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Introduction
Philippe's interests regard climate change in general (physical changes, impacts, GHG emissions)
Skills and Expertise
Publications
Publications (35)
The completion of the Sixth Assessment Cycle of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provides a unique opportunity to understand where the world stands on climate change-related risks to natural and human systems, at the global level as well as for specific regions and sectors. Since its Third Assessment Report, released two decades...
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports provide policy-relevant insights about climate impacts, vulnerabilities and adaptation through a process of peer-reviewed literature assessments underpinned by expert judgement. An iconic output from these assessments is the burning embers diagram, first used in the Third Assessment Repor...
The CORDEX.be project created the foundations for Belgian climate services by producing high-resolution Belgian
climate information that (a) incorporates the expertise of the different Belgian climate modeling groups and
that (b) is consistent with the outcomes of the international CORDEX (“COordinated Regional Climate Downscaling
Experiment”) proj...
L’adaptation au changement climatique : une question de sociétés / sous la direction d’Agathe Euzen, Bettina Laville et Stéphanie Thiébault ; [avant-propos de Alain Fuchs] ; [préfaces de Bettina Laville et Monique Barbut]. – Paris : CNRS Éditions, 2017. – 409 p. – 1 vol. broché de 15 × 23 cm. – 24,00 €. – isbn 978-2-271-09482-7.
The reasons for concern framework communicates scientific understanding about risks in relation to varying levels of climate change. The framework, now a cornerstone of the IPCC assessments, aggregates global risks into five categories as a function of global mean temperature change. We review the framework's conceptual basis and the risk judgments...
Over the last decades, bulk microphysics schemes with prognostic hydrometeors were developed for numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. As enhanced computational resources enable climate models to operate at horizontal grid resolution comparable to NWP, it also becomes desirable to integrate them using improved microphysics approximations. Howe...
STAES, J., WILLEMS Patrick, MARBAIX Philippe, VREBOS Dirk, BAL Kris, MEIRE Patrick.
This article was submitted without an abstract, please refer to the
full-text PDF file.
The aviation sector is one of the fastest growing sectors in the world, and its recent inclusion in the EU-ETS aims at limiting the growth of its CO 2 emissions. However this policy does not take into account the non- CO2 effects of aviation, including the impact of NOx on ozone and methane as well as condensation trails (contrails) and their evolu...
This article was submitted without an abstract, please refer to the full-text PDF file.
This article was submitted without an abstract, please refer to the full-text PDF file.
In this paper we analyze the negotiation strategy of the European Union regarding the formation of an international climate agreement for the post-2012 era. We use game theoretical stability concepts to explore incentives for key players in the climate policy game to join future climate agreements. We compare a minus 20 percent unilateral commitmen...
In this paper we analyze the negotiation strategy of the European Union regarding the formation of an international climate agreement for the post-2012 era. We use game theoretical stability concepts to explore incentives for key players in the climate policy game to join future climate agreements. We compare a minus 20 percent unilateral commitmen...
Local-scale climate information is increasingly needed for the study of past, present and future climate changes. In this study we develop a non-linear statistical downscaling method to generate local temperatures and precipitation values from large-scale variables of a Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity (here CLIMBER). Our statistical d...
With the highest density of people and the greatest concentration of economic activity located in the coastal regions, sea level rise is an important concern as the climate continues to warm. Subsequent flooding may potentially disrupt industries, populations, and livelihoods, particularly in the long term if the climate is not quickly stabilized [...
As the computer resources increases, regional climate simulations can be investigated at finer horizontal resolutions in order to improve the representation of surface characteristics and mesoscale circulation. This paper aims at examining the relevance of precipitation fields simulated by highresolution regional climate models for hydrological pur...
A simulation of the 1991 summer has been performed over south Greenland with a coupled atmosphere–snow regional climate model
(RCM) forced by the ECMWF re-analysis. The simulation is evaluated with in-situ coastal and ice-sheet atmospheric and glaciological
observations. Modelled air temperature, specific humidity, wind speed and radiative fluxes a...
The sensitivity of a regional climate model (RCM) to lateral boundary forcing (by different numerical weather prediction analysis products and by various temperature perturbations) and to the initial conditions is evaluated for a pan-Arctic domain. The Study focuses on seasonal simulations over the period of the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Oc...
The regional climate model Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR) is applied to West Africa and the year 1992 is simulated. MAR reproduces the observed intraseasonal variations of rainfall. It is suggested that such a phenomenon is associated with oscillations between a weak and a strong regime of the Hadley cell. The later is correlated with a strong...
Les changements climatiques représentent la plus grande menace environnementale pour l’humanité. Bien que les impacts touchent déjà, et toucheront de manière disproportionnée les populations pauvres des pays en développement, les pays développés ne seront pas épargnés. Ce rapport souligne quelques-uns des impacts attendus en Belgique. Pour empêcher...
De klimaatverandering – die hoofdzakelijk wordt veroorzaakt door de verbranding van fossiele brandstoffen – vormt de grootste ecologische bedreiging voor de mensheid. Hoewel de gevolgen ervan vooral onevenredig zwaar (zullen) uitvallen voor de armen in de ontwikkelingslanden, zullen ook de industrielanden niet gespaard blijven. Dit rapport richt de...
The aim of the BIOCLIM project has been to
provide a scientific basis and practical
methodology for assessing the potential impacts
of long-term climate change on biosphere
characteristics in the context of radiological
performance assessments (PA) of radioactive waste
repositories in deep geological formations. The project
brought together twelve...
In gridpoint regional climate models (RCMs), the lateral boundary conditions are usually provided by a procedure called relaxation. The technique was originally studied in the context of numerical weather forecasting. This paper complements the preceding theoretical studies in order to assess the practical choices of model relaxation coefficients....
The aim of the BIOCLIM project is to develop and present techniques that can be used to develop self-consistent patterns of possible future climate changes over the next million years (climate scenarios), and to demonstrate how these climate scenarios can be used in assessments of the long-term safety of nuclear waste repository sites. Within the p...
The overall aim of BIOCLIM is to assess the
possible long term impacts due to climate
change on the safety of radioactive waste
repositories in deep formations. This aim is addressed
through the following specific objectives:
• Development of practical and innovative strategies
for representing sequential climatic changes to the
geosphere-biosphere...
One of the tasks of BIOCLIM WP3 was to develop
a rule-based approach for downscaling from the
MoBidiC model of intermediate complexity (see
Ref.1) in order to provide consistent estimates of
monthly temperature and precipitation for the specific
regions of interest to BIOCLIM (Central Spain, Central
England and Northeast France, together with Germa...
The overall aim of BIOCLIM is to assess the
possible long term impacts due to climate
change on the safety of radioactive waste
repositories in deep formations. This aim is addressed
through the following specific objectives:
• Development of practical and innovative strategies for
representing sequential climatic changes to the
geosphere-biosphere...
Including the aviation sector in the European trading scheme is certainly an improvement from the current situation, provided that it results in actual mitigation of emissions. However, there are serious concerns with a trading in which airline companies could buy rights from other sectors on the basis of "one tonne CO 2 for one tonne CO 2 ", i.e....
The recent inclusion of the aviation sector in the European trading scheme is an important step forward that may help reaching a mitigation track consistent with the 2°C target of the European Union. However the proposed approach does not take into account the non-CO 2 effects of the aviation sector. Propositions regarding measures to limit the emi...
Naargelang van de scenario's kunnen regionale verschil-len opduiken; bijvoorbeeld voor scenario A1FI leidt de intensivering tot een grotere vermindering van de land-bouwgrond in streken waar de landbouw in minder gun-stige omstandigheden verloopt en momenteel ook op een meer extensieve wijze gebeurt, zoals in de Ardennen. De klimaatprojecties voor...
