Mariëlle Zondervan-Zwijnenburg

Mariëlle Zondervan-Zwijnenburg
Vilans

PhD

About

36
Publications
8,896
Reads
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738
Citations
Introduction
My main research interests are research synthesis, replication, and longitudinal methods. In my latest work, I demonstrate how prior knowledge can be obtained, and formalized into distributions that are useful in an analysis. The evaluation of prior knowledge resulted in a method to test whether a new study replicates original findings for a variety of statistical models. I'm also a lead author in several cross-validation projects, in which training datasets result in competing informative hypotheses for which we test how much they are supported by the data with a Bayesian analysis.
Additional affiliations
June 2017 - present
Utrecht University
Position
  • Lecturer
December 2015 - December 2015
Utrecht University
Position
  • Lecturer - Mplus: How to get started
Description
  • A PhD level 1-day course to get introduced to Mplus
July 2014 - present
Utrecht University
Position
  • PhD Student
Education
July 2012 - September 2014
Utrecht University
Field of study
  • Methodology and Statistics of Social and Behavioural Sciences
September 2011 - June 2014
Utrecht University
Field of study
  • Development and Socialisation in Childhood and Adolescence

Publications

Publications (36)
Article
Safety behaviors can prevent or minimize a feared outcome. However, in relatively safe situations, they may be less adaptive, presumably because people will misattribute safety to these behaviors. This research aimed to investigate whether safety behaviors in safe situations can lead to increased threat beliefs. In Study 1, we aimed to replicate a...
Article
Prior studies have indicated that prosocial behavior might be a protective factor for developing internalizing and externalizing behavioral problems. However, little research has been conducted on within-person changes of prosocial behavior and behavioral problems over time. With random-intercept cross-lagged panel models (RI-CLPMs), the current st...
Article
The last 25 years have shown a steady increase in attention for the Bayes factor as a tool for hypothesis evaluation and model selection. The present review highlights the potential of the Bayes factor in psychological research. We discuss six types of applications: Bayesian evaluation of point null, interval, and informative hypotheses, Bayesian e...
Article
Full-text available
This research longitudinally explored adolescent pornography (porn) consumption and its association with sexual development in early and middle adolescence. A four-wave design with half-year intervals investigated pornography consumption and different (sexual) activities, such as masturbation, French kissing, petting, giving/receiving manual and or...
Article
Full-text available
The outbreak of COVID‐19 has turned out to be a major challenge to societies all over the globe. Curbing the pandemic requires rapid and extensive behavioural change to limit social interaction, including physical distancing. In this study, we tested the notion that inducing empathy for people vulnerable to the virus may result in actual distancing...
Article
Full-text available
Background Bayesian estimation with informative priors permits updating previous findings with new data, thus generating cumulative knowledge. To reduce subjectivity in the process, the present study emphasizes how to systematically weigh and specify informative priors and highlights the use of different aggregation methods using an empirical examp...
Article
Full-text available
The COVID-19 lockdown has significantly disrupted the higher education environment within the Netherlands and led to changes in available study-related resources and study demands of students. These changes in study resources and study demands , the uncertainty and confusion about educational activities, the developing fear and anxiety about the di...
Preprint
Prior studies have indicated that prosocial behavior might be a protective factor for developing behavioral problems. The current study analyzed longitudinal associations between prosocial behavior and behavioral problems in two twin cohorts (98% Western European): in early childhood (age M=4.77, 52% girls, N=440) and middle childhood (age M=7.94,...
Article
Full-text available
In 5 of the 6 large Dutch developmental cohorts investigated here, lower SES adolescents are underrepresented and higher SES adolescents overrepresented. With former studies clearly revealing differences between SES strata in adolescent social competence and behavioral control, this misrepresentation may contribute to an overestimation of normative...
Article
Full-text available
The trend toward large-scale collaborative studies gives rise to the challenge of combining data from different sources efficiently. Here, we demonstrate how Bayesian evidence synthesis can be used to quantify and compare support for competing hypotheses and to aggregate this support over studies. We applied this method to study the ordering of mul...
Preprint
Full-text available
The last 25 years have shown a steady increase in attention for the Bayes factor as a tool for hypothesis evaluation and model selection. The present review highlights the potential of the Bayes factor in psychological research. We discuss six types of applications: Bayesian evaluation of point null, interval, and informative hypotheses, Bayesian e...
Article
Full-text available
Longitudinal data from multiple cohorts may be analyzed by Bayesian research synthesis. Here, we illustrate this approach by investigating the development of self-control between age 13 and 19 and the role of sex therein in a multi-cohort, longitudinal design. Three Dutch cohorts supplied data: the Netherlands Twin Register (NTR; N = 21,079), Resea...
Article
Full-text available
Objective: Advanced parenthood increases the risk of severe neurodevelopmental disorders like autism, Down syndrome and schizophrenia. Does advanced parenthood also negatively impact offspring’s general neurodevelopment? Method: We analyzed child-, father-, mother- and teacher-rated attention-problems (N = 38,024), and standardized measures of inte...
Preprint
BACKGROUND Given that more than half the world’s population report feelings of meaninglessness and that access to psychological services are limited or expensive, psychologists need to develop innovative and scalable means to provide psychological services to those in need. Social media platforms provides an innovative channel through which to admi...
Article
Full-text available
To examine the contributions of maternal and paternal age on offspring externalizing and internalizing problems, this study analyzed problem behaviors at age 10–12 years from four Dutch population‐based cohorts (N = 32,892) by a multiple informant design. Bayesian evidence synthesis was used to combine results across cohorts with 50% of the data an...
Preprint
Full-text available
This paper introduces the prior predictive p-value as a manner to test replication in structural equation models. Using the replication of a piecewise latent growth model as a running example, the study explains the steps of the prior predictive p-value and illustrates them with R-code. The R-code included in the paper and the Supplementary R-scrip...
Preprint
Full-text available
In the current study, we explain how replication of an analysis of variance can be tested with the prior predictive p-value. That is, we test to what degree the new data deviates from data that can predicted based on the original results, considering relevant features of the original study. The central role of claims by the original study is one of...
Article
Longitudinal developmental research is often focused on patterns of change or growth across different (sub)groups of individuals. Particular to some research contexts, developmental inquiries may involve one or more (sub)groups that are small in nature and therefore difficult to properly capture through statistical analysis. The current study explo...
Article
Full-text available
Elicitation is a commonly used tool to extract viable information from experts. The information that is held by the expert is extracted and a probabilistic representation of this knowledge is constructed. A promising avenue in psychological research is to incorporated experts’ prior knowledge in the statistical analysis. Systematic reviews on elici...
Article
Full-text available
This article demonstrates the usefulness of Bayesian estimation with small samples. In Bayesian estimation, prior information can be included, which increases the precision of the posterior distribution. The posterior distribution reflects likely parameter values given the current state of knowledge. An issue that has received little attention, how...
Article
Full-text available
Although the statistical tools most often used by researchers in the field of psychology over the last 25 years are based on frequentist statistics, it is often claimed that the alternative Bayesian approach to statistics is gaining in popularity. In the current article, we investigated this claim by performing the very first systematic review of B...
Article
Full-text available
Previous research has shown links between parenting and externalizing behavior problems in young children over time. Associations between inhibitory control, one of the executive functions, and externalizing behavior problems are widely established as well. Yet, the role of inhibitory control in the maintenance and change of externalizing behavior...
Article
Full-text available
The purpose of the current study was to apply and evaluate a procedure to elicit expert judgments about correlations, and to update this information with empirical data. The result is a face-to-face group elicitation procedure with as its central element a trial roulette question that elicits experts' judgments expressed as distributions. During th...
Article
Full-text available
Many researchers face the problem of missing data in longitudinal research. Especially, high risk samples are characterized by missing data which can complicate analyses and the interpretation of results. In the current study, our aim was to find the most optimal and best method to deal with the missing data in a specific study with many missing da...
Article
Full-text available
Background The analysis of small data sets in longitudinal studies can lead to power issues and often suffers from biased parameter values. These issues can be solved by using Bayesian estimation in conjunction with informative prior distributions. By means of a simulation study and an empirical example concerning posttraumatic stress symptoms (PTS...

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Projects

Projects (4)
Project
The project focuses on the Fourth Industrial Resolution from an Industrial and Organisational, as well as Management Sciences perspectives. Anchored in these disciplines, we take transcultural and transdisciplinary views on exploring what the 4IR / Industry 4.0 is, what impact it has on employees and organisations and how people define identity, work, relationships etc. within the changing world of work.