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Introduction
I am Senior Researcher at CIRAD’s Environment and Societies Department, ART-Dev research unit. I amcurrently based at ISRA’s Centre de Recherches Agricoles in Saint-Louis, Senegal. I do conceptual and applied research in the discipline of anticipation. I contribute to various R&D project at territorial level mostly in Western Africa, contributing to develop their capacity to use the future to re-think the present through co-elaborative scenario building, and many more methods.
Additional affiliations
May 1992 - May 1996
Position
- Professor
Description
- Development and implementation of the CADIAC method (collaborative value chain analysis for action) in Central America
July 1998 - September 2007
ESCAP Centre for Alleviation of Poverty through Sustainable Agriculture (CAPSA)
Position
- Research Officer
Description
- Support to public policy decision making Training Expertise Development of methodologies (PPA, PACT)
June 1992 - May 1996
Position
- Professor
Description
- Economist in charge of the project "Development and Competitiveness of Agriculture in Central America" Technical co-operation, training and research activities in the field of agricultural policies Support to Governments in Central America in agricultural policy formulation and analysis, Development and implementation of the CADIAC method (collaborative value chain analysis for action)
Education
September 1984 - June 1988
Ecole Nationale Supérieure Agronomique de Montpellier
Field of study
- Rural Sociology and Economics
September 1980 - June 1984
Ecole Nationale Supérieure Agronomique de Montpellier
Field of study
- Agronomy
Publications
Publications (136)
Urgent calls to transform societies toward more sustainability make the practice of anticipation more and more necessary. The progressive development of computational technologies has opened room for a growing use of quantitative methods to explore the future of social-ecological systems, in addition to qualitative methods. This warrants investigat...
1 Calling on the concept of environmental justice in its distributive, procedural and recognition dimensions, we implemented a coelaborative scenario building approach to explore sustainable livelihoods pathways in four sites belonging to two Transfrontier Conservation Areas (TFCAs) in southern Africa.
2 Grounded on participation and transdisciplin...
Cet article est en accès libre jusqu'au 31 décembre 2022 sur https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/FS-08-2022-0090/full/html
Objectif
L'objectif visé est de nourrir les réflexions sur la colonisation du futur dans le présent en mettant particulièrement l’accent sur le continent africain. Nous visons à explorer comment la recherche pa...
Abstract The first wave of the COVID- 19 pandemic crisis introduced a sudden discontinuity into the functioning of human societies worldwide by affecting individual habits as well as economic and social life. This paper is a first attempt to investigate whether that discontinuity also altered our relationship to the future, in particular through th...
Le Sahel fait face à des défis majeurs en matière de sécurité alimentaire et de résilience climatique. Alors que les innovations agricoles sont cruciales pour les relever, un certain nombre d'entre elles peinent à se maintenir dans le temps et à être déployées à plus large échelle. Un cadre d'analyse développé par DISSEM-INN met en lumière des fact...
The Sahel faces significant challenges in terms of food security and climate resilience. Agricultural innovations are crucial to address these challenges, yet for many, ensuring they are sustained over time and deployed on a larger scale is proving difficult. A framework developed by DISSEM-INN highlights key factors to address these issues of inno...
La démarche d'innovation propre à ces projets-intitulée DeSI (Development Smart Innovation)-se caractérise par trois principes qui leur sont communs, à savoir : une approche multi-acteurs, en co-construction et pluridimensionnelle. Ce troisième principe de pluridimensionnalité indique que les projets n'innovent pas uniquement sur le plan technique,...
The Sahel faces significant challenges in terms of food security and climate resilience. Agricultural innovations are crucial to address these challenges, yet for many, ensuring they are sustained over time and deployed on a larger scale is proving difficult. An analytical framework, developed by DISSEM-INN and applied during a sub-regional worksho...
The innovation approach specific to these projects-called DeSI (Development Smart Innovation)-is characterised by three common principles: a multi-stakeholder approach that is co-constructed and multidimensional. The third principle, multidimensionality, indicates that the projects innovate not only on the technical level, but also on the organisat...
Entendu comme la dissémination des résultats au-delà des espaces et des groupes ciblés par un projet pour toucher d’autres populations dans d’autres espaces, le changement d’échelle est un enjeu crucial pour le développement durable au Sahel. Pour autant, il ne constitue pas un attendu de ces projets DeSIRAs, du fait de leur caractère « pilote », m...
Financé par l'AFD et coordonné par le Cirad, le projet « Dissémination des innovations en zone sahélienne (DISSEM-INN) » porte sur un ensemble de huit projets mis en oeuvre dans le cadre de l’initiative européenne DeSIRA se déroulant au Sahel. Ces projets visent à développer des systèmes agroalimentaires durables et résilients au changement climati...
One of iconic Africa's Big Five, the African buffalo is the largest African bovine or antelope that occurs throughout most of sub-Sahara and in a wide range of ecosystems from savanna to rainforest. The African buffalo is also one of the most successful large African mammals in terms of abundance and biomass. This species thus represents a powerful...
Voici une étude menée par l’ISRA BAME-BAME et le CIRAD qui explore, à travers une méthode participative avec les acteurs du territoire, les futurs possibles du département de Fatick et de la zone des Niayes au Sénégal et la place de l’agroécologie à l’horizon 2040. Elle s’inscrit dans une démarche d’engagement de la recherche dans la durée auprès d...
Le premier atelier régional DISSEM-INN avait permis de caractériser la démarche d'innovation propre à ces projets-intitulée DeSI (Dévelopment Smart Innovation)-selon des principes qu'ils partagent en commun pour obtenir de l'impact, à savoir : une approche multi-acteurs, en co-construction et pluridimensionnelle. Cette analyse a servi d'assise à l'...
À l’heure actuelle, les acteurs innovant dans le domaine agricole au Sénégal ne sont pas structurés au point de « faire système ». Face à ce constat, le MAERSA ambitionne de les fédérer en un système national d’innovation agricole (SNIA) performant à travers le projet TAP-AIS, lancé par l’initiative européenne DeSIRA. Pour l’appuyer dans sa démarch...
In southern Africa, residents of Transfrontier Conservation Areas practice small-scale farming in semi-arid environments constrained by the presence of protected areas and extensive wildlife/livestock/human interfaces that come with conflicts and opportunities. Under these contexts, livestock production aims at supporting local livelihoods despite...
Africa has managed to conserve an exceptional mammal diversity but is also facing an increasing demand for agricultural land to address a booming human population. Conserving natural resources while producing food in natural landscapes is a challenge that requires ecosystem health and social-ecological systems thinking.
A logo of the company Pro Su...
La recherche agricole pour le développement connaît une double évolution, endogène par l'accroissement et la complexification des projets sous impulsion des bailleurs ; et exogène par l'augmentation de l'imprévisibilité à l'aune de la multiplication des phénomènes de crises.
• Les cadres logiques demandent à intégrer des paramètres de choc et de r...
This article is on open access until December 31, 2022 at https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/FS-11-2021-0225/full/html
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to nurture reflections on the colonization of the future in the present with a particular focus on Africa. This paper aims at exploring how participatory research and particula...
In the midst of global change uncertainties, Indonesian spatial planning authorities are developing 20-year strategies. However, the lack of collaborative engagement of stakeholders and unclear methodology around using futures studies in addressing land management undermine such plans and affect environmental governance. A crucial question is how t...
Key findings and conclusions of a study on the futures ot the Sikasso region in Mali supported by GIZ and implemented by CIRAD and IER and ISH in Mali with the collaboration of the Conseil Régional de Sikasso.
Ce rapport technique a été produit sous la coordination de Camille Jahel, de l'unité de recherche Tetis du CIRAD.
Le territoire des Niayes, dont est issu la plus grande partie des produits maraichers du Sénégal, fait face à une diminution du niveau de sa nappe superficielle et à une réduction des terres agricoles, notamment du fait de l’urbanisat...
The Capacity to Decolonise is an IDRC research project at the intersection of futures studies, decolonial theory and participatory action research. The present research document introduces the relevance of 1) adopting a capacity-based approach to futures in a context where the images of the future and the ability to create them remain strongly affe...
This is the software used for recording the results of structural analysis and displaying them on Influence/Dependence graphs. It is used in the implementation of the co-elaborative scenario building work associated to Participatory Prospective Analysis for the identification and selection of the driving forces.
Cette note méthodologique compare les méthodes de co-élaboration participative de scénario et ImpresS exante, couramment utilisées au CIRAD. Elle permet de comprendre les spécificités de chaque méthode, leurs similitudes et leurs différences. Elle s'adresse à tout utilisateur potentiel de l'une ou l'autre de ces méthodes.
The nature of the relationship between the European Union (EU) and Africa is in permanent evolution. Historically, the EU mostly dominated the relationship while Africa developed adaptive/reactive strategies. With the establishment of new powers as well as efforts to decolonise the thought and practise of North-South interactions, it is crucial to...
This is the software used for recording the results of the strcutural analysis of mutual direct influnences between all forces of change. It includes automatic graphs for visualising the results.
For detailed explanations regarding how to use it, refer to the guide to which this file is appended.
Video presented at the African Commons IASC 2020 Web Conference:
https://youtu.be/enavoAl0Igk
Summary:
In the Niayes region, part of Senegal’s drylands, population growth, extractive activities, and irrigated agriculture, with a background of climate change, lead to the depletion of natural resources on which people depend for their livelihood. W...
This report presents the results of a serious playshop on the Futures of Governance in Africa, hold on Thursday 26th and Friday 27th , September 2019 at the University of Pretoria Future Africa campus. This event was organized within the framework of a GovInn research activity on the Futures of Governance and the Governance of the Future. It brough...
In a context where 200 million more people are expected to live in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) alone by 2050, the question of the futures of SSA rural migration is of crucial importance in a region which so far as remained essentially rural, in spite of a growing urbanization process. The first aim of this paper is to undertake a comprehensive review...
En Afrique de l’Ouest, dans le contexte général de changement climatique et de mondialisation, la croissance démographique exerce une pression accrue sur les ressources naturelles par les changements d’affectation des sols qu’elle engendre. L’avenir des territoires agricoles, en particulier en périphérie des grandes villes, est alors questionné fac...
Il s'agit d'un court article écrit pour Le Démeter 2019 à la demande des éditeurs. J'y analyse brièvement les conditions d'occurrence des mobilités africaines en explorant les causes de ce qui pourrait être appelé "mobilité de détresse" et quelques implications.
Sub-Saharan Africa has a long history of internal and international migratory movements. Migration patterns and dynamics from, to and between rural areas are profoundly differentiated across regions, and flows have considerably evolved over time. Yet, more recently, rural migration takes place in the unique situation of a major rural and urban demo...
Every second year, the Centre for the Study of Governance Innovation (GovInn) hosts 'GovInn Week', a week-long series of events and seminars on the various research programmes running at the Centre. The GovInn Week offers the opportunity to learn from others, to share our results and develop interactions about governance. One of the events of the G...
Concentrant 60% de la production horticole du Sénégal (Fare et al., 2017), la bande côtière entre Dakar et Saint-Louis, appelée zone des Niayes, est un territoire agricole d’intérêt majeur pour le pays. L’avenir des Niayes se trouve cependant menacé face à l’émergence
de nouvelles dynamiques. La baisse du niveau de la nappe et sa salinisation prog...
This is a review of Riel Miller's book .
Can be accessed freely at https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ffo2.2
The paper emphasizes key lessons learnt about a research intervention implemented from 2006 to 2009 to solve water access conflicts in the Klaten irrigated rice production area (Central Java, Indonesia). To make stakeholders' involvement easier, to empower them and build their capacity, action research was carried out according to a flexible and it...
The Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) initiated the GCS-Tenure project in Indonesia, Uganda and Peru conducted the study to analyze the relationships between statutory and customary land tenure and how these relationships affect tenure security of forest-dependent communities, including women and other marginalized groups. Using a...
Fin 2014, la division Recherches et Développement (RED) de l’Agence Française de Développement
(AFD) lançait un appel d’offre pour une étude « Prospective territoriale sur les dynamiques démographiques
et le développement rural en Afrique subsaharienne et à Madagascar ». L’AFD cherchait à
promouvoir une approche intégrée et multisectorielle des ter...
Les pays d'Afrique subsaharienne sont aujourd'hui confrontés à des défis inédits, notamment démographiques, pour parvenir à opérer une véritable transformation structurelle de leur économie. Les enjeux sont nationaux, mais se déclinent à des échelles infranationales emboîtées. Mieux comprendre les contextes locaux, les dynamiques démographiques à c...
The complexity of the drivers of rural migration in SSA makes it impossible to predict how many people will migrate, why, who they will be, or where they will go. Yet, it is possible to explore how this complex system of interdependent forces could evolve, and to engage in proactive decisions and actions. SSA rural migrants are unlikely to be in a...
The link between climate change and rural migration is complex. Several entangled, often self-reinforcing factors are at play. The combination of climatic events and other natural, social, political and economic factors affect populations living in already vulnerable and fragile environments. Understanding how climate change interacts with other mi...
Actionable foresight for food and agriculture faces the double challenge of including, and impacting on multiple stakeholders. We present here a state of the art of participation, stakeholder inclusion and impact of 38 recent foresight studies on food and agriculture. All cases were selected through a worldwide survey in seven languages, a bibliogr...
Ce chapitre présente les principes et les perspectives d'approches prospectives réalisées en Afrique subsaharienne, positionnées non pas aux échelles nationales et internationales, mais à l'échelle de territoires infra-nationaux. Ici, il s'agit de grandes régions administratives : produits d'une construction sociale et politique parfois ancienne, e...
https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/89642
This chapter presents the principles and perspectives of foresight approaches in sub Saharan Africa positioned at the level of sun-national territories rather than at national and international levels. We refer here to large administrative regions, products of a social and political structure that often goes many decades. For this historical reason...
At a time where the amount of food produced worldwide is sufficient to feed all, the number of food-insecure people remains high. This article presents an analysis of a number of futures studies on food and agriculture, at both local and global scale, and using quantitative and qualitative methods, with a specific focus on how they frame and addres...
Ce rapport est un des produits de l’étude « Prospective territoriale sur les dynamiques démographiques et le développement rural en Afrique subsaharienne et à Madagascar » menée dans deux régions d’Afrique : la région de Ségou au Mali et la région de Vakinankaratra à Madagascar. Il s’agit du diagnostic territorial rétrospectif de la Région de Ségou...
Ce rapport est un des produits de l’étude « Prospective territoriale sur les dynamiques démographiques et le développement rural en Afrique subsaharienne et à Madagascar » menée dans deux régions d’Afrique : la région de Ségou au Mali et la région de Vakinankaratra à Madagascar.
Il s’agit du compte rendu de l’atelier de prospective participative «...
Ce rapport est un des produits de l’étude « Prospective territoriale sur les dynamiques démographiques et le développement rural en Afrique subsaharienne et à Madagascar » menée dans deux régions d’Afrique : la région de Ségou au Mali et la région de Vakinankaratra à Madagascar.
Il s’agit du compte rendu de l’atelier de prospective participative «...
Ce rapport est un des produits de l’étude « Prospective territoriale sur les dynamiques démographiques et le développement rural en Afrique subsaharienne et à Madagascar » menée dans deux régions d’Afrique : la région de Ségou au Mali et la région de Vakinankaratra à Madagascar. Il s’agit du diagnostic territorial rétrospectif de la Région du Vakin...
El futuro es impredecible pero tenemos el poder de cambiarlo. El futuro puede ser anticipado, explorado y
es posible cambiar su trayectoria. A esto es a lo que se dedican los Estudios de Futuro. Las personas pueden
pensar al futuro a través de diversos medios, con objetivos diferentes, con el fin de reducir las incertidumbres
y prepararse para lo q...
El futuro es impredecible pero tenemos el poder de cambiarlo. El futuro puede ser anticipado, explorado y
es posible cambiar su trayectoria. A esto es a lo que se dedican los Estudios de Futuro. Las personas pueden
pensar al futuro a través de diversos medios, con objetivos diferentes, con el fin de reducir las incertidumbres
y prepararse para lo q...
El futuro es impredecible pero tenemos el poder de cambiarlo. El futuro puede ser anticipado, explorado y
es posible cambiar su trayectoria. A esto es a lo que se dedican los Estudios de Futuro. Las personas pueden
pensar al futuro a través de diversos medios, con objetivos diferentes, con el fin de reducir las incertidumbres
y prepararse para lo q...
This glossary was produced by volunteer members of the Forward Thinking Platform, a network of foresight practitioners from different sectors and disciplines, supported by the Global Forum on Agricultural Research (GFAR). It is the product of a collective venture which included two rounds of peer-review and a user pretest to improve its relevance,...
The future of rural areas is unpredictable, but it can be explored. This article draws from selected Futures Studies to identify global trends and discontinuities in these trends that could affect rural areas in contrasting ways. These drivers are combined to explore plausible rural transformations, focusing on two major dimensions. One is rooted i...
Agricultural Innovation Platforms are usually described as ways to bring together different stakeholders to share information, identify solutions to common problems, and agree on joint activities or to achieve common goals. In the agri-food sector there is increasing energy and commitment to Innovation Platforms as a mechanism to meet agricultural...
The recommendations from this workshop are organized in three sections: 1) Setting the scene, 2) The three most debated family farming research issues and, 3) The role of research in the evolution of family farming as part of the food system: what priorities, methods and governance?
This glossary was produced by volunteer members of the Forward Thinking Platform, a network of foresight
practitioners from different sectors and disciplines, supported by the Global Forum on Agricultural Research
(GFAR). It is the product of a collective venture which included two rounds of peer-review and a user pretest
to improve its relevance,...
At the recent Agrifuture Days 2014 Conference held at Villach, Austria 130 participants from 35 countries discussed " Information and Communications Technologies Improving Family Farming ". They considered the directions family farming across the world was evolving, the development in Information and Communications Technologies (ICTs), the impact t...
The post-2015 development framework and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) will present
new opportunities and carry significant implications for the established model of official development
assistance (ODA), with its emphasis on the role of Aid and donor-recipient relations.
Changes in the development assistance, in turn, carry significant impli...
Producing more, with less, is the consensus to solve the current food security equation of feeding a projected nine billion people by 2050 under growing water scarcity, energy competition and land degradation constraints. This wide consensus however can be challenged by the outcomes of other future studies. The purpose of this article is to use a w...
Rubber has been grown in Southern Thailand for many decades. Now a day the rubber sector faces
several challenges such as land use changes, labor constraints, and price fluctuation inducing changes in the
structure of the agricultural system. The aim of this paper is to analyze how Thai rubber farms evolved in this
changing environment. A purposive...
My intention in this paper is to apply a constructive destruction process to a couple of hot issues in agriculture. These issues are respectively food security, sustainable intensification and quantophrenia.