries. Combining the European Household Budget Survey and Labour Force Survey data, we are able to project changes in the consumption of households caused by the demographic changes. An Input Output model translates t...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Problematika klimatických zmien predstavuje v súčasnosti jednu z často diskutovaných otázok. Snaha celej spoločnosti o prispôsobenie sa týmto zmenám ako aj úsilie o zmierňovanie prebiehajúcich zmien klímy preto nadobúda na intenzite. Často používanými výrazmi v súvislosti s touto problematikou sú tzv. adaptácia a mitigácia. Adaptácia znamená prispô...
Article
In this article the elasticity of substitution of CES production function is estimated for selected production sectors of Slovak economy. For purpose of estimation indirect form of CES function was utilized. Results of our analysis shown that for certain sectors other types of production function are more appropriate.

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Projects

Projects (3)
Archived project
The project identifies current and future barriers to increasing the employment rate in light of expected demographic development and structural changes in the Slovak economy. Specific attributes of human capital will be confronted with population ageing and effects of this process on future changes in labour supply and demand structure (forecasts of graduates structure and employment by occupation elaborated within the project will be utilized). Risk factors limiting the employment growth will be identified. Future trends of quantitative and qualitative features of examined production factor will be anticipated and changes of its institutional framework will be recommended (active labour market policies, labour migration, social system optimization for higher motivation to seek employment – principle “making work pay”, competitiveness growth factors etc.).
Project
Slovakia belongs to the EU countries with the largest regional disparities, albeit every government had listed mitigation of regional disparities amongst its priorities. National economic policy tends to underestimate specific effects of measures implemented at the regional level. Relatively limited attention is also paid to analytical support for regional decision making and forecasting. The project goal is to develop and apply state of the art quantitative tools to enhance decision making, analysing and forecasting of policy measures impact. Measures to increase efficiency of regional and cohesion policy (RP/CP) with respect to sustainable and inclusive growth will be analysed too. Project consists of 3 parts. Methodology and assumption part analyses current development and objectives of RP/CP and defines the economicpolicy instruments to achieve them. Main part of the project will focus on adjustment of the augmented structural econometric model HERMIN together with creation of a system of 8 satellite models for each region at NUTS 3 level. The HERMIN methodology approved by EC for CP evaluation and forecasting has never been applied in this form. Its application will result in significant methodological shift on an international scale. The key innovation will be, in addition to its regionalisation (NUTS 3), a more detailed view of sectoral development of labor market (NACE) with regard to education (ISCED) and occupation (ISCO). Additional benefit of the project (not yet applied in SR) will be estimation of regional prices development based on HBS panel data. Additional analysis will focus on reduction of uncertainty in ex-post regional data estimation and estimations of inter-regional flows of goods, services and labor. Final part will be devoted to evaluation of existing policies, synthesis and use of forecasting andsimulations results for policy design. We assume that the results will contribute to adjustment of actual implementation of RP/CP in Slovakia.