Paula Harder

Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics | ITWM · Competence Center High Performance Computing

Climate downscaling, the process of generating high-resolution climate data from low-resolution simulations, is essential for understanding and adapting to climate change at regional and local scales. Deep learning approaches have proven useful in tackling this problem. However, existing studies usually focus on training models for one specific tas...

Predictions of global climate models typically operate on coarse spatial scales due to the large computational costs of climate simulations. This has led to a considerable interest in methods for statistical downscaling, a similar process to super-resolution in the computer vision context, to provide more local and regional climate information. In...

Despite the sophistication of global climate models (GCMs), their coarse spatial resolution limits their ability to resolve important aspects of climate variability and change at the local scale. Both dynamical and empirical methods are used for enhancing the resolution of climate projections through downscaling, each with distinct advantages and c...

Global Climate Models (GCMs) are the primary tool to simulate climate evolution and assess the impacts of climate change. However, they often operate at a coarse spatial resolution that limits their accuracy in reproducing local-scale phenomena. Statistical downscaling methods leveraging deep learning offer a solution to this problem by approximati...

To estimate future climate change impacts, usually high-resolution climate projections are necessary. Statistical and dynamical downscaling or a hybrid of both methods are mostly used to produce input datasets for impact modelers. In this study, we use the regional climate model (RCM) COSMO-CLM (CCLM) version 6.0 to identify the added value of dyna...

Global Climate Models (GCMs) are the primary tool to simulate climate evolution and assess the impacts of climate change. However, they often operate at a coarse spatial resolution that limits their accuracy in reproducing local-scale phenomena. Statistical downscaling methods leveraging deep learning offer a solution to this problem by approximati...

Climate simulations are essential in guiding our understanding of climate change and responding to its effects. However, it is computationally expensive to resolve complex climate processes at high spatial resolution. As one way to speed up climate simulations, neural networks have been used to downscale climate variables from fast-running low-reso...

Aerosol particles play an important role in the climate system by absorbing and scattering radiation and influencing cloud properties. They are also one of the biggest sources of uncertainty for climate modeling. Many climate models do not include aerosols in sufficient detail due to computational constraints. To represent key processes, aerosol mi...

Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) clouds are storm clouds generated by extreme wildfires. PyroCbs are associated with unpredictable, and therefore dangerous, wildfire spread. They can also inject smoke particles and trace gases into the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, affecting the Earth's climate. As global temperatures increase, these previousl...

A first causal discovery analysis from observational data of pyroCb (storm clouds generated from extreme wildfires) is presented. Invariant Causal Prediction was used to develop tools to understand the causal drivers of pyroCb formation. This includes a conditional independence test for testing $Y \indep E|X$ for binary variable $Y$ and multivariat...

Many different emission pathways exist that are compatible with the Paris climate agreement, and many more are possible that miss that target. While some of the most complex Earth System Models have simulated a small selection of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, it is impractical to use these expensive models to fully explore the space of possibiliti...

This work addresses the problem of solving the Cahn-Hilliard equation numerically. For that we introduce an abstract formulation for Cahn-Hilliard type equations with dynamic boundary conditions, we conduct the spatial semidiscretization via finite elements and prove error bounds based on the technique of energy estimates. The variational formulati...

The availability of reliable, high-resolution climate and weather data is important to inform long-term decisions on climate adaptation and mitigation and to guide rapid responses to extreme events. Forecasting models are limited by computational costs and therefore often predict quantities at a coarse spatial resolution. Statistical downscaling ca...

Aerosol particles play an important role in the climate system by absorbing and scattering radiation and influencing cloud properties. They are also one of the biggest sources of uncertainty for climate modeling. Many climate models do not include aerosols in sufficient detail due to computational constraints. In order to represent key processes, a...

Recently, adversarial attacks on image classification networks by the AutoAttack (Croce and Hein, 2020b) framework have drawn a lot of attention. While AutoAttack has shown a very high attack success rate, most defense approaches are focusing on network hardening and robustness enhancements, like adversarial training. This way, the currently best-r...

Aerosol particles play an important role in the climate system by absorbing and scattering radiation and influencing cloud properties. They are also one of the biggest sources of uncertainty for climate modeling. Many climate models do not include aerosols in sufficient detail. In order to achieve higher accuracy, aerosol microphysical properties a...

Recently, adversarial attacks on image classification networks by the AutoAttack (Croce & Hein, 2020b) framework have drawn a lot of attention. While AutoAttack has shown a very high attack success rate, most defense approaches are focus-ing on network hardening and robustness enhancements , like adversarial training. This way, the currently best-r...

A proof of convergence is given for a bulk–surface finite element semidiscretisation of the Cahn–Hilliard equation with Cahn–Hilliard-type dynamic boundary conditions in a smooth domain. The semidiscretisation is studied in an abstract weak formulation as a second-order system. Optimal-order uniform-in-time error estimates are shown in the $L^2$- a...

Despite the success of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) in many computer vision and image analysis tasks, they remain vulnerable against so-called adversarial attacks: Small, crafted perturbations in the input images can lead to false predictions. A possible defense is to detect adversarial examples. In this work, we show how analysis in the Fo...

The recent explosion in applications of machine learning to satellite imagery often rely on visible images and therefore suffer from a lack of data during the night. The gap can be filled by employing available infra-red observations to generate visible images. This work presents how deep learning can be applied successfully to create those images...

A proof of convergence is given for bulk--surface finite element semi-discretisation of the Cahn--Hilliard equation with Cahn--Hilliard-type dynamic boundary conditions in a smooth domain. The semi-discretisation is studied in the weak formulation as a second order system. Optimal-order uniform-in-time error estimates are shown in the $L^2$ and $H^...