Tomás Mancha-Navarro

Tomás Mancha-Navarro
University of Alcalá | UAH · Department of Economics and Business

PhD Economics

About

107
Publications
167,060
Reads
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608
Citations
Citations since 2016
15 Research Items
151 Citations
2016201720182019202020212022051015202530
2016201720182019202020212022051015202530
2016201720182019202020212022051015202530
2016201720182019202020212022051015202530
Introduction
Their main research areas are: regional economics; economic policy, institutional economics; political business cycles; agent based models (abm). Now his interest is focused on the need of economic paradigm change after the impact of COVID-19.
Additional affiliations
October 1982 - present
University of Alcalá
Position
  • Professor (Full)
Description
  • ABM is an useful and promising way for evaluating and simulating the running of an economy beyond the DGSE models that failes to forecast current economic crisis,
Education
October 1971 - September 1982
University of Malaga
Field of study
  • Economics

Publications

Publications (107)
Book
Full-text available
La pandemia de la COVID-19 ha irrumpido en nuestras vidas, tanto en el plano individual como social. Ha trastocado radicalmente nuestras relaciones familiares, económicas y sociales y nos ha obligado a confinarnos en nuestras casas. Además del importante coste en términos de pérdidas humanas y sufrimiento por la enfermedad, y de los costes económic...
Chapter
The purpose of this chapter is to explain the importance of SMEs for Colombian economic growth and how business sustainability can generate value, innovation, and respect for the environment. The chapter analyzes how SMEs could create economic sustainability based on the study carried out by Avellaneda et al. for the Colombian case. It is structure...
Chapter
Full-text available
The purpose of this chapter is to explain the importance of SMEs for Colombian economic growth and how business sustainability can generate value, innovation, and respect for the environment. The chapter analyzes how SMEs could create economic sustainability based on the study carried out by Avellaneda et al. for the Colombian case. It is structure...
Article
Full-text available
The concept of competitiveness is increasingly to compare different economies at national and regional levels. It is a concept that firstly was applied at microeconomic level. However, its definition is not clear when it is applied to regions and countries. Therefore, its clarification is imperative in order to measure it at regional level and esta...
Article
Full-text available
The concept of competitiveness is increasingly to compare different economies at national and regional levels. It is a concept that firstly was applied at microeconomic level. However, its definition is not clear when it is applied to regions and countries. Therefore, its clarification is imperative in order to measure it at regional level and esta...
Book
This book elaborated in homage to Professor Cuadrado-Roura contains a set of different researches carried out by a wide range of researchers grouped into three major fields: economic policy, regional economy and service economy.
Chapter
In this chapter it is analyzed the importance of innovation in services and industry in the entrepreneurial and business activity in five countries that represent a 65 percent of the population of the Middle East. The characteristics of the owners of firms in are studied according to the Standard Industrial Classification. The differences between s...
Chapter
The aim of the agent-based model presented in this chapter is to explain the determinants of inflation and to forecast the inflation rate in the Eurozone for the next five years. The behaviors of agents and their expectations are interrelated and explained by macroeconomic models applied to heterogeneous agents of three classes: individuals, compan...
Article
This paper presents an agent-based simulation with the main insights from business theory to study firm growth and firm dynamics in a stochastic evolutionary model. Firm growth behavior and firm dynamics are defined according to the results of a panel data for a set of manufacturing markets for the Spanish economy. Then the effect of the economic g...
Article
El término de competitividad es claro, pero su medición a nivel regional o nacional es difícil y no hay una metodología clara para llegar a evaluarla de manera unívoca. Sin embargo la mejora de la competitividad es una de las prioridades más importantes en política económica. Por ello es indispensable conocer los factores que afectan a la competiti...
Data
Evolución del número de campos de golf por regiones. Información extraída de www.camposdegolf.pro/ y de las páginas web de cada campo.
Data
Evolución del número de salas de cine por regiones. Información extraída del Índice del Anuario de Estadísticas Culturales (ediciones 2005 a 2015)
Data
Evolución del número de teatros por regiones. Información extraída del Índice del Anuario de Estadísticas Culturales (ediciones 2005 a 2015)
Chapter
In this chapter it is analyzed the importance of innovation in services and industry in the entrepreneurial and business activity in five countries that represent a 65 percent of the population of the Middle East. The characteristics of the owners of firms in are studied according to the Standard Industrial Classification. The differences between s...
Article
Full-text available
El trabajo ofrece evidencia referida al caso de España acerca de la relación existente entre la evolución de la intención de voto al gobierno que detenta el poder y la situación económica, bajo la hipótesis convencional, usualmente denominada de responsabilidad, de que los votantes deciden respaldar al gobierno de turno si los resultados económicos...
Book
This 5th. edition is a revisión of a very well known academic book. The contents include chapters on: the Economics and Economic Policy relationship; the market system; basic concepts of aims, policy objectives and targets; economic policy conflicts; the agents and decisions of economic policy; employment and unemployment; prices stability and infl...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
El trabajo ofrece evidencia referida al caso de España acerca de la relación existente entre la evolución de la intención de voto al gobierno que detenta el poder y la situación económica, bajo la hipótesis convencional, usualmente denominada de responsabilidad, de que los votantes deciden respaldar al gobierno de turno si los resultados económicos...
Book
Full-text available
El presente libro resultará de interés tanto para profesores y estudiantes universitarios como para todas aquellas personas preocupadas por el funcionamiento de nuestras democracias y las decisiones económicas que nuestros gobiernos toman, sus determinantes, sus reglas, los diversos actores participantes, sus resultados… Preocupación que se ha vist...
Chapter
La relación potencial entre los acontecimientos políticos y los económicos permite formular una serie de cuestiones claves que constituyen el núcleo central de este trabajo: ¿manipulan los gobiernos de turno la evolución del ciclo económico para aumentar sus posibilidades de permanecer en el poder? ¿Existen diferencias sistemáticas en los resultado...
Conference Paper
La contribución de la educación al crecimiento económico es un tema controvertido desde que Barro en 1991 popularizase un debate todavía no cerrado. En este artículo centramos nuestro análisis en los países europeos para el periodo 1995-2013 y reflexionamos acerca de la posible contribución de la educación, haciendo énfasis en la universitaria, y e...
Chapter
The aim of MOSIPS project is to develop a user-friendly object-oriented interactive intelligent policy simulation system allowing forecasting and visualizing the socio-economic potential impact of public policies for supporting SMEs. This allows policy makers designing and running experiments with different socio-economic scenarios. The project pol...
Conference Paper
In this work we analyze the importance of service innovation in the entrepreneurial and business activity in five countries that represent a 65 percent of the population of the Middle East. We study the characteristics of the owners of firms in the service sector according to the Standard Industrial Classification. We highlight the differences betw...
Article
In this paper we analyze the most likely and the most desirable developments in financial markets and in a broader sense, the most desirable regulation of the financial sector. The purpose of the essay is in fact to analyze the most important issues of financial regulation and to highlight that finding the most desirable solutions are particularly...
Article
Full-text available
En este trabajo los autores presentan una metodología basada en sistemas multi-agente para estudiar las dinámicas urbanas. El objetivo de esta investigación es contribuir al estudio de la distribución espacial de la población y la actividad económica mediante el desarrollo de dos modelos computacionales en Java Repast que permiten la simulación...
Chapter
This paper presents MOSIPS (MOdel of Simulation of Impacts of Public Policies on SMEs), a multi-agent model of an open economy. It is part of a user-friendly object-oriented interactive intelligent policy simulation system allowing forecasting and visualizing the socio-economic potential impact of public policies for supporting SMEs. MOSIPS model s...
Chapter
Full-text available
Answering the principal questions related to entrepreneurship research in recent decades has consisted of taking steps to contrast analytical and empirical studies. In most cases this process has been accompanied by developing various econometric models suitable for the conceptual framework or allowing them to specify and interpret by various ex...
Article
Several studies have examined the local economic effects of nuclear power stations. However, their heterogeneity within countries and between countries indicate that one must be very cautious in drawing general conclusions about the positive and negative local economic effects of nuclear power stations over time. Using information about a specific...
Conference Paper
In this paper, the authors present a computational approach based on multi-agent systems to study the agglomeration phenomena. The aim of this research is to contribute to the agglomeration studies by developing a series of computational models in Java Repast that allow simulating a region economy with enterprises and individuals who interact in ea...
Conference Paper
The aim of this paper is to present a computational approach based on multi-agent systems to study the interactions between entrepreneurship and business activity, and how they affect innovation and economic growth. In particular, we develop a computational model which allows simulating a set of economies with heterogeneous enterprises and individu...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Answering the principal questions related to entrepreneurship research in recent decades has consisted of taking steps to contrast analytical and empirical studies. In most cases this process has been accompanied by developing various econometric models suitable for the conceptual framework or allowing them to specify and interpret by various expla...
Article
Full-text available
La parsimonia de la política regional europea desde su creación sufrió un impulso muy no-table con la reforma de 1988 y con el inicio del proceso de integración monetaria, para pos-teriormente detenerse, primero, con las dificultades presupuestarias ligadas al cumplimien-to de los criterios de Maastricht que llevó a una congelación de los recursos...
Book
Full-text available
El libro resulta en su conjunto un buen medio para entender un conjunto de temas seleccionados sobre la economía mundial y española estructurados en dos bloques perfectamente definidos; en el primero dedicado a la economía internacional se tocan, tras una entrada en la que se realiza una apretada síntesis de la evolución económica mundial en los úl...
Conference Paper
La actividad emprendedora es uno de las cuestiones clave en el análisis económico regional. Aunque sus determinantes y consecuencias son múltiples y complejas, la mayor parte de los estudios se centran en factores individuales o afrontan el trabajo desde un punto de vista agregado. Estas aproximaciones, asumen que un agente representativo –mediante...
Conference Paper
Existe abundante literatura sobre las características y los factores de éxito inherentes al distrito industrial. Sin embargo, la mayor parte de dichos trabajos se centra en abordar los mecanismos que garantizan que dicho distrito sea exitoso, sin tratar convenientemente las condiciones que permiten activar dichos mecanismos. La adecuada comprensión...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
The aim of this paper is to show and discuss an integrated scheme of the MOSIPS project. This project, under an agent-based model methodology, focuses on simulating and evaluating policies for small and medium enterprises within a local environment. Its purpose is to conduct experiments on the implementation of policies according to different socio...
Conference Paper
The location of new establishments is a major issue from the perspective of economic activity and the analysis of the territory. Although both its determinants and consequences are multiple and complex, most studies are focused on single factors or aggregate approaches. This paper presents an agent-based model (ABM) with the main objective to analy...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
There is abundant literature on the characteristics and success factors inherent in the industrial district. However, most of these works are focused on addressing the mechanisms that ensure the district be successful without properly treating the conditions enabling the activation of those mechanisms. The proper understanding of how, where and whe...
Article
The use of systems with ABM (Agent-based Models) foundations in order to modelling the real economy allows making useful forecast and simulations based on the attributes and behaviour of each particular agent. The MOSIPS system implements the multiagent environments from multiple both open and specific data sources. These data will build the Data W...
Book
Este libro recoge los principales resultados del análisis del impacto socioeconómico de la central nuclear de Trillo en su área de influencia adaptando una metodología de análisis aplicada para evaluar impactos y complementándola con el denominado análisis contrafactual; es decir, conocer a través de la selección de una muestra de control que guard...
Book
Full-text available
The book analizes the problems related to economic policies applied by Governements. This includes: principal aims; main objectives; instruments regularly used (monetary, fiscal, regulations, etc.); the process to take decisions: external influences to the Government purposes; a description of the economic system as the framework of the economic po...
Book
Full-text available
El libro supone una puesta al día de la tercera edición, pero sin cambiar sus objetivos y enfoque como es ofrecer a los interesados en cuestiones relativas a la intervención de los gobiernos en la economía una explicación sobre el proceso de elaboración de la política económica desde una perspectiva institucional en los cinco primeros temas, como p...
Chapter
This chapter offers an overview of the evolution of Spain’s regional policy since joining the European Union (EU). A simplified reference is also made to the virtual disappearance of regional operations carried out during the period of impact of the economic crisis (1975–1985). The chapter analyses the general orientation of the regional policies a...
Chapter
Regional growth and analysis of the factors which contribute to the process of economic convergence is a research area of great interest among regional economists. Resurgence has been witnessed since the 1990s, due to research carried out by Sala-i-Martin and Barro and the renewed debate about regional convergence and its assessment. Nowadays, the...
Article
Full-text available
El proceso de crecimiento económico, con los obvios altibajos de los períodos de crisis, en los últimos cincuenta años ha sido auténticamente espectacular. Ello ha conllevado a profundas transformaciones de diferente naturaleza, de las que sin duda las regiones españolas se vieron todas favorecidas, pero particularmente en lo que se refiere a eleva...
Article
Full-text available
The main objective of this paper is to analyse the Regional and Cohesion Policy (RCP) in the European Union over the last few years. The focus is from a critical perspective but does not involve a formal study of the results. From this perspective, our emphasis is based on how some selected factors have influenced the policies in their evolution an...
Chapter
El comienzo de un nuevo período de programación ha supuesto que el punto de inflexión a la baja que mostraba ya la Política Regional Europea (PRE) se confirme y el nuevo diseño de la misma, tras no pocos debates, se ha dirigido a que la misma se convierta en un elemento más de reforzamiento de la estrategia fijada en la cumbre de Lisboa en el año 2...
Article
Full-text available
El presente artículo muestra los aspectos básicos de la política regional y de cohesión (PRC) de la Unión Europea (UE) desde su implantación definitiva con el Acta Única Europea hasta el actual período de programación 2007-2013, partiendo del análisis de los principales vectores de cambio bajo los que la misma se ha venido desenvolviendo. Se analiz...
Article
This paper shows the main lines of European cohesion and regional policy (CRP) from its configuration in The Single European Act to the actual period of programming 2007-2013, taking as starting point the analysis of main change vectors of its development. The paper analyzes basically the last two periods of programming and it presents the basic tr...
Book
Full-text available
Este libro recoge el análisis en profundidad de las cuestiones importantes relativas a la elaboración y objetivos de la política económica, así como de las principales actuaciones macroeconómicas de los gobiernos: política monetaria, fiscal y mixta.
Chapter
El objetivo principal de este trabajo es comprobar en el período 1977- 2004 para el caso de España la existencia de ciclos político-económicos y el carácter de los mismos a través del uso de técnicas estadísticas convencionales (mínimos cuadrados ordinarios –MCO-), pero que otorguen consistencia al análisis de los datos, y en una línea diferente a...
Article
Full-text available
El proceso de crecimiento económico, con los obvios altibajos de los períodos de crisis, en los últimos cincuenta años ha sido auténticamente espectacular. Ello ha conllevado a profundas transformaciones de diferente naturaleza, de las que sin duda las regiones españolas se vieron todas favorecidas, pero particularmente en lo que se refiere a eleva...
Article
Full-text available
La Política Regional española ha experimentado cambios muy notables en los 25 años de democracia. Ha pasado de considerarse marginal y subordinada al crecimiento nacional a configurarse como un instrumento básico en la integración y configuración territorial de España, generando importantes efectos equilibradores tanto mediante los Presupuestos Gen...
Article
Full-text available
It is a well-known fact that economic integration processes tend to link business cycles among participating economies. Strengthening of commercial relationship, changes in direct investment patterns, capital flows, etc. contribute to explain this progressive coincidence of economic fluctuations. The aim of this contribution is to show empirical ev...
Chapter
Full-text available
This research analyses the evolution during the period 1977-1998 for European NUTs 2 regions trough the method of Markov chains. Then, it is possible to detect winners and loser regions according to their position in the ranking. Nevertheless, it has been detected the decrease of convergence process during this period and the maintenance in the low...
Chapter
Economic growth and its causes have been at the centre of economists’ attention for a long time. In the renewed debate about the factors explaining growth and the validity of the dominant models, the explanation of national and regional inequalities has been the real test for new theoretical strands and their predictions. Recent debates on these to...
Article
This research analyses the evolution during the period 1977-1998 for European NUTs 2 regions trough the method of Markov chains. Then, it is possible to detect winners and loser regions according to their position in the ranking. Nevertheless, it has been detected the decrease of convergence process during this period and the maintenance in the low...
Chapter
This work analyses Spanish regional disparities in the European context from the point of view of sigma and beta convergence during the period 1980-1995. The main conclusions highlight that in sigma convergence the individual movements trough convergence or divergence are clearly little. Then, the convergence is only reduced for some “clubs” and in...
Book
Full-text available
Este libro recoge los principales trabajos presentados en una jornadas celebradas en la ciudad de Buenos Aires sobre temas de integración económica y de convergencia en 1999, pero debidamente adaptados y puestos al día sobre temas teóricos relativos a la convergencia e integración, así como del análisis de diversas experiencias europeas y latinoame...
Article
Full-text available
El artículo reflexiona sobre el diseño de la política regional comunitaria (PRC) concebida para el periodo 2000-2006. Para ello, analiza su proceso de gestación, desde las propuestas de la Agenda 2000 hasta los resultados de la Cumbre de Berlín, poniendo de manifiesto las tensiones que existieron entre la defensa de los intereses nacionales frente...
Article
Convergencia económica: aspectos teóricos y evidencia empírica en Europa y América Latina -- Convergencia económica: las experiencias nacionales -- Convergencia económica en el marco de la integración En contraport.: Universidad de Álcala ; Banco Santander Central Hispano
Conference Paper
Full-text available
The paper begins with a conventional analysis of regional convergence in the European Union, during the period 1977-94. It can be observed that, although a certain convergence took place, it practically came to a halt over the last few years (1986-94). In any case, it clearly stands out that this convergence is “conditioned” and that, in the analys...
Article
Full-text available
This article aims to examine the differences in the behaviour of productivity across the European regions. First, we give an overview of regional convergence of productivity in the European Union. Significant regional differences emerge from the detailed analysis of the evolution of productivity that follows. We note that those differences can even...
Article
Full-text available
The main objective of this paper is to study the growth dynamics of Spanish provinces over the 1955-1993 period. In particular, it analyses production, employment and productivity growth and underlines the importance of provincial productive specialisation, the structural changes associated with it, and other factors influencing regional/provincial...
Article
Full-text available
El artículo tiene como objetivo básico el análisis de la política regional en España a lo largo de la década de los novena intentando mostrar la gran complejidad de puesta en funcionamiento de la misma, aunque desde la adhesión española a la entonces Comunidad Europea el perfil activo que viene mostrando es digno de destacar, pese a la relativa mod...
Article
Full-text available
The main purpose of this paper is to show the evolution of the disparities among the Spanish regions for the period 1980-1995 taking as a starting point the fact that they have experienced different growth rates with respect to the Gross Value Added (GVA), the employment and the population. These differences have resulted in an also differentiated...