Pedro Afonso Fernandes

Universidade Católica Portuguesa | UCP · Católica Lisbon Forecasting Lab - NECEP

O objetivo deste trabalho é ilustrar como os valores do desenvolvimento sustentável (ecologia, equidade e economia) estavam já presentes na cidade moderna. Para o efeito, foram estudados quatro conjuntos urbanos localizados na Grande Lisboa cuja génese remonta ao período entre 1945 e 1973: «Bairro das Estacas» em Alvalade – Lisboa; Nova Oeiras; San...

This paper introduces a new way to perform space syntax analyses using Prolog, a Logic Programming language concerned with Artificial Intelligence. Developed in the 1970’s to process natural languages, Prolog can deal easily with simple declarations of facts like the connection (or permeability) between convex spaces or axial lines. Readily availab...

Space syntax is a set of theories and techniques for analysing urban settlements and buildings. Focused on the study of the configuration of convex spaces, spatial syntax may have some difficulty in incorporating qualitative or sensory aspects of urban space. In particular, the scenic dimension associated with certain urban morphologies, such as sq...

Forecasting the state of an economy is important for policy makers and business leaders. When this is conducted in real-time, it is called nowcasting. In this paper, we present a method that shows how forecasting errors decline as additional contemporaneous information unfolds and becomes available. When the economic environment changes fast, as ha...

Space syntax is a set of theories and techniques for analysing urban settlements and buildings. Here, we propose a new approach to perform syntactic analyses that requires only the declaration in a computer program of the connections between axial lines or convex spaces using Prolog, a logic programming language concerned with artificial intelligen...

Expanding water demands and increasing uncertainties associate with water availability in the context of climate change are drivers of future development scenarios in water management of river basins. Water limitations can be particularly important in developing countries, where agriculture and livestock constitute the basis of the economy. Althoug...

Space syntax is a set of theories and techniques for analysing urban settlements and buildings. Focused on the study of the configuration of convex spaces, space syntax is based on the concept of topological depth, that is, in the number of steps to go from some space (or axial line) to every other space in a spatial complex. Typically, non-topolog...

Presentation of the paper "Space Syntax with Prolog" in the 13th International Space Syntax Symposium, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences (HVL), Bergen, 20-24 June.

Presentation of the paper "Syntactic Analysis of Scenic Spaces" at the 13th International Space Syntax Symposium, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences (HVL), Bergen, 20-24 June.

In this article, we present a method to forecast the Portuguese gross domestic product (GDP) in each current quarter (nowcasting). It combines bridge equations of the real GDP on readily available monthly data like the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI), industrial production index, cement sales or exports and imports, with forecasts for the jagged...

This working paper proposes a new, practical method to compute the non-linear Mosheiov-Raveh (MR) filter using least absolute deviations (LAD) instead of the linear programming approach proposed by these two authors. This paper is embodied with an implementation in the R programming language of the proposed method which facilitates the computation...

Portela is a paradigmatic modern housing complex located at the vicinity of Lisbon. Developed since the late 1960s, it combines several syntactic schemes, namely, concentric towers, asymmetric blocks and primary open-closed cells typically distributed along a ring-shaped road. It is also structured by a central space with a mall and other facilitie...

The economic analysis of water uses is one of the main components of river basin management plans (RBMP), as established by the Water Framework Directive. Thus the first-generation RBMP for Portuguese river basin districts (RBD) 6 – Sado/Mira, 7 – Guadiana and 8 – Ribeiras do Algarve included a thorough economic analysis of urban drinking water sup...

Numa conjuntura de plena afirmação de Lisboa enquanto região metropolitana, é premente reflectir em torno de um passado recente, que legou vários exemplos de conjuntos urbanos modernos paradigmáticos. Não se pretende colocar em causa os múltiplos factores de não sustentabilidade ambiental e social que a cidade moderna encerrava, em particular quand...

The Helpdesk of European Evaluation Network for Rural Development supported by a group of external experts has prepared a Working Paper on ”Capturing the impacts of Leader and measures to improve the Quality of life (QoL) in rural areas”. The working paper provides methodological support for evaluators, managing authorities and other interested par...

The process for recognising, validating and certifying (RVC) non-formally or informally acquired lifelong learning, launched in 2000, is now part of mainstream education and training policies in Portugal. This article aims to determine how much the labour-market behaviour of the RVC-certified unemployed differs from that of other unemployed persons...