Paul de Ruijter

Nyenrode Business Universiteit

Disruptive scenarios have been used for more than four decades to “think the unthinkable” and to make uncertainties explicit. For internal decision making of the company, Author Paul de Ruijter1DCF has been supplemented with the real option theory, to value uncertainty. However, scenario analyses and real options are rarely used in analyst reports...

This chapter discusses viewing futures network, the beginnings of which can be found in the year 2000. It was initiated by Rabobank's Strategy Group in a hope to anticipate and be prepared for possible changes in society in general, and in the financial world in particular. The goal of the scenario project had twofold. Firstly, the scenario process...

We need strategy. The world is changing, the future uncertain. What is required is vision: What might the future bring? Where is our business going? What are our fundamental business values? This book is a manual for all those who want to apply strategy in organisations. It is intended for everyone who wants to put the future on the agenda, to look...

In times of crisis problem solving methodologies seem to gain attention over strategic planning. This article makes the case that more rather than less strategic planning is needed to get through the current world crisis. Based on best practices of Shell using scenarios to prepare and steer through the 1973 first oil crisis and Rabobank who used sc...

As a contribution to the 2010 annual meeting of the ASAE (American Society of Association Executives) in Los Angeles, we would like to stress the importance of internationalization for industry associations and business federations.We argue that it requires a global scale to tackle challenges like global governance, scarcity of commons, climate cha...

To determine the sustainability of the policy, an Early Warning System (EWS) has been developed for the Dutch Ministry of Justice. An EWS is used to monitor various developments and to place them within the perspective of future scenarios. Without actually predicting the future, this makes it possible to determine which scenario is the most relevan...

Three interest rate scenarios 2003 - 2010, research into forces driving interest rates, a model and three scenarios decribing the theoretical development of short term and long term interest rates in Europe.

This paper presents an overview of fifty years of industrial policy in the Netherlands and discusses the current legitimacy of historic motives. This paper is based on a five year research project in which a committee of the Prof. Mr. B.M. Teldersstichting (the scientific bureau of the Dutch Liberal Party) studied the history of and motives for ind...