Serban Scrieciu

Serban Scrieciu
European Commission | ec · Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (DG GROW)

PhD
Working on EU policy analysis and development on the green economy, with a focus on climate and energy

About

56
Publications
30,785
Reads
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1,274
Citations
Introduction
I have worked at the policy-research interface for around 15 years, in the area of climate change economics, climate and energy policy analysis, and inclusive green growth or just transitions. I held several positions both in academia (e.g. University of Cambridge, University College London) and with policy institutions (e.g. European Commission, UNEP). I have a PhD in Development Policy, The University of Manchester, and a MA in Development Economics, Sussex University, both in UK
Additional affiliations
July 2021 - July 2021
European Commission
Position
  • Analyst
Description
  • Contributing to policy analysis, planning, and development in relation to linking EU's industrial strategy with its green deal and green growth ambitions. This is fairly broad work touching upon several dimensions, particularly climate and energy, of EU's green transition pathways for industrial ecosystems, including just transition and international relations aspects.
October 2020 - present
University College London
Position
  • Senior Researcher
Description
  • Continuing to carry out inter-disciplinary research (as a follow-up to my recently completed position of senior research fellow at UCL) on topics related to complexity economics and systems thinking with applications to the sustainability of the built environment; and to investigating the meaning of scientific model validation, when pursuing sustainability policy analysis.
October 2020 - present
Bentham Brooks Institute
Position
  • Consultant
Description
  • Acting as a member of the Board of Advisors (with a focus on methodology and environmental/climate policy) for the the (first) student-led think tank at University College London
Education
September 2002 - September 2005
The University of Manchester
Field of study
  • Development Policy and Economics
September 2000 - September 2001
University of Sussex
Field of study
  • Development Economics
September 1992 - September 1997
Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies
Field of study
  • International Business and Economics

Publications

Publications (56)
Article
Climate policy choices are influenced by the economics literature which analyses the costs and benefits of alternative strategies for climate action. This literature, in turn, rests on a series of choices about: the values and assumptions underlying the economic analysis; the methodologies for treating dynamics, technological change, risk and uncer...
Book
Full-text available
This book looks at agriculture and the environment, placed within the dynamic context of post-communist societal change and entry into the European Union (EU). Scrieciu explores developments in eleven Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries and argues for agriculture’s natural place in these societies. The history of these countries is signifi...
Article
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Greening’ economic growth discourses are increasingly replacing the catchword of ‘sustainable development’ within national and international policy circles. The core of the argument is that the growth of modern economies may be sustained or even augmented, while policy intervention simultaneously ensures sustained environmental stewardship and impr...
Article
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Energy and climate policies may have significant economy-wide impacts, which are regularly assessed based on quantitative energy-environment-economy models. These tend to vary in their conclusions on the scale and direction of the likely macroeconomic impacts of a low-carbon transition. This paper traces the characteristic discrepancies in models’...
Article
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The expanding research of complexity economics has been signalling its preference for a formal quantitative investigation of diverse interactions between heterogeneous agents at the lower, micro-level resulting in emergent, realistic socioeconomic dynamics at the higher, macro-level. However, there is scarcity in research that explicitly links comp...
Article
This short article published in The Mint Magazine explores some limitations of large swathes of mainstream economics in relation to achieving togetherness, when dealing with the climate change challenge, and how these could be addressed. Link: http://www.themintmagazine.com/all-together-how
Article
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Greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation policy-making has largely been conducted in isolation of development considerations. An emerging literature, bolstered by the “nationally determined” nature of the Paris Agreement, explores the identification and assessment of the co-impacts of mitigation actions. There is now a recognized need to consider mitigation...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Significant advances have been made in measuring the stringency of environmental policies, and understanding the relationship between environmental action and economic dynamics, particularly in high-income countries. Despite this, unequivocal empirical evidence on the impact of environmental policies on economic performance remains elusive, with co...
Chapter
The standard economics that dominates large parts of the mainstream is teeming with dualistic concepts striving to understand the behaviour of our increasingly interconnected economies. The integration of finance-economy–nature (climate) interactions has failed to meaningfully materialise in the literature. In this paper, a form of textual critique...
Article
Full-text available
Significant advances have been made in measuring the stringency of environmental policies, and understanding the relationship between environmental action and economic dynamics, particularly in high-income countries. Despite this, unequivocal empirical evidence on the impact of environmental policies on economic performance remains elusive, with co...
Article
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This short article discusses the role that reformist architecture could have on new economic thinking.
Article
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Climate planning processes continue to be troubled by a lack of coherent and credible assessments of potential trade-offs and synergies, large amounts of non-systematized analytical data, and the value-ridden features underpinning decision making in the field. This special issue of Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change aims to addr...
Article
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There are growing calls for identifying climate mitigation and adaptation policy packages that would also support human development objectives at the national and regional levels. The literature on climate policy analysis and impact assessment continues to be driven by standard economics with its body of competitive general equilibrium optimization...
Technical Report
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Este informe presenta los resultados de la evaluación de un grupo de proyectos de adaptación ante el cambio climático en la agricultura, de la Región Piura, ubicada al noroeste de Perú. Es resultado del trabajo realizado por el CLACDS-INCAE Business School con el apoyo financiero del Programa de las Naciones Unidas para el Ambiente (PNUMA), bajo la...
Book
The Climate Change Starter’s Guide provides an introduction and overview for education planners and practitioners on the wide range of issues relating to climate change and climate change education, including causes, impacts, mitigation and adaptation strategies, as well as some broad political and economic principles. The aim of this guide is to s...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Climate-policy planning is a complex undertaking. Many developing countries are only just starting to consider how to go about it and some require improved access to the requisite knowledge, expertise and technical skills. Drawing upon best practices, tried and tested in other parts of the world, is clearly an advantage. The MCA4climate, a UNEP ini...
Article
Full-text available
Scenarios are used to explore the consequences of different adaptation and mitigation strategies under uncertainty. In this paper, two scenarios are used to explore developments with (1) no mitigation leading to an increase of global mean temperature of 4 °C by 2100 and (2) an ambitious mitigation strategy leading to 2 °C increase by 2100. For the...
Article
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If one were to put on your desk two words, “green economy”, what would your first take on this be? My reaction: an economy that produces goods and services for human consumption by respecting nature and harnessing its potential efficiently, without causing damage. A quick literature review reveals this is partly true. According to UNEP, a green eco...
Article
Full-text available
Scenarios are used to explore the consequences of different adaptation and mitigation strategies under uncertainty. In this paper, two scenarios are used to explore developments with (1) no mitigation leading to an increase of global mean temperature of 4 degrees C by 2100 and (2) an ambitious mitigation strategy leading to 2 degrees C increase by...
Article
Full-text available
Terry Barker is a leading British economist in macroeconomics, climate economics and empirical analysis. For over 45 years, he has been involved in research at Cambridge on economic theory and applied economics, in areas such as: trade theory and space and time economics; structural macroeconomics; and the macroeconometric modelling of energy-envir...
Article
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An interview discussing "New Economics" with Professor Terry Barker
Article
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This paper reports the methodology and results of an one-waycoupling of the E3 Model at the Global level (E3MG) model to the global atmosphericchemistrymodel, p-TOMCAT, to assess the effects on the concentrations of atmospheric gases over Mexico of a low-GHG scenario compared to an alternative reference case with higher use of fossil fuels. The pap...
Article
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The literature on climate stabilization modeling largely refers to either energy-system or inter-temporal computable general equilibrium/optimal growth models. We contribute with a different perspective by deploying a large-scale macro-econometric hybrid simulation model of the global energy- environment-economy (E3MG) adopting a “New Economics” ap...
Article
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Sustainability is achieved when per capita levels of welfare remain constant or increase over time. With environmental degradation and population growth, per capita levels of welfare might decline over time, especially in developing countries. Developing countries perceive the material wealth and the way of life prevailing in developed countries as...
Article
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This study gives a synthesis of a model comparison assessing the technological feasibility and economic consequences of achieving greenhouse gas concentration targets that are sufficiently low to keep the increase in global mean temperature below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. All five global energy-environment-economy models show t...
Article
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The Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC reports that greenhouse gas emissions can be reduced by about 30–50% in 2030 at costs below 100 US$/tCO2 based on an assessment of both bottom-up and top-down studies. Here, we have looked in more detail into the outcomes of specific models and also analyzed the economic potentials at the sectoral and regional l...
Article
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ADAM research identifies and appraises existing and new policy options that can contribute to different combinations of adaptation and mitigation strategies. These options address the demands a changing climate will place on protecting citizens and valuable ecosystems – i.e., adaptation – as well as addressing the necessity to restrain/control huma...
Article
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Terry Barker, Şerban Scrieciu and David Taylor discuss the implications of climate change for social justice and the prospects for more sustainable development pathways. They state that the analysis and discussions surrounding the climate change problem, particularly those drawing on the traditional economics literature, have relied on a crude econ...
Article
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This article was submitted without an abstract, please refer to the full-text PDF file.
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This article was submitted without an abstract, please refer to the full-text PDF file.
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This article was submitted without an abstract, please refer to the full-text PDF file.
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This article was submitted without an abstract, please refer to the full-text PDF file.
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This article was submitted without an abstract, please refer to the full-text PDF file.
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This paper considers the role of stakeholder participation in drawing together the three Rio Conventions, exploring how participatory activities to combat desertification in southern Romania can both support and hinder efforts to conserve biodiversity and mitigate the effects of climate change. It suggests that Romania's growing civil society secto...
Article
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The setting of binding targets for CO2 emission reductions for 2020 by the European Union (EU) alone has led to concerns that unilateral climate change mitigation may not only hamper the union's competitiveness, but also result in carbon leakage. The paper explores these claims through the deployment of a dynamic, nonlinear, macro-econometric simul...
Article
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This report elaborates two 2-degree scenarios (450 ppm and 400ppm) for Europe until 2050. The research is embedded into a larger framework of a global analysis of climate mitigation policy carried out by the European ADAM project. Our analysis constitutes basically a techno-economic analysis of all GHG emitting sectors in Europe with the objective...
Article
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With the emergence of accelerated technological change and progress, economic growth has been exhibiting increasingly complex features. Trade within and across industries, countries and regions, has risen sharply, and the globalisation effects of economies of specialisation, low-cost information technologies and networks have taken a stronger grip...
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The continued growth in world trade and investment flows has led to a renewed interest among researchers and policy makers in the potential impact that trade liberalisation policy may have on the environment. The aim of this paper is to provide a balanced and accessible summary of the findings of recent economic research on the impact of growth in...
Article
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Since the collapse of Communism in Central and Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union, the reform process has been considerably influenced by the neoclassical economic approach to transition. This has heavily emphasized competitive markets and economic liberalization measures per se, often ignoring the establishment of adequate institutional fr...
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This article assesses the feasibility of a 50% reduction in CO2 emissions by 2050 using a large-scale Post Keynesian simulation model of the global energy-environment-economy system. The main policy to achieve the target is a carbon price rising to 100/tCO2 by 2050, attained through auctioned CO2 permits for the energy sector, and carbon taxes for...
Article
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Since the collapse of Communism in Central and Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union, the reform process has been considerably influenced by the neoclassical economic approach to transition. This has heavily emphasized competitive markets and economic liberalization measures per se, often ignoring the establishment of adequate institutional fr...
Article
Full-text available
An important question for climate policy making is how much GHG emissions and energy can be saved, in which sectors and at what costs? Traditionally, studies looking at this question are often characterised as either using a Bottom-Up or a Top-Down approach. The differences between these approaches are far from clear-cut. The first approach tends t...
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This paper evaluates potential economic impacts of incorporating Romania into EU’s Common Agricultural Policy. A CGE model of Romania is employed to model likely changes in trade, production and welfare patterns with a focus on fifteen local agro-food activities. Three main findings emerge. First, the adoption of the CAP expands agro-food output an...
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This paper contributes to the literature on the macro-scale economic determinants of the increase in global forest depletion, by performing a regression analysis based on a panel dataset for fifty tropical countries over an eighteen-year period. While the initial findings appear at first to confirm a common causality pattern of selected macroeconom...
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The search for methods of assessment that best evaluate and integrate the trade-offs and interactions between the economic, environmental and social components of development has been receiving a new impetus due to the requirement that sustainability concerns be incorporated into the policy formulation process. A paper forthcoming in Ecological Eco...
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Millennium Development Goals, increasing attention is being given to the poverty impacts of trade liberalisation. The high level of public interest has stimulated renewed research activity aimed at expanding the evidence-base available to trade negotiators and policymakers. Within this context, computable general equilibrium economic modelling tool...
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WTO-led trade liberalisation in environmental services is often seen as having considerable potential for generating 'win-win' outcomes for the economy and the environment. Despite this, progress in liberalising environmental services within the GATS framework has been limited. This paper argues that a major barrier to progress in environmental ser...
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Joining the European Union club implies, among many other policy changes, full integration of Romania’s economy into EU’s customs union. This is expected to have significant implications for domestic farmers and food processors. The paper constructs a single-country Applied General Equilibrium (AGE) model to investigate the impact of tariff border...
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The purpose of this research is to provide a comprehensive and critical review of the literature relating to the implications for sustainable development, in particular the environmental and social dimensions, of the greater liberalisation of international trade and investment flows. The study has examined the likely effects of trade liberalisation...
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We address the macroeconomic developments experienced by Romania in a decade of transition towards a market driven society. We focus on a descriptive analysis with the intent of offering a clear and broad picture of the main aspects distinguishing the Romanian economy. The paper also discusses perspectives for future growth and puts forward the nee...
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The paper investigates the complex system of causes affecting tropical deforestation at a worldwide level. There is no generally accepted theory in the deforestation literature to indicate which variables should be included in a model of deforestation at an aggregate global level. The paper begins, therefore, by presenting an analytical structure b...

Questions

Question (1)
Question
The green growth concept is increasingly being used in policy discourses and research work. The idea that economic growth may occur whilst maintaining credible environmental stewardship seems to be invalidated by historical empirical observations, notably via the looming climate change crisis. However, this does not necessarily imply that green growth is not possible as a future scenario. In order to reconcile economic growth with the environment, one has to then rethink and reinterpret how economies growth and the relationship between nature and economic activities. Within this context, is the green growth hypothesis a useful scientifically-backed concept to reconsider our economies or will is term leading us to barking up the wrong tree?

Network

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Projects

Projects (6)
Archived project
I partly contributed to this project on two different occasions. The main output of the project was a paper published in 2013 in a peer-reviewed international journal WIREs Energy and Environment.
Archived project
The project was led by the Green Growth Knowledge Platform, for which I acted as an independent researcher assessing the literature on measuring the stringency of environmental policies in relation to economic dynamics as applied to developed countries, and, where available, developing countries. The aim of the project was to write a scoping study evaluating the pros and cons of various environmental stringency indicators being deployed in the literature, and understand the data collection needs and knowledge gaps when it comes to conceptualising and measuring the stringency of environmental policies applied in developing economies. The overall goal of this research was to identify a potential way forward for developing a research agenda in this respect.
Archived project
This represented a consultancy assignment under the guidance of the Network for Social Change. It consisted of the evaluation of the progress made by the New Economics Foundation in developing and applying a new ecological macroeconomic model, the DEFINE (Dynamic Ecosystem-FINance-Economy) model. The model addresses an important gap in the energy-economy-environment modelling literature in that it analyses in an integrated manner interactions between the economy, the environment and the financial system. It is innovative from a methodological perspective as it combines stock-flow Post Keynesian macroeconomic modelling of financial systems with a Georgescu-Roegen approach to modelling ecological systems and physical balances.