Ted Robert Gurr

The article introduces the All Minorities at Risk (AMAR) data, a sample of socially recognized and salient ethnic groups. Fully coded for the forty core Minorities at Risk variables, this AMAR sample provides researchers with data for empirical analysis free from the selection issues known in the study of ethnic politics to date. We describe the di...

Protracted conflicts over the status and demands of ethnic and religious groups have caused more instability and loss of human life than any other type of local, regional, and international conflict since the end of World War II. Yet we still have accumulated little in the way of accepted knowledge about the ethnic landscape of the world. In part t...

Quantitative, comparative studies of violent conflict within societies constitute a growing subfield of political science. Some common assumptions of these studies are the premises that conflict events have similar properties and causes across all types of contemporary nations, and that these properties and causes are susceptible to reliable and va...

Examining onsets of political instability in countries worldwide from 1955 to 2003, we develop a model that distinguishes countries that experienced instability from those that remained stable with a two-year lead time and over 80% accuracy. Intriguingly, the model uses few variables and a simple specification. The model is accurate in forecasting...

Re-examines James O'Connor's work on the fiscal crisis of the state, arguing, using data from France, The Netherlands, Sweden, the UK, the USA and West Germany, that previous work on this theme has paid insufficient attention to the differential ability of states to respond to the pressures associated with crisis tendencies. The main concern is to...

In response to a request from Vice President Al Gore in 1994, the CIA established "The State Failure Task Force," a group of independent researchers to examine comprehensively the factors and forces that have affected the stability of the post-Cold War world. The Task Force's goal was to identify the factors or combinations of factors that distingu...

Theory: A synthetic theoretical model built on both deprivation and resource mobilization arguments is constructed to explain ethnopolitical rebellion for the 1980s and to provide risk assessments for the early 1990s. Hypotheses: We hypothesize that ethnopolitical groups which produce residuals well below the regression line will likely exhibit reb...

Political protest and rebellion by communal groups has become a major impetus to domestic and international political change. This study uses new coded data on 227 communal groups throughout the world to assess a general model of how and why they mobilize to defend and promote their collective interests. Statistical analysis shows that cultural ide...

This article uses POLITY II, a new dataset on the authority traits of 155 countries, to assess some general historical arguments about the dynamics of political change in Europe and Latin America from 1800 to 1986. The analysis, relying mainly on graphs, focuses first on the shifting balance between democratic and autocratic patterns in each world...

The collective victimization of ethnic, religious, national and political groups by the state is discussed in this paper. It analyzes information on more than 60 communal and political groups which have been victimized in genocides and politicides since 1945 and about 90 communal and regional groups which in the late 1980s were the subjects of syst...

The prevailing impression given by the mass media, public officials, and experts concerned with oppositional terrorism is that it is a clear and present danger, inexorably on the increase around the world. The statistical evidence on this point is less than persuasive. Unquestionably there was a sustained increase during the 1970s in the global agg...

Many of the oldest and largest Western cities today are undergoing massive economic decline. The State and the City deals with a key issue in the political economy of cities—the role of the state. Ted Robert Gurr and Desmond S. King argue that theoreticians from both the left and the right have underestimated the significance of state action for...

This paper reports on a global survey of cases of massive state repression since World War II. The universe of analysis includes sustained episodes in which the state or its agents impose on a communal or political group “conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or part.” We develop and use a typology which dis...

Three oft‐cited dimensions of national power are material capabilities, the political capacity to mobilize and use this potential, and its actual use (behavioral power). Effective power is a function of the latter two, the political capability both to mobilize human and material resources and to use these resources coherently in the pursuit of nati...

Modern states are powerful, resilient institutions, the most durable of which have established and consolidated their rule through conquest, revolution, and war. Successful involvement in violent conflict leads to the development of militarized and police states and reinforces elite political cultures that favor the use of coercion in future disput...

There are diverse theoretical conceptions of the state underlying contemporary analyses of urban change in Western societies. Those conceptions, some of them anchored in democratic pluralism and others in the recent political economy literature, incorporate assumptions about the purposes of states’ urban policies and shape conclusions about what st...

This chapter begins with an overview of the evolution of the federal government’s urban policies in the United States, with particular attention to the substantial expansion initiated in the 1960s.1 The main purpose of this overview is to determine what fuelled the expansion of federal commitments and responsibilities at the municipal level. This t...

This chapter explores the nature of local state autonomy in advanced industrial societies.1 By ‘local state’ we refer principally to municipalities although most of the arguments are applicable to all local jurisdictions such as suburbs and metropolitan counties (in Great Britain) as well as to relations between regional and local states in the Uni...

In this concluding chapter we draw together some of the principal themes and evidence of the book and consider their implications for the future of Western cities, especially but not only in the United States and Britain. These are the key themes: the capacities of the national and local state to direct and compensate for the economic changes which...

The theoretical arguments developed in Chapters 1 and 2 are intended to be applicable to advanced industrial societies. Chapters 3 and 4 have considered the theoretical propositions in relation to the political consequences of urban decline and the evolution of federal-city relations in the United States. This chapter outlines the incidence and ext...

In Chapter 2 we pointed out some implications of urban decline, fiscal stress and increased local reliance on national grants for the autonomy of the local state. This chapter is concerned with the entire range of responses to urban decline by all levels of government and what they imply about the net effects of the national, regional and local sta...

Many of the oldest and largest Western cities today are undergoing massive economic decline. The State and the City deals with a key issue in the political economy of cities the role of the state. Ted Robert Gurr and Desmond S. King argue that theoreticians from both the left and the right have underestimated the significance of state action for ci...

Contents: Ideological and Psychological Factors in International Terrorism; Goals and Objectives of International Terrorism; Methodologies for the Analysis fo Oppositional Terrorism; State Supported Terrorism; Support Mechanisms for International Terrorism; State Response to International Terrorism; and Future Trends in International Terrorism.

The extent, types, and causes of protest and rebel lion in twenty-one Western nations are statistically analyzed, using data on civil strife for 1961-65. Proportional measures of man-days and deaths in strife are combined in "magnitude of strife" scores. For more detailed comparisons, four com ponent strife scores are determined by distinguishing v...

Typescript. Thesis (Ph. D.)--New York University, Graduate School of Arts and Science, 1965. Includes bibliographical references.