Sagiru Mati

Yusuf Maitama Sule University · Department of Economics

Reliable modeling of novel commutative cases of COVID-19 (CCC) is essential for determining hospitalization needs and providing the benchmark for health-related policies. The current study proposes multi-regional modeling of CCC cases for the first scenario using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) based on automatic routines (AUTOARIM...

This paper employs Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) modelling and doubling time to assess the effect of lockdown and reopening on the active COVID-19 cases (ACC) based on a sample from 29 February to 3 July 2020. Two models are estimated: one with a sample covering post-lockdown period only and another spanning both post-lockdown an...

Unlike previous studies, the current study uses oil price and inflationary shocks to assess the feasibility of actualizing the ECOWAS Vision 2020, which is aimed at creating a monetary union. With the help of the Blanchard and Quah (BQ) decomposition for a sample from 1975:05 to 2018:08, two sets of models are estimated: models for inflationary sho...

p align="center"> ABSTRACT This study operationalizes the Optimum Currency Area (OCA) to investigate the preparedness of Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) members to form a Monetary Union (MU). Inflation and output models are estimated, with the sample 1988:01 to 2017:12 for the former and 1967 to 2016 for the latter. Analyses of...

This study examines the degree and extent of exchange rate pass through into domestic consumer price inflation in the Nigerian economy between 1986Q1 and 2013Q1 using structural vector auto regression (SVAR) methodology. The results from impulse response analysis show that the exchange rate pass through to consumer prices is incomplete, higher in t...

The paper examines the impact of both oil and non-oil foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth in Nigeria for the period 1980. The paper employed ARDL Approach to Cointegration and conditional EC Model in order to ascertain the long run and short-run relationships between the two categories of FDI (oil and non-oil), investment, export and...

In this study, the impact of exchange rate volatility on Nigerian exports to Eurozone countries is investigated. Monthly export data from January 1999 to December 2016 was used. This study utilizes the bounds test approach to cointegration to analyze how exchange rate volatility exerts influence on Nigeria’s export to the Euro Area. GARCH (1,1) is...