Md MONOWAR HossainCurtin University · Department of Civil Engineering
Md MONOWAR Hossain
M.Sc. in Climate Studies
Developing a model to predict monthly rainfall for decadal timescale
About
20
Publications
17,931
Reads
How we measure 'reads'
A 'read' is counted each time someone views a publication summary (such as the title, abstract, and list of authors), clicks on a figure, or views or downloads the full-text. Learn more
83
Citations
Introduction
Developing models to predict monthly rainfall for decadal timescale using CMIP5 decadal precipitation data by ANN and ML algorithms
Additional affiliations
October 2010 - February 2017
Education
April 2018 - August 2020
Publications
Publications (20)
Bangladesh, situated within the vast Bengal Delta, faces a significant challenge due to its low-lying and flat topography: frequent and devastating floods. Acknowledging the influence of physical elements on flood events, flood susceptibility assessment emerges as a critical tool for establishing effective and sustainable flood mitigation strategie...
The fidelity of the decadal experiment in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5 (CMIP5) has been examined, over different climate variables for multiple temporal and spatial scales, in many previous studies. However, most of the studies were for the temperature and temperature-based climate indices. A quite limited study was conducted on pr...
The fidelity of the decadal experiment in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5 (CMIP5) has been examined, over different climate variables for different temporal and spatial scales, in many previous studies. However, most of the studies were for the temperature and temperature-based climate indices. A quite limited study was conducted on p...
Floods are hydrological disasters that can change a region's physical, economical, and environmental conditions. For
identifying flood risk areas and preparing mitigation strategies, flood susceptibility mapping is essential. The aim of the
present work is to develop a flood risk map for the Halda Basin, the North-eastern region (NER) of Bangladesh...
The fidelity of the decadal experiment in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5 (CMIP5) has been examined, over different climate variables for different temporal and spatial scales, in many previous studies. Most of the studies were, however, for the temperature and temperature-based climate indices. A quite limited study was conducted on...
The fidelity of the decadal experiment in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5 (CMIP5) has been examined, over different climate variables for different temporal and spatial scales, in many previous studies. Most of the studies were, however, for the temperature and temperature-based climate indices. A quite limited study was conducted on...
Citation: Hossain, M.M.; Anwar, A.H.M.F.; Garg, N.; Prakash, M.; Bari, M. Monthly Rainfall Prediction at Catchment Level with the Facebook Prophet Model Using Observed and CMIP5 Decadal Data. Hydrology 2022, 9, 111. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology9060111
Over the last few years, decadal prediction has been paid much attention for its potential applications in agriculture, hydrology and for assessing the climate impact on the various aspects of human life. Though the fidelity of decadal prediction specifically the hindcasts experiments through Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) h...
Early prediction of precipitation has many positive benefits as it enables longer time for proper planning and decision making especially for the water managers, agricultural stakeholders, and policy and decision-makers. However, due to ongoing climate change along with the chaotic nature of precipitation, a too early prediction may lead to ineffic...
Over the last few years, decadal prediction has been paid much attention for its potential applications in agriculture, hydrology and for assessing the climate impact on the various aspects of human life. Though the fidelity of decadal prediction specifically the hindcasts experiments through Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) h...
Use of Regional Climate Models (RCMs) is prevalent in downscaling the large scale climate information from the General Circulation Models (GCMs) to local scale. But it is computationally intensive and requires application of a numerical weather prediction model. For more straightforward computation, spatial interpolation are commonly used to re-gri...
Decadal experiments' output of the coupled model inter‐comparison project phase‐5 (CMIP5) contains significant model drift. For practical use of CMIP5 decadal climate variables, it is necessary to correct this model drift. In previous studies, drift correction of CMIP5 decadal data of temperature and temperature‐based climate indices have been inve...
An optimal design of a spur is the first requirement to make it sustainable and function properly. In view of that, a thorough understanding to the hydro-and morpho-dynamics due to spurs is essential. This paper presents a literature review on the effect of spurs to obtain the most recent design criteria. Perpendicular and upstream aligned impermea...
![Fig. 1 Hydrological regions of Bangladesh [22]](profile/Md-Hossain-443/publication/320822241/figure/fig3/AS:667648547381252@1536191226597/Hydrological-regions-of-Bangladesh-22_Q320.jpg)
Climate change has become a major concern across the world as the intensity along with quantity of the rainfall, mean surface temperature and other climatic parameters have been changed not only in Bangladesh but also in the entire globe. Bangladesh has already experienced many natural hazards. Among them changing of rainfall pattern, erratic and h...
![Fig. 1. Hydrological regions of Bangladesh (Source, Alam [26])](profile/Md-Hossain-443/publication/316790381/figure/fig8/AS:668796918439941@1536465019203/Hydrological-regions-of-Bangladesh-Source-Alam-26_Q320.jpg)
Aims: To discern how the historical temperature varied over the time period from 1975 to 2014 and what kind of temperature profile Bangladesh may prevail in the future. Study Design: This study was designed to reveal how the monthly mean of the daily average, monthly mean of daily maximum and monthly mean of the daily minimum temperature of all div...
River bank erosion is a severe problem facing Bangladesh. In every monsoon significant amount of riverside land is being eroded which makes people displaced, destitute and ultimately affecting the country’s socio-economic structure. Every year the Bangladesh Government is funnelling a huge amount of money through Bangladesh Water Development Board...
The Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) river basin is a transboundary river basin with only one outlet, Bangladesh. Any change of water resources in GBM river basin due to climate will affect Bangladesh greatly. However, due to lack of detailed climate projections, discharge variability of GBM basin due to climate change and its effects on Bangladesh...
Questions
Question (1)
I am trying to forecast rainfall in decadal scale by using CMIP5 decadal experiment family data. GCMs have different spatial resolutions those cover more than 55 km ground distance (in Australia). I am interested to work in catchments scale. I can interpolate the GCMs output and can convert them 0.05 degree spatial resolution. But I am in doubt that, Is the interpolation is enough to work in catchment scale or I need to use statistical downscaling? Is there anyone who can help me by giving the better idea?
