Thomas Kontuly

University of Utah | UOU · Department of Geography

Changes in the spatial distribution of minority populations and factors responsible for such changes form an important research topic in the study of the contemporary immigrant societies of Europe and North America. This paper clarifies both the trends and determinants of the spatial redistribution of mainly Russian-speaking ethnic minorities in Es...

In this paper we test the importance of the regional restructuring hypothesis by investigating whether the internal migration flows in western Germany can be explained by employment changes, on the basis of data of out-migration of employed workers and employment in seventy-five regions over the period 1982 – 97 for each year separately. Starting f...

Using a data source that allows us to directly observe the undocumented and to track them over time, we examine the change over time in the neighborhood conditions of the undocumented in Salt Lake County. While our results should be treated as preliminary, they suggest that the undocumented have gained ground on legal immigrants and natives in term...

The results of this study indicate that during the 1990s urbanization was the dominant process in inter-regional migration, and residential suburbanization prevailed at the intra-metropolitan level.These tendencies are new and different from the trend existing during the Soviet era.These urbanization and suburbanization trends correspond closely wi...

This paper summarises the usefulness of the differential urbanisation model, to characterise regional urban development in terms of a temporal sequence of stages from urbanisation through polarisation reversal to counter–urbanisation, as revealed in nine empirical tests (Britain, Estonia, Finland, Western Germany, India, Italy, Russia, South Africa...

This paper tests the temporal characterisation of the differential urbanisation model in Western Germany. A time series of high–quality regional demographic data is available for the period 1939–2010; similar data are not available for Eastern Germany. The differential urbanisation model characterised regional population development tendencies as a...

Recent public interest in the environmental problems faced by communities in the Mexico/U.S. border region has led to increased efforts to assess technological hazards and emergency response capabilities. This research explores the use of geographic information systems (GIS) to evaluate emergency response capabilities relative to risk zones in Noga...

"The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the impact of the post-unification East to West transfer of the German population on levels of spatial concentration and deconcentration in Eastern and Western Germany. Using 1991 internal migration data, it was found that German East-to-West migration served to deconcentrate regional population in the West...

Brings together a collection of texts that highlight the similarities in migration trends in First and Third World countries during the last twenty-five years. It offers new theoretical perspectives in a fresh approach to migration studies. Contributors include authorities in the field and all areas are represented. It provides a basis for new rese...

This article evaluates the importance of cultural factors in the destination selection process for migrants moving into and returning to the state of Utah. As the center of the Mormon cultural region, the state provides an excellent laboratory for testing the importance of cultural determinants of migration. Migration to Utah possesses a distinct c...

Maquiladoras, manufacturing plants that primarily assemble foreign components for reexport, are located in concentrations along the northern frontier of the US/Mexico border. These plants process a wide variety of materials using modern industrial technologies within the context of developing world institutions and infrastructure. Hazardous waste g...

"This study has two purposes. First, we will analyze in detail the extent to which regional demographic changes during the second half of the 1980s represent a return to concentration in western Germany.... The second purpose of this paper will be to measure regional demographic impacts in western Germany as the result of the large East to West mov...

The slow downward trend toward greater spatial deconcentration in West Germany during the time period 1970 to 1984 shifted back toward concentration from 1985 and through 1988. This 'swing back' occurred over only a three-year period. Regional labor-market changes appear to be the only factor able to cause such an abrupt shift to concentration, sug...

This paper develops a theoretical foundation for the notion of differential urbanization, in which groups of large, intermediate-sized, and small cities go through successive periods of fast and slow growth in a continuum of development that spans the evolution of urban systems in developed and less developed countries. A model depicting net migrat...

"Internal migration patterns during the second half of the 1970s and the first half of the 1980s are evaluated at a regional scale intermediate to those utilized in previous core-to-periphery and urbanization-to-counterurbanization studies of West Germany. A spatial deconcentration of the West German population is evident in the form of redistribut...

A general redistribution of the West German population down the metropolitan size hierarchy occurred during the first half of the 1980s, and was not the result of (a net) out-migration from old industrial areas in the coal mining and iron and steel regions. Explanations for this changing migration system correspond with the principles of deconcentr...

"In this paper the so-called recession theory explanation for the decline of net migration to large metropolitan core areas of industrialized countries is tested with an econometric time-series model. In the explanation it is contended that the migration turnaround represents only a temporary fluctuation in the general trend of urban economic and d...

Concentrates on three points, the first argues that a trend in the direction of counterurbanization starts in the FRG during the 1960s and strengthens during the 1970s and 1980s. Counterurbanization is evident in the FRG when evaluating the phenomenon using total population changes and/or net internal migration. The second point relates the counter...

"Age-specific migration changes between 1977 and 1980 reveal several modifications in the pattern of population redistribution in the Federal Republic and suggest a major alteration of the West German internal migration system. In 1980, both the 30 to 49...and the 50+ year olds move (in the net) out of densely populated regions and into sparsely po...

Evaluating yearly net migration for the Federal Republic of Germany establishes the importance of demographic restructuring and government policies as explanations for the counterurbanization phenomenon. Counterurbanization, the spatial demographic deconcentration of regional population, is measured as an inverse relationship between the net migrat...

Since Berry argued in 1976 that counterurbanization had replaced urbanization in the U.S., a debate has ensued as to whether the phenomenon also exists in Western Europe. Proponents of a developmental theory of counterurbanization contend that the phenomenon should be evident in countries which have achieved a very high level of socioeconomic devel...

The discussion of counterurbanization in West Germany is controversial. People speak of 'suburbanization', 'flight from the city', 'decongestion', 'the end of towns', 'deurbanization'. People are leaving industrial Rhine, Ruhr and Saar locations to go to non-industrial areas. Is this a fundamental change to be taken into consideration by planners?...

Earlier work (Vining and Kontuly 1978) included a statistical error relating to population movement in North Island, New Zealand. This is now corrected. -M.J.Moseley

Of the eighteen countries studied in this paper, eleven (Japan, Sweden, Norway, Italy, Denmark, New Zealand, Belgium, France, West Germany, East Germany, and The Netherlands) show either a reversal in the direction of net population flow from their sparsely populated, peripheral regions to their densely populated core regions or a drastic reduction...

A summary of recently published statistics show an actual or imminent population decline in the great metropolitan regions of many, if not all, of the major industrialized nations (Japan, France, Great Britain, Sweden, Norway, Italy, the USA). The only exceptions so far found to this emerging trend are Finland and Hungary.

In this paper we investigate the degree to which the internal migra- tion ‡ows in Western Germany can be related to employment changes. The data consist of in- and out-migration of employed workers and employment in 75 regions in Western Germany over the period 1982- 1997. Given a multinomial logit model for the individual migration decisions, we d...

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Pennsylvania, 1978. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 608-617). Photocopy.

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