Patricia AbrantesUniversity of Lisbon | UL · Center of Geographic Studies (CEGUL)
Patricia Abrantes
PhD
About
57
Publications
16,304
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679
Citations
Citations since 2017
Introduction
Project AgriMet-MOD - Metropolitan Agriculture spatial MODeling (2013-2015)
http://agrimet.ul.pt/index.php/home/webgis
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DAUME - Durabilité des agricultures urbaines en mediterranée (2011-2015)
http://www1.montpellier.inra.fr/daume/?p=10
Additional affiliations
July 2018 - present
IGOT
Position
- Professor (Assistant)
Description
- GIS, spatial analysis, statistics, spatial planning,
July 2018 - present
October 2016 - June 2018
Publications
Publications (57)
Urbanisation in Europe has been the main cause of agricultural land fragmentation and agricultural land use loss and has given rise to significant socio-economic and environmental costs, particularly in urban regions. Accordingly, there is a consensus in the literature that sustaining urban and peri-urban agriculture are significant towards urban s...
A difusão do novo coronavírus tem importantes associações com a mobilidade da população. Recorrendo a modelos de regressão linear múltipla, com informação epidemiológica da Direção-Geral da Saúde (DGS) e dados de mobilidade disponibilizados pela Google, captura-se a relação causal existente entre alterações na mobilidade e a tendência de incidência...
O interesse por informação credível e atualizada no âmbito da evolução pandémica conduziu à necessidade de desenvolver um instrumento que permitisse a disseminação de informação sobre o estado da difusão da COVID-19. No dashboard desenvolvido é integrada informação segundo quatro níveis territoriais desde março de 2020 até à atualidade. Suportada n...
Globally, land use/cover is facing irreversible damages caused by human activities and climate changes. These damages have occurred as a result of land conversions from natural and seminatural areas to anthropogenic uses such as urbanisation and intensive agricultural practices. Land conversions correspond to one of the main environmental threats c...
Agriculture provides the largest share of food supplies and ensures a critical number of ecosystem services (e.g., food provisioning). Therefore, agriculture is vital for food security and supports the Sustainable Development Goal (SDGs) 2 (SDG 2 - zero hunger) as others SDG's. Several studies have been published in different world areas with diffe...
To effectively plan and manage the use of agricultural land, it is crucial to identify and evaluate the multiple human and environmental factors that influence it. In this study, we propose a model framework to identify the factors potentially explaining the use of agricultural land for wheat, maize, and olive grove plantations at the regional leve...
Agricultural statistical data enable the detection and interpretation of the development of
agriculture and the food supply situation over time, which is essential for food security evaluation in any country. Based on the historical agricultural statistics, this study produces a long spatial timeseries with annual production values of three cereals...
Background:
The role of demographic and socio-economic determinants of COVID-19 transmission is still unclear and is expected to vary in different contexts and epidemic periods. Exploring such determinants may generate a hypothesis about transmission and aid the definition of prevention strategies.
Objectives:
To identify municipality-level demogr...
Future land use/cover change (LUCC) analysis has been increasingly applied to spatial planning instruments in the last few years. Nevertheless, stakeholder participation in the land use modelling process and analysis is still low. This paper describes a methodology engaging stakeholders (from the land use planning, agriculture, and forest sectors)...
Open access peer-reviewed Edited Volume
https://www.intechopen.com/books/geographic-information-systems-and-science
![Figure 1. Dimensions of geographic information science [16].](profile/Jorge-Rocha-15/publication/337275667/figure/fig1/AS:825432731549698@1573809907449/Dimensions-of-geographic-information-science-16_Q320.jpg)
![Figure 5. Different approaches of experimental research [40].](profile/Jorge-Rocha-15/publication/337275667/figure/fig4/AS:825432731557898@1573809907599/Different-approaches-of-experimental-research-40_Q320.jpg)
![Figure 6. Cubic representation of GISc research perspectives [73].](profile/Jorge-Rocha-15/publication/337275667/figure/fig5/AS:825432735760384@1573809908004/Cubic-representation-of-GISc-research-perspectives-73_Q320.jpg)
Open access peer-reviewed Edited Volume
https://www.intechopen.com/books/geographic-information-systems-and-science/introductory-chapter-geographic-information-systems-and-science
Different mechanisms drive land use and land cover changes (LUCC). This paper presents an exploratory analysis aimed at understanding the complex dynamics of LUCC based on farmers’ intentions when they are faced with four scenarios with the time horizon of 2025: (1) A0 – current social and economic trend; (2) A1 – intensified agricultural productio...
Decisions about future land use are complex and involve a wide range of factors. The perceptions, intentions, and interests of the stakeholders involved are usually unpredictable. Different stakeholders manage land by choosing different future options and revealing different expectations. Greater proximity to built-up areas confronts farmers with c...
Em pleno Vale do Sousa e na fronteira da Área Metropolitana do Porto, o concelho de Lousada é um laboratório pertinente para analisar e modelar as dinâmicas de uso e ocupação do solo, tendo em conta o padrão de povoamento difuso de base rural e industrial que exibe. Este artigo propõe um diagnóstico geográfico das dinâmicas e padrões de uso do solo...
The fragmentation of agricultural land is influenced by political, economic, social, ecological and environmental factors, which affect its dynamics, patterns, structures, and functions. However, a deep analysis aimed at examining agricultural land fragmentation and its driving forces, and predicting future agricultural land fragmentation is needed...
Land-Use/Cover Change (LUCC) reacts to demographic pressures, economic trends, or improved transport networks. Urban growth with implications on LUCC patterns can be measured using a diversity of methods. Our study derives from Tobler's first law of geography: 'everything is related to everything else, but near things are more related than distant...
To address sustainability challenges of agro-ecosystems located in Mediterranean urban regions, this paper focuses on the multidisciplinary subject of urban agricultural systems. To better understand the diversity and dynamics of peri-urban agro-ecosystems and the main drivers of their sustainability, we compare six case studies located in Southern...
As the world is becoming increasingly more urbanized and built-up areas (that have an artificial cover as a result of human activities such as: urban fabric, industrial, commercial and transport units, mine, dump and construction sites, sports and leisure facilities) are endangering functional diversity, several environmental and spatial planning p...
The return of agriculture as a subject of debate in the realm of urban sustainable development is a recent phenomenon. Its presence is anchored in the recognition of the multifunctional role of agriculture and its importance in the conception and success of a more sustainable city.
This study proposes a conceptual framework to analyse the socio-sp...
As atividades humanas têm influenciado as alterações do uso/ ocupação do solo ao longo dos tempos. As alterações reagem às pressões demográficas, às tendências económicas e ao desenvolvimento dos transportes. O crescimento urbano com implicações nos padrões de alteração de uso/ ocupação do solo pode ser medido através de uma diversidade de métricas...
Addressing the gaps between theory, research and practice, this paper explores a hybrid mindset of participatory action research (PAR), geoprospective and participatory geographical information system (PGIS). This approach brings together stakeholders, policy-makers and researchers - in an agricultural peri-urban region of Portugal, the Lezíria do...
The conceptual and methodological debate on urban form has grown in the last decades to recognize that social, economic, demographic and political processes can contribute to the development of new urban forms, especially those related to urban sprawl, as well as to find alternative methodologies for measuring them. Spatial metrics derived from lan...
Land use and land cover change (LULCC) dynamics have been particularly strong in the Mediterranean region, due to its historical development and to agro-pedoclimatic conditions favorable to human settlement. This area has undergone in the 1950s and the 1980s intense urbanization processes that has followed different trajectories. Urban expansion co...
Planning enforcement is " probably…the weakest link " in the planning system (Dobry 1975 in Mckay & Ellis, 2005). Detection of breaches of planning control can profit from analysis of aerial photography or aerial imagery (Harris, 2011). Despite its limitations systematic monitoring of land use changes provides an important valuation in planning com...
Le présent rapport s’encadre dans la tache 3, jalon 5 qui vise à analyser les « Dynamiques spatiales et configurations paysagères locales : imbrications ville-agriculture ».
Suite au compte-rendu du séminaire d’Avignon, le 10 e 11/05/2012 et suite à la réunion de l’équipe de Lisbonne et Bordeaux, le 04/09/2012 on propose de faire le travail en deux...
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Land use and land cover change (LULCC) dynamics have been particularly strong in the Mediterranean region, due to its historical development and to agro-pedoclimatic conditions favorable to human settlement. This area has undergone in the 1950s and the 1980s intense urbanization processes that has followed different trajectories. Urban expansion co...
As regiões metropolitanas são marcadas por níveis consideráveis de consumo de espaço, colocando pressões sobre os solos agrícolas. Em Portugal, essas pressões ocorrem sobretudo na faixa litoral, com destaque para as áreas metropolitanas de Lisboa e do Porto. A diminuição e fragmentação de área agrícola tem impacto na produção de alimentos, na multi...
The article analyses urban and agricultural dynamics in the Leziria do Tejo region. Located on the Lisbon third metropolitan ring, this region is currently facing the decline of agriculture along with an urban sprawl that is occurring minaly through the conversion of farmland. According to the Regional Spatial Plan (PROT-OVT), one of the solutions...
É expectável que a coerência entre os vários instrumentos integrantes do sistema de planeamento nacional deva ser um aspecto fundamental para um eficaz e eficiente uso dos recursos disponíveis, quer sejam humanos, materiais ou financeiros. A eficiência global da estrutura de políticas nacionais deve então considerar uma abordagem multiescalar, desd...
A expansão urbana coloca pressões sobre os sistemas agrícolas envolventes. Este facto afecta o funcionamento dos sistemas ecológicos e contribui para a fragmentação dos territórios. Neste estudo identificamos e analisamos a relação entre as alterações de ocupação/uso do solo e a dinâmica da paisagem, entre 1984 e 2010, na Região de Lisboa e Vale do...
Agri-urban systems provide agro-environmental and feeding services to the cities (Zasada, 2011; De Bon et al., 2010). However, peri-urban areas are complex systems because of their geographical and productive characteristics (Van Veenhuizen, 2006; Moustier and Fall, 2004) and also for its stakeholder’s diversity (Allen, 2003; Dossa, et al., 2011)....
Lipor is the Intermunicipal Waste Management of Greater Porto. It is responsible for the management, the recovery and the treatment of the Municipal Waste in the eight municipalities of the metropolitan area of Porto. This communication aims to analyze the Lipor project for sustainability: what place for agriculture in Agendas 21 of the greater Por...
It is expected that the coherence among several spatial planning instruments within a national policy framework should be relevant for an effectiveness use of available resources (human, material and financial resources). This global effectiveness of the national policy framework should consider too a multiscale approach, since national to regional...
The need for "well decide" in urban planning has been enhanced with the development of technologies and methods of data analysis, along with a considerable increase of the information available not only for the decision-makers but for all community. However, the disjointed of information impedes a more informed and qualified decision making. The SP...
L’article analyse les dynamiques urbaines et agricoles dans la région de la Lezíria do Tejo, située en troisième couronne métropolitaine de Lisbonne. Cette région est actuellement confrontée au déclin de l’agriculture et à un étalement urbain qui s’effectue principalement par la conversion des sols agricoles. L’une des solutions envisagées par le P...
This work’s purpose is thus threefold. First we introduce the importance of explicit spatial
models for environmental studies, e.g. biodiversity conservation planning, environmental
impacts of urbanization and urban planning, and more particularly explanation of the
fitness of bottom up models to analyze evolution of connectivity habitat, based on...
Abrantes, P., Morgado, P., Marques da Costa, E., Queirós, M. & Jonas, E. (2012). Análise de redes e S.I.G.: uma análise exploratória aplicada aos actores urbano-rurais da Lezíria do Tejo. Actas do IX colóquio ibérico de estudos rurais, SPER, CEG-IGOT-UL, ISBN 978-972-96347-4-1
O presente estudo é desenvolvido no âmbito do projecto internacional DA...
The two main objectives in this paper is, first, to understand if there is any relationship between several documents that have focus mobility, accessibility and transports aspects, at several territorial scales, as european, national (focused in portuguese case) and regional (focused in Lisbon region case), and, second, understand how can this set...
The future of agricultural areas in regards to urban sprawl is studied in three steps. Firstly, we analyse the encroachment of urban sprawl onto agricultural land in two regions of Southern Europe through GIS tools : Languedoc-Roussillon in France and the North-West of Portugal. Secondly, we survey documents, laws and tools of public policy availab...
In which aspect Metropolization processes contribute to the recent dynamics of Portuguese urban system, thus confronting actual spatial planning?
Due to spatial complexity of the phenomenon and the need of scale articulation, metropolization introduces a new way of thinking in urbanism and spatial planning. We propose an analysis of the spatial pr...
RESUMO As políticas de ordenamento territorial têm dado uma importância crescente às formas de ocupação do território, assumindo-se a ideia que um ordenamento eficaz tem de ter em conta o controlo da expansão urbana, o que pressupõe, nomeadamente, a promoção de estratégias e medidas conducentes a uma contenção dos perímetros urbanos. Este artigo pr...
Le devenir des espaces agricoles face à l’étalement urbain est étudié en croisant trois points de vue. Premièrement, nous caractérisons l’étalement urbain consommateur d’espaces agricoles dans deux régions sud européennes : le Languedoc-Roussillon en France et le Nord-Ouest du Portugal. Deuxièmement, nous recensons les documents, règlements et outi...
Languedoc-Roussillon is a region of France where rural and urban areas have historical links based on wine economy. In recent years, this Mediterranean region has seen major urban transformations, affecting land use in a rapid manner, mostly in terms of farming land. These changes are characterized by the increasing urban contiguity in coastal area...
Depuis presque 40 ans les périphéries des villes et le littoral du Languedoc-Roussillon en France et du Portugal sont soumis à des dynamiques d’urbanisation importantes qui affectent largement les espaces naturels, en particulier les espaces agricoles. Ces dynamiques sont dues à la périurbanisation, c’est-à-dire à l’étalement urbain et à la fragmen...
For almost 40 years cities' peripheries and the coastal areas of Languedoc-Roussillon in France and of Portugal have been known important urban dynamics that affect natural spaces, and most particularly the agricultural areas. These dynamics are due to periurbanization, i.e. the increase of urban sprawl and of spatial fragmentation, thus contributi...
The metropolitan dynamics typology of the Portuguese urban system is the product of a methodology based on Geographic Information Systems (GIS). A GIS data describes six dimensions of metropolisation (population, economy, urban organisation, society and culture, networks and territorial organisation), based on a matrix of entities or indicators. Su...
Languedoc-Roussillon is a region of France where rural and urban areas have historical links based on wine economy. In recent years, this Mediterranean region has seen major urban transformations, affecting land use in a rapid manner, mostly in terms of farming land. These changes are characterized by the increasing urban contiguity in coastal area...
In this paper we analyze the spatial development of metropolization in continental Portugal by proposing a methodology for the classification of metropolitan dynamics. The aim is to identify municipalities that form "natural" metropolitan groups and municipalities that form non-"natural" groups (i.e. geographical areas of metropolitan "transition")...
The evaluation of territorial programs and plans has been gaining importance, both in political-institutional speeches and practices and in academic reflections. In Portugal, the structure of planning, operacionalized on a vast number of quite recent instruments, requires an effort of articulation in the guidelines to various scales (from European...
Projects
Projects (8)
In this Special Issue, we would like to invite you to submit regular research articles and reviews articles on one or more of the following topics of interest:
- Spatial planning, land-use management, and decision making;
- Participatory land-use planning;
- Land-use conflicts in future scenarios.
Link: https://www.mdpi.com/journal/land/special_issues/spatial_land_use
In recent years, several vector borne diseases (arboviral) have (re)-emerged and spread all over the world with major consequences. Latest epidemics of Zika, dengue, and chikungunya (CHIKV) have heightened the need to understand the seasonal and geographic range of transmission. Understanding the drivers of this recent epidemics triad, i.e., CHIKV-Dengue-Zika (CDZ) is a major public health priority. Across Europe in general, and most particularly in Portugal, new outbreaks must be anticipated, prevented and controlled so as to avoid major social and economic crises. We aim to investigate and model the CDZ vector Ae. albopictus by exploring and explaining its relation with environmental and climatic conditions, and integrating its spatial and temporal patterns of occurrence. With this it will be possible to simulate outbreak scenarios in order to help public health officials in preparing contingency plans.
Explore the application of well-established and recently developed GIS-based approaches, as well as spatial data sources to modelling agricultural land use and production dynamics in the Portuguese context.
