
Pierangelo Isernia- Ph.D University of Padua, Italy
- Professor (Full) at University of Siena
Pierangelo Isernia
- Ph.D University of Padua, Italy
- Professor (Full) at University of Siena
About
104
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Introduction
My research interests focus on public opinion and foreign and security policy, Anti-Americanism, European integration and deliberative theory and the role of deliberative polls in studying attitude change. I am also interested in forecasting methodologies, with particular reference to applications of Delphi method and scenario building.
Current institution
Publications
Publications (104)
The datasets on the Italian political class provides two sets of information: (a) census data on a broad spectrum of individual-level variables on elected politicians, offering an updated mapping of the characteristics of more than 20,000 Italian representatives at all governmental levels; (b) survey data on politicians' attitudes towards elections...
This article explores how populist attitudes are correlated with foreign policy postures at the public level in four European countries: France, Germany, Great Britain, and Italy. We provide first evidence adjudicating between two rivalling perspectives. One perspective focuses on the ideational core of populism and argues that it entails substanti...
This article provides a systematic overview of what Italians think of the war in Ukraine, relying on an analysis of the polls conducted over the first 17 months of the conflict. Italians are worried about the war but the issue is not a priority. Most Italians blame Russia, but they do so to a lesser extent than do other Europeans and the assigned r...
Come ha reagito l'opinione pubblica italiana di fronte all'invasione militare dell'Ucraina da parte della Russia? Quali politiche, secondo i nostri cittadini, l'Italia dovrebbe realizzare per sostenere l'Ucraina a resistere a tale aggressione? Quali implicazioni e scenari gli italiani prevedono per il futuro? E, infine, da che parte stanno gli ital...
This report presents the results of twelve focus groups carried out in six European countries (France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Spain, and Poland) and addressing topics of concern for the study of EU foreign security and defence policy. In particular, participants were engaged in discussions on three main topics: (1) the most pressing international...
The Mediterranean region is widely acknowledged as one of the most exposed in the world to the effects of climate change, water scarcity, biodiversity loss and land degradation, coupled with a nutrition transition of its populations. In such a context, to explore the evolution of the region is of both political and theoretical interest. This study...
This study offers an inventory of elite and public opinion surveys on EU foreign and security policy (EUFSP). It first provides an analytical overview of the most relevant literature and data on the topic while exploring the theme of foreign and security policy from the angle of political elites' attitudes and beliefs. In the second section, it foc...
The article investigates the voting determinants for partners of the first populist government in Western Europe, the first Conte cabinet. Although the Five Star Movement (FSM) and the League share a common populist root, they differ in their ideological morphology: the FSM embodies an almost pure populism with inclusionary tendencies, while the Le...
● Introduzione. Covid-19 e disinformazione (Maria Giovanna Sessa)
● C come cospirazione. Attitudini populiste e teorie del complotto ai tempi del Covid (Antonella Seddone, Giuliano Bobba, Moreno Mancosu e Federico Vegetti)
● O come opinione pubblica. Covid-19, fiducia politica e politiche di contenimento della pandemia (Pierangelo Isernia e Sergi...
Innumeracy, that is, the inability to deal with numbers and provide correct estimates about political issues, is reported to be widespread among the public. Yet, despite the recognition that a conspiracy mindset is an increasingly common phenomenon in Western democracies, this has not been considered as a potential correlate of innumeracy. Using da...
Governments across the globe are facing the challenge of balancing the protection of their citizens' health with the need to contain the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, we examine public opinion preferences for different strategies factoring in economic and health costs, in Italy. We embedded a discrete choice experim...
Studies of demand-side populism with a focus on attitudinal and behavioral factors are becoming more popular, but only a few have explored the phenomenon's psychological determinants. We tackle the lack of conversation between populism scholars and political psychologists and test the impact of conspiracy beliefs, moral disengagement, need for cogn...
This article explores people’s preferences for different containment strategies and policy programmes for managing COVID‐19 risks. Using a survey experiment administered to an online sample of 1’562 Italian respondents in April 2020, we test whether and to what extent individual preferences are influenced by different framings of equivalent scenari...
The COVID-19 pandemic has deeply impacted economies, societies and political systems worldwide. Culture as a sector and as a practice in international relations has not been exempted either. Indeed, the social, political and economic characteristics of the pandemic have had deep implications for culture and its role in international relations. Prel...
Appendices to the Study: The Assessment of the Impact of COVID-19 on the Cultural and Creative Sectors in EU’s Partner Countries, Policy Responses and their Implications for International Cultural Relations
Since the last review of public opinion on European defense policy and NATO concluded that Europeans wanted both European defense integration and a continuing commitment to NATO, the EU has almost doubled in size and new initiatives have been launched to develop a Common Security and Defense Policy (CSDP). We reexamine these issues and trace public...
The chapter discusses how an unprecedented series of crises has challenged the fabric of the European Union straining its mechanisms of representation and decision-making
This book explores the mechanisms of political representation and accountability in the European political system, against the backdrop of multiple crises in recent years in the economic, financial, security and immigration fields, which have triggered strong tensions and centrifugal drives inside the EU and among its Member states.
Exploiting a r...
The final chapter of the book discusses the prospects of the European Union after a period of crises. Diffrent scenarios from status quo to significant transformations are examined and their probability assessed
The Common Security and Defense Policy of the European Union has recently come to the forefront as a potential force of integration. This study explores the consequences (if any) of such a move, investigating how likely it is for Common Security and Defense Policy to be politicized and become a new area of dissent. The article explores conditions o...
This report is organized into three sections. The first section presents two alternative scenarios based on the analysis of the main trends. The second section discusses what policy options are considered feasible and/or desirable to address the challenges raised by these trends. The final section presents the main conclusions and recommendations....
Research demonstrates the multi-dimensional nature of American identity arguing that the normative content of American identity relates to political ideologies in the United States, but the sense of belonging to the nation does not. This paper replicates that analysis and extends it to the German and British cases. Exploratory structural equation m...
This report was prepared by Pierangelo Isernia and Ornella Urso at the Department of Social, Political and Cognitive Sciences (DISPOC) at the University of Siena and by Hayk Gyuzalyan and Aleksandra Wilczynska at the Kantar Public Brussels, and was funded by the European Asylum Support Office (EASO) under the contract EASO/2016/461. The authors wou...
Italian foreign politics is facing tough challenges in the near future. For more than 60 years, the Italian foreign policy compass was set on two poles, the European Union and the United States. Sometimes alternatively, much more often conjointly, these two polar stars oriented each and every Italian government’s choice since the end of Second Worl...
This paper examines similarities and differences along four fundamental dimensions on which to compare American and European attitudes on foreign policy issues: perceptions of threat, sense of common we-feelings, support for Atlantic partnership and institutions and orientation toward the use of military force. The comparison is conducted in parall...
Report prepared under the Partnership Agreement between the University of Siena,
Department of Social, Political and Cognitive Sciences, and the European Union National
Institutes for Culture / EUNIC Global under the framework of Crossroads for Culture:
Enhancing EU Member states transnational and international cooperation, Working Package 1
– Cult...
While scrutinizing the evolution of people’s preferences over time, the paper examines the micro-foundational mechanisms of the determinants of support for or opposition to Britain’s departure from the EU in comparative perspective. In doing this, the paper first attempts to identify the factors that influenced European public’s approval of the UK’...
The US policy of ‘rebalancing to Asia’ is likely to have major implications for transatlantic relations as well as for the role of rising powers, such as China. US public opinion and leaders are largely aware of this eastward shift in attention and this awareness can be considered, albeit in a somewhat indirect way, an indicator of support for the...
Hardcover During the last two decades the study of European foreign policy has experienced remarkable growth, presumably reflecting a more significant international role of the European Union. The Union has significantly expanded its policy portfolio and though empty symbolic politics still exists, the Union's international relations have become mo...
Special Offer-30% off with this flyer Philip Everts has worked at the Universities of Groningen and Leiden, The Netherlands. His research focuses on the role of public opinion in international affairs in democratic societies, particularly with respect to the use of military force. His books and articles on this theme include Public Opinion,The Chur...
Ever since public opinion became a powerful force in politics (and, probably, even before that), a vexing question for scholars as well as policymakers has been to determine and interpret to what degree and under what conditions the public is prepared to support the use of military force.
To understand the present state of public opinion in an Atlantic context, it is necessary to take a more long-term historical perspective. The interest in the role of public opinion in foreign policy has grown steadily since the end of World War II. In Chapter 1 we began our analysis by offering an overview of the interaction between the research p...
Measuring support for, or opposition to, the international use of force is not an easy matter. As earlier research (Mueller, 1973; Larson, 1996a; Everts and Isernia 2001; Feaver and Gelpi, 2004) has shown, people are particularly sensitive to the circumstances under, and purposes for, which the use of force is either envisaged or actually taking pl...
The history of transatlantic relations makes abundantly clear that Europeans and Americans, while sharing many interests, values and views, have often also had divergent ideas on specific policies. While this is hardly disputed, several scholars and commentators further claim that, with developments such as the end of the Cold War and the growing u...
Measuring support for or opposition to the international use of force is not an easy matter. As earlier research (e.g., Mueller, 1973; Larson, 1996a; Everts and Isernia 2001; Feaver and Gelpi, 2004) has shown, people are particularly sensitive to the circumstances under and purposes for which the use of force is either envisaged or actually taking...
It is perhaps inevitable that proponents of each of the various views on the causes and nature of the alleged transatlantic divide will look for — and sometimes find — arguments and data from public opinion research results that tend to confirm their own differing hypotheses. At the same time, the core issue of where and why American and European p...
Though the impact of deliberative polling on attitude change has received ample atten- tion in the literature, micro models of attitude change before, during, and after delib- eration are understudied. The relative strength of three competing views of the way attitudes change—the heuristics, systematic, and deliberative models—is assessed, using th...
This special issue focuses on EuroPolis, a unique experiment in ‘deliberative democracy’ at the European level convened in Brussels soon before the 2009 European Parliamentary Elections. A European wide random sample of the 27 member countries at the time was gathered to deliberate about two key issues--climate change and immigration as well as its...
Paper prepared for presentation at the 37th Annual Scientific Meeting of the International Society of Political Psychology (ISPP), Roma -Italy, July 4-6, 2014 -Panel on Political discussion, deliberative processes, and ways of understanding Contacting Author:
Research suggests that the rightist discourse on immigration appeals to left-leaning citizens with lower levels of education. The opposite is, however, not true for right-wing voters with lower educational levels, and this asymmetry leaves left-wing parties at a disadvantage compared with the right on immigration and integration issues. Deliberativ...
This chapter discusses three set of issues related to European identity. It first reviews the existing theoretical and empirical literature on European identity, organizing it around two major perspective, the neofunctionalist and the identitarian one. Second, it discusses the different ways European identity has been measured over time and it trac...
Since the rise of mass politics, the role national identities play in international relations has been debated. Do they produce a popular reservoir easily tapped for war or bestow dignity thereby fostering cooperation and a democratic peace? The evidence for either perspective is thin, beset by different conceptions of identity and few efforts to i...
A discussion of the meaning of citizenship in a multilevel polity. Citizenship and its dimensions
In this article, we present the results of a deliberative polling experiment conducted in March 2007 with a sample of inhabitants of the province of Turin on two issues: the high-speed train connecting France to Italy (TAV) and the right to vote for legal non-EU immigrants in local elections. Following the standard design of deliberative poll, we r...
This article analyzes a period usually neglected in empirical studies of public opinion and European integration: the formative years between the early 1950s and the late 1960s. The analysis is based on one country – Italy – in which the European process was a source of deep political cleavage in the formative phase. The study of the sources and...
In this article, we present the results of a deliberative polling experiment conducted in March 2007 with a sample of inhabitants of the province of Turin on two issues: the high-speed train connecting France to Italy (TAV) and the right to vote for legal non-EU immigrants in local elections. Following the standard design of deliberative poll, we r...
Interest in the role of public opinion in foreign policy has grown steadily since the end of the Second World War. We distinguish at least three different waves of research on this topic and examine two main components of the present policy debate: the need for an Atlantic community and agreement on the means to reach common goals. As to the first...
The American Presidential election in November 2004 has heightened interest in the impact of public opinion on foreign policy. One of the more specific questions is what the consequences of the re-election of President Bush will or could be in this connection. Nowhere is this truer than on both sides of the Atlantic given the differences that have...
A study of how Europe is viewed from Italy. An analysis of elite and mass opinion on the EU
It is often argued today that a deep and troublesome gap across the Atlantic has been developing and that Europeans and Americans no longer share the same view of the world. On the basis of data gathered in the 2002 Transatlantic Trends Survey, held in the USA and six European countries, this article assesses whether there is indeed such a gap at t...
Un certain nombre de travaux de sciences sociales ont tot mis en evidence un paradigme "familaliste-paroissial-localiste" pour caracteriser la culture politique italienne. Ce paradigme a ete soumis a la critique dans les annees 90. Cet article se propose de le tester empiriquement sur la base des sondages disponibles. Il en ressort que le sentiment...
The aggregate changes in public opinion attitudes toward foreign policy issues in three West European countries during the cold war decades (1954-1990) are analyzed. The stability hypothesis is addressed from different angles to ascertain the amount of change in public opinion attitudes toward foreign policy issues in France, Germany, and Italy. Re...
Chapter 1 Old or New Ball Game? Mass Media, Public Opinion, and Foreign Policy in the Post-Cold War World Part 2 Part I: The Media and Foreign Policy Chapter 3 Declarations of Independence: The Growth of Media Power after the Cold War Chapter 4 Media and Public Sphere without Borders? News Coverage and Power from Kurdistan to Kosovo Chapter 5 New I...
Introduzione
La guerra contro la Repubblica Federale di Jugoslavia ha evidenziato i problemi della politica estera italiana degli anni '90. Con non più del 40% dell'opinione pubblica stabilmente a favore dei raid aerei contro la Serbia ed il Kosovo, una veemente opposizione del Vaticano e del Papa in prima persona ed una maggioranza di governo divi...
A study in the crisis of the Italian party system of the first republic