Nigussie Tefera

European Commission | ec · Food Security D5

Surveillance with anthropometric indicators in young children is a cornerstone of humanitarian and development programs in the Global South. It is fundamental to detect any deterioration in the nutritional status of these vulnerable populations and provides crucial information to monitor progress towards SDG goals, effectiveness of interventions an...

The study analyses impacts of multiple stressors including floods, COVID-19 and desert locusts on agri-food value-chains in Kenya’s main agricultural areas during the 2020 long rains season. While 76% of farmers reported negative impacts of COVID-19 on their primary income source, only 16% reported losses due to desert locusts.

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A complete food demand system was estimated for 11 food groups using the Ethiopia Socioeconomic Survey (ESS) in three waves between 2011/12 and 2015/16). Results show most of food commodities or groups are price inelastic demand. While teff, wheat, barley, pulses and oilseeds, stimulants and beverages appear to be luxury or expenditure elastic dema...

e study aims to analyze climate variability and farmers' perception in Southern Ethiopia. Gridded annual temperature and precipitation data were obtained from the National Meteorological Agency (NMA) of Ethiopia for the period between 1983 and 2014. Using a multistage sampling technique, 403 farm households were surveyed to substantiate farmers' pe...

Climate change is the most pressing environmental challenge facing the world today (IAEA, 2015). The reality of climate change is increasingly gaining recognition in scientific and political arenas (Dube & Phiri, 2013). Various studies have shown changes in the occurrence and severity of climate extreme events, along with the variability of weather...

Using households survey data in four countries and employing the average cost of Minimum Expenditure Baskets (MEBs) per adult equivalent that accounts for the basic needs by age composition of the households and economies of scale in consumption as reference poverty lines, the report finds that the average cost of MEBs per capita settled based on a...

These are the statistical procedures and trend analysis techniques used in the study of “Trends in Extreme Climate Events over Three Agroecological Zones of Southern Ethiopia.”The supplementary material comprises three sections. Section A describes the Mann–Kendall test. Section B highlights on Sen’s slope estimator test, and finally, Section C sum...

The study aims to assess trends in extremes of surface temperature and precipitation through the application of the World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) on datasets representing three agroecological zones in Southern Ethiopia. The indices are applied to daily temperature and precipit...

FAO Working paper

The study aims to assess trends in extremes of surface temperature and precipitation through the application of the World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) on datasets representing three agroecological zones in Southern Ethiopia. The indices are applied to daily temperature and precipit...

The impacts of habit formation and socioeconomic variables on demand for ten food commodities –teff, barely, wheat, maize, sorghum, pulses & oilseeds, root crops, fruits & vegetables, animal products and “other foods”— are estimated using both dynamic quadratic AIDS and a generalized dynamic AIDS models. Results, using the Ethiopia Rural Household...

In the framework of the 2015 financial programming of the Pro-Resilience Action (PRO-ACT) of the Food Security and Sustainable Agriculture thematic instrument, DG DEVCO requested that the JRC contribute to the needs assessment of 35 countries selected for their vulnerability to food insecurity. A subset of 12 countries required more detailed analys...

Building resilience for food and nutrition security is 'sensitive to specific shocks'. This paper explores resilience building capacity of households through examining arrays of shocks that households experienced and its impacts on their wellbeing as well as the coping strategies use to mitigate shocks. The paper also explores supporting resources,...

Climate change is one of the most commanding environmental challenges facing the world today (IAEA, 2015). The recent IPCC report suggests that climate change impacts are real and people experience it differently (IPCC, 2014). Global Climate Risk Index 2015 issued that “Between 1995 and 2014, more than 525 000 people died worldwide and losses of mo...

This report provides a global overview of the food insecurity situation due to different crises and natural disasters, to support the programming of the Pro-resilience Action (PRO-ACT) funding mechanism, a component of the Global Public Goods and Challenges (GPGC) thematic programme of the European Union. The analysis covers the period January 2015...

The impacts of habit formation, economic and demographic variables on demand for ten food items –teff, barely, wheat, maize, sorghum, pulses & oilseeds, root crops, fruits & vegetables, animal products and “other foods”— are estimated using both dynamic quadratic AIDS and a generalized dynamic AIDS models. Using the Ethiopia Rural Household Survey...

Resilience is a multidimensional concept consisting of three interconnected capacities: absorptive, adaptive and transformative capacities. Resilience programming outcomes could be measured in terms of improvement in wellbeing such as consumption level, nutrition status, health or related factors. This study, using Ethiopia Rural Households Survey...

This paper examines the distributional impact of rising food prices on the welfare of rural households in Ethiopia, using the Ethiopia Rural Household Survey (ERHS) panel data of 2004 and 2009. The study employs second-order expansion of compensating variation (CV) to account for substitution effects. Results show stable high food prices improve th...

The impacts of habit formation, economic and demographic variables on demand for ten food items –teff, barely, wheat, maize, sorghum, pulses & oilseeds, root crops, fruits & vegetables, animal products and “other foods”— are estimated using both dynamic quadratic AIDS and a generalized dynamic AIDS models. Using the Ethiopia Rural Household Survey...

Since the publication of the World Development Report 2008, two related strands of research have emerged—one on the validity of smallholder-led development strategy and the other on agricultural intensification under population pressure. The former casts doubt about the role of agriculture in economic development in smallholders dominated countries...

Fertilizer use in Ethiopia has almost quintupled since the official elimination of input subsidy programs. Yet, application rates remain far below recommended level and, given limited scope for area expansion, fertilizer promotion continues to be the central focus for enhancing agricultural productivity. Unlike many other developing countries, Ethi...

Fertilizer use in Ethiopia has nearly quintupled since official elimination of direct input subsidies in the early 1990s. During this time, policies changed from liberalization, with both private and public sector participation, to a government monopoly over imports along with exclusive marketing through farmers’ cooperatives. This article presents...

In Ethiopia domestic food prices have been increasing in recent years. This paper explores food demand patterns of rural households before and after high domestic food prices of the 2007/08 using the Ethiopia Rural Household survey (ERHS) panel data (balanced panel data) of 1,200 households surveyed from 15 villages in four waves: 1994, 1999, 2004...

Food prices in Ethiopia considerably rose since 2004. This thesis thoroughly examines the distributional impacts of high food prices in rural Ethiopia. Using the non-parametric Net Benefit Ratio analysis as well as Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System and estimating Compensated Variation, it shows high food prices have positive impact on the welfar...

Ethiopia has experienced high food prices since early 2004. This paper examines the welfare impacts of rising food prices in rural Ethiopia using Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) approach controlled for expenditure endogeniety and zero consumption expenditure. The elasticity coefficients from QUAIDS are used to estimate Compensated Var...

This study investigates building sustainable resilience for food security and livelihood dynamics using the Ethiopia Rural Household Survey panel data. Household resilience scores are derived from grain held in stock, in-kind precautionary savings, investment in children education and participation in mutual aid association (idir) using principal c...

Income of rural households in Ethiopian has seasonal pattern because they primarily rely on seasonal rain-fed agriculture. This paper explores the implication of income seasonality for household expenditure and daily calorie intakes. It used household- level data from four Ethiopian villages to document seasonal patterns in income, expenditure and...

Using year long intensive monitoring rural household survey, the study has shown that while covariant shocks lead to change in consumption patterns, idiosyncratic shocks appear to be fully insured using various copying strategies. However, households were less likely sell livestock to smooth income shock during survey periods. They seek for wage em...

This paper is aims at empirically investigating the responsiveness of demand for various food and non-food items to changes in price and expenditure using the Quadratic Linear Almost Ideal Demand Model (AIDM). The QU-AIDM has solid theoretical foundations and sufficient flexibility to capture substitution effects that are especially important in th...