María Nogal

María Nogal
Delft University of Technology | TU · Materials, Mechanics, Management & Design (3Md)

About

103
Publications
22,893
Reads
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1,051
Citations
Additional affiliations
September 2019 - present
Delft University of Technology
Position
  • Professor (Assistant)
May 2017 - August 2019
Trinity College Dublin
Position
  • Professor (Assistant)
February 2014 - April 2017
Trinity College Dublin
Position
  • Research Associate

Publications

Publications (103)
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Significant research has been conducted in identifying optimal recovery and adaptation decisions in disruptive scenarios using engineering models. In this context, an aspect that has been target of limited research is that of response times. Modelling is expected to grow progressively more complex as it becomes more accurate. Such complexity increa...
Article
Assessing flood risks on road infrastructures is critical for the definition of mitigation strategies and adaptation processes. Some efforts have been made to conduct a regional flood risk assessment to support the decision-making process of exposed areas. However, these approaches focus on the physical damage of civil infrastructures without consi...
Article
Full-text available
Construction project management requires dynamic mitigation control to ensure a project's timely completion. Current mitigation approaches are usually performed by an iterative Monte Carlo (MC) analysis which does not reflect (1) the project manager's goal-oriented behavior, (2) contractual project completion performance schemes, and (3) stochastic...
Article
Full-text available
Changes in a construction project schedule can impact the project’s planned duration, resulting in penalties. A manual trial-and-error probabilistic approach is usually conducted to find an appropriate set of corrective measures to mitigate delays of the overall project. However, this approach does not capture the actual goal-oriented behavior of p...
Article
Full-text available
Different emerging threats highlighted the relevance of recovery and adaptation modelling in the functioning of societal systems. However, as modelling of systems becomes more complex, its effort increases challenging the practicality of the engineering analyses required for efficient recovery and adaptation. In the present work, metamodels are res...
Preprint
Full-text available
The wellbeing of modern societies is dependent upon the functioning of their infrastructure networks. This paper introduces the 3C concept, an integrative multi-system and multi-stakeholder optimization approach for managing infrastructure interventions (e.g., maintenance, renovation, etc.). The proposed approach takes advantage of the benefits ach...
Article
Full-text available
In smart cities, unmanned aerial vehicles and self-driving vehicles are gaining increased concern. These vehicles might utilize ultra-reliable telecommunication systems, Internet-based technologies, and navigation satellite services to locate their customers and other team vehicles to plan their routes. Furthermore, the team of vehicles should serv...
Article
Full-text available
Engineering models are becoming increasingly complex, involving a larger number of variables. As a result, engineers struggle to deeply understand the models and therefore validate and properly use them. Sensitivity analyses (SA) are usually conducted to help with this task. Nonetheless, the knowledge and computational efforts required to conduct S...
Article
Full-text available
Probabilistic Monte-Carlo simulations are often used to determine the project's completion time given a required probability level. During project execution, schedule changes negatively affect the probability of meeting the project's completion time. A manual trial and error approach is then conducted to find a set of mitigation measures to again a...
Article
Full-text available
The wellbeing of modern societies is dependent upon the functioning of their infrastructure networks. This paper introduces the 3C concept, an integrative multi-system and multi-stakeholder optimization approach for managing infrastructure interventions (e.g., maintenance, renovation, etc.). The proposed approach takes advantage of the benefits ach...
Article
Full-text available
Structural identification using dynamical parameters (such as the natural vibration frequencies and mode shapes) is an important issue, especially in bridges or high-rise buildings. However, incorrect decisions could happen on the Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) strategy and the Structural System Identification (SSI) analysis that makes the some...
Article
Full-text available
Performance evaluation and maintenance planning are gaining importance with ageing rail infrastructure and increasing demand on track safety and continuous availability. The discrete/point railway assets (e.g. bridges, level crossings) together with extended track sections constitute the main railway network infrastructure. The former has important...
Chapter
Full-text available
Over the Earth’s history, the climate has changed considerably due to natural processes affecting directly the earth. In the last century, these changes have perpetrated global warming. Carbon dioxide is the main trigger for climate change as it represents approximately up to 80% of the total greenhouse gas emissions. Climate change and concrete ca...
Article
Full-text available
The inverse problem of structural system identification is prone to ill-conditioning issues; thus, uniqueness and stability cannot be guaranteed. This issue tends to amplify the error propagation of both the epistemic and aleatory uncertainties, where aleatory uncertainty is related to the accuracy and the quality of sensors. The analysis of uncert...
Article
Full-text available
The prevailing need for a more sustainable management of natural resources depends not only on the decisions made by governments and the will of the population, but also on the knowledge of the role of energy in our society and the relevance of preserving natural resources. In this sense, critical work is being done to instill key concepts—such as...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
p>The impact of climate change on ambient temperature and relative humidity along with the present CO2 levels are speeding the corrosion process of reinforced concrete structures. The alarming cost of the associated reduction of the service life of structures, which is estimated to cost 3% to 4% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of industrialized...
Article
The first Irish public Bike Sharing Scheme (BSS) was launched in Dublin in 2009. Dublinbikes has been internationally recognised as one of the most successful bike-sharing rental schemes in the world. For this reason, among others, the cities of Cork, Limerick and Galway launched their own BSSs at the end of 2014. The objective of this paper is to...
Article
Full-text available
The present work reviews the implementation of adaptive metamodeling for reliability analysis with emphasis in four main types of metamodels: response surfaces, polynomial chaos expansions, support vector machines, and Kriging models. The discussion presented is motivated by the identified spread and little interaction between metamodeling techniqu...
Article
Full-text available
Simulation-based education (SE) refers to the use of simulation software, tools, and serious games to enrich the teaching and learning processes. Advances in both computer hardware and software allow for employing innovative methodologies that make use of SE tools to enhance the learning experience. Moreover, thanks to the globalisation of e-learni...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
The capacity of a community to react to and resist during an emergency situation is highly related to the proper functioning of its infrastructure systems. Improving the infrastructure response and recovery capacity through management and adaptation strategies can help increase community resilience. Infrastructural assets are considered outdated in...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
The capacity of a community to react to and resist during an emergency situation is highly related to the proper functioning of its infrastructure systems. Improving infrastructure response and recovery capacity through management and adaptation strategies can help increase community resilience. Infrastructural assets are considered outdated in alm...
Article
Full-text available
When analysing the performance of bike-sharing scheme (BSS) stations, it is common to find stations that are located in specific points that capture the interest of users, whereas nearby stations are clearly underused. This uneven behaviour is not totally understood. This paper discusses the potential factors influencing station attractiveness, sup...
Article
Full-text available
The present work discusses an innovative approach to metamodeling in reliability that uses a field-transversal rationale. Adaptive metamodeling in reliability is characterized by its large spectra of models and techniques with different assumptions. As a result, the reliability engineer is frequently faced with the highly challenging task of select...
Article
Full-text available
The full published version of this discussion article is available to download free of charge through the journal website using the following link: https://doi.org/10.1680/jgeot.19.D.005
Technical Report
Full-text available
The work outlines recent EU policies supporting the sustainability and climate resilience of infrastructure and buildings. It evaluates the expected variations in climatic factors causing corrosion, provides a state of the art review on climate change induced corrosion of reinforced concrete and steel structures, and presents recent works on the c...
Conference Paper
The present paper discusses the application principles of value of information theory in adaptive metamodeling for reliability analysis. Metamodeling for reliability purposes has become particularly relevant in recent years. The usage of metamodels allows surrogating the, costly to evaluate, performance functions of engineering structures. Adaptive...
Article
Estimating reliable projections of precipitation considering climate change scenarios is important for hydrological studies. General circulation models provide future climate simulations at large scale in terms of large-scale atmospheric variables (LSAVs). Those LSAVs can be downscaled to finer special resolution using several downscaling approache...
Article
The characteristics of civil structures inevitably suffer a certain level of damage during its lifetime and cheap, non-destructive and reliable methods to assess their correct performance are of high importance. Structural System Identification (SSI) using measured response is the way to fine why performance is not correct and identify where the pr...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Construction Management and Engineering students need to acquire managing skills for solving real-world problems that are complex, rarely straightforward and lack ‘one right answer’. For this, they need to become ‘open designers’, capable to be reflective, integrative and creative in and on action with dynamic and new situations. In this paper, the...
Article
Full-text available
Reliability assessment with adaptive Kriging has gained notoriety due to the Kriging capability of accurately replacing the performance function while performing as a self-improving function for learning procedures. Recent works on adaptive Kriging pursued to improve the efficiency of the active learning through the application of distinct learning...
Article
Full-text available
This paper presents a critical review of the grading entropy approach of permeability-coefficient predictions (kP) for coarse-grained soils. The approach applies the grading entropy theory to particle-size distributions (PSDs), such that the entirety of each gradation curve can be interpreted as a single point on a grading entropy chart, plotting i...
Article
Full-text available
The present paper discusses the application of stress‐cycle (SN) fatigue design procedures for offshore wind turbines, applied to the tower and substructure, and emphasizing the long‐term loading characterization. Three main methodologies are compared to assess SN fatigue long‐term design, direct scale‐up of loads and cycles to the design lifetime,...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
The present paper researches an innovative approach in the application of meta-modelling for reliability analysis. It consists in the usage of a priori knowledge about the problem being analysed in order to improve the meta-modelling numerical efficiency, in the present case, when calculating the probability of failure. A kriging model is applied t...
Preprint
Full-text available
This paper will be published in Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice Volume 127, September 2019, Pages 136-152. You can find the final version in this open link https://authors.elsevier.com/a/1ZS7R3Rd3ujuTY until mid-September.
Article
Full-text available
The concept of intrinsic vulnerability of a traffic network is defined for the first time in this paper. Intrinsic vulnerability is the susceptibility to incidents characterised by a probability of occurrence in space and time of difficult estimation, which can result in a considerable reduction or loss of the system functionality. Given the nature...
Preprint
Full-text available
Characterizing statistical uncertainty of complex systems is steadily growing as a topic of interest. One of the efficient ways to statistically characterize a system is by developing a probabilistic sensitivity analysis. With it a more comprehensive understanding of the system behaviour is achieved. Compared with deterministic analysis there are l...
Preprint
Full-text available
The present paper discusses a new methodology to assess stress-cycle fatigue design using meta-modelling. Research on its application is presented for offshore wind turbine towers. Kriging models are used to surrogate the complex time-domain stress-cycle fatigue assessment that demands multiple evaluations in the design phase. The presented develop...
Article
Full-text available
When assessing the resilience of road transport networks, users' response should be considered as they represent the main capability of the system to adapt to changes when any disruptive event occurs and to recover afterwards. Given the variability in users' response, it seems deterministic approaches might not be adequate to represent the real sys...
Conference Paper
Inspections and maintenance of infrastructure are expensive. In some cases, overdue or insufficient maintenance/monitoring can lead to an unacceptable risk of collapse and to a tragic failure as the Morandi bridge in Genoa, Italy, on 14th August 2018. An accurate assessment of the safety of a structure is a difficult task due to uncertainties assoc...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
A number of extreme weather events (EWEs) have made the resilience of the critical infrastructure of priority concern for infrastructure owners, operators and other decision makers. In this context, the European research project RAIN has studied the EWEs and their impacts upon land-based infrastructure in Europe, and develop a Risk-Based Decision M...
Article
Full-text available
Dealing with extreme events implies working with events that have low probability of occurrence. To characterize these, the peak-over-threshold method alongside the generalized Pareto distribution is commonly applied. However, when it comes to significant wave heights, this approach is not recommended. Here, the generalized Pareto distribution is d...
Conference Paper
During the first step in the development of any structural system identification method, the method should be validated by noise-free measurements in the first place. Nevertheless, this assumption is far from reality as the measurements in these tests are always subjected to the errors of measurement devices. To fill this gap, this paper analyzes t...
Article
The fatigue design of Offshore Wind Turbines (OWT) is one of the most resource demanding tasks in the OWT design process. Techniques have been developed recently to simplify the amount of effort needed to design to structural fatigue. This is the example of the usage of Kriging surrogate models. These may be used in OWTs design not only, to reduce...
Article
p>In structural system identification, measurement errors and simulation errors are closely related with the accuracy of the identification method. In this paper, the effects of these two types of errors on structural system identification by observability method(OM) are thorougly discussed. An example structure is analyzed step by step. For the ve...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
p>The condition assessment of pedestrian bridges might be overlooked due to the small scale of these structures. A short list of accidents is provided to justify the necessity of condition assessment on pedestrian bridges. In this paper, the structural system identification by observability method is applied in two traditional arrangements of pedes...
Article
Identifiability of parameters in structural system identification (SSI) is of primary importance in any SSI method. It depends on the number and the location of the measurements, which is linked with sensor configuration. In this paper, under the framework of SSI by observability method (OM), the number of necessary measurements to identify all par...