Predrag Duric

Predrag Duric
Independent Consultant

MD, MSc, PhD in Public Health, Epidemiologist

About

324
Publications
46,739
Reads
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232
Citations
Introduction
Predrag Duric is an independent consultant in public health. He worked for 14 years at the University of Novi Sad. Between 2016 and 2018 he was a lecturer at the Institute for Global Health and Development, Queen Margaret University Edinburgh and a Honorary Associate Lecturer at the same university until 2021. He is an active member of the Global Fund's Technical Review Panel.
Additional affiliations
January 2020 - present
The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria
Position
  • Active member - Strategic investment and sustainable financing
September 2019 - present
GFA Consulting Group
Position
  • Group Leader
September 2018 - April 2019
Doctors Without Borders
Position
  • Project Manager
Education
October 2006 - September 2008
University of Novi Sad
Field of study
  • Public health
April 2002 - May 2005
University of Novi Sad
Field of study
  • Epidemiology
October 2001 - September 2003
University of Novi Sad
Field of study
  • Medicine

Publications

Publications (324)
Article
Full-text available
Introduction. Congenital syphilis occurs when the infection is transmitted from the mother to the fetus. A number of researches have shown that Treponema pallidum can be transmitted from the mother to the fetus as early as in the tenth week of pregnancy. Infection in pregnancy can cause abortion in early pregnancy, congenital anomalies, stillbirth,...
Article
Scientific contribution in high-impact journals is largely from authors affiliated with institutions in high-income countries (HICs). Publication of papers by contribution of individual countries to leading journals can provide a picture of the most influential countries in a particular discipline. The aim of the study was to identify changes in th...
Article
Full-text available
Background: Tuberculosis is one of the greatest global health concerns and disease management is challenging particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Despite improvements in addressing this epidemic in Georgia, tuberculosis remains a significant public health concern due to sub-optimal patient management. Low remuneration for specialists,...
Article
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Background: Tanzania remains among the countries with the highest burden of infectious diseases (notably HIV, Malaria and Tuberculosis) during pregnancy. In response, the country adopted World Health Organization’s (WHO) latest antenatal care (ANC) guidelines which recommend comprehensive services including diagnostic screening and treatment for pr...
Article
Full-text available
Background: Globally, an estimated 257 million people are living with chronic hepatitis B (HBV) infection and an estimated 71 million people with the chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV). The true public health dimensions and impact of hepatitis epidemics are poorly understood. Case definitions are fundamental parts of disease surveillance, representin...
Article
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Seasonal influenza vaccination is one of the most important tools of prevention. Countries currently use many different methodologies to measure national influenza vaccine coverage in populations at higher risk. The study uses two main data sources: The European Health Interview Survey (EHIS) (collected by Eurostat) and OECD statistics, and compare...
Article
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Background: Vulnerable individuals with tuberculosis (TB) struggle to access and stay on treatment. While patient-related and social barriers to TB treatment adherence are well documented, less is known about how the organisation and delivery of TB care influences adherence behaviour. Aim: To examine the influence of TB service organisation and...
Article
Aim To assess and compare general practitioners' (GPs’) views of diagnosing and treating depression in five southeastern European countries. Methods A cross‐sectional study was conducted in Albania, Bulgaria, Moldova, Romania, and Serbia. The sample included 467 GPs who completed a hard‐copy self‐administered questionnaire, consisting of self‐asse...
Article
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Work-related injuries occurring during informal work often go unreported, yet lead to significant mortality and contribute substantially to disease burden due to injury-related disability. In Serbia, injury is a leading cause of death, with work-related injuries comprising a significant proportion. This study explored the frequency of and risk fact...
Conference Paper
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‘Doctor Justice’ is a comics developed by Jean Ollivier and Carlo Marcello in 1970. During the next 24 years 155 episodes were published in France (in PIF magazine, with several hundred thousands readers, in the magazine ‘Dr. Justice’ and in comic albums), but also in Germany, Spain, Greece, the Netherlands, Italy, Yugoslavia, Hungary, Romania, Cze...
Article
Full-text available
Background. The intermittent preventive treatment (IPTp) policy of Malawi (2002) stipulates that IPTp is administered during antenatal care as a direct observation therapy (DOT). The policy further recommends that IPT should be administered monthly after 16 weeks of pregnancy until delivery. This study assessed both the demand and supply factors co...
Article
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In 1969, the World Health Organization (WHO) gave the following definition of the drug: “Drugs are any substance that, inserted into the body, can modify one or more functions.” The main goal of our research was to self-assess the level of discrimination by injecting drug users by medical personnel. A cross-section study was conducted, which includ...
Article
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Aim: The Public Health Reform II project was implemented in Bosnia and Herzegovina from December 2011 to December 2013 and was funded by the European Union Aid schema. The principal aim of the project was to strengthen public health services in the country through improved control of public health threats. Workshops for primary care physicians were...
Article
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Background Despite a non-decreasing HIV epidemic, international donors are soon expected to withdraw funding from Kazakhstan. Here we analyze how allocative, implementation, and technical efficiencies could strengthen the national HIV response under assumptions of future budget levels. Methodology We used the Optima model to project future scenari...
Data
Calibration of Optima to the HIV epidemic in Kazakhstan. Using all available demographic, epidemiological, behavioral, and clinical data we calibrated Optima to the HIV epidemic in Kazakhstan between 2000 and 2014. This was achieved by varying input parameters within their uncertainty bounds such that model projections were within the uncertainty b...
Data
Calibration of model to ART scale-up data in Kazakhstan. Black discs represent available data for the number of people on first and subsequent lines of anti-retroviral treatment. The solid pink curve is the best fitting simulation and the shaded pink region represents the range of uncertainty simulations. (DOCX)
Data
Relationships between program costs and associated programmatic outcomes for the range of programs and target populations modelled. These curves are the result of combining the intermediate cost-coverage and coverage-outcome relationships for each programmatic outcome. These relationships were defined during a workshop held in November 2014 in Yere...
Data
Uncertainty around optimal allocations. An uncertainty analysis was undertaken to determine how uncertainties in both model calibration and cost-outcome relationships impacted on allocation recommendations. Forty baseline model simulations were sampled from an ensemble of projections within the uncertainty bounds of the model calibration, as were 4...
Article
Full-text available
Objectives: To assess the awareness and attitudes related to blood transfusion safety among blood donors from the Autonomous Province (AP) Vojvodina, Republic of Serbia. Background: Blood donors are at the initial point of safe blood transfusion systems. The active participation of blood donors in the selection process contributes to increasing...
Article
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Objective – To compare trends in traffic injury-related deaths among children in Croatia and Serbia from 1995 to 2010. Participants and methods – We used vital statistics mortality data from the Republic of Croatia Central Bureau of Statistics prepared by the Croatian National Institute of Public Health. Population estimates were provided by the Re...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Croatia is a South Eastern European country with a low-prevalence HIV epidemic and a long tradition of a successful national HIV response even before the Global Fund project, which lasted from 2003 and 2006. The first Croatian National Commission for Combating HIV/AIDS was established by the Ministry of Health (MoH) in 1992. The National Programme...
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Objective – To compare trends in traffic injury-related deaths among children in Croatia and Serbia from 1995 to 2010. Participants and methods – We used vital statistics mortality data from the Republic of Croatia Central Bureau of Statistics prepared by the Croatian National Institute of Public Health. Population estimates were provided by the Re...
Technical Report
Full-text available
With a moderate increase of the investment volume until 2020 combined with an optimised investment allocation the national HIV response in Uzbekistan can be brought on a trajectory which fulfls the basic rights to access to all essential HIV services for those in need and makes ending the epidemic threat of HIV/AIDS in Uzbekistan a realistic goal i...