
Stanley FörsterTU Dresden | TUD · Institute of Logistics and Aviation
Stanley Förster
Dipl.-Inf.
About
19
Publications
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Introduction
Stanley Förster currently works at the Institute of Logistics and Aviation, Technische Universität Dresden. Stanley does research in Aviation Safety. His current project is 'Collision Risk Modelling (CRM) Capability for Independent Parallel Approaches.'
Publications
Publications (19)
Optimizing flight profiles is closely linked to the airspace structure and the requirements for safe and efficient air traffic flow. While free route airspaces permit locally optimized paths in principle, increased traffic load or variable flight directions may mandate predefined airways, which sacrifice individual efficiency to maintain safety. Th...
The field of trajectory and target time prediction in aviation has long been dominated by point estimation models. However, safety-critical applications using these predictions as it is true in air traffic management should always be in a position to consider such limitations precisely. Therefore, in this paper, three neural network (NN)-based appr...
The link between airspace and air traffic complexity and controller workload has been of high interest since decades, since a negative correlation is postulated between workload and safety. However, exploratory review indicated that this correlation is hardly quantified in the literature. In this study, we present a literature review following the...
In recent years, the optimization of the trajectory has developed into a philosophical problem with arbitrary objective functions and assumptions made by conflicting stakeholders. What has remained since 1987 is that trajectories that have been locally optimized in advance must share an airspace that is severely limited by the local optima without...
Recent technological developments have led to the emergence of affordable and increasingly capable remotely-piloted aircraft or 'drones'. Aside opportunities, this also presents a potential threat to the safety of crewed aviation. This paper discusses ongoing work to evaluate and mitigate the risk and threats associated with mid-air collisions as p...
The air traffic is mainly divided into en-route flight segments, arrival and departure segments inside the terminal maneuvering area, and ground operations at the airport. To support utilizing available capacity more efficiently, in our contribution we focus on the prediction of arrival procedures, in particular, the time-to-fly from the turn onto...
The air traffic is mainly divided into en-route flight segments, arrival and departure segments inside the terminal maneuvering area, and ground operations at the airport. In our contribution we will focus on the prediction of arrival procedures, in particular the time to fly from turn onto final approach course to threshold, which supports utilizi...
This paper presents a sensitivity analysis of safety performances for independent parallel approach (IPA) operations, using performance based navigation (PBN) transitions connecting to final approaches still relying on ground based landing system (ILS, MLS or GLS). The analysis relies on a stochastic modelling (Monte Carlo simulations), addressing...
Today, European airspace capacity constraints, which typically cause inefficiencies in flight and in airport ground handling, are expected to increase, because passenger air traffic demand will continuously grow by approximatively five percent, annually. According to programs like the Single European Sky ATM Research (SESAR) and the Next Generation...
Aircraft are subject to steady deterioration effects in flight operations resulting in increased fuel consumption due to decreased engine efficiency, increased airframe surface roughness and increased operating empty mass. These effects are taken into account in operational flight planning (e.g. fuel calculations) but long-term efficiency loss is r...
Todays air traffic system is faced with airspace capacity constraints that can cause inefficiencies in flight and in airport ground handling. Free routing performance based navigation and harmonized airspace structures are seen as efficient mitigation measures to save distance and fuel, as far as free routes are implemented as optimized and predict...
We present an agent simulation based concept to assess aircraft collision risk (CR) for modern instrument flight procedures, focusing on the intermediate and final approach. The aircraft’s, ATC and CNS systems’ behaviors are modelled as agents-acting stochastically by means of a Monte-Carlo simulation engine-to represent a statistically realistic e...
In this paper we present an agent-based concept to assess aircraft collision risk (CR) for modern instrument flight procedures , focusing on the intermediate and final approach. The air-craft's, ATC and CNS systems' behavior are modelled as agents-acting stochastically by means of a Monte-Carlo simulation engine to represent a statistically realist...
Today, the European airspace is facing multiple capacity constraints, which are regulating the demand during busy traffic periods of the day. These capacity limits typically cause inefficiencies in flight and in airport ground handling, which are expecting to increase, because according to current market forecasts, passenger air traffic demand will...
Continuous climb operations are one of several instruments , developed by the Single European Sky ATM Research program SESAR to improve the environmental compatibility of the future air traffic management by designing an air traffic system with minimum environmental impact and minimum direct operational costs at an increased safety level, compared...
Ecological Impact Of Air Traffic Control En-Route Charging Zones From Multi Criteria Optimized Flight Paths
Reducing emissions is a very prevailing topic also in aviation industry. Besides technological improvements it is necessary to also adjust procedures and operations. We present a tool that is able to optimize flight trajectories not only regarding economical factors but also ecological ones. Due to the utilization of a flight performance model and...
Aircrafts are subject to steady deterioration effects in flight operations. This concerns notably engines and airframes efficiency, but also aircrafts operating empty mass increases over time. As a consequence, the average fuel consumption is higher for the same performed flight with a deteriorated aircraft. Although these effects are already consi...
Today, the air traffic industry is confronted with demands and goals, aiming conflicting optimization
criteria. Airlines minimize fuelburn and time of flight, whereas public environmental consciousness
increases faster than the technical progress in the reduction of the engine emissions. Furthermore,
airlines are facing an increased worldwide deman...