Petter Pilesjö

• PhD
• Managing Director at Lund University

We determined the 2025-2040 impact of climate and land use land cover change on streamflow in the Sironko catchment. LULCC was predicted using Cellular Automata Markov. The climate was statistically downscaled from the 29 GCMs of the IPCC Fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project using the delta method of the Agricultural Model Inter-comparison a...

Hydrological modelling is essential for effective water resources management, as it represents complex physical processes through mathematical equations to improve our understanding of the water cycle. FLEXG is a glacio-hydrological model that has been successfully applied and found to perform well in glacierized regions. This study seeks to improv...

Childhood stunting is a serious public health concern in Rwanda. Although stunting causes have been documented, we still lack a more in‐depth understanding of their local factors at a more detailed geographic level. We cross‐sectionally examined 615 height‐for‐age prevalence observations in the Northern Province of Rwanda, linked with their related...

Solar energy is an important source of clean energy to combat climate change issues that motivate the establishment of solar farms. Establishing solar farms has been considered a proper alternative for energy production in countries like Mozambique, which need reliable and clean sources of energy for sustainable development. However, selecting prop...

Background: In Rwanda, various intervention initiatives have led to progress in reducing maternal and child undernutrition. However, the rate of stunting, the chronic form of malnutrition, remains high with about 33% of children under five years stunted countrywide, especially in the Northern Province where the stunting rate is 40.5%. This study ai...

Land use allocation (LUA) is of prime importance for the development of urban sustainability and resilience. Since the process of planning and managing land use requires balancing different conflicting social, economic, and environmental factors, it has become a complex and significant issue in urban planning worldwide. LUA is usually regarded as a...

Hydrological modeling realism is a central research question in hydrological studies. However, it is still a common practice to calibrate hydrological models using streamflow as a single hydrological variable, which can lead to large parameter uncertainty in hydrological simulations. To address this issue, this study employed a multi-variable calib...

Accurate monitoring of glaciers’ extents and their dynamics is essential for improving our understanding of the impacts of climate and environmental changes in cold regions. The satellite-based Normalized Difference Snow Index (NDSI) has been widely used for mapping snow cover and glaciers around the globe. However, mapping glaciers in snow-covered...

As found in the health studies literature, the levels of climate association between epidemiological diseases have been found to vary across regions. Therefore, it seems reasonable to allow for the possibility that relationships might vary spatially within regions. We implemented the geographically weighted random forest (GWRF) machine learning met...

Glaciers are one of the main sources of freshwater in cold regions. The glacier melting process can significantly impact the glacier mass balance (GMB) and contribute a large amount of runoff in cold regions. This study applied the recently developed semi-distributed glacio-hydrological conceptual model (FLEXG) to understand the glacier melting pro...

Hydrological models as common simulation tools for water resources management play a key role in improving our understanding of hydrological processes on the catchment and global scales. The reliability of hydrological simulations depends on the model structure, the quality of input data, and the calibration of model parameters. A large number of m...

With the continuous increase of rapid urbanization and population growth, sustainable urban land-use planning is becoming a more complex and challenging task for urban planners and decision-makers. Multi-objective land-use allocation can be regarded as a complex spatial optimization problem that aims to achieve the possible trade-offs among multipl...

Spatial Data Infrastructure (SDI) provides a platform for spatial data sharing and is a key for sustainable development. Developing countries, including Tanzania, are at different stages of implementing SDIs. The importance and advantage of implementation lie in the fact that considerable funds can be saved by avoiding duplication of data, and impr...

This study assesses the potential benefit of Blue-Green Solutions (BGS), green rooftops, rain gardens, permeable pavements, and bioswales, in Lisbon, Portugal. These proposed mitigation measures are applied using TFM-DYN (Nilsson et al., 2021) to simulate potential fluvial flooding distributions from a 10- and 50-year rain event.Water depth of over...

Shared electric scooters (e-scooters) have been rapidly growing in popularity across Europe over the past three years, which can bring various environmental and socioeconomic benefits. However, how to further improve the usage efficiency of shared e-scooters is still a major concern for micro-mobility operators and city planners. This paper propose...

Matola, a major Mozambican city, has witnessed flooding, mainly caused by rainfall. The study aims to produce flood-hazard and flood-risk maps for Matola using the hydrological model TFM-DYN. For 2000, 2020, and 2040, the modeled extent of medium-risk area is 50.6 km² (13.7%), 44.8 km² (12.2%), and 39.0 km² (10.6%) and of high-risk area is 43.3 km²...

Proper emergency evacuation planning is a key to ensuring the safety and efficiency of resources allocation in disaster events. An efficient evacuation plan can save human lives and avoid other effects of disasters. To develop effective evacuation plans, this study proposed a multi-objective optimization model that assigns individuals to emergency...

A user‐friendly high‐resolution intermediate complexity dynamic and spatially distributed flow model is crucial in urban flood modeling. Planners and consultants need to improve the accuracy of floods and estimation of risks. A new flow model will serve as a rapid tool to improve identification of these. This article provides a detailed explanation...

Environmental destruction has long been used as a military strategy in times of conflict. A long-term example of environmental destruction in a conflict zone can be found in Dersim/Tunceli province, located in Eastern Turkey. In the last century, at least two military operations negatively impacted Dersim’s population and environment: 1937–38 and 1...

The variabilities in rainfall and temperature in a catchment affect water availability and sustainability. This study assessed the variabilities in rainfall and temperature (1981–2015) and river flow (1998–2015) in the Sipi sub-catchment on annual and seasonal scales. Observed daily rainfall and temperature data for Buginyanya and Kapchorwa weather...

The associations of multiple pollutants and cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity, and the spatial variations of these associations have not been nationally studied in Sweden. The main aim of this study was, thus, to spatially analyze the associations between ambient air pollution (black carbon, carbon monoxide, particulate matter (both <10 µm and...

CVD and cancer are the two leading causes of death worldwide. Improvement in cancer early detection and treatment has resulted in an increased number of cancer survivors. However, many of the survivors tend to develop CVD often leading to their demise. Conversely, people with pre-existing CVD conditions, especially the elderly, have increased chanc...

This reviewe of Land Use Land Cover Change (LULCC) studies in Uganda indicate agriculture, forest, grassland, and woodland as the major land use and land cover types. Central Uganda is the most studied region (15%), followed by western (14), eastern (10), and northern Uganda (3). District scale studies were (48%), catchment (19%), forest (17%), nat...

Climate change has the potential to alter hydrological regimes and to expand saturated areas in permafrost environments, which are important sources of organic carbon. The sources, transfer zones, and delivery mechanisms of carbon into the stream network are controlled by the morphometric properties of the catchment; however, the utility and limita...

(“Dissolved organic carbon leaching flux in a mixed agriculture and forest watershed in Rwanda” [1]). This article presents data of leached dissolved organic carbon (LDOC), stream water dissolved organic carbon), rainfall amount (Ra), rainfall intensity (Ri), rainfall soil storage (S), runoff (Q), and soil properties such as total organic carbon (T...

I detta kapitel i boken Geografisk information Behandling beskrivs och behandlas metoder för hur geografisk data analyseras. Kapitlet omfattar såväl geografisk teori som exempel på tillämpningar. Geografisk informationsbehandling baseras på insamling, lagring, analys och visualisering av geografiska data. Denna indelning utgör också grunden för bo...

Resilience has been raised as a core task within disaster risk reduction frameworks, yet it remains difficult to implement these global ideas in local communities. This study used Community Based Resilience Analysis Approach to investigate the components that are perceived as important in resilience and the extent to which these components have bee...

Evacuation planning is an important activity in disaster management to reduce the effects of disasters on urban communities. It is regarded as a multi-objective optimization problem that involves conflicting spatial objectives and constraints in a decision-making process. Such problems are difficult to solve by traditional methods. However, metaheu...

Study region Rukarara River Watershed (RRW), Rwanda. Study focus DOC leaching has important environmental consequences for both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems. This paper measures leached dissolved organic carbon (LDOC) and the factors controlling its variation in the RRW, a mixed agriculture and forest watershed in Rwanda. The study describes...

Bastin et al . (Reports, 5 July 2019, p. 76) claim that 205 gigatonnes of carbon can be globally sequestered by restoring 0.9 billion hectares of forest and woodland canopy cover. Reinterpreting the data from Bastin et al ., we show that the global land area actually required to sequester human-emitted CO 2 is at least a factor of 3 higher, represe...

Purpose As climate change shocks and stresses increasingly affect urban areas in developing countries, resilience is imperative for the purposes of preparation, recovery and adaptation. This study aims to investigate demographic characteristics and social networks that influence the household capacity to prepare, recover and adapt when faced with p...

Background: Spatial epidemiological analyses primarily depend on spatially-indexed medical records. Some countries have devised ways of capturing patient-specific spatial details using ZIP codes, postcodes or personal numbers, which are geocoded. However, for most resource-constrained African countries, the absence of a means to capture patient re...

("Sources of soil dissolved organic carbon in a mixed agricultural and forested watershed in Rwanda", [6]) This data article presents water extractable organic carbon (WEOC), percolation water dissolved organic carbon (pDOC), and mean antecedent precipitation indices (API) and mean antecedent temperature (MAT) data. The article also presents edaphi...

Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) plays a key role in linking terrestrial and aquatic carbon cycles. Most of the work on soil and water DOC has been conducted in temperate watersheds. There is still a gap in knowledge on DOC dynamics within the tropics. This study assesses water extractable organic carbon (WEOC) in topsoils and describes the relations...

Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of death for individuals infected with Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Conversely, HIV is the most important risk factor in the progression of TB from the latent to the active status. In order to manage this double epidemic situation, an integrated approach that includes HIV management in TB p...

PROMOTING OF THE GEOSPATIAL METHODS: INTRODUCTION INTO INTERNATIONAL EDUCATIONAL COURSES IN ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT A. Mansourian1, P. Pilesjo1, M. Runnstrom1, R. Groth1, J.G. Rocha2, M. Santos2, A. Vieira2, M. Kavouras3, M. Kokla3, E. Tomai3, E. Parseliunas4, J. Suziedelyte-Visockiene4, D. Popovas4, R. Obuchovski4, D....

Land-use planning, which requires finding a balance among different conflicting social, economic and environment factors, is a complex task needed everywhere, including Africa. One example is the city of Zanzibar in Tanzania, which is under special consideration for land-use revision. From one side, the city has high potentials for tourist industry...

This study focuses on drivers for changing urban flood risk. We suggest a framework for guiding climate change adaptation action concerning flood risk and manageability in cities. The identified key drivers of changing flood hazard and vulnerability are used to provide an overview of each driver's impact on flood risk and manageability at the city...

Evacuation is an important activity for reducing the number of casualties and amount of damage in disaster management. Evacuation planning is tackled as a spatial optimization problem. The decision-making process for evacuation involves high uncertainty, conflicting objectives, and spatial constraints. This study presents a Multi-Objective Artifici...

Effective measurement of exposure to air pollution, not least NO2, for epidemiological studies along with the need to better management and control of air pollution in urban areas ask for precise interpolation and determination of the concentration of pollutants in nonmonitored spots. A variety of approaches have been developed and used. This paper...

Leptospirosis is a zoonotic disease found wherever human is in direct or indirect contact with contaminated water and environment. Considering the increasing number of cases of this disease in the northern part of Iran, identifying areas characterized by high disease incidence risk can help policy-makers develop strategies to prevent its further sp...

This data article presents water stage, flow, and net primary productivity (NPP) data that were used to analyze the dynamics of the riverine dissolved organic carbon (DOC) dynamics in the Rukarara River watershed in Rwanda. We measured water stage data every 15 min and calculated daily averages used to estimate flow based on rating curves. The rati...

Climate change projections show that temperature and precipitation increases can alter the exchange of greenhouse gases between the atmosphere and high latitude landscapes, including their freshwaters. Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) plays an important role in greenhouse gas emissions, but the impact of catchment productivity on DOC release to subar...

ORNL DAAC graphics citation communication. (PDF)

Source data citation aprroval for the vegetation map of Stordalen catchment, Sweden. (PDF)

Guide to attribution of geodata by Lantmäteriet. (PDF)

Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) loading is rarely estimated in tropical watersheds. This study quantifies DOC loading in the Rukarara River Watershed (RRW), a Rwandan tropical forest and agricultural watershed, and evaluates its relationship with hydrological factors, land use and land cover (LULC), and topography to better understand the impact of...

Aims: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is one of the leading causes of mortality and morbidity worldwide, including in Sweden. The main aim of this study was to explore the temporal trends and spatial patterns of CVD in Sweden using spatial autocorrelation analyses. Methods: The CVD admission rates between 2000 and 2010 throughout Sweden were entere...

The density of roots is an important factor influencing the rate and magnitude of landslides. Due to the increased variability in climate, mainly rainfall, Eastern Uganda is severely struck by an increasing number of these mass movements, often with human casualties as one of the negative impacts. The aim of this study is to explore the possibility...

Groundwater quality and quantity are two major challenges in arid and semi-arid regions, due to their critical roles in sustainable agricultural development. Irrigated lands are spread all over Urmia Lake's surrounding plains in Iran. Due to the risk of saltwater intrusion as a result of over-exploitation from groundwater resources, it is important...

Rhombomys opimus (R. opimus), a social rodent, is the main reservoir host for zoonotic cutaneous leish-maniasis (ZCL) in most parts of the Middle East and central Asia. The difficulties in monitoring rodentpopulation patterns have hindered the effective application of preventive measures of ZCL. This studypresents a spatially explicit agent-based s...

“International Msc Educational Programme in Environmental Management and Modelling” (GeoNetC) is a European Commission funded project under ERASMUS+: Higher Education – International Capacity Building programme (Project No 561967-EPP-1-2015-1-SE-EPPKA2-CBHE-JP). It began in October 2015 and ended in October 2018. Initiated by the Lund University an...

This book presents the research papers accepted for the 21st AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science, held at Lund University Geographical Information Systems (GIS) Centre, Sweden on 12–15 June 2018. It discusses the role of geospatial technologies in the digitalization of society and is intended primarily for professionals and researche...

Tundra soils account for 50% of global stocks of soil organic carbon (SOC), and it is expected that the amplified climate warming in high latitude could cause loss of this SOC through decomposition. Decomposed SOC could become hydrologically accessible, which increase downstream dissolved organic carbon (DOC) export and subsequent carbon release to...

Socio-economic shocks, technogenic catastrophes, and armed conflicts often have drastic impacts on local and regional food security through disruption of agricultural production and food trade, reduced investments, and deterioration of land and infrastructure. Recently, more research has focused on the effects of armed conflict on land systems, but...

This study explores the application of spatial modelling techniques to generate susceptibility maps for a neglected zoonotic disease, visceral leishmaniasis (VL), in an endemic area in southern Caucasus that includes Iran, Armenia and Azerbaijan. The social and physical environment of southern Caucasus has been mainly characterized by the presence...

Methane is the second most greenhouse gas, after Carbon Dioxide, which plays an important role in global warming and consequently climate change at global scale. Detecting sources of methane emissions and quantifying the flux of emissions have been always big issues, as there are high uncertainties in each of these two steps. Oil and gas wellheads...

Currently, policy makers put high attention in supplying global energy demand by focusing on 2°C policy; global temperature anomaly based on the global mean temperature of pre-industrial era (13.7°C). How to keep the 2°C policy at global scope is the main question in climate framework. It is widely believed that primary energy resources (mainly coa...

Urban flooding is of growing concern due to increasing densification of urban areas, changes in land use, and climate change. The traditional engineering approach to flooding is designing single-purpose drainage systems, dams, and levees. These methods, however, are known to increase the long-term flood risk and harm the riverine ecosystems in urba...

Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (CL) is an endemic vector-borne disease in the Middle East and a worldwide public health problem. The spread of CL is highly associated with the socio-ecological interactions of vectors, hosts and the environment. The heterogeneity of these interactions has hindered CL modeling for healthcare preventive measures in endemic a...

Due to shift in the average patterns of weather, climate change became one of the significant development challenges. Hydropower is currently being utilized in more than 150 countries, including 11,000 stations with 27,000 generating units. Increasing attention has been paid to hydropower generation in recent years, because it is renewable energy....

Due to shift in the average patterns of weather, climate change became one of the significant development challenges. Hydropower is currently being utilized in more than 150 countries, including 11,000 stations with 27,000 generating units. Increasing attention has been paid to hydropower generation in recent years, because it is renewable energy....

The Netherlands is a small country with a relatively large population which experienced a rapid rate of land use changes from 2000 to 2008 years due to the industrialization and population increase. Land use change is especially related to the urban expansion and open agriculture reduction due to the enhanced economic growth. This research reports...

There exist major challenges in accelerating the spatial data infrastructure (SDI) planning process in the developing countries as well as advocating for politicians to support the development of SDI, due to the high complexity of SDI, lack of knowledge and experience, and limited insight in the benefits. To address these challenges, a methodology...

The destruction of land and forced migration during the Anfal attacks against the Kurds in Iraq in the late 1980s has been reported to have severe consequences for agricultural development. A reconstruction program to aid people in returning to their lands was launched in 1991. To assess the agricultural situation in the Duhok governorate during th...

The soon-to-be completed Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), which will be the largest hydroelectric power plant and among the largest reservoirs in Africa, has highlighted the need for expanding traditional integrated water resources management to better include the cultural, social, and political complexities of large water infrastructure in...

A large amount of organic carbon is stored in high-latitude soils. A substantial proportion of this carbon stock is vulnerable and may decompose rapidly due to temperature increases that are already greater than the global average. It is therefore crucial to quantify and understand carbon exchange between the atmosphere and subarctic/arctic ecosyst...

Large amount of organic carbon is stored in high latitude soils. A substantial proportion of this carbon stock is vulnerable and may decompose rapidly due to temperature increases that are already greater than the global average. It is therefore crucial to quantify and understand carbon exchange between the atmosphere and subarctic/arctic ecosystem...

In this study, we have analyzed the spatial and temporal correlation between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the climate in Iraq, with a focus on precipitation, temperature, and number of Mediterranean cyclones. It was found that the influence of the NAO varies per climate indicator. For example, the influence is greater on precipitation t...

In this study, we have analyzed the spatial and temporal correlation between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the climate in Iraq, with a focus on precipitation, temperature, and number of Mediterranean cyclones. It was found that the influence of the NAO varies per climate indicator. For example, the influence is greater on precipitation t...

Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is a potentially fatal vector-borne zoonotic disease, which has become an increasing public health problem in the north-western part of Iran. This work presents an environmental health modelling approach to map the potential of VL outbreaks in this part of the country. Radial basis functional link networks is used as a d...

This study uses multitemporal Landsat Thematic Mapper data and topographic data for the purpose of classifying coniferous forest damage in the Czech Republic using an artificial neural network. Comparing the neural network-based classification with earlier studies and a multinominal logistic regression using identical training and test data indicat...

Development of spatial data Infrastructure (SDI) is a long term process, which requires long-term plans. The complexity of SDI, which is a matter of technical, institutional and financial challenges and their interactions, makes the development of such a plan complicated. It is also generally hard to convince policy-makers about the reliability of...

https://agile-online.org/Conference_Paper/cds/agile_2014/agile2014_126.pdf The aim of this study is to compare knowledge-driven and data-driven methods for susceptibility mapping in spatial epidemiology. Our comparison focuses on one of the arguably most important requisites in such models, namely predictability. We compare one data-driven modellin...

This paper illustrates the potential use of the theory of planned behavior as a guiding framework for understanding intentions and behavior in geospatial data sharing in Tanzania. A structured questionnaire survey, was constructed and sent to local governments as well as academic and private organizations that are major producers and/or users of ge...

The aim of this study is to estimate and compare soil erosion, in the Mount Elgon region, eastern Uganda, during the last decade. Possible trends and changes in erosion are linked to precipitation/climate change as well as changes in land cover. Two different versions of the Revised Universal Soil loss Equation (RUSLE) are implemented and compared,...

Northern high-latitude regions could feed back strongly on global warming due to large carbon pools and the fact that those regions are predicted to experience temperature increases greater than the global average. Furthermore, ecological functioning and carbon cycling are both strongly related to the prevailing hydrological conditions. In this stu...