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The forecast of Indian monsoon droughts has been predicated on the notion of a season-long rainfall deficit linked to a warm equatorial Pacific. Here we show that nearly half of all droughts over the past century differ from this paradigm in that they (i) occur when Pacific temperatures are near-neutral and (ii) are subseasonal phenomena, character...
The forecast of Indian monsoon droughts has been predicated on the notion of a season-long rainfall deficit linked to warm anomalies in the equatorial Pacific. Here, we show that in fact nearly half of all droughts over the past century were sub-seasonal, and characterized by an abrupt decline in late-season rainfall. Furthermore, the potential dri...
This work addresses the variability in space and time in India and tropical region in response to El-Nino phenomenon in the Pacific. Data used is station rainfall data over India (1901-2014) and GPCP, Reanalysis data (1979-2016).