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Publications (28)
The fast rollout of hydrogen generation, transport, and storage infrastructure has become a top priority of the European Union and its member states. Planning hydrogen infrastructure requires a thorough understanding of the future role of hydrogen in the energy system. At the same time, there is still huge uncertainty about the future demand for hy...
Download: https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/publikationen/technischer-anhang-der-treibhausgas-projektionen ---
The 2024 projections describe the projected development of greenhouse gas emissions in Germany in a with existing measures scenario (MMS) and a with additional measures scenario (MWMS). The period modelled covers 2024 to 2050. The report fol...
Hydrogen and its derivatives are important components to achieve climate policy goals, especially in terms of greenhouse gas neutrality. There is an ongoing controversial debate about the applications in which hydrogen and its derivatives should be used and to what extent. Typically, the estimation of hydrogen demand relies on scenario-based analys...
The German Projection Report 2023 describes the projected development of greenhouse gas emissions in Germany in a ‚With existing measures‘ Scenario (MMS) as well as in a ‚With additional Measures‘ Scenario (MWMS). The period covered is 2021 to 2050. The report follows the
requirements of Regulation (EU) 2018/1999 of the European Parliament and of t...
Abschlussfachgespräch: Präsentation und Diskussion der vorläufigen Ergebnisse zur Studie für das Umweltbundesamt „Umbau des industriellen Anlagenparks im Rahmen der Energiewende: Ermittlung des aktuellen SdT und des weiteren Handlungsbedarfs zum Einsatz strombasierter Prozesswärmeanlagen“ (Kurztitel: CO2-neutrale Prozesswärmeerzeugung) – laufendes...
Deep decarbonisation of the European industry by 2050 requires action in all stages of manufacturing. Many publications focus on a few selected highly energy intensive basic materials such as high value chemicals, steel or primary aluminum. However, around half of the energy consumption for industrial process heating in the EU27 and the majority of...
![Relationship of consistency and coherence as shown in [58].](publication/357881326/figure/tbl2/AS:1114540704047119@1642738619757/Relationship-of-consistency-and-coherence-as-shown-in-58_Q320.jpg)
It is becoming increasingly clear that linear modes of production and consumption are unsustainable. A circular economy would help to minimize both environmental and social problems. As a result, the concept is gaining momentum in the political discourse. However, current policies do not seem sufficient to transform linear value chains to circular...
In der deutschen energie- und klimapolitischen Debatte herrscht der noch recht junge Konsens, dass Strom aus erneuerbaren Quellen (EE-Strom) zum Rückgrat der Sektorenkopplung und damit der zukünftigen Energieversorgung werden muss. Grundsätzlich besteht zudem Einigkeit darüber, dass es dabei beider Elektrifizierungsformen bedarf: Die direkte Elektr...
https://www.bmu.de/download/projektionsbericht-der-bundesregierung-2021
Projektionsbericht 2021 für Deutschland
Gemäß Artikel 18 der Verordnung (EU) 2018/1999 des Europäischen Parlaments und des Rates vom 11. Dezember 2018 über das Governance-System für die Energieunion und für den Klimaschutz, zur Änderung der Verordnungen (EG) Nr. 663/2009 und...
Erstmals stellt die vorliegende Szenarienanalyse für Deutschland konkrete Transformationspfade zur Klimaneutralität 2045 auf der Basis eines umfassenden Modellvergleichs vor. Das Besondere an dieser Studie des Ariadne-Projektes ist, dass sechs Gesamtsystem- und Sektormodelle in einer Studie integriert wurden, die sich in ihren jeweiligen Stärken er...
European final energy consumption mainly stems from five sectors: transport, households, industry, residential, and agriculture using fossil fuels as dominant energy carriers. In order to achieve the climate targets, emissions in the demand sectors must be drastically reduced. Due to different characteristics and challenges each sector needs its ow...
The German federal government has set a target for German industry to reduce its GHG emissions by 49%–51% by 2030 compared to 1990. Fuel switching to electricity and biomass is a potential measure to meet this target. In this article, we simulate the contribution of fuel switching by applying economic incentives and regulatory measures. The policy...
This study provides an approach to how to select and assess circular economy actions and their impact on the mitigation of climate change. It integrates results from lifecycle analysis (LCA) and material flow modelling to develop a generic methodology for conducting ex ante quantifications of the CO2 emission reduction potential of CE actions. This...
Scenario analysis of the energy system relies largely on model calculation and underlying techno-economic data. In the industrial context, the influence of behavioral aspects has been neglected or is subject to expert-judgment. Empirical evidence on technology preferences is scarce. In this publication, we present original survey results for prefer...
A report compiled within the H2020 project SET-Nav (work package 9, deliverable D9.5) www.set-nav.eu. Project Coordinator: Technische Universität Wien (TU Wien) Work Package Coordinator: NTNU
A report compiled within the H2020 project SET-Nav (work package 5) www.set-nav.eu Project Coordinator: Technische Universität Wien (TU Wien)
In this report we use the bottom-up simulation model FORECAST to develop scenarios for technology uptake pathways up to 2050. The scenarios show possible pathways to a low-carbon industrial sector in the EU based on varying assumptions on technology development and the socio-economic framework. They aim to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 80 to 95%...
Bottom-up energy models can support strategic decision-making and can help to manage an efficient transition to a low-carbon energy system. The manufacturing industry accounted for about 19% of EU-wide greenhouse gas emissions in 2014, which underlines the importance of this sector for model-based decarbonisation assessments.
This paper describes t...
Energy balances, e.g. the one provided by Eurostat, are usually aggregated at the level of subsector and energy carrier. In the context of transformation of energy systems and policies targeting energy efficiency as well as security of supply, more detailed information about the end-uses of energy is needed. While heating and cooling makes up for h...
The scope of this report is to summarize the process of data collection required for the open source tool Hotmaps as generic default information with regard to the 28 European Union member states at different spatial levels. Data has been collected at national or if available at regional/local levels. Data has been generated for four different sect...
As the majority of industrial emissions stems from heat generation, the choice of fuel is, next to energy efficiency, one of the tools to influence climate impact (and security of supply) in industrial energy use. At the same time, the choice of fuel is not only a matter of price but of the furnace, it is used in. Top-down models often struggle to...
Long-term scenarios of future energy demand are a major prerequisite when planning future energy systems and policy intervention. A prominent example of this is the recently published ‘EU Reference Scenario 2016’, which supports the European Commission’s policy decision-making process via model-based energy system analysis until 2050 using the PRIM...
Being able to develop successful design strategies for a green energy sector requires a detailed grasp of regional electricity demand. In this context, it is essential for electricity suppliers and the public sector to understand local aspects. Interesting questions concern topics like the better integration of decentralized generation and demand s...
How energy demand develops not only influences the success of the sustainable energy transition and the share of renewable energies, it is also critical for using and planning new generation capacities. Energy demand is influenced simultaneously by many different factors: Alongside weather and climate, these include economic development, the diffus...
The main objective of work package 2 is the assessment of the heat and cooling supply technologies currently installed in Europe. The assessment is split into two parts. Firstly, the technology stock is assessed and described in detail including installed capacities,
the number of installed units and their age distribution. Secondly, technical and...
