Ngoc Anh

Ngoc Anh
Development and Policies Research Center (DEPOCEN)

Doctor of Philosophy

About

99
Publications
97,712
Reads
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1,019
Citations
Introduction
Applied economist focuses on Vietnam's economy and developing economies: governance, education, macroeconomics, labour economics, impact evaluation, survey, statistics, FDI, innovation, migration, corruption, international trade.
Additional affiliations
August 2002 - December 2004
Lancaster University
Position
  • Researcher
August 2012 - December 2015
Development and Policies Research Center
Position
  • Managing Director
August 2005 - present
Development and Policies Research Center
Position
  • Chief Economist

Publications

Publications (99)
Article
Full-text available
Purpose The authors estimated the hidden overhead (capital diversion or wasteful use of capital) of Vietnam state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Design/methodology/approach The authors used a panel data set of 10,200 Vietnam SOEs observed over the period 2010–2018. The authors modeled and estimated the hidden overhead by using a stochastic production f...
Article
Full-text available
Purpose This study aims to estimate the pass-through rate of the increases in the excise tax and TCF tax on tobacco in Vietnam. This study seeks to shed light on how the tax burden is split between consumers and producers and inform policy discussions in the country. Using panel micro-level data collected from three waves of a nationwide retailer's...
Presentation
M&E for innovation activities
Article
Full-text available
Mật ngọt chết ruồi, chưa bao giờ câu tục ngữ này lại đúng với hoàn cảnh của người tiêu dùng Việt Nam như hiện nay. Đường, thứ nguyên liệu ngọt ngào có trong nhiều loại thực phẩm, đồ uống mà chúng ta thưởng thức hằng ngày, đang ngày càng đem lại nhiều phiền toái cho chúng ta. Các nghiên cứu về y tế công cộng trên thế giới đã chỉ ra rằng đồ uống có đ...
Article
Full-text available
Việc áp thuế vào đồ uống có đường nhằm mục tiêu khiến các doanh nghiệp loại bỏ hoặc giảm một phần đáng kể đường trong các sản phẩm. Đơn cử, trong vòng ba năm thực hiện thuế đồ uống có đường (2016-2019), các nhà sản xuất nước giải khát ở Anh đã giảm 44% hàm lượng đường trong đồ uống chịu thuế và tỷ lệ đồ uống chứa hơn 5g đường trên 100 ml (mức phải...
Article
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Summarizing our research on the cost of tobacco consumption (crowing out effect on children education and poverty) and on smoker brand-switching behavior using DCE
Article
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Background Vietnam has an ad valorem tobacco excise structure, with the tax base being factory gate price, making the excise susceptible to tax avoidance and less effective in reducing tobacco use. To address these issues, therefore, the government has considered switching to a mixed system in which a specific rate would be imposed on every cigaret...
Article
Full-text available
Background Tobacco consumption places a significant economic burden on households, which is particularly severe in developing countries like Vietnam. In a country where the social insurance system is weak and healthcare is often expensive, tobacco-consuming households may face a higher risk of living in poverty. Some evidence on the social conseque...
Article
Full-text available
As COVID-19 threatens the food security of vulnerable populations across the globe, there is an increasing need to identify places that are affected most in order to target aid. We propose a two-step approach to predict changes in food insecurity risk caused by income shocks at a granular level using existing household-level data and external infor...
Chapter
Using data from the Vietnam Access to Resources Households Survey in 2012 and 2014, our chapter analyzes the relationship between social capital and well-being from a multidimensional perspective. Our results indicate heterogeneous impacts of social capital dimensions on each measure of well-beings. There is a trade-off between the objective well-b...
Article
Full-text available
This paper examines the influence of tax administration corruption on different types of innovation inputs and outputs in Vietnam. It utilizes firm-level panel data derived from biennial surveys of small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) in Vietnam from 2005 to 2015. In terms of estimation method, the study applies the control function method for...
Article
Full-text available
Background The government of Vietnam is embarking on a radical tobacco excise tax reform, switching from the current pure ad valorem scheme to a mixed system by adding a specific component. There have been concerns raised by state-owned tobacco companies against this initiative that switching to a mixed scheme may shift consumption away from cheape...
Article
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Purpose This paper aims to provide rigor and clarity to the current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) policy debate in Vietnam. It is intended to serve a three-fold purpose. First, it critically examines the framing of policy objectives and the utilization of policy instruments for controlling COVID-19 in Vietnam. Second, it goes beyond policy de...
Conference Paper
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This report is prepared while the Covid-19 pandemic is unfolding in Vietnam. Until now, the fourth wave with the Delta variant has caused a great deal of disruption to the economy, society and livelihood with almost all major cities being under lockdown and the government has tried almost everything it got to put the pandemic under control without...
Technical Report
This report is prepared while the Covid-19 pandemic is unfolding in Vietnam. Until now, the fourth wave with the Delta variant has caused a great deal of disruption to the economy, society and livelihood with almost all major cities being under lockdown and the government has tried almost everything it got to put the pandemic under control without...
Article
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Elaborating a vaccination roll-out strategy for Vietnam: Estimating a minimum vaccination doses necessary and criteria for distribution
Article
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Simulating different plan for Covid vaccination strategy for Vietnam
Preprint
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Discussion on whether private suppliers could be allowed to provide covid treatment to patients who are willing to pay for their services
Article
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Không có đánh đổi giữa sức khỏe và kinh tế mà chỉ có sức khoẻ tốt và phát triển kinh tế" Tình hình diễn biến Covid-19 tại Việt Nam, nhất là TPHCM, hiện nay rất phức tạp. Rất nhiều chuyên gia trong các lĩnh vực khác nhau như y tế, kinh tế, xã hội… đã và đang đóng góp ý kiến cho công việc phòng chống Covid-19 và phục hồi kinh tế tại Việt Nam. Từ quan...
Article
Full-text available
Oped: Vietnam Covid-19 Vaccine Roll-out proposal for double targets https://tiasang.com.vn/-dien-dan/Lo-trinh-tiem-vaccine-chong-COVID19-cho-muc-tieu-kep-%E2%80%9Cmoi%E2%80%9D-cua-Viet-Nam-28376
Preprint
IPP Innovation
Technical Report
How Open Government help Vietnam to achieves its SDGs
Research
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Policy Brief for the paper published in Tobacco Control (Vietnamese)
Research
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A policy brief in English for the paper published in Tobacco Control
Technical Report
Policy brief: Income and price responsiveness
Research
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Tobacco Excise Tax Can Be A Progressive Policy Tool
Chapter
Vietnam’s rapid economic growth over the past two decades has been driven mainly by the exploitation of natural resources and a manufacturing industry reliant on a low-skill labor force. The challenge now is for the economy to become more engaged with higher value-adding forms of production. This transition will require the creation of entrepreneur...
Chapter
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Upskilling the workforce has become an essential and formidable challenge for the government of Vietnam and Vietnam's higher education During the last ten years, numerous education reform policies and initiatives have been initiated to improve the education system, especially the higher education system, to meet the demands of the economy better. T...
Article
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Purpose This study aims at analysing the causal crowding-out effect of tobacco spending on intrahousehold budget share in Vietnam. Besides, we also examine the differences in expenditure patterns between tobacco spending households and non-spending households in Vietnam as well as determine the reason behind these differences. Methods We estimated...
Article
Full-text available
This paper examines the impact of economic policies on the development of Vietnam's electronics industry. We identified, reviewed, evaluated and interviewed various stakeholders in the industry about the policies implemented by the Vietnamese government during the period 1986-2017. We argue that while the policy aiming at learning through technolog...
Article
Full-text available
Background One of the most significant barriers to tax reform and tax rate increases in Vietnam is the threat of illicit trade promulgated by the tobacco industry. The industry argues that higher taxes will stimulate smuggling, thereby undermining tax policy objectives and impairing the domestic tobacco manufacturing. Unfortunately, there is a dear...
Preprint
Full-text available
We first consider the question of the productivity of the economy of Vietnam at the macro level. With theoretical models and empirical data, we find out the Leontief production function, and its associated TFP (Total Factor Productivity). We show that the TFP is one of the main engines of Vietnam economic growth. However when we move to the micro l...
Technical Report
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The analysis shows that cigarettes have become considerably more affordable in Vietnam since 1994. Even in recent years as cigarette taxes have increased, the tax and price increases have not been sufficient to make cigarettes become less affordable, rather than more affordable, over time. In order to ensure that cigarettes become less affordable o...
Technical Report
Full-text available
The analysis shows that cigarettes have become considerably more affordable in Vietnam since 1994. Even in recent years as cigarette taxes have increased, the tax and price increases have not been sufficient to make cigarettes become less affordable, rather than more affordable, over time. In order to ensure that cigarettes become less affordable o...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Việt Nam là một trong những nước có tỷ lệ hút thuốc lá cao nhất thế giới, và Chính phủ hiện nay đang có kế hoạch tăng thuế tiêu thụ thuốc lá. Trước tình hình đó, các nhà sản xuất thuốc lá đã cố gắng đưa ra một số lập luận nhằm chống lại cải cách thuế, một trong những lập luận chính của họ là thuế tăng sẽ dẫn đến mức buôn lậu thuốc lá cao hơn. Nghiê...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Chính phủ Việt Nam nên tận dụng tốt chính sách thuế như một biện pháp phòng chống tác hại thuốc lá hiệu quả và tiết kiệm chi phí tối ưu bằng cách thiết lập lộ trình rõ ràng để tăng thuế thuốc lá nhằm đạt tới mức 70% giá bán lẻ theo khuyến nghị của WHO, bởi hai lý do. Thứ nhất, không có bằng chứng hỗ trợ cho lập luận của ngành công nghiệp thuốc lá r...
Article
Full-text available
Previous research shows that Early Childhood Education (ECE) positively impacts cognitive outcomes later in life. Few studies examine the impacts of ECE in developing countries. We use data from the Young Lives project in Vietnam with 2SLS regressions to estimate the impact of years spent in ECE on cognitive outcomes in adolescence. We find that on...
Technical Report
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BÁO CÁO CHÍNH SÁCH: CHỈ SỐ HÀI LÒNG NGƯỜI BỆNH VIỆT NAM 2018: Đánh giá chất lượng phục vụ khám, chữa bệnh ở Việt Nam từ góc nhìn của người bệnh
Article
Full-text available
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to contribute to this literature on developing countries by investigating the determinants of job satisfaction in Vietnam where the economics literature on this issue is virtually non-existent. The authors also contribute to the literature on income comparison by extending beyond the within-firm co-worker income...
Article
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This article aims to examine the impact of tax corruptionon private sector development in Vietnam. It is motivated by twoseparate but related considerations. First, despite the seriousness of the phenomenon of corruption, there is a paucity ofrigorous empirical research of corruption, particularly tax corruption, in Vietnam. Secondly, ineffective c...
Chapter
The main objective of this chapter is to investigate the roles of universities in Vietnam’s current NIS which, like their counterparts in many other developing countries, is only emerging and often operates in an uncoordinated and fragmented manner. The Vietnamese experience is interesting because the country is moving towards a market economy with...
Chapter
The main objective of this chapter is to investigate the roles of universities in Vietnam’s current NIS which, like their counterparts in many other developing countries, is only emerging and often operates in an uncoordinated and fragmented manner. The Vietnamese experience is interesting because the country is moving towards a market economy with...
Article
Full-text available
In this paper, we develop a theoretical model to explain the impact of social capital (defined at the firm level) on individual firm performance and derive a critical optimal threshold for firms to invest in social capital. The theoretical model we propose reveals how social capital, human capital, and physical capital simultaneously affect firm pe...
Technical Report
Full-text available
The first every ranking of Vietnamese higher education institution in Vietnam
Article
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Using technological capabilities as embodied in machinery, organization, processes and products, this study examines the links with host-site institutions and regional production linkages. The statistical results show no relationship between these variables. In-depth interviews complement the quantitative findings. Overall, the result shows that th...
Article
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Numerous studies have looked at the effect of corruption on economic growth and a common finding is that the former adversely affects the latter. Through regression analyses, we use recent data from Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index (CPI) and the World Bank’s Governance Indicators for the 2000–2012 period to test the direct a...
Article
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Corruption has been found to have complex effects on firm innovation. Limited theoretical and empirical evidence to date has been rather inconclusive. This study employs econometric estimation techniques to analyze data from small and medium manufacturing enterprises in Vietnam to assess the impact of petty corruption on firm innovation. The empiri...
Data
• What will be the jobs of the future ? Economic integration and the information technology revolution have created major changes and significant uncertainty in the global job market, with unemployment, particularly youth unemployment, an increasing economic and social problem. The aim of this study is to examine potential trends in employment in V...
Article
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While greater trade liberalisation is expected to boost Vietnam’s economic growth and contribute to the country’s market economy transition, there are concerns about potentially negative impacts on vulnerable groups. To explore the possible impacts of trade liberalisation on children in poor communities, this paper examines key mediating factors th...
Book
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bit.ly/1Hv8APD The Vietnam Land Transparency Study uses a novel approach of measuring actual provision of information (direct observation online and on-site) against the requirements of the law. Teams visited all 63 provinces of Vietnam, as well as a sample of 126 districts and 321 communes, and examined websites of all provinces in late 2013 and...
Technical Report
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Widespread corruption could be deleterious for national development and this has been widely acknowledge international and in Viet Nam. Recognizing the important role of the enterprises in national economic development, the Party and the government have long been concerting and promoting efforts to fight against corruption. Fighting corruption with...
Book
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1. Review major models and objectives of public administration, management, and governance in the world and their links to stages of development, development models, and types of state and government. 2. Summarize the strengths and weaknesses of alternative models, including a synthesis of fndings from Asian experiences and OECD reviews of public a...
Chapter
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Discussing the role of industrial policies and the roles of large economic groups in forming the National Socio-economic Development Strategy 2011-2020 (NSDS)
Chapter
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Whether the ELG model is still viable for transition economies in general and for Vietnam in particular and which Vietnamese exports can be promoted in the next decade and what needs to be done to promote them
Article
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In the year 2008 and the first half of 2009, the world witnessed the unfolding and heavy repercussions of the global financial crisis. Being a small open, FDI-reliant and export-dependant economy, Vietnam has not been spared from this external shock. The global crisis has led to the reduction of investments inflow, lower global commodity prices and...
Article
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Thanks to the high economic growth rate during the last 20 years, Vietnam is expected to join the middle-income country group by around 2010. The global financial crisis has severely impacted many countries, including Vietnam. The crisis together with the recent turbulence of macroeconomic development in the last two years has opened up several wea...
Article
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The Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) is one of the most useful tools of economic research. The matrix can be used for policy analysis and economic planning, and offers an efficient means of summarizing complex economic relationships and identifying gaps in statistical information. Being an extension of the existing national economic accounts, a SAM i...
Article
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A key question facing Vietnamese policy makers is how to improve the competitiveness of the small and medium enterprises. Among the many initiatives being proposed to improve their competitiveness innovation policy has attracted attention not only from policy makers, but also from researchers and the business community. Innovation in SMEs has also...
Article
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Innovation has long been considered an important factor for creating and maintaining the competitiveness of nations and firms. Common knowledge holds that innovation causes an increase in exports. However, contradicting empirical evidence is reported in the literature on the links between innovation and export. In this paper we examine whether inno...
Article
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In the context of integrating more deeply into the world economy the Vietnamese policy makers have undertaken several measures to attract foreign direct investment to the country, with the culmination of FDI inflows in 2007 reaching over USD 20 billion, an increase of 69% over 2006. The policy has been taken on the ground that the FDI inflows will...
Article
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Differencing from previous studies on foreign direct investment (FDI) spillovers to domestic enterprises which mainly focus on productivity, in this paper we take a different perspective by analysing the impacts of FDI to technical efficiency of domestic firms. The paper goes beyond the current literature to shed some light on the spillover effects...
Article
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Vietnam has been quite sucessful in attracting FDI inflows since the inception of economic reform in 1986. The inflow of FDI has contributed significantly to the economic development of Vietnam. Still, the determinants of FDI inflow and its impacts on the economy of Vietnam are under-researched. In this paper we provide an overview of foreign direc...
Article
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Innovation has long been considered an important factor for creating and maintaining the competitiveness of nations and firms. The relationship between innovation and exporting has been investigated for many countries. However, there is a paucity of research in Vietnam with respect to this issue. In this paper we examine whether innovation performe...
Article
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We investigate the determinants of high school students' academic attainment in mathematics, reading and science in the United States; focusing particularly on possible differential impacts of ethnicity and family background across the distribution of test scores. Using data from the NELS2000 and employing quantile regression, we find two important...
Article
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Time and value are related concepts that influence human behaviour. Although classical topics in human thinking throughout the ages, few environmental economic non-market valuation studies have attempted to link the two concepts. Economists have estimated non-market environmental values in monetary terms for over 30 years. This history of valuation...
Article
This paper argues that the value added score published for all publicly funded secondary schools in England is an unreliable indicator of school performance. A substantial proportion of the between-school variation in the value added score is accounted for by factors outside the school's control. These factors include several pupil-related variable...
Article
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Following extensive economic and market reforms and more than a decade of negotiations, Vietnam became the latest country to accede to the World Trade Organization in November 2006. While it is expected that greater integration into the world economy will boost Vietnam’s economic growth and contribute to the country’s ongoing transition towards a m...
Article
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This paper examines the effect of attending a Catholic high school on educational outcomes. The statistical analysis is based on data obtained from the US National Educational Longitudinal Study. Using propensity score matching methods to control for selection bias, we find that Catholic schooling improves maths test scores, with stronger effects f...
Article
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This paper uses the traditional income framework and a non-monetary framework to estimate intergenerational mobility in economic status for a sample of 26-year-old whites, blacks and Hispanics in the USA using data from the first and fifth sweeps of the National Educational Longitudinal Study (1988 and 2000). Intergenerational income mobility is fo...
Article
This paper investigates the transition from high school to first job using data from the National Education Longitudinal Study 1988-2000. A proportional hazards model is estimated to identify the determinants of time-to-first-job. In contrast to earlier studies, there is strong evidence of positive duration dependence after controlling for unobserv...
Article
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A multinomial logit model is estimated to investigate the destination of students one-year after graduating from high school. The appropriate specification of the choice set available to high school leavers is as follows: private four-year college, public four-year college, private two-year college, public two-year college, employed and unemployed....