
Luis E C Rocha- PhD in Theoretical Physics
- Professor at Ghent University
Luis E C Rocha
- PhD in Theoretical Physics
- Professor at Ghent University
Professor of Econophysics and Social Physics
About
131
Publications
15,065
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3,373
Citations
Introduction
Hi there. Looking forward to discuss potential collaborations. Please, contact me, always open to expand my network and to discuss ideas!
For more information about our activities, visit the website of our Complex Systems Institute at Ghent University, Belgium. www.csi.ugent.be
Current institution
Additional affiliations
October 2013 - September 2017
March 2018 - September 2019
Education
September 2007 - September 2011
Publications
Publications (131)
The analysis of logarithmic return distributions defined over large time scales is crucial for understanding the long-term dynamics of asset price movements. For large time scales of the order of two trading years, the anticipated Gaussian behavior of the returns often does not emerge, and their distributions often exhibit a high level of asymmetry...
The course of an epidemic is not only shaped by infection transmission over face-to-face contacts, but also by preventive behaviour caused by risk perception and social interactions. This study explores the dynamics of coupled awareness and biological infection spread within a two-layer multiplex network framework. One layer embodies face-to-face c...
In Precision Livestock Farming, detecting deviations from optimal or baseline values - i.e. anomalies in time series - is essential to allow undertaking corrective actions rapidly. Here we aim at detecting anomalies in 24h time series of cow activity, with a view to detect cases of disease or oestrus. Deviations must be distinguished from noise whi...
Innovation is fundamental for development and provides a competitive advantage for societies. It is the process of creating more complex technologies, ideas, or protocols from existing ones. While innovation may be created by single agents (i.e.~individuals or organisations), it is often a result of social interactions between agents exchanging and...
Global and regional integration has grown significantly in recent decades, boosting intra-African trade and positively impacting national economies through trade diversification and sustainable development. However, existing measures of economic integration often fail to capture the complex interactions among trading partners. This study addresses...
Purpose
Research into adolescent co-offending has predominantly focused on individual differences in co-offender selection, with less attention to diversity in offending behavior. Research suggests that offenders with a violent history may be less desirable as co-offenders, potentially leading to homophily based on offending behavior. This study ai...
Social media platforms can play a pivotal role in shaping public opinion during times of crisis and controversy. The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a large amount of dubious information being shared online. In Belgium, a crisis emerged during the pandemic when a soldier (Jürgen Conings) went missing with stolen weaponry after threatening politicians...
The objective of the study is to analyze the effect of macroeconomic indicators on network-based measures of economic integration. We apply our network methodology to intra-African trade and find a sizable and significant positive relationship between our network-based integration measure and a country’s economic development, institutional quality,...
Human interactions create social networks forming the backbone of societies. Individuals adjust their opinions by exchanging information through social interactions. Two recurrent questions are whether social structures promote opinion polarisation or consensus and whether polarisation can be avoided, particularly on social media. In this paper, we...
The temporal dimension increases the complexity of network models but also provides more detailed information about the sequence of connections between nodes allowing a more detailed mapping of processes taking place on the network. The visualisation of such evolving structures thus permits faster identification of non-trivial activity patterns and...
Human interactions create social networks forming the backbone of societies. Individuals adjust their opinions by exchanging information through social interactions. Two recurrent questions are whether social structures promote opinion polarisation or consensus in societies and whether polarisation can be avoided, particularly on social media. In t...
A cryptocurrency is a digital asset maintained by a decentralised system using cryptography. Investors in this emerging digital market are exploring the profitability potential of portfolios in place of single coins. Portfolios are particularly useful given that price forecasting in such a volatile market is challenging. The crypto market is a self...
Real time radioluminescence fibre-based detectors were investigated for application in proton, helium, and carbon therapy dosimetry. The Al2O3:C probes are made of one single crystal (1 mm) and two droplets of micro powder in two sizes (38 μm and 4 μm) mixed with a water-equivalent binder. The fibres were irradiated behind different thicknesses of...
Background:
Vaccines are promising tools to control the spread of COVID-19. An effective vaccination campaign requires government policies and community engagement, sharing experiences for social support, and voicing concerns about vaccine safety and efficiency. The increasing use of online social platforms allows us to trace large-scale communica...
Innovation is fundamental for development and provides a competitive advantage for societies. It is the process of creating more complex technologies, ideas, or protocols from existing ones. While innovation may be created by single agents (i.e. individuals or organisations), it is often a result of social interactions between agents exchanging and...
Recently proposed computational techniques allow the application of various maximum entropy network models at a larger scale. We focus on disinformation campaigns and apply different maximum entropy network models on the collection of datasets from the Twitter information operations report. For each dataset, we obtain additional Twitter data requir...
Temporal (or time-evolving) networks are commonly used to model complex systems and the evolution of their components throughout time. Although these networks can be analyzed by different means, visual analytics stands out as an effective way for a pre-analysis before doing quantitative/statistical analyses to identify patterns, anomalies, and othe...
Temporal (or time-evolving) networks are commonly used to model complex systems and the evolution of their components throughout time. Although these networks can be analyzed by different means, visual analytics stands out as an effective way for a pre-analysis before doing quantitative/statistical analyses to identify patterns, anomalies, and othe...
Vaccines are promising tools to control the spread of COVID-19. An effective vaccination campaign requires government policies and community engagement, sharing experiences for social support, and voicing concerns to vaccine safety and efficiency. The increasing use of online social platforms allows us to trace large-scale communication and infer p...
Innovation is fundamental for development and provides a competitive advantage for societies. It is the process of creating more complex technologies, ideas, or protocols from existing ones. While innovation may be created by single agents (i.e. individuals or organisations), it is often a result of social interactions between agents exchanging and...
Temporal network visualization is a powerful tool that assists users in understanding network structure and dynamics. One of the most popular visual representations in this context is the Massive Sequence View (MSV), a timeline-based layout that allows the identification of patterns, anomalies, and other structures from global to local scales. MSV...
Social platforms provide means for users to share opinions and influence each other via online social interactions. The substantial amount of information flowing in such social networks calls for algorithms to filter content to facilitate information processing by the users. Therefore, not only the network structure but also the mechanisms behind t...
Differences in the social and economic environment across countries encourage humans to migrate in search of better living conditions, including job opportunities, higher salaries, security and welfare. Quantifying global migration is, however, challenging because of poor recording, privacy issues and residence status. This is particularly critical...
Identifying and detecting disinformation is a major challenge. Twitter provides datasets of disinformation campaigns through their information operations report. We compare the results of community detection using a classical network representation with a maximum entropy network model. We conclude that the latter method is useful to identify the mo...
Misreporting is a common source of bias in population surveys involving sensitive topics such as sexual behaviours, abortion or criminal activity. To protect their privacy due to stigmatized or illegal behaviour, respondents tend to avoid fully disclosure of personal information deemed sensitive. This attitude however may compromise the results of...
Immigrants show relatively low participation rates in screening programs due to lack of awareness and knowledge. To promote screening for chronic hepatitis B, Dutch Municipal Public Health Services need evidence on how to reach and inform immigrants. Our aims were to describe the performance of respondent-driven sampling (RDS) to reach Moroccan-Dut...
Differences in the social and economic environment across countries encourage humans to migrate in search of better living conditions, including job opportunities, higher salaries, security and welfare. Quantifying global migration is, however, challenging because of poor recording, privacy issues and residence status. This is particularly critical...
Visualization strategies facilitate streaming network analysis by allowing its exploration through graphical and interactive layouts. Depending on the strategy and the network density, such layouts may suffer from a high level of visual clutter that hides meaningful temporal patterns, highly active groups of nodes, bursts of activity, and other imp...
Social animals self-organise to create groups to increase protection against predators and productivity. One-to-one interactions are the building blocks of these emergent social structures and may correspond to friendship, grooming, communication, among other social relations. These structures should be robust to failures and provide efficient comm...
Temporal networks are widely used to map phenomena into complex systems in several research disciplines, such as computer science, business, and biology. Several layouts can be used in visual analyses of temporal networks. The identification of the most suitable for a given task is, however, not trivial. This paper presents a user study that analyz...
Background
HIV Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is being considered for implementation among MSM nationwide in Vietnam. However, there may be concerns about potential obstacles for PrEP adherence among Vietnamese MSM. This study aims to assess the acceptability to use PrEP, potential barriers and facilitators, and the preferences for PrEP service ac...
Social animals self-organise to create groups to maximise protection against predators, productivity and fitness. One-to-one interactions are the building blocks of these emergent social structures and may correspond to friendship, grooming, communication, among other social relations. These structures should be robust to failures and provide effic...
The study of complex networks, especially temporal networks, increased over the last years. Understanding patterns, trends, and anomalies in these networks, as well as simulating and analyzing dynamic processes (e.g., infection spread dynamics in social networks), are not trivial tasks. Information Visualization techniques offer significant potenti...
Reflecting on the compilation and analysis of a range of network datasets drawn from our own work and some prominent examples, we consider the ethical challenges in dealing with network data in business and management settings. We argue that the managerial processes that characterize such settings introduce particular ethical sensitivities in the s...
Games involving virtual worlds are popular in several segments of the population and societies. The online environment facilitates that players from different countries interact in a common virtual world. Virtual worlds involving social and economic interactions are particularly useful to test social and economic theories. Using data from EVE Onlin...
Background:
Electronic health (eHealth) interventions are promising in HIV and sexually transmitted infections (STIs) prevention among men who have sex with men (MSM), given a high rate of the Internet use in this population. This study determined the preferences for eHealth interventions to prevent HIV and STIs among MSM in Hanoi, Vietnam to guid...
Networks are often used to model the structure of interactions between parts of a system. One important characteristic of a network is the so-called network community structures that are groups of nodes more connected between themselves than with nodes from other groups. Such community structure is fundamental to better understand the organization...
Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) is a difficult-to-treat infection. Increasing efforts have been taken to mitigate the epidemics and to avoid potential outbreaks in low endemic settings. Understanding the population dynamics of MRSA is essential to identify the causal mechanisms driving the epidemics and to generalise conclusions...
Background:
Early detection, identification, and treatment of chronic hepatitis B through screening is vital for those at increased risk, e.g. born in hepatitis B endemic countries. In the Netherlands, Moroccan immigrants show low participation rates in health-related screening programmes. Since social networks influence health behaviour, we inves...
In many species, animals live in highly structured groups. In these groups, individual differences in the number and identity of social contacts (alters) of each ego define the social network structure of the animal group. The composition of groups can be disturbed by grouping animals according to age or production stage, which can in turn induce s...
BACKGROUND
Web-based respondent-driven sampling (webRDS) is a novel sampling method for the recruitment of participants for generating population estimates, studying social network characteristics and delivering health interventions. However, the application, barriers and facilitators, and recruitment performance of webRDS have not yet been systema...
Background
Web-based respondent-driven sampling is a novel sampling method for the recruitment of participants for generating population estimates, studying social network characteristics, and delivering health interventions. However, the application, barriers and facilitators, and recruitment performance of web-based respondent-driven sampling hav...
The Dutch Health Council recommended chronic hepatitis B (HBV) screening for first-generation immigrants originating from intermediate/high HBV endemic countries. The Council proposed two screening strategies; individual case finding by general practitioners and local screening programmes. Our aim was to explore knowledge and information needs rega...
Men who have sex with men (MSM) represent a key population at enhanced risk of sexually transmitted infections including HIV. HIV incidence rates are increasing amongst MSM in Vietnam. The last prevalence rates estimates range between 4% and 12% in major cities (2014). High rates of syphilis, chlamydia and gonorrhoea have also been reported, includ...
The temporal dimension increases the complexity of network models but also provides more detailed information about the sequence of connections between nodes allowing a more detailed mapping of processes taking place on the network. The visualisation of such evolving structures thus permits faster identification of non-trivial activity patterns and...
A systematic review was conducted to summarize and appraise the eHealth interventions addressing HIV/STI prevention among men who have sex with men (MSM), and characterize features of successful eHealth interventions. Fifty-five articles (17 pilots and 38 full efficacy trials) were included with the predominance of web-based interventions in the Un...
Temporal networks have been used to map the structural evolution of social, technological, and biological systems, among others. Due to the large amount of information on real-world temporal networks, increasing attention has been given to issues related to the visual scalability of network visualization layouts. However, visual clutter due to edge...
Modern technology has drastically changed the way we interact and consume information. For example, online social platforms allow for seamless communication exchanges at an unprecedented scale. However, we are still bounded by cognitive and temporal constraints. Our attention is limited and extremely valuable. Algorithmic personalisation has become...
Achievement gaps refer to the difference in the performance on assessments of students belonging to different social groups. Achievement gaps between ethnic groups have been observed in countries with heterogeneous populations. In this paper, achievement gaps between ethnic populations in Brazil were analyzed by studying the performance of a large...
Modern technology has drastically changed the way we interact and consume information. For example, online social platforms allow for seamless communication exchanges at an unprecedented scale. However, we are still bounded by cognitive and temporal constraints. Our attention is limited and extremely valuable. Algorithmic personalisation has become...
Achievement gaps refer to the difference in the performance on examinations of students belonging to different social groups. Achievement gaps between ethnic groups have been observed in several countries with heterogeneous populations. In this paper, we analyze achievement gaps between ethnic populations in Brazil by studying the performance of a...
The Gillespie algorithm provides statistically exact methods for simulating stochastic dynamics modeled as interacting sequences of discrete events including systems of biochemical reactions or earthquake occurrences, networks of queuing processes or spiking neurons, and epidemic and opinion formation processes on social networks. Empirically, the...
The Syrian civil war has been ongoing since 2011 and has already caused thousands of deaths. The analysis of death tolls helps to understand the dynamics of the conflict and to better allocate resources to the affected areas. In this article, we use information on the daily number of deaths to study temporal and spatial correlations in the data, an...
Structures both in the network of who interact with whom, and the timing of these contacts, affect epidemic outbreaks. In practical applications, such information would frequently be inaccurate. In this work, we explore how the accuracy in the prediction of the final outbreak size and the time to extinction of the outbreak depend on the quality of...
Until recently, it was not possible to record social network in dairy cows over a long period. However, thanks to the development of systems using ultra-wideband for real time location, it is now possible to follow the exact position of a large group of cows over an unlimited period. The aim of this study was to examine the changes in social contac...
Temporal networks have been increasingly used to model a diversity of systems that evolve in time; for example human contact structures over which dynamic processes such as epidemics take place. A fundamental aspect of real-life networks is that they are sampled within temporal and spatial frames. Furthermore, one might wish to subsample networks t...
Temporal networks have been increasingly used to model a diversity of systems that evolve in time; for example human contact structures over which dynamic processes such as epidemics take place. A fundamental aspect of real-life networks is that they are sampled within temporal and spatial frames. Furthermore, one might wish to subsample networks t...
The visualization of temporal networks, i.e., the visualization of networks that represent interactions between a domain’s instances and that have information about when such interactions occur, plays a key role in the recognition of properties that would be difficult to perceive without an adequate visualization strategy. This paper presents an ap...
We investigate the impact of misinformation about the contact structure on the ability to predict disease outbreaks. We base our study on 31 empirical temporal networks and tune the frequencies in errors in the node identities or timestamps of contacts. We find that for both these spreading scenarios, the maximal misprediction of both the outbreak...
We investigate the impact of misinformation about the contact structure on the ability to predict disease outbreaks. We base our study on 31 empirical temporal networks and tune the frequencies in errors in the node identities or timestamps of contacts. We find that for both these spreading scenarios, the maximal misprediction of both the outbreak...
The concept of networks has been important in the study of complex systems. In networks, links connect pairs of nodes forming complex structures. Studies have shown that networks not only contain structure but may also evolve in time. The addition of the temporal dimension adds complexity on the analysis and requests the development of innovative m...
The Syrian civil war has been ongoing since 2011 and has already caused thousands of deaths. The analysis of death tolls helps to understand the dynamics of the conflict and to better allocate resources to the affected areas. In this article, we use information on the daily number of deaths to study temporal and spatial correlations in the data, an...
Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) is a difficult-to-treat infection that only in the European Union affects about 150,000 patients and causes extra costs of 380 million Euros annually to the health-care systems. Increasing efforts have been taken to mitigate the epidemics and to avoid potential outbreaks in low endemic settings. Un...
The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often
occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide
an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection
process. We develop an individual-based approximation for the
susceptible-infected-recovered epidemic model applicable to a...
In regard to tuberculosis (TB) and other major global epidemics, the use of new diagnostic tests is increasing dramatically, including in resource-limited countries. Although there has never been as much digital information generated, this data source has not been exploited to its full potential. In this opinion paper, we discuss lessons learned fr...
Air transport systems are highly dynamic at temporal scales from minutes to years. This dynamic behavior not only characterizes the evolution of the system but also affect the system's functioning. Understanding the evolutionary mechanisms is thus fundamental in order to better design optimal air transport networks that benefits companies, passenge...
Air transport systems are highly dynamic at temporal scales from minutes to years. This dynamic behavior not only characterizes the evolution of the system but also affect the system's functioning. Understanding the evolutionary mechanisms is thus fundamental in order to better design optimal air transport networks that benefits companies, passenge...
Respondent-driven sampling (RDS) is a link-tracing sampling method that is especially suitable for sampling hidden populations. RDS combines an efficient snowball-type sampling scheme with inferential procedures that yield unbiased population estimates under some assumptions about the sampling procedure and population structure. Several seed indivi...
Sampling hidden populations is particularly challenging by using standard sampling methods mainly because of the lack of a sampling frame. Respondent-driven sampling is an alternative methodology that exploits the social contacts between peers to reach and weight individuals in these hard-to-reach populations. It is a snowball sampling procedure wh...
The Gillespie algorithm provides statistically exact methods to simulate
stochastic dynamics modelled as interacting sequences of discrete events
including systems of biochemical reactions or earthquakes, networks of queuing
processes or spiking neurons, and epidemic and opinion formation processes on
social networks. Empirically, inter-event times...
The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We develop an individual-based approximation for the susceptible-infected-recovered epidemic model applicable to a...
We introduce a model of adaptive temporal networks whose evolution is
regulated by an interplay between node activity and dynamic exchange of
information through links. We study the model by using a master equation
approach. Starting from a homogeneous initial configuration, we show that
temporal and structural heterogeneities, characteristic of re...
We introduce a model of adaptive temporal networks whose evolution is regulated by an interplay between node activity and dynamic exchange of information through links. We study the model by using a master equation approach. Starting from a homogeneous initial configuration, we show that temporal and structural heterogeneities, characteristic of re...
Network science investigates the architecture of complex systems to understand their functional and dynamical properties. Structural patterns such as communities shape diffusive processes on networks. However, these results hold under the strong assumption that networks are static entities where temporal aspects can be neglected. Here we propose a...
Urbanization promotes economy, mobility, access and availability of
resources, but on the other hand, generates higher levels of pollution,
violence, crime, and mental distress. The health consequences of the
agglomeration of people living close together are not fully understood.
Particularly, it remains unclear how variations in the population siz...