Tomas Janeliunas

Tomas Janeliunas
  • PhD
  • Professor at Vilnius University

About

40
Publications
5,288
Reads
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88
Citations
Current institution
Vilnius University
Current position
  • Professor
Additional affiliations
September 2015 - February 2021
Vilnius University
Position
  • Professor

Publications

Publications (40)
Method
Full-text available
The Index of Russia’s Influence on Lithuania, which has been conducted for the first time, is based on a survey methodology published in 2022. The study covers seven domains involved in the state’s functioning – military, economic, energy, cyber, information, political and societal security – where the factual connections and, consequently, the spr...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Estonia’s climate neutrality commitments and its simultaneous pursuit of national security mean that it will need to develop and cultivate new zero- or low-carbon, affordable, secure and safe domestic sources of energy. Nuclear energy is increasingly regarded as one of the critical ingredients of successful transition to climate-neutral energy syst...
Article
This article looks at the main changes in Lithuania’s foreign policy between 2009 and 2019, and tries to evaluate the major shifts caused by Grybauskaitė’s decisions and choices to concentrate on specific positions or priorities. Gustavsson’s model of different stages of foreign policy changes serves as the theoretical basis for evaluating the sele...
Chapter
This chapter evaluates the factors influencing the transformation of Lithuania’s energy sector and discusses the main challenges to proposed strategic changes. It provides an historic overview of Lithuania’s energy sector since the 1990s and highlights the main transformation vectors of the country’s energy system. The main priority of Lithuania af...
Book
Full-text available
The publication “Towards #NATO2030: The Regional Perspective of the Baltic States and Poland” offers a collection of articles that reflect on topical security issues of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Authors from the region discuss transforming regional security policies and realities towards NATO 2030. Particular attention is devoted to t...
Chapter
This chapter explores the motives and conditions under which the United States, China and Russia are likely to cooperate on qualitative arms control in cyberspace to improve both their national and international security. The analysis focuses on the 20-year period spanning from 1998 to 2018. The premises of defensive realism serve as the theoretica...
Article
Full-text available
This article raises the question of what role does the presidential institution hold in the Lithuanian foreign policy formation mechanism and how a particular actor (president) can change their powers in foreign policy without going beyond the functions formally defined in the Constitution. The period of President Grybauskaitė’s term and her effort...
Article
This article analyzes the impact of external factors on Russia’s foreign policy. Specifically, it identifies patterns in Russia’s foreign policy reactions to two kinds of developments: changes in US foreign policy, and fluctuating global oil prices affecting Russia’s economy. Our hypothesis is that US foreign policy, as it is perceived by Putin’s r...
Chapter
The Russian occupation of Crimea and intensified battles in eastern Ukraine in 2014 prompted a major shift in Lithuania’s strategic thinking and political action. Within a span of just a few years, Lithuania moved from the bottom to top positions among Northern Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) members in regards to its defence spending by quicke...
Article
Full-text available
Pasikeitus valdančiosioms jėgoms, 2012–2013 m. Gruzija sustabdė savo saugumo sektoriaus stiprinimą, sušvelnino retoriką Rusijos atžvilgiu ir pasirinko laukimo bei neprovokavimo taktiką. Rusijos nebelaikymas grėsme Gruzijoje nesutapo su ES ir NATO šalyse stiprėjančio sugrėsminimo kryp­timi. Priešingai – Rusijos keliami pavojai Gruzijoje tikslingai b...
Book
Full-text available
The Baltic Sea region has experienced profound alterations since the Cold War, and the region’s course of evolution is likely to continue as such. The book “The Baltic Sea Region: Hard and Soft Security Reconsidered” provides a collection of opinions that assess the current situation both in the military as well as non-military fields, with a parti...
Article
Full-text available
The article provides a comparative analysis of how the securitization of an energy sector is related to the actual energy situation of a country, the intensity of the securitization proclamation, and the “practical outcomes” of the securitization process. The energy strategies and implementation processes of “untypical” energy projects in four Cent...
Article
Full-text available
The crisis in relations between Belarus and Russia that started at the end of 2006 is forcing Belarusian authorities to look for new foreign policy direc-tions. Alexander Lukashenko has mentioned the necessity to balance Belarusian foreign policy and stop being dependant only on Russia. Such changes may encourage the EU to review its policies towar...
Article
Full-text available
Straipsnyje aptariamos prognozavimo metodø taikymo politikos moksluose galimybës. Teigiama, kad prognozavimas turëtø bûti pageidau- jamas bet kurios politinës problemos analizës tæsinys, taip bûtø prapleèia- mi bendrieji politikos mokslø uþdaviniai - ðalia pastangø "suprasti" bei "aiðkinti" politinius reiðkinius, derëtø juos ir "prognozuoti". Autor...

Questions

Question (1)
Question
What is your opinion - what are possibilities for Crimea (Ukraine) to become a new frozen conflict? What would be geopolitical interests of Russia to initiate such developments and what reactions from the EU, U.S. would be possible?

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