Salah Nusair

Salah Nusair
McMaster University | McMaster · DeGroote School of Business - Finance

PhD in Economics

About

34
Publications
5,067
Reads
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737
Citations
Citations since 2017
10 Research Items
645 Citations
2017201820192020202120222023050100150
2017201820192020202120222023050100150
2017201820192020202120222023050100150
2017201820192020202120222023050100150
Additional affiliations
December 2017 - present
Wilfrid Laurier University
Position
  • Professor
December 2017 - present
McMaster University
Position
  • Professor
December 2017 - present
Wilfrid Laurier University
Position
  • Professor

Publications

Publications (34)
Article
This study investigates whether the market can detect the productivity changes in US bank acquirers during the deregulation of the 1990s and the regulation in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. We find that the market reacts negatively to acquisitions that resulted in productivity decline -especially for medium acquirers- but they show no...
Article
This paper employs the linear and nonlinear ARDL models to examine the short-run and long-run effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on the stock prices of the G7 countries using monthly data up to May of 2021. Using the linear ARDL model, the results indicate that EPU has a significant negative short-run effect on the stock prices of all the...
Article
This paper employs linear and nonlinear ARDL models to examine the short-run and long-run relationship between stock prices and exchange rates in the G7 countries. Both the flow-oriented approach that exchange rates affect stock prices and the portfolio balance approach that stock prices affect exchange rates are supported in the short-run. Neither...
Article
Full-text available
This paper examines the relationship between stock prices and exchange rates for the ASEAN5 plus the Big3. While previous studies have assumed a symmetric relationship between stock prices and exchange rates, this paper introduces nonlinearity in the relationship between the two variables. The empirical model used is the nonlinear autoregressive di...
Article
This article examines the asymmetric effects of real exchange rate changes on the domestic output of selected Asian countries. To account for asymmetries, we separate currency appreciation from depreciation and utilize the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model. Employing annual data (1973 to 2018), we find evidence of short-run and...
Article
We study the asymmetric effects of oil price changes on the domestic output of the ASEAN-5 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia. Singapore, Philippines, and Thailand) plus Japan and Korea. Asymmetries are introduced by accumulating oil price increases separately from decreases using partial sum processes in a nonlinear ARDL framework. Utilizing annual da...
Article
This paper employs the linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, the asymmetric nonlinear ARDL model, and the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) method to examine the symmetric and asymmetric effects of oil price changes on inflation in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Short-run and long-run asymmetries are introduced via positive and n...
Article
Full-text available
This paper examines the effects of oil price shocks on the stock market returns of the Gulf Cooperation Council countries. The empirical method used is quantile regression analysis. In addition, we allow for structural breaks and asymmetry by differentiating between positive and negative oil price changes. Unlike OLS analysis, quantile regression a...
Article
This paper investigates the effects of oil price shocks on Asian exchange rates. We employ quantile regression analysis and allow for structural breaks and asymmetry. Our results indicate that positive and negative oil price shocks have asymmetrical effects on exchange rate returns that vary in significance, size, and sign throughout the distributi...
Article
This article examines the J-curve phenomenon for 16 European transition economies. While previous studies assume a linear relationship between the exchange rate and the trade balance, this paper allows for nonlinearity. Following Bahmani-Oskooee and Fariditavana (20159. Bahmani-Oskooee, M., and H. Fariditavana. 2015. “Nonlinear ARDL Approach, Asymm...
Article
This paper examines the effects of oil price shocks on the real GDP of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. The empirical method used is the nonlinear cointegrating autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model of Shin et al. (2013) in which short-run and long-run nonlinearities are introduced via positive and negative partial sum decomposi...
Article
An important policy issue facing countries is the effectiveness of nominal currency devaluation in boosting exports and improving the trade balance of the devaluing country. It is argued that nominal devaluation would be effective only if it leads to real devaluation. This paper examines the relationship between nominal and real effective exchange...
Data
We examine the long-run relationship between Asian real exchange rates and oil prices in the presence of structural breaks. The relevance of considering breaks is demonstrated by utilizing the Johansen et al. procedure that allows for up to two predetermined breaks. Using conventional tests that do not consider breaks reveals no evidence of cointeg...
Data
We examine the dynamics of convergence in seven Asian countries for nominal and real interest rates, and inflation rates. We test for convergence relative to the U.S. and Japan, using quarterly data 1973:2–2011:3, employing nonlinear unit root tests. The linearity test shows evidence of nonlinearity in all the cases. In most cases, we find evidence...
Article
Full-text available
This paper examines the underlying parity conditions upon which real interest parity (RIP) is predicted for some Asian countries relative to the U.S. and Japan over a period (1978–2009) containing significant changes using the multivariate cointegration procedure of Johansen et al. (2000) that allows for up to two pre-determined breaks. Each parity...
Article
This article examines the behaviour of the real exchange rates for 18 transition economies using nonlinear models. We find strong evidence of nonlinearities in 16 of the 18 countries. Contrary to widely held belief that the behaviour of real exchange rates should exhibit symmetrical adjustment for deviations above and below its equilibrium level, w...
Article
This article applies the theory of Generalized Purchasing Power Parity (G‐PPP) to assess the potential for an optimum currency area (OCA) for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries over the period 1973–2009. Utilizing a multivariate cointegration procedure that allows for up to two predetermined structural breaks, the results suggest that the...
Article
Previous studies have utilized conventional cointegration tests that are based on the assumption that the long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) relationship is stable over the sample period. This assumption can be misleading if there were significant economic and policy changes over the sample period. To allow for the possibility of instability in...
Article
We utilize nonlinear models to examine the stationarity of Asian real exchange rates over the period from 1980:10 to 2007:09, using the US, Japan, and China as base countries. We find evidence of nonlinearity in most cases. Contrary to widely-held belief that the behavior of the real exchange rate should exhibit symmetrical adjustment for deviation...
Article
This paper applies the generalized purchasing power parity (G-PPP) theory to assess the potential for an optimum currency area (OCA) for the ASEAN5 plus the big three (ASEAN5+Big3) during a period containing significant structural breaks, using the US, Japan and China as base countries. The relevance of considering breaks is demonstrated by utilizi...
Article
Examining stationarity is of particular importance and represents the first step in empirical time-series research. Non-stationarity invalidates many of the results obtained from standard techniques and, therefore, requires special treatment. Because oil prices play an important role in affecting economic variables, this paper examines the stationa...
Article
We examine the dynamics of convergence of the ASEAN5 plus the big three for nominal interest rates, inflation rates, and real interest rates. We test for convergence relative to the U.S and Japan, using monthly data over the period January 1990 - December 2010, using non-linear unit root tests. The results show strong evidence of stationary inflati...
Article
The literature suggests that insider trading may outperform the stock market by buying or selling stocks of the company in the short run and/or long run. For this research, we construct a daily index consisting of the most liquid and large company for each tested market: New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE) to test for ins...
Article
This paper examines the long-run relationship between nominal interest rates and inflation for a group of Asian countries over the period February 1973-April 2007. We argue that the empirical failure to find evidence supporting the Fisher effect in previous studies may be attributed to the presence of non-linearities in the long-run relationship be...
Article
The Kuwaiti consumption function is examined for the 1973-2003 time period. The dramatic events included: the Arab oil embargo of 1973, Kuwait's nationalization of oil facilities in 1976, the oil price shock in 1978, the Iranian Revolution in 1979, the Iran/Iraq war, Kuwait's unofficial stock market Al Manakh crash, increases in crude oil supply by...
Article
This paper re-examines the long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) relationship for nine Asian countries relative to the USA and Japan during a period containing significant structural breaks. The relevance of considering structural breaks in PPP tests is demonstrated by utilizing the Johansen et al. (2000) procedure that allows for up to two pre-de...
Article
Previous empirical studies on the Fisher hypothesis have focused on developed countries, thus leaving developing countries with no or very few studies. This paper tests the validity of the hypothesis for six Asian countries over the period 1978–2005 using a cointegration procedure developed by Gregory and Hansen (1996)16. Gregory , Allen W. and B...
Article
Full-text available
This paper tests real interest parity (RIP) for a group of industrialized countries using quarterly data on long-term and short-term interest rates from 1957:1 to 2003:1. The paper looks at such issues as the lack of power in the standard unit root tests, spans of data, the base country, and the high volatility of exchange rates under the current f...
Article
Previous studies on PPP have tested either the null hypothesis of non-stationary or the null of a stationary real exchange rate and used the US as the base country and focused on industrialized countries. It has been argued that testing either null is insufficient to confirm the presence of PPP. It has also been noticed that the results are sensiti...
Article
Full-text available
Previous studies on purchasing power parity (PPP), using unit root tests, have tested either the null hypothesis of a unit root or the null of stationary real exchange rate. It has been argued that using either approach is insufficient to confirm the existence or non-existence of PPP. To strengthen inferences made about a series, the two approaches...
Article
In this dissertation we tested the absolute version of PPP in six Asian countries: Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and the Philippines for the current float. Standard unit root tests and cointegration techniques are used to test PPP in the Asian countries. No evidence of real exchange rates stationarity is found when no time trend...

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