Nils Koesters

Nils Koesters
DataFakts

Doctor of Philosophy

About

10
Publications
1,731
Reads
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533
Citations
Introduction
Deafness and Dementia in Scotland, Deafness in Scotland, Benford's Law in Epidemics Reporting, Aspects of Mobility in the Covid-19 epidemic.

Publications

Publications (10)
Technical Report
Full-text available
This research on dual sensory loss (also known as deafblindness) and dementia has been commissioned to address the lack of prevalence data in Scotland. There is currently no record of how many people in Scotland are living with dementia and dual sensory loss. How can the needs of this group of people and their unpaid carers be met if numbers are no...
Research
Full-text available
The contents of this report have never been more needed. The Covid-19 pandemic has raised issues of communication and highlighted it in a way that has never been known in our lifetime. It also raises issues of mental health and well-being as we move into the recovery and redesign phase of dealing with its aftermath. Scotland is moving strongly towa...
Preprint
Full-text available
In this paper, we use Monte Carlo simulations with a SIRD model parameterised from the literature and test with many metrics if Benford's Law is fulfilled in 4 different scenarios. The results confirm that the Newcomb-Benford law could theoretically be an adequate tool to assess Covid-19 infected data reporting. The challenges in using Benford's la...
Technical Report
The exact numbers of deaf people in Scotland varies depending upon which source is consulted.This lack of clarity is problematic when it comes to planning for delivery of future services and it is widely recognised that there is a need to establish better reporting procedures in order to capture relevant statistics. To this end, this research has s...
Article
Full-text available
The well studied trade-off between offspring size and offspring number assumes that offspring fitness increases with increasing per-offspring investment. Where mothers differ genetically or exhibit plastic variation in reproductive effort, there can be variation in per capita investment in offspring, and via this trade-off, variation in fecundity....
Article
We develop a unified framework for jointly defining population dynamics models and measurements taken on a population. The framework is a state-space model where the population processes are modelled by the state process and measurements are modelled by the observation process. In many cases, the expected value for the state process can be represen...
Article
In variable environments, it is probable that environmental conditions in the past can influence demographic performance now. Cohort effects occur when these delayed life-history effects are synchronized among groups of individuals in a population. Here we show how plasticity in density-dependent demographic traits throughout the life cycle can lea...
Conference Paper
Inference for stochastic process models: incorporating model uncertainty Buckland, S T, Kösters, N, Newman, K B and Atkinson, R. Inference for stochastic process models: incorporating model uncertainty, Proceedings of the International Biometric Conference, 221-229.
Article
Full-text available
The aim of this study was to compare relative abundance of epigeal arthropods caught with either unfenced pitfall traps, traps within fences or D-Vac suction sampling in arable habitats (two fields and two meadows). From our results we conclude that short-term D-Vac suction sampling is not appropriate for the three taxa Carabidae, Staphylinidae, an...

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Projects

Projects (3)
Project
Estimating deaf people with Dementia in Scotland.
Archived project