Matthew Herman

California State University, Bakersfield | CSUB · Department of Geological Sciences

In the 1970s, the Shumagin Islands region of the Alaska subduction zone was identified as a seismic gap expected to host a future great [moment magnitude ( M w ) ≥8.0] earthquake. More recent geodetic data indicate that this region is weakly coupled, and the geologic record shows little evidence of past large events. From July to October 2020, a se...

The largest earthquakes in subduction zones occur where significant interseismic slip deficit has accumulated on the plate interface. Slip deficit accumulates most quickly in mechanically locked regions, and these also cause the regions around them to accumulate slip deficit; therefore, large earthquakes are typically expected to rupture in and aro...

Great (moment magnitude Mw ∼8.0 and larger) subduction megathrust earthquakes are commonly followed by increased rates of normal faulting seismicity. Extensional activity within the subducting slab is amplified when megathrust slip propagates close to the trench, and forearc extension is triggered by the largest magnitude (Mw 8.5 and larger) events...

The distribution of slip during subduction megathrust earthquakes depends on the slip deficit that accumulates on the plate interface prior to the event. We develop 3-D finite element models of subduction zones to investigate how locked zones restrict surrounding regions on the plate boundary from sliding. What is new is that we quantify the slip a...

The 2016 moment magnitude 7.8 Kaikoura, New Zealand, earthquake occurred at the southern end of the Hikurangi subduction zone where the upper plate above the shallow megathrust is exposed sub‐aerially. As a result, the substantial co‐seismic deformation in the upper plate above the megathrust rupture was observed geologically and geodetically. We e...

Greater landward velocities were recorded after six megathrust earthquakes in subduction zone regions adjacent to the ruptured portion. Previous explanations invoked either increased slip deficit accumulation or plate bending during postseismic relaxation, with different implications for seismic hazard. We investigate whether bending can be expecte...

A devastating tsunami struck Palu Bay in the wake of the 28 September 2018 Mw = 7.5 Palu earthquake (Sulawesi, Indonesia). With a predominantly strike‐slip mechanism, the question remains whether this unexpected tsunami was generated by the earthquake itself, or rather by earthquake‐induced landslides. In this study we examine the tsunami potential...

The details of subduction zone locking place constraints on the characteristics of megathrust events. Due to the lack of significant present‐day seismicity along the Cascadia subduction interface, geodetic data are used to assess subduction locking along the margin. We isolate the subduction signal from other tectonic signals within the Cascadia GP...

An historically unprecedented seismic moment was released by crustal events of the 2019–2020 earthquake sequence near southwest Puerto Rico. The sequence involved at least two, and perhaps three interacting fault systems. The largest Mw 6.4 event was likely triggered by left lateral strike-slip events along the eastern extension of the North Boquer...

We present a new catalog of calibrated earthquake relocations from the 2019–2020 Puerto Rico earthquake sequence related to the 7 January 2020 Mw 6.4 earthquake that occurred offshore of southwest Puerto Rico at a depth of 15.9 km. Utilizing these relocated earthquakes and associated moment tensor solutions, we can delineate several distinct fault...

Plain Language Summary How strain accumulates across the locked zone within subduction zones has implications for the character of great megathrust earthquakes. The direction of the loading forces is often assumed to stay constant with depth; however, the direction of these forces at deeper levels is largely unknown and cannot be directly observed....

The Red Sea rift structural architecture changes dramatically along strike from narrow localized spreading in the south to asymmetrical delocalized extension north of∼21 ̊ latitude. The interaction between regional Cenozoic tectonic forces and the inherited architecture and lithospheric strength of the Arabian Plate has played a significant role in...

Thailand is surrounded by seismically active plate boundary zones and large-offset crustal faults, but there is comparatively little seismic activity within its borders. On 5 May 2014, a moment magnitude (MW) 6.2 earthquake occurred in the Mae Lao district of northern Thailand. To better anticipate future seismic hazards from events like this, we m...

We constrain epicentroid locations, magnitudes and depths of moderate-magnitude earthquakes in the 2013-2014 Minab sequence using surface-wave cross-correlations, surfacewave spectra and teleseismic body-wave modelling. We estimate precise relative locations of 54 Mw ≥ 3.8 earthquakes using 48 409 teleseismic, intermediate-period Rayleigh and Lovew...

Recent megathrust events in Tohoku (Japan), Maule (Chile) and Sumatra (Indonesia) were well recorded. Much has been learned about the dominant physical processes in megathrust zones: (partial) locking of the plate interface, detailed co-seismic slip, re-locking, afterslip, viscoelastic mantle relaxation, and interseismic loading. These and older ob...

In April 2017, a sequence of earthquakes offshore Valparaíso, Chile, raised concerns of a potential megathrust earthquake in the near future. The largest event in the 2017 sequence was a M6.9 on April 24th, seemingly co-located with the last great-sized earthquake in the region - a M8.0 in March 1985. The history of large earthquakes in this region...

On 5 May 2014, a Mw 6.2 strike-slip earthquake occurred in the Mae Lao region of Chiang Rai province in Thailand. This earthquake took place in a region of known faults and caused substantial damage and injuries, although the region had been previously identified as having a relatively low earthquake hazard. Detailed field reconnaissance and deploy...

Following the 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikoura earthquake, uncertainty over the nature of the coseismic rupture developed. Seismological evidence pointed to significant involvement of the subduction megathrust, while geodetic and field observations pointed to a shallow set of intracrustal faults as the main participants during the earthquake. The addition of t...

On 16 September 2015, a Mw 8.3 earthquake ruptured the subduction zone offshore of Illapel, Chile, generating an aftershock sequence with 14 Mw 6.0-7.0 events. A double source W phase moment tensor inversion consists of a Mw 7.2 subevent and the main Mw 8.2 phase. We determine two slip models for the mainshock, one using teleseismic broadband wavef...

On 14 February 2016, an Mw 5.7 (GNS Science moment magnitude) earthquake ruptured offshore east of Christchurch, New Zealand. This earthquake occurred in an area that had previously experienced significant seismicity from 2010-2012 during the Canterbury earthquake sequence, starting with the 2010 Mw 7.0 Darfield earthquake, and including four Mw ~6...

On April 1st, 2014, a Mw 8.2 (U.S. Geological Survey moment magnitude) earthquake occurred in the subduction zone offshore northern Chile. In the two weeks leading up to the earthquake, a sequence of foreshocks, starting with a Mw 6.7 earthquake on March 16th and including three more Mw 6.0+ events, occurred predominantly south of the April 1st mai...

The seismic gap theory identifies regions of elevated hazard based on a lack of recent seismicity in comparison with other portions of a fault. It has successfully explained past earthquakes (see, for example, ref. 2) and is useful for qualitatively describing where large earthquakes might occur. A large earthquake had been expected in the subducti...

On September 3, 2010, an MW 7.0 (USGS moment magnitude) earthquake ruptured across the Canterbury Plains in South Island, New Zealand. Since then, New Zealand GNS Science has recorded over 10,000 aftershocks ML 2.0 and larger, including three destructive ~ MW 6.0 earthquakes near Christchurch. We treat the Canterbury earthquake sequence as an intra...

Aseismic or slow slip events have been observed in many subduction zones, but whether they affect the occurrence of earthquakes or result from stress changes caused by nearby events is unclear. In an area lacking direct geodetic observations, inferences can be made from seismological studies of co-seismic slip, associated stress changes and the spa...

We model regional broadband data from the South Island of New Zealand to determine regional moment tensor solutions for the mainshock and selected aftershocks of the M7.0, 3 September 2011, M6.1, 21 February 2011 and M6.0 13 June 2011 earthquakes that occurred near Christchurch, New Zealand. Arrival time picks from both the local and regional stron...

Mountain ranges that develop along transpressive plate boundaries tend to be narrow, but can have very rapid rates of uplift. The Highlands fold and thrust belt is such a transpressive orogen, extending ~2000 km along the spine of New Guinea. It has been 20+ years since most of the research on the Highlands fold and thrust belt took place; in light...